2020 NFL SEASON WEEK 13
2020 NFL SCHEDULE WEEK 13 (ATS)
All times Eastern Standard Time
ALL SPREADS ARE COURTESY OF CAESARS HOTEL IN LAS VEGAS @ THE TIME OF ANALYSIS
Sunday December 6th, 2020 1:00pm
NO Saints (9-2), (6-5) ATS, (4-1) AWAY, (3-2) ATS @ Atlanta Falcons (4-7), (5-6) ATS, (2-4) HOME, (2-4) ATS ATL+3
LW, ATL found gold as LV came to town and LV QB Derek Carr was secretly wearing an ATL jersey under his LV jersey. Carr had 3 lost fumbles & 1INT that contributed to 23 ATL points. LV RB Josh Jacobs also had a lost fumble and ATL laughed their way to a 43-6 victory @HOME. Well, I wouldn’t laugh to hard because they are playing a much better team this week. LW, NO was @DEN and DEN had 0QBs due to COVID. DEN called up someone from their practice roster at the last minute and he completed exactly one pass while throwing 2INTS. Needless to say, NO won 31-3. NO has their own QB worries as Taysom Hill is not the quintessential QB that NO would like to start. He only threw 16 passes while completing only nine of them for 78yds and 0tds & 1INT. The NO rushing game produced 229 yards and four tds. They were able to bail out Hill. ATL is a little better than DEN vs the run. ATL #6 RUN DEF. Hill may have to put the ball in the air a little more this week. L5 NO @ ATL, NO 4-1 ATS. L143 NO @ATL. NO 8-5 SU & 7-6 ATS. L20 NO vs ATL, NO 13-7 ATS. L19 NO vs ATL, HOME 11-8 ATS. L15 ATL vs NO, DOG 10-5 ATS. NO 17-16 ATS L33 as a ROAD FAV. NO 9-5 ATS in 2nd of BB RG’s. NO 34-28 ATS AWAY in NOV. NO 34-42 ATS as a FAV in DEC. NO 28-34 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in DEC. NO 5-9 ATS as a div ROAD FAV 2>pts. NO 6-0 ATS off BB SU wins vs opp w/revenge off SU win. NO 3-5 ATS off BB SU wins vs opp w/revenge. NO 4-6 ATS as a div ROAD FAV >3pts. NO 9-0 ATS vs opp off DD SU win. ATL 1-11 ATS in 2nd of BB HG’s. ATL 11-6 ATS L17 as a HOME DOG. ATL 28-30 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in DEC. ATL 30-28 ATS @HOME in DEC. ATL 31-31 ATS as a DOG in DEC. ATL 10-5 ATS off SU DOG win vs non-div opp. ATL 9-1 ATS as a DOG off SU DOG win. ATL 8-0 ATS as a DOG >1pt off SU DOG win. These two teams met two weeks ago in NO and ATL was awful and couldn’t get anything going and lost 24-9. Taysom Hill is getting comfortable in the position. ATL WR Julio Jones & RB Todd Gurley who did play in the 1st meeting but were ineffective are still both questionable. NO is playing on a mission and ATL is playing on fumes because they know that their season is technically over.
THE PICK: NO-3 5 STARS
Detroit Lions (4-7), (3-8) ATS, (3-3) AWAY, (3-3) ATS @ Chicago Bears (5-6), (5-6) ATS, (2-3) HOME, (2-3) ATS DET+3
On Thanksgiving, DET lost @HOME to HOU 41-25. After the game HC Matt Patricia & GM Bob Quinn were fired. A lot of people on the DET team and elsewhere were happy with the firings. HOU had their way with DET as HOU QB Deshaun Watson threw for 318 yds, 4tds & 0INTS. DET has many areas for improvement that will hopefully be addressed in the off-season. DET QB Matthew Stafford may not be here in 2021. Although, don’t be surprised if the futility in DET continues. On SNF, GB took it to CHI @GB 41-25. The game wasn’t even that close as GB opened up a 41-10 lead in the 3rd qtr after being up 27-10 at halftime. The fact that CHI RB David Montgomery got his 1st 100yds rushing game of the season should be discredited as it was in a game where CHI was playing catchup from the get go. CHI QB Mitch Trubisky had 2INTs & 1lost fumble that contributed to 21 GB pts. Trubisky should be with another team in 2021 or completely out of the NFL but, he certainly will not be back with CHI. These two teams met in wk 1 with CHI beating DET @DET, 27-23. This may be on the mind of Stafford and the rest of the team. L13 DET @CHI, DET 5-8 SU & 5-7-1 ATS. L21 DET vs CHI, DET 9-10-2 ATS. L23 DET vs CHI, HOME 13-8-2 ATS. DET 40-40-1 ATS as a DOG in DEC. DET 30-33-1 ATS AWAY in DEC. DET 28-25-1 ATS vs NFC NORTH in DEC. DET 10-8 ATS AWAY off non-conf gm. DET 6-0 ATS as a ROAD DOG <6pts w/revenge. DET 5-2 ATS AWAY after allowing 35>pts vs opp off DD SU loss. DET 2-11 ATS befor GB. DET 9-5 ATS AWAY off DD ATS loss. DET 11-0 ATS in gms 9-12 AWAY off DD SU non-div loss. DET 8-1 ATS w/rest. CHI 6-9-2 TS in 1st of BB HGs. CHI 26-24 ATS as a FAV in DEC. CHI 28-32 ATS vs NFC NORTH in DEC. CHI 36-31 ATS @HOME in DEC. CHI 1-9 ATS after allowing 35>pts vs .750>opp. CHI 1-8 ATS in gms 9-12 when <.500 vs div opp off BB SU losses. CHI 2-10 ATS in gms 9-12 vs opp off SU loss w/revenge. Usually a team does well in its 1st game for a new interim HC. They want to show the new HC that it was the old HC that was the problem. As for CHI, they have not gotten their running game going which has put a lot f pressure on Trubisky, Foles and whomever is lined up under Center. Plus, The O-LINE for CHI has not helped either as CHI QBs have been sacked a total of 28x. I like DET to bounce back in this one and CHI will keep sliding as they cannot find any answers. Don’t be surprised if this is a sloppy game with a few turnovers. Take the points as this may be a game that goes down to the wire.
THE PICK: DET+3 5 STARS
Cleveland Browns (8-3), (4-5-2) ATS, (3-2) AWAY, (1-3-1) ATS @ Tennessee Titans (8-3), (6-5) ATS, (4-2) HOME, (3-3) ATS CLEVE+5 ½
LW, CLEVE beat the JAGS, @JAGS 27-25. Towards the end of the game, CLEVE had a chance to put the game out of reach by getting a 1st down and they would have been able to run the clock out with the score 27-19. JAGS were starting QB Mike Glennon who wasn’t on a roster in 2020 and had not started a game since 2017, yet CLEVE had no answers for this guy as the game came down to a 2pt conversion. JAGS are terrible and CLEVE has only beaten one team that has a winning record, INDY. CLEVE RBs Nick Chubb & Kareem Hunt combined for over 200 yds rushing like I said they would but CLEVE was lucky to get the win. CLEVE has beaten CINNCY 2x, WASH, @DAL, INDY, HOU, PHILLY & JAGS. Like I said LW, the only impressive win was vs INDY. CLEVE will not add TENN to this list. LW, TENN got their revenge @INDY like I knew they would. INDY embarrassed TENN on TNF @TENN a few weeks ago so TENN needed to return the favor. TENN RB Derrick Henry turned it up a bit and rushed 27x for 178 yds & 3tds which helped in a 45-26 TENN win. TENN rushed for a team combined 229yds and 4tds. This game was over at the half with TENN leading 35-14. The DEF for TENN stepped it up as they held INDY running game to 56yds and put it all on INDY QB Philip Rivers shoulders. When Rivers is put up to the task like that, he usually falters. L8 TENN vs CLEVE, TENN 5-3 SU & 3-5 ATS. TENN 35-35 ATS @HOME in DEC. TENN 32-38 ATS as a FAV in DEC. TENN 6-20 ATS off DD SU win. TENN 4-18 ATS off DD SU win vs conf opp. TENN 4-15 ATS after scoring 35>pts. TENN 9-3 ATS vs .600>opp off ATS win. TENN 3-10 ATS in gms 9-12 off SU win vs opp off BB SU wins. TENN 2-10 @HOME off DD SU win vs conf opp. CLEVE 6-13-1 ATS in 2nd of BB RG’s. CLEVE 23-28 ATS AWAY in DEC. CLEVE 32-37 ATS as a DOG in DEC. CLEVE 2-9 ATS in gms 9-12 vs .500> non-div opp. CLEVE will not be so lucky this week as they are not playing some bad team that doesn’t know what they are doing. TENN is looking to establish themselves and get into the playoffs. Plus, CLEVE will not be able to stop Derrick Henry. CLEVE couldn’t stop JAGS RB James Robinson who rushed for 128yds on 22 carries and 1td. How many yards will Henry get? By Henry doing what he does successfully, it takes a lot of pressure off of Tannehill to do his job. TENN should win this game by 10pts but you never know. TENN is battling INDY for position in the AFC SOUTH and needs to keep winning. TENN’s schedule is pretty easy except for @GB in wk 16 but other than that, TENN should be able to run the table. As for CLEVE, their schedule is not as easy with games vs BALT, PITT & this one. Lay the points here as TENN should roll.
THE PICK: TENN-5 ½ 5 STARS
Cincinnati Bengals (2-8-1), (6-3-2) ATS, (0-5-1) AWAY, (3-3) ATS @ Miami Dolphins (7-4), (8-3) ATS, (3-2) HOME, (4-1) ATS CINNCY+ 11 ½
LW, CINNCY kept it close @HOME vs NYG. NYG should have beaten CINNCY badly but instead, because of their own ineptness, they let CINNCY stick around and almost pull the game out. NYG won 19-17. LW, MIA beat NYJ 20-3, so what. I felt NYJ+7 would keep it competitive but, they did not. MIA toyed with NYJ and should have beat them worse but had a couple of fumbles of their own. MIA has changed things this season and have had some nice surprises but here may be taking CINNCY for granted as they look ahead to KC next week. These two teams played @MIA last season in wk 16 with MIA winning 38-35. We’ll see what happens this week. L8 MIA vs CINNCY, CINNCY 4-4 SU & 3-5 ATS. CINNCY 25-30-3 ATS AWAY in DEC. CINNCY 42-36-2 ATS as a DOG in DEC. CINNCY 8-6 ATS AWAY vs opp off DD SU win. CINNCY 18-4 ATS off non-conf gm vs non-div opp. CINNCY 2-10 ATS AWAY vs AFC EAST. CINNCY 6-10 ATS AWAY off BB SU losses. CINNCY 1-14 ATS vs .600>opp. CINNCY 2-9 ATS AWAY vs .600>opp. CINNCY 9-0 ATS in gms 9-12 off SU loss vs NFC opp. MIA 6-8 ATS in 1st of BB HG’s. MIA 30-43 ATS @HOME in DEC. MIA 23-51 ATS as a FAV in DEC. MIA 16-22 ATS L38 in DEC. MIA 6-12 ATS L18 off div ROAD gm. MIA 3-8 ATS @HOME off DIV RD gm. MIA 1-6 ATS as a HF off DIV RD gm. MIA 0-10 ATS as a HOME FAV >3pts off DIV RG. I don’t like that MIA is laying so many points. They are not so great that people should expect them to win by 2tds. MIA is trying to turn the corner on losing for some time but this spread is a little high. I strongly think that MIA will win this game but by a smaller margin than the spread suggests. CINNCY will find a way to stay competitive in this game and might even have this game decided in the end. Take the points here.
THE PICK: CINNCY+11 ½ 5 STARS
Jacksonville Jags (1-10), (5-6) ATS, (0-5) AWAY, (2-3) ATS @ Minnesota Vikings (5-6), (6-5) ATS, (2-4) HOME, (2-4) ATS JAGS+9 ½
LW, MINN got very lucky. Going into the 4th qtr, CAR was up 21-10. CAR had a missed fg and a blocked fg and even though the CAR DEF made some great plays in the 2nd half that turned into points, they couldn’t put the dagger in MINN. CAR pt up a good fight but in the end MINN pulled it out. It comes down to bad coaching on the part of CAR. The CAR DEF let MINN drive down the field in seven plays for 75 yds in 1:05 to score a td that would put them ahead 28-27. Then CAR missed a fg. The fg was so way off it didn’t have a chance. MINN QB Kirk Cousins played well in the 2nd half but RB Dalvin Cook was limited by the CAR DEF. CAR should have won the game but MINN stole it. LW, JAGS were big DOGS @HOME vs CLEVE. CLEVE was one inch from winning by eight and covering the seven point spread but, they called the wrong plays and didn’t make it. JAGS got the ball back, drove down the field and scored a td. But, they missed the 2pt conversion and lost 27-25. QB Mike Glennon who hasn’t started a game since 2017 almost won the game for JAGS and he will be starting again this weekend. Does he still have it? MINN might be thinking that JAGS are a pushover and this may be their trap game. L4 JAGS 3-1 ATS. L4 JAGS vs MINN, MINN 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS. JAGS 24-27 ATS AWAY in DEC. JAGS 32-34 ATS as a DOG in DEC. JAGS 2-13 ATS as a non-conf DOG >3pts. JAGS 3-7 ATS in gms 9-12 when <.500 off HM GM vs non-div opp. MINN 32-29-1 ATS @HOME in DEC. MINN 29-37-1 ATS as a FAV in DEC. MINN 22-14-2 ATS L38 in DEC. I like the JAGS in this spot because they have nothing to lose and they also have RB James Robinson top take some of the pressure off of Glennon. Robinson rushed 22x for 128yds and 1td vs CLEVE and MINN is not that great vs the run. MINN has not been consistent but they have won some games that they were predicted to lose. I like MINN to win this game but, not by the big spread that they are laying. JAGS have been known to keep it close except, when they have played PITT. JAGS are do for a win and they are on a 10-game losing streak. Is this the week? Take the points here.
THE PICK: JAGS+9 ½ 5 STARS
LV Raiders (6-5), (7-4) ATS, (4-2) AWAY, (4-2) ATS @ NY Jets (0-11), (3-8) ATS, (0-6) HOME, (2-4) ATS NYJ+8
Who played worse LW? I think LV QB Derek Carr has the audacity to say that they didn’t have a good week of practice leading up to the game @ATL after he single handily lost the game for LV with 3lost fumbles & 1INT that were turned into 23 ATL pts. Just the week before LV went toe-to-toe in a losing effort 35-31 and now they put up this pathetic performance against a crappy ATL team? Games this season have been very hard to predict. This game was ATL 16-3 at the half. ATL didn’t even have WR Julio Jones or RB Todd Gurley in the lineup and they still managed 125yds rushing & 185 yds passing. On top of this, LV had 11 penalties for 141 yds, pathetic. If I was LV HC Jon Gruden I would be still yelling and smashing things. The NYJ are pitiful all the way through the organization. HC Adam Gase and the whole coaching staff should be gone as QB Sam Darnold should be cut as well. The GM Joe Douglas should be gone too. LW, I thought NYJ would give a little fight vs MIA but, I thought wrong. The play calling for NYJ was just pathetic and MIA just toyed with them and won 20-3. Honestly, NYJ will go 0-16 and Gase will think he is a good coach. Darnold is terrible in an age where the QB has a shield around him and has every opportunity to do well but, he can’t do anything right. L10 LV vs NYJ, LV 4-6 SU & 5-5 ATS. LV 2-6-1 ATS L9 as a ROAD FAV. LV 10-7 ATS in 2nd of BB RG’s. LV 22-42-1 ATS AWAY in DEC. LV 18-29-1 ATS as a FAV in DEC. LV 6-2 ATS after scoring 7<pts. LV 2-11 ATS off SU FAV loss vs <.500opp. LV 2-13-1 ATS as a FAV vs opp off BB SU losses. LV 0-10 ATS as a non-div FAV vs opp off BB SU losses. LV 10-5 ATS vs >333<conf opp. NYJ 22-18-1 ATS L41 as a HOME DOG. NYJ 7-8 ATS in 2nd of BB HG’s. NYJ 42-35 ATS as a DOG in DEC. NYJ 24-36 ATS @HOME in DEC. NYJ 19-20-1 ATS :40 as a DOG 7>pts. NYJ 15-5 ATS as a DOG 1>pt after scoring 7<pts. NYJ 7-2 ATS after scoring 7<pts vs opp off SU loss. NYJ 4-16 ATS off SU div loss vs non-div opp. NYJ 5-1-1 ATS L7 @HOME vs AFC WEST. NYJ 3-8 ATS after scoring 10<pts vs conf opp. This game has blowout written all over it as LV is in a double bounceback mode and need to get back to winning if they have any chance of getting to the playoffs. LV has a pretty good schedule going forward and they are all winnable games but LV QB Derek Carr has to be more focused and atuned to what is going on around him. Be a man and take charge. LV has talented guys on OFF and DEF and Carr has to lead the OFF to where everyone is comfortable doing their job. NYJ can’t do anything right and Gase is looking for scapegoats to take the rap. He can’t call any right plays and he tells everyone he is some kind of OFF guru. LV should win this game easily unless, they find a way to start turning the ball over deep in their own territory. Lay the points here.
THE PICK: LV-8 5 STARS
Indianapolis Colts (7-4), (6-5) ATS, (3-2) AWAY, (3-2) ATS @ Houston Texans (4-7), (3-7-1) ATS, (2-3) HOME, (2-3) ATS HOU+3
Good news, bad news. Good news, LW on Thanksgiving HOU beat DET @DET 41-25. HOU played a great game and WR Will Fuller had a monster game catching six passes for 171yds & 2tds. Bad news, he is suspended for the rest of the season for PEDs. HOU’s season was loss anyway and this just adds to the misery. HOU was the recipient of a couple of DET turnovers that HOU turned into points. This helped them as they built a 23-14 halftime lead. HOU then opened up a 41-17 lead in the 4th qtr and coasted from there. LW, INDY was trounced @HOME by TENN 45-26. This was a little payback for the beating they gave TENN a few ago on TNF. TENN came to play and INDY had no answer for TENN RB Derrick Henry. But few teams can stop this guy. HOU doesn’t have a proficient RB so INDY will focus more on HOU QB Deshaun Watson. L13 INDY @HOU, INDY 8-5 SU & 8-4-1 ATS. L20 HOU vs INDY, HOME 10-9-1 ATS. L22 INDY vs HOU, FAV 10-10-1 ATS 1 PICK’EM. L22 INDY vs HOU, INDY 14-7-1 ATS. INDY 7-7-3 ATS in 1st of BB RG’s. INDY 13-11-1 ATS L25 as a ROAD FAV. INDY 33-36-1 ATS AWAY in DEC. INDY 32-34 ATS as a FAV in DEC. INDY 33-29 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in DEC. INDY 3-6-1 ATS after TENN. INDY 7-5-1 ATS L13 as a DIV ROAD FAV. INDY 15-10-1 ATS L26 as a FAV 3<pts. INDY 11-4-1 ATS off SU FAV loss vs <1.00opp. INDY 8-1 ATS in gms 9-12 as a FAV vs div opp. INDY 14-3 ATS off SU FAV loss. INDY 1-6 ATS after allowing 35>pts vs conf opp. HOU 7-12 ATS as a HOME DOG. HOU 22-16 ATS @HOME in DEC. HOU 18-20 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in DEC. HOU 25-26 ATS as a DOG in DEC. HOU 6-3 ATS w/rest. HOU 9-2 ATS in gms 9-12 off SU win vs opp off HM gm. INDY is in a bounceback mode here and HOU is just in the way. INDY does have a lot of talent and should get the job done here. INDY was trounced by TENN but that was a little payback and they may see each other again in the playoffs. But for now, INDY gets back on track and takes care of HOU. Lay the points here.
THE PICK: INDY-3 5 STARS
Sunday December 6th, 2020 4:00pm
LA Rams (7-4), (6-4-1) ATS, (3-3) AWAY, (3-2-1) ATS @ Arizona Cardinals (6-5), (6-5) ATS, (3-2) HOME, (3-2) ATS ARZ+2 ½
LW, LAR flubbed the game @HOME vs SF. LAR QB Jared Goff had 2INTS & 1 lost fumble that led to missed opportunities for LAR and 7pts for SF. This was a sloppy game for both teams as the LAR DEF did force 2 lost fumbles and 1INT but did turn them into 7pts. Moving forward, LAR has to tighten up their game and Goff has to be more of a leader and take charge. He has to be able to read the DEFs and know what’s coming. LW, ARZ blew a chance at a win @NE. ARZ dominated the game stats wise but didn’t put up enough points to put NE away. ARZ played catchup in the 2nd half and NE looked to steal this game away, which they did. It was game that ARZ didn’t take hold off and should have won. This week they play a LAR team that is on a double bounceback. A very tall order. L5 LAR @ARZ, LAR 5-0 SUATS. L14 LAR vs ARZ , LAR 8-6 ATS. L18 LAR vs ARZ, ROAD 11-7 ATS. L8 LAR vs ARZ, LAR 7-1 SUATS. LAR 12-12-1 ATS L25 as a ROAD FAV. LAR 28-35 ATS vs NFC WEST in DEC. LAR 27-43 ATS AWAY in DEC. LAR 32-39 ATS as a FAV in DEC. LAR 6-22 ATS vs NFC WEST opp off SU FAV loss. LAR 2-7 ATS AWAY vs div opp off SU FAV loss. LAR 7-0 ATS L7 AWAY off SU loss. ARZ 16-15-1 ATS L32 as a HOME DOG. ARZ 33-23 ATS vs NFC WEST in DEC. ARZ 39-30 ATS @HOME in DEC. ARZ 46-38 ATS as a DOG in DEC. ARZ 0-5 ATS off SU FAV loss vs opp off SU FAV loss. ARZ 13-2-1 ATS after BB SUATS losses. ARZ 7-0 ATS off SU FAV loss vs <.500opp. ARZ 0-8 ATS @HOME vs opp off SU FAV loss. Both of these teams are coming off losses. ARZ has lost two in a row and LAR just one. LAR is more of a solid team than ARZ at this point but, should bounce back after a game they should have won @HOME. ARZ should have won @NE except for that missed fg at the end that cost them the game. But ARZ made more than just that mistake last week @NE. ARZ took NE for granted and let them control the game. LAR HC Sean McVay is good at the bounceback and LAR will bounceback here. Lay the points as LAR should win by a td in an exciting game.
THE PICK: LAR-2 ½ 5 STARS NY Giants (4-7), (7-4) ATS, (2-4) AWAY, (5-1) ATS @ Seattle Seahawks (8-3), (7-4) ATS, (5-0) HOME, (4-1) ATS NYG+10
LW, NYG-5 ½ @CINNCY barely beat CINNCY 19-17. CINNCY had no QB Joe Burrow & no RB Joe Mixon and NYG couldn’t blow them out like they should have. On top of it, NYG QB Daniel Jones suffered a hamstring injury and will definitely be out of this game. QB Colt McCoy came in and did an OK job but, he will be the starter this week @SEA. NYG RB Wayne Gallman seems like the only constant on the NYG OFF, as he rushed 24x for 94yds & 1td. On MNF, SEA was @PHILLY. SEA seemed to be toying with PHILLY and PHILLY had their chances to make this game competitive. I liked PHILLY+5 ½ and because of a missed extra point by PHILLY early in the game, it was a loss and SEA won 23-17. The score was only this close because of a very lucky Hail Mary and 2pt conversion with less than 1:00 left in the game orchestrated by PHILLY QB Carson Wentz. Otherwise SEA dominated in a game that should have been closer had PHILLY gotten their act together. For a DEF that has been bad this season, SEA sacked Wentz 6x and kept the PHILLY OFF from doing any real damage all night. SEA QB Russell Wilson managed a very good game and should be ready to kick butt this weekend. L8 SEA vs NYG, SEA 6-2 SU & 5-3 ATS. SEA 9-5 ATS in 1st of BB HG’s. SEA 34-27 ATS as a FAV in DEC. SEA 43-23 ATS @HOME in DEC. SEA 14-19 ATS as a HF 7>pts. SEA 33-10 ATS in gms 9-12 since 2009. NYG 7-5-2 ATS in 2nd of BB RG’s. NYG 5-4-2 ATS as a DOG in 2nd of BB RG’s. NYG 43-27 ATS as a DOG in DEC. NYG 36-29 ATS AWAY in DEC. NYG 4-11 ATS L15 vs NFC WEST. NYG 20-5 ATS as a DOG 5>pts after an SU win. NYG 2-11 ATS AWAY vs opp off BB SU wins. NYG should get a reality check this week to just how good they think they are when they get beat down by a good team. It’s one thing to beat WASH 2x, PHILLY & CINNCY but, it’s another to actually play a team that is good and has perennial all-stars. SEA should use their 1-2 RB punch and WR DK Metcalf that will be unstoppable against the NYG DEF. Also, the DEF for SEA should work out any kinks that they might have as they seemed to be playing better LW @PHILLY. This has blowout written all over it and SEA should score 40 pts while giving up maybe 14pts. Look for SEA S Jamal Adams to do some damage here and have at least 1 turnover. But this season has been topsy turvy and if this season has shown anything is that anything can happen. But I like SEA @HOME to put a can of whoop ass on NYG. Lay the points here.
THE PICK: SEA-10 5 STARS
Philadelphia Eagles (3-7-1), (3-8) ATS, (1-4) AWAY, (1-4) ATS @ GB Packers (8-3), (7-4) ATS, (4-1) HOME, (3-2) ATS PHILLY+9 ½
On SNF, GB built up a nice lead 27-10 lead at half and coasted to a 41-25 win @CHI. GB QB Aaron Rodgers was near perfect and with a running game that produced 182 yds, CHI had no answer for anything that was thrown at them. Rodgers wasn’t even sacked 1x and this wasn’t even a game after the half. This was just two teams going in opposite directions. Rodgers was near perfect. On MNF, PHILLY was a DOG+5 ½ @HOME vs SEA. If it wasn’t for a missed extra point early on, they would have covered in a 23-17 loss. But when you look at the game, PHILLY was mismatched and SEA was toying with them. The score was 23-9 when PHILY threw up a Hail Mary with under a minute to go and also converted a 2pt conversion to make it SEA 23-17. PHILLY has missing pieces all over the place and PHILLY QB Carson Wentz is not the sole party to blame in this terrible fiasco. Injuries have hit PHILLY hard all over and Wentz was sacked 6x in this game. He has been sacked 46x this season. The O-LINE has been a big problem for two seasons and must be addressed in the off-season if Wentz is going to have some kind of career. L9 GB vs PHILLY, GB 4-5 SUATS. GB 10-4-2 ATS in 2nd of BB HG’s. GB 37-24-1 ATS @HOME in DEC. GB 57-33-1 ATS as a FAV in DEC. GB 6-3-1 ATS L10 as a HOME FAV vs NFC EAST. GB 2-6 ATS as a FAV >4pts after scoring 40>pts. GB 9-1-1 ATS L11 after CHI. GB 23-8-1 ATS L22 after DIV gm. GB 18-4 ATS as a FAV after div gm. GB 8-0 ATS off SU Div HM win. PHILLY 32-20 ATS as a DOG in DEC. PHILLY 26-38 ATS AWAY in DEC. PHILLY 4-8 ATS L12 after MNF. PHILLY 6-14 ATS vs .666>conf opp. PHILLY 7-0 ATS off BB SU losses vs opp off DD SU win. PHILLY is a wounded warrior and GB is working towards solidifying a playoff spot. These are two teams going in opposite directions. GB has their running game going which opens up the passing game for Rodgers who thrives on picking apart opposing secondaries. Plus, if he gets time in the pocket, watch out. GB should be pumped up for this game because they still have a shot at a #1 seed in the NFC. This game has blowout written all over it. PHILLY is not like JAGS who are feisty. Plus, there could be a little revenge on the mid of Rodgers as PHILLY beat GB at GB in 2019, 34-27. Rodgers doesn’t forget. Lay the points here.
THE PICK: GB-9 ½ 5 STARS
NE Patriots (5-6), (5-6) ATS, (1-4) AWAY, (1-4) ATS @ LA Chargers (3-8), (3-6-2) ATS, (2-3) HOME, (2-3) ATS NE+1
LAC HC Anthony Lynn is part of the problem why LAC has a very bad record. His time management and suspect play calling is what’s hurting LAC. There are games they could have won and should have won even with a DEF that seems to be invisible at times. LAC has a QB that looks like a seasoned veteran but is not getting the right plays thrown in to be successful. Plus, he doesn’t have enough tools on OFF. LW, @BUFF, LAC ran some plays that you could be scratching your head. Anyway, LAC lost 27-17 and they had a chance to get a big back door cover with the ball on the BUFF 1yd line but screwed that up too. LAC Justin Herbert has shown a veteran leadership for a guy that is a rookie. With the right coaching he should be very successful in this league and LAC should be challenging for the top spot in the AFC. LW, NE won because ARZ missed a fg and that gave NE great field position for a few plays and they kicked a fg to win, 20-17. NE QB Cam Newton continues to show everyone that he is terrible with a 9/18 passing for 84yds 0tds & 2INTS. HC Bill Belichick is probably not getting much sleep these days. NE has become run only team as Newton has trouble throwing the ball. LAC 5-11 ATS in 1st of BB HG’s. L7 NE vs LAC, LAC 2-5 SUATS. LAC 29-38 ATS @HOME in DEC. LAC 34-29 ATS as a FAV in DEC. LAC 35-34-1 ATS as a HOME FAV vs non-div. LAC 4-11 ATS L15 vs NE. LAC 1-9 ATS as a FAV off DD SU loss vs .500>opp. NE 9-7 ATS in 1st of BB RG’s. NE 22-11 ATS as a DOG in DEC. NE 33-31 ATS AWAY in DEC. NE 14-7-1 ATS L22 vs AFC WEST. NE 15-3 ATS off SU non-div DOG win. NE 15-2 ATS off SU win vs non-div opp off SU loss. NE 7-2 ATS in gms 9-12 off SU non-div DOG win. NE 13-1 ATS off non-div gm vs opp off SU loss 4>pts. This is a winnable game for LAC because you don’t know what NE brings from week to week. Newton has become unpredictable and he is on a downward slope as his talent goes. He has been terrible and an average DEF could stop him. LAC should feel cheated after LW and should want to make amends. NE got lucky with a missed fg by ARZ and got a win even though they played horribly. LAC should win by at least a fg. Could you imagine if Belichick had Herbert as his QB?
THE PICK: LAC-1 5 STARS
Sunday December 6th, 2020 8:20pm
Denver Broncos (4-7), (5-6) ATS, (2-3) AWAY, (3-2) ATS @ KC Chiefs (10-1), (6-5) ATS, (4-1) HOME, (4-1) ATS DEN+14
LW, DEN played without a QB @HOME vs NO. All four of their QBs were on the COVID list. QB Kendall Hinton was signed off the practice squad and was the QB of record for this game. He had one completed pass and 2INTs in nine attempts. NO romped 31-3. NO had their own problems but, DEN was behind the eight ball before the opening kick. Why the NFL played this game at all is beyond me. But we know why, $$$$$$$. Looks like QB Drew Lock will be starting this weekend vs KC. LW, KC was @TB as a ROAD FAV -3 ½ . After a great start by KC 14-0, KC coasted and TB got a back door cover to make the final score KC 27-24. KC has tons of OFF but the DEF cannot play as though the other team is a push over. They need to make plays that put the game away. The last three games, KC has given up a lot of points and have not covered any of them. L13 KC(H) vs DEN, KC 6-7 SU & 5-8 ATS. L27 KC vs DEN, ROAD 17-10 ATS. L17 KC vs DEN, DOG 8-9 ATS. L10 KC vs DEN, KC 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS. KC 32-26 ATS @HOME in DEC. KC 39-30 ATS as a FAV in DEC. KC 38-25 ATS vs AFC WEST in DEC. KC 8-5 ATS @HOME on SNF. KC 13-7 ATS as a FAV on SNF. KC 8-5 ATS on SNF vs opp off a loss. KC 6-13 ATS as a DIV HF vs <500opp. KC 6-10 ATS @HOME vs <500 div opp. KC 3-6 ATS as a DD FAV vs .400<opp. KC 2-11 ATS in gms 9-12 @HOME vs <500 opp off DOG role. DEN 14-7 ATS in 1st of BB RG’s. DEN 25-34 ATS vs AFC WEST in DEC. DEN 20-26 ATS as a DOG in DEC. DEN 30-38 ATS AWAY in DEC. DEN 14-11 ATS L25 div RG’s. DEN 3-7 ATS as a DIV DOG >1pt off DD SU loss. DEN 8-2 ATS AWAY after allowing 28>pts. DEN 3-5 ATS AWAY w/revenge vs conf opp. DEN 10-9 ATS AWAY on SNF. DEN 8-4 ATS as a DOG on SNF. DEN 13-4 ATS in gms 9-12 as a ROAD DOG vs .500>opp. These two teams met in wk 7 @DEN with KC beating DEN 43-16. KC was favored by 9 ½ and I felt DEN had a good shot at keeping the game competitive. DEN wasn’t winning but DEN could keep it closer than the spread. Well, DEN turned the ball over too much to keep anything close. KC is coming off a game where they let TB back in the game after starting out 14-0 in the 1st qtr. It ended up not even being a cover for KC but only a win. I don’t think that will happen this week. KC has not covered their L3 but this week they get back to business on both sides of the ball. This has blowout written all over it. DEN may have revenge on their minds but reality says that they are not matched well vs KC. This is not MIA. Lay the points here.
THE PICK: KC-14 5 STARS
Monday December 7th, 2020 5:00pm
Washington Redskins (4-7), (6-5) ATS, (1-4) AWAY, (3-2) ATS @ Pittsburgh Steelers (11-0), (9-2) ATS, (6-0) HOME, (5-1) ATS WASH+8
On Thanksgiving WASH @DAL became a blowout by WASH 41-16. This game was WASH 20-16 into the 4th qtr but WASH exploded for 21 points in the 4the qtr to make the score 41-16. WASH ran all over DAL for 182 yds & 3TDs. The OFF for DAL was terrible while WASH played even better in the 2nd half. WASH QB Alex Smith did manage the game well but did have 1 INT that was tuned into 3pts by DAL. Anyway, WASH knows who they are and are playing competitive with what they have. PITT was originally scheduled for Thanksgiving night, then moved to Mon, then Tues & finally Wed. They beat BALT @PITT 19-14 but it was a sloppy game on PITT’s part. There were plenty of missed opportunities by PITT and the DEF let BALT stick around and almost steal the game. Big Ben & PITT HC Mike Tomlin were physically and verbally upset after the game. They acted like they lost and they were right, BALT outplayed them. L4 WASH vs PITT, PITT 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS. WAH 5-11 ATS in 2nd of BB RG’s. WASH 36-29 ATS AWAY in DEC. WASH 37-33 ATS as a DOG in DEC. WASH 7-13 ATS as a ROAD DOG on MNF. WASH 7-4 ATS off 3+ATS wins. WASH 0-5 ATS on MNF off DD SU win. WASH 2-11 ATS L13 on MNF. WASH 0-5 ATS L5 after THURS gm. PITT 11-3-2 ATS in 2nd of BB HG’s. PITT 4-1281 ATS @HOME in DEC. PITT 47-35 ATS as a FAV in DEC. PITT 7-7 ATS L14 on MNF. PITT 14-8 ATS as a HOME FAV on MNF. PITT 9-0 ATS as a non-conf HF >3pts vs opp off SUATS win. PITT 12-1 ATS off SU wins vs non-div opp off BB SU wins. PITT 10-0 ATS vs non-div opp off BB SU wins. WASH hasn’t really played anyone and beaten them but they seem to be playing better none the less. PITT will make their adjustments after the last game but, WASH will give them a good game. I think PITT will play a better game but WASH will be tough. I like PITT to win but at a bigger margin then the spread suggests. Being @HOME will give PITT the advantage. They should win by 10 points. Lay the Take the points here.
THE PICK: PITT+8 5 STARS
Monday December 7th, 2020 8:15pm
Buffalo Bills (8-3), (4-6-1) ATS, (3-2) AWAY, (1-4) ATS @ SF 49ers (5-6), (5-6) ATS, (1-4) HOME, (1-4) ATS (Glendale, Arizona) SF+1 ½
LW, BUFF @HOME were playing LAC. If you looked only at the score you would say BUFF won 27-17. But if you watched the game, you would know that LAC should have won the game. BUFF was playing against a bad coach who made bad decisions and didn’t capitalize on BUFF’s mistakes. BUFF made mistakes that LAC should have scored on but, LAC HC Anthony Lynn is not a good HC and a lot of his game decisions throughout this season have been suspect. BUFF was very lucky. LW, SF took it to LAR @LAR. SF seemed to dominate this game and made LAR look like they were barely treading water. The SF DEF forced 2INTS & 1 lost fumble of LAR QB Jared Goff. SF QB Nick Mullins outplayed LAR QB Jared Goff and that was the difference in this game. Plus, SF WR Deebo Samuel was unstoppable with 11 catches for 133 yds. SF 13-14-1 ATS L28 as a HOME DOG. SF 6-9-1 ATS in 1st of BB HG’s. SF 31-28 ATS @HOME in DEC. SF 26-25 ATS as a DOG in DEC. SF 13-3 ATS on MNF. SF 4-1 ATS as a HOME DOG on MNF. SF 1-12 ATS off SU DIV RD win. SF 5-2 ATS @HOME off SU DIV RD win. BUFF 7-10 ATS L17 as a ROAD FAV. BUFF 37-27 ATS AWAY in DEC. BUFF 33-32 ATS as a FAV in DEC. BUFF 5-4 ATS as a ROAD FAV on MNF. BUFF 20-4 ATS in gms 9-12 vs opp off SU DOG win. I like SF in this game because they are getting some of their previously injured players back on the roster and in game shape. In the game @LAR, the missing pieces for SF looked healthy and played well. BUFF QB Josh Allen seems to take too many chances and the SF DEF will be waiting. I like this to be a close game but this is the game that gets SF back to .500. BUFF still has a way to go before they are dominant. SF is the pick here.
THE PICK: SF+1 ½ 5 STARS
Tuesday December 8th, 2020 8:00pm
Dallas Cowboys (3-8), (2-9) ATS, (1-4) AWAY, (1-4) ATS @ Baltimore Ravens (6-5), (5-6) ATS, (2-3) HOME, (2-3) ATS DAL+7
LW, DAL couldn’t get out of its own way. They were trailing on Thanksgiving 20-16 when WASH blew the game wide open and scored 3TDs in the 4th qtr for a 41-16 win. You could say that this season has been a disaster for DAL as injuries and losses have piled up and even the players left standing are scratching their heads. Also, sometimes the play calling has been suspect and it seems like the opposing DEFs have been ready. On WedNF, BALT was playing @PITT after a reschedule from Thanksgiving. BALT surprised PITT and PITT played the game very lacksidasical. BALT was without QB Lamar Jackson and a host of other players due to COVID but, BALT made a game of it and it came down to the wire. PITT held on for the win 19-14 but you could say that BALT won. BALT had a dropped pass in the endzone with :00 left in the clock right before the half. Had the ball been caught, BALT would have had the lead going into the 2nd half. Then it’s a different ball game. DAL 12-5 ATS in 1st of BB RG’s. L4 DAL vs BALT, BALT 3-1 SU & 2-2 ATS. DAL 26-42-1 ATS AWAY in DEC. DAL 26-24 ATS as a DOG in DEC. DAL 20-17-1 ATS L38 as a ROAD DOG. DAL 15-3-1 ATS as a non-conf DOG <8pts. DAL 10-2-1 ATS as a non-conf ROAD DOG <8pts. DAL 6-0 ATS vs .500> non-conf opp off ATS loss. DAL 13-4 ATS AWAY off DD SU loss vs opp off SUATS loss. DAL 9-1 ATS in gms 9-12 AWAY off DD SU loss. DAL 9-1 ATS as a DOG 7>pts. BALT 36-31 ATS as a FAV in DEC. BALT 38-31 ATS @HOME in DEC. BALT 8-13-1 ATS L22 vs NFC. BALT 10-6-1 ATS after losing AWAY & returning HOME. BALT 11-5 ATS vs non-conf opp off SU loss. BALT 8-1 ATS in gms 9-12 when .500> vs NFC opp off SUATS loss. BALT 15-2 ATS in gms 9-12 vs non-div opp off DD ATS loss. BALT 11-2 ATS in gms 9-12 off AWAY vs non-div opp off DD SU loss. Both teams are coming off losses and if PITT didn’t drop some passes and play a little tougher on DEF, BALT would have been wiped out. On Thanksgiving DAL was beating themselves with mistake after mistake. But, because of a reschedule, DAL has had plenty of time to mend and reflect. BALT has been a big disappointment lately as they have been losing games they should win. They are on a 3game losing streak. I like the points here because I think BALT will bounceback with a win but, DAL will play better and keep the game close. DAL will lose but, it will only be by about 3 or 4 pts. Take DAL here.
THE PICK: DAL+7 3 STARS
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