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All times Eastern Standard Time


Sunday January 3rd, 2021 1:00pm

Miami Dolphins (10-5), (11-4) ATS, (5-2) AWAY, (4-3) ATS @ Buffalo Bills (12-3), (8-6-1) ATS, (6-1) HOME, (4-2-1) ATS                              MIA+1

LW, on MNF, BUFF took care of business @NE, 38-9. It was like Man vs boys out there and NE could only muster 1td. The score was BUFF 24-9 at the half and you could turn your sets off there. BUFF QB Josh Allen threw for 4td, 0INTs and was 27/36 for 320 yds. He wasn’t sacked and at times had no pressure on him in the pocket. BUFF WR Stefon Diggs had another monster game with 9 catches for 145yds & 3tds. He has been the addition at WR that BUFF needed to get this OFF going. LW, MIA was in a wild one @LV. MIA QB Tua Tagovailoa started the game but was ineffective so Ryan Fitzpatrick came in and got the win. Fitz threw for 1td and set up the winning fg with a play that put MIA in position for the winning fg. LV had kicked a fg when they should have scored a td which would have made it harder for MIA. But, with under 1:00 left, MIA had a play that landed them on the LV 26yd line. At their own 25 yd line, Fitzpatrick threw a ball to WR Mack Hollins that he caught at the LV 41 yard line. But, in the process one of the LV D-LINEMAN almost took Fitz’s head off with a facmask penalty, add 15 yds to that and you get your winning field goal and MIA won 26-25. L26 MIA vs BUFF, HOME 14-11 ATS 1NL. L13 BUFF(H) vs MIA, BUFF 9-4 SU & 8-5 ATS. L23 BUFF vs MIA, BUFF 12-10 ATS 1NL. BUFF 25-36 ATS @HOME in DEC. BUFF 36-32 ATS as a FAV in DEC. BUFF 27-28 ATS vs AFC EAST in DEC. BUFF 3-12 ATS @HOME off DD ATS win. BUFF 6-1 ATS vs opp w/revenge off BB SU wins. BUFF 1-5 ATS @HOME off DD ATS win. BUFF 4-11-1 ATS off BB SU wins vs conf opps. BUFF 8-1-1 ATS after allowing 10<pts vs <.500opp. BUFF 2-10 ATS in gms 13-16 off DD ATS win vs div opp. BUFF 0-6 ATS @HOME off DD ATS win vs div opp. MIA 7-9 ATS in 2nd of BB RG’s. MIA 26-40 ATS vs AFC EAST in DEC. MIA 23-35 ATS AWAY in DEC. MIA 30-25 ATS as a DOG in DEC. MIA 19-23 ATS L42 in DEC. MIA 6-0 ATS vs opp off DD SU win in gm 15. MIA 8-2 ATS as a DOG 7<pts vs opp off BB SUATS wins. MIA 7-0 ATS as a conf DOG 7<pts vs opp off BB SUATS wins. MIA 11-2 ATS in gms 13-16 off SU win vs opp off DD SU FAV win. Both of these teams are still fighting for something. MIA is just fighting to get in and if they should lose they will probably be out. If they win, they’re in. BUFF is currently the #2 seed but if they should lose this game, they will fall to the 3rd seed in the AFC. However, if they win, their record will be 13-3 and that is mighty impressive for a team that hasn’t won that many games in a season since 1991. QB Josh Allen is not that old that he needs a week off to rest but if BUFF gets a comfortable lead in this one, he should be removed from the game. As for MIA, I think we will see QB Ryan Fitzpatrick earlier in this game than in last week’s game with so much on the line. NOTE: Fitzpatrick is a scratch for this game due to a positive COVID test. These two teams met in wk 2 @MIA with BUFF winning 31-28. Fitzpatrick started in that game and played well but, Allen played better and BUFF won. I like BUFF here as they pour it on again as MIA will play catchup. 

THE PICK: BUFF-1                                    3 STARS

Baltimore Ravens (10-5), (9-6) ATS, (5-2) AWAY, (4-3) ATS @ Cincinnati Bengals (4-10-1), (8-5-2) ATS, (3-4) HOME, (4-1-2) ATS              CINNCY+11 ½

LW, CINNCY was in a shootout @HOU and won 37-31. I liked CINNCY+8 ½ because HOU has no DEF and CINNCY had nothing to lose. Plus, they beat PITT the week before, so they must be doing something right. Also, when did HOU become so good that they were almost a Double Digit Fav? CINNCY was tied 10-10 with HOU at the half but it became a shootout in the 2nd half. CINNCY QB Brandon Allen played well and CINNCY balanced their OFF attack with 169 yds rushing. LW, BALT was toying with NYG. The score was BALT 20-3 at halftime and NYG were playing catchup to no avail. BALT rushed fr 254 yds & BALT QB Lamar Jackson threw 2tds & 0INTs. Jackson did fumble on the NYG 4yd line which would have given BALT a 34-13 win. But, BALT still covered the -10 that I knew they would. BALT & CINNCY played in wk 5 @BALT with BALT winning 27-3. It wasn’t much of a game and CINNCY may be thinking payback in this one. But, if BALT has a balanced attack that scores tds and eats up a lot of clock, CINNCY will be beaten badly as they were in wk 5. L13 CINNCY(H) vs BALT, CINNCY 9-4 SUATS. L23 BALT vs CINNCY, CINNCY 14-7-1 ATS, 1NL. L19 BALT vs CINNCY, FAV 10-7-1 ATS, 1NL. BALT 18-13-1 ATS L32 as a ROAD FAV. BALT 28-24 ATS vs AFC NORTH in DEC. BALT 39-31 ATS as a FAV in DEC. BALT 31-26 ATS AWAY in DEC. BALT 5-13 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins. BALT 2-8 ATS in gms 13-16 vs <.500 opp playing in their last HOME gm. CINNCY 13-9-2 ATS L24 as a HOME DOG. CINNCY 46-28 ATS @HOME in DEC. CINNCY 44-38-2 ATS as a DOG in DEC. CINNCY 25-24-2 ATS vs AFC NORTH in DEC. CINNCY 3-8 ATS as a div HOME DOG >4pts. CINNCY 2-14 ATS vs >.600opp. CINNCY 3-13 ATS vs opp off DD SU win. CINNCY 1-6 ATS off BB SU wins. CINNCY 0-5 ATS w/revenge vs opp off DD SU win. CINNCY has nothing to gain in this game and nothing to lose but, they cannot stop the run. BALT #1 RUSH OFF vs CINNCY #25 RUSH DEF. BALT can run all day and kill the clock. CINNCY will not get as many chances as they did last week vs HOU. Plus, BALT is not one dimensional like PITT. BALT is playing to get playoff position and there is a possibility that if they lose, they will be out of the playoffs. Plus, CLEVE is playing for a playoff spot and playoff positioning as well so BALT still has to bring their A-game. BALT will be scoreboard watching. CINNCY has nothing to be ashamed of with. They just need to surround their franchise QB with some players in the off-season. The DEF needs a few players as well and CINNCY will be right back in the mix in 2021. But for now, BALT will steam roll over CINNCY on their way into the playoffs. BALT will win by 2tds as the DEF for BALT will have a PICK6 in this game. BALT will be amped up. Lay the points here.

THE PICK: BALT-11 ½                              5 STARS   

Pittsburgh Steelers (12-3), (10-5) ATS, (5-2) AWAY, (4-3) ATS @ Cleveland Browns (10-5), (6-7-2) ATS, (5-2) HOME, (3-3-1) ATS                 PITT+10

LW, PITT won @HOME vs INDY on the combination of two very important factors. First, PITT never gave up in the game even when they were down 24-7. The DEF for PITT made plays and even though PITT didn’t and couldn’t run the ball Big Ben was calm and accurate with his passes to lead PITT to victory, 28-24. The other factor is that INDY choked. Their DEF down the stretch played like a team that didn’t know what they were doing. They didn’t make one stop and the OFF led by INDY QB Philip Rivers all of a sudden couldn’t move the ball down the field. INDY deserved to lose. LW, CLEVE was without their four top receivers due to COVID but the NYJ came to play and beat CLEVE  @NYJ, 23-16. CELEV had a chance to move the ball and get better position but didn’t succeed on a 4th & 1 where CLEVE QB Baker Mayfield fumbled. This game was actually NYJ 20-3 and CLEVE was playing catchup the whole way. L13 PITT @ CLEVE, PITT 8-4-1 SU but 5-8 ATS. L27 PITT vs CLEVE , DOG 13-13-1 ATS. PITT 28-30 ATS AWAY in DEC. PITT 28-26 ATS vs AFC NORTH in DEC. PITT 21-13 ATS as a DOG in DEC. PITT 16-1 ATS as a DOG vs >.500 opp. PITT 5-17-1 ATS off SU win vs opp off SU loss. PITT 6-0-1 ATS as a DOG vs .500>opp w/revenge. CLEVE 15-27-2 ATS @HOME in DEC. CLEVE 12-24-3 ATS vs NFC NORTH in DEC. CLEVE 7-13-2 ATS as a FAV in DEC. CLEVE 3-8-2 ATS L13 as a HOME FAV vs DIV. CLEVE 1-7-2 as a DIV HOME FAV 3>pts. CLEVE needs a win here to get into the playoffs. PITT is resting Big Ben so Mason Rudolph will be the starter. These two teams met in wk 6 @PITT with PITT winning big, 38-7. That wasn’t much of a game for CLEVE so they might have some revenge on their minds for this game. However, how many players CLEVE gets back off COVID for this game is still up in the air. That may be a big factor in how they do in this game. CLEVE has everything riding on this game but I don’t think they blow out PITT. CLEVE wins by either 3pts or a td but no more. Rudolph has been here before and should play well.  I like PITT here with the points.  

THE PICK: PITT+10                                  3 STARS

Minnesota Vikings (6-9), (6-9) ATS, (3-4) AWAY, (4-3) ATS @ Detroit Lions (5-10), (5-10) ATS, (1-6) HOME, (1-6) ATS                                  DET+7

LW, I said MINN would lose big @NO for different reasons. Well I was right. NO poured it on and won big 52-33. NO had many things to consider and MINN really had nothing to play for considering they were officially out of the playoffs. The MINN DEF couldn’t stop the run game of NO which amounted to 264 yds and 7tds. Six were scored by NO Alvin Kamara who rushed for 155yds on 22 carries. The DEF for MINN has cost them many games this season and that’s why they go into the off-season with a lot to consider. LW, DET @HOME was handed their own beating by TB 47-7. DET was +9 ½ and I thought with QB Matthew Stafford, DET would at least make it competitive. Well Stafford went down early with an ankle injury & DET was never in this game as it was TB 34-0 at halftime. L13 DET(H) vs MINN, MINN 7-6 SU & 8-4-1 ATS. L26 MINN vs DET, DOG 9-15-3 ATS. L19 DET vs MINN, DOG 7-10-2 ATS. L27 DET vs MINN 11-13-3 ATS. L23 DET vs MINN, MINN 14-7-2 ATS. DET 5-4-2 ATS in 2nd of BB HG’s. DET 30-30- ATS @HOME in DEC. DET 42-42-1 ATS as a DOG in DEC. DET 30-25-1 ATS vs NFC NORTH in DEC. DET 11-21-1 ATS L34 as a HOME DOG. DET 2-13 ATS in gms 13-16 vs <.500 off DD ATS loss. MINN 14-6 ATS L20 as a ROAD FAV. MINN 11-3 ATS in 2nd of BB RG’s. MINN 31-35 ATS AWAY in DEC. MINN29-39-1 ATS as a FAV in DEC. MINN 24-28-1 ATS vs NFC NORTH in DEC. MINN 22-18-2 ATS L42 in DEC. MINN 6-2 ATS AWAY after BB SU losses. MINN 8-1 ATS in gms 13-16 after allowing 35>pts vs .500>opp. Both of these teams have been major disappointments this season. DET is in worse shape than MINN because they have so many bad players and will need a whole new coaching staff. MINN needs a few players here and there to shore things up. But they especially need guys on DEF after letting ¾ of their starting secondary walk after last season. MINN could use some more O-LINE guys to protect and open some running lanes. DET QB Matthew Stafford is questionable for this game and if he is not ready to go, Chase Daniel will start. MINN RB Dalvin Cook will not play in this game. Both of these teams are coming off blowouts so I expect this game to be close. These two teams met in wk 9 @MINN with MINN winning 34-20. If there is any spunk left in DET, now is the time to show it. Also, this may be RB Adrian Peterson’s last game, so I’m sure that he would like to go out with a big game. Take DET here with the points because this game will be decided by a fg at the end.  

THE PICK: DET+7                                     3 STARS

NY Jets (2-13), (6-9) ATS, (1-6) AWAY, (2-5) ATS @ NE Patriots (6-9), (6-9) ATS, (4-3) HOME, (4-3) ATS                                                      NYJ+3 ½

LW, I liked the NYJ +9 ½ @HOME vs CLEVE. It didn’t hurt the NYJ that CLEVE was without their top four receivers and some other players for this game because of possible COVID contact. Needless to say, NYJ jumped out to a 20-3 lead in the 3rd qtr and coasted to a 23-16 win. NYJ stopped CLEVE on a crucial 4th down late in the game that may have led to CLEVE tying the game. NYJ will not get the #1 pick in the 2021 Draft and this team will go through a major cleaning starting at the end of this game if not the next day. The reason why I liked the NYJ this past weekend is because they played tough vs LAR and CLEVE was a step down. There was no letdown by NYJ and they had this game won. On MNF, NE was @HOME vs BUFF and it was like man vs boys. BUFF won 38-9 and dominated this game throughout. NE QB Cam Newton has shown that his QB skills have deteriorated and that he may even be out of football in 2021. Right now the OFF for NE consists of mostly rushing which opposing DEFs have been anticipating. BUFF QB Josh Allen picked the NE DEF apart and threw for 4tds, 0INTS and wasn’t even sacked 1x. NE had four possessions in the 2nd half and punted all four times. L13 NYJ@NE, NYJ 1-12 SU but 7-6 ATS. L19 NY @NE, NE 10-9 ATS. L20 NYJ vs NE 10-10 ATS. L13 NYJ vs NE, NYJ 1-12 SU but 8-5 ATS. NYJ 37-30 ATS AWAY in DEC. NYJ 45-36 ATS as a DOG in DEC. NYJ 28-27 ATS vs AFC EAST in DEC. NYJ 7-11 ATS L18 as a ROAD DOG 4<pts. NYJ 1-8 ATS off DD ATS win vs opp off BB SU losses. NE 10-4-1 ATS in 2nd f BB HG’s. NE 37-25 ATS vs AFC EAST in DEC. NE 49-42 ATS as a FAV in DEC. NE 37-24 ATS @HOME in DEC. NE 3-5 ATS after MNF. NE 10-9-2 ATS L21 after allowing 28>pts. NE 8-1 ATS off SU loss vs opp off BB SU wins. NE 14-2 ATS @HOME vs opp off BB SU wins. NE 12-1 ATS in gms 13-16 as a FAV vs opp off BB SU wins. NE 0-6 ATS as a FAV 6<pts vs opp w/revenge. I like NYJ in this game because they know that HC Adam Gase is gone soon after this game. They want to go out with a win. NYJ have shown some grit in these last two games and will probably win this game too. NE is a mess and NE HC Bill Belichick will have a lot of work to do this off-season. Right now NYJ are pumped up and NE has a QB situation that needs to be upgraded. Neither Newton or Stidham are obviously the answer at QB for NE and they may have to make a trade or draft someone that will get NE back on track. This is where the real coaching comes in. These two teams met on MNF in wk 9 with NE barely winning 30-27. This was after NYJ QB Joe Flacco made some crucial errors late in the game which opened up the door for NE to win. NYJ should have won that game and they may be thinking about that going into this one. Take the NYJ and the points.

THE PICK: NYJ+3 ½                                  5 STARS      

Dallas Cowboys (6-9), (5-10) ATS, (2-5) AWAY, (2-5) ATS @ NY Giants (5-10), (8-7) ATS, (2-5) HOME, (2-5) ATS                                        NYG+2 ½

LW, DAL was down @HOME 14-3 vs PHILLY but somehow turned it around and won 37-17. The DEF for DAL stepped up like they haven’t played all season and DAL QB Andy Dalton played very well in a game DAL needed to win to have even a remote chance to secure the NFC EAST playoff spot. This was a team effort that was won on both sides of the ball by a DAL team that needed this game. The DEF for DAL had 2INTS, a forced fumble of PHILLY QB Jalen Hurts and sacked him 3x. DAL RB Ezekiel Elliott had only his 2nd 100yd rushing game this season in the big win. LW, NYG really had no shot @BAL against a team that is playing hard for a high playoff spot. BALT rushed for 249 yds and NYG had no answer. NYG were down 20-3 at halftime and ended up losing 27-13. NYG were trailing 27-6 in the 4th qtr when NYG got a garbage time td to make the final score 27-13. NYG QB Daniel Jones was sacked 6x by a BALT DEF that was on a mission. The rushing game for NYG was stagnated at 54yds which left all the pressure of the game on Jones. L13 NYG(H) vs DAL, DAL 8-5 SU & 7-6 ATS. L23 NYG vs DAL, ROAD 12-10-1 ATS. L7 DAL vs NYG, DAL 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS. DAL 17-12-1 ATS L30 as a ROAD FAV. DAL 26-44-2 ATS as a FAV in DEC. DAL 27-43-1 ATS AWAY in DEC. DAL 29-30 ATS vs NFC EAST in DEC. DAL 9-2 ATS off SU DOG win vs <.600opp. DAL 22-5-1 ATS as a FAV off BB SUATS wins. DAL 6-14 SU & 7-13 ATS in gm 16 since 2000. DAL 3-6-1 ATS off SU win vs <.500 div opp w/revenge. DAL 7-1 ATS vs opp w/revenge off DD SU loss. DAL 2-5 ATS after scoring 35>pts vs opp off DD SU loss. DAL 3-13 ATS in gms 13-16 when <.500 & AWAY. DAL 12-2 ATS as a div FAV >2pts. NYG 11-22 ATS L33 as a HOME DOG. NYG 44-30 ATS as a DOG in DEC. NYG 32-29 ATS vs NFC EAST in DEC. NYG 35-29 ATS @HOME in DEC. NYG 3-14 ATS vs opp off SU DOG win. NYG 1-7 ATS off DD SU loss vs opp off SU DOG win. NYG 0-8 ATS @HOME vs opp off SU DOG win. DAL is actually playing for something and is on a three game win streak. They have looked very good during the streak and the DEF has made plays as well. NYG aren’t playing for anything and they don’t have the personnel to stop DAL in this one. Earlier in the season in wk 5 @DAL, I liked NYG+9 ½ because NYG were a little more sound and it was the return of OC Jason Garrett. In that contest, NYG should have won outright but, NYG QB Daniel Jones had turnovers that led to NYG losing 37-34. But since that contest, Jones has had some injuries and has regressed ability wise. I see DAL winning this game in a total blowout and NYG not putting up any real fight as they empty out their lockers. Lay the points here as DAL cruises in their quest for the playoffs.  

THE PICK: DAL-2 ½                                  5 STARS     

Atlanta Falcons (4-11), (7-8) ATS, (2-5) AWAY, (4-3) ATS @ TB Buccaneers (10-5) , (8-6-1) ATS, (4-3) HOME, (4-2-1) ATS                             ATL+6 ½

LW, ATL was @KC and was playing KC tough. ATL should have won the game and I liked ATL+10 ½ . ATL was leading very late 14-10 and KC QB Pat Mahomes threw a pass into the endzone that should have been intercepted by ATL CB AJ Terrell. He made a great play but, as he was coming down with the ball, it fell out of his hands for an incomplete pass. KC averted disaster and on the very next play Mahomes found someone else for a KC td to make the score KC 17-14. But ATL came back and had a chance to tie the game but missed the fg. Final score, KC 17-14. When you are a bad team, nothing goes your way. LW, TB blew out DET @DET, 47-7. I liked DET+9 ½ but, when DET QB Matthew Stafford left the game early with an ankle injury never to return, all bets were off and DET didn’t have a prayer. TB QB Tom Brady threw 22/27, 348 yds, 4tds, 0INTs, 0fumbles. Even QB Blaine Gabbert came in and went 9/15, 143yds, 2tds & 0INTs. On top of that TB rushed for 111yds and 1td. It was an OFF show by TB. Look for more of the same this week by TB. L13 TB(H) vs ATL, TB 5-8 SU & 6-6-1 ATS. L19 TB vs ATL, HOME 10-8-1 ATS. L20 TB vs ATL, FAV 10-9-1 ATS. TB 28-32 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in DEC. TB 33-33-2 ATS @HOME in DEC. TB 26-29-1 ATS as a FAV in DEC. TB 5-9-2 ATS L16 off DD SU win. TB 0-6-3 ATS as a HOME FAV vs opp off BB SU losses. TB 6-2 ATS after scoring 35>pts vs <.500non-div opp. ATL 8-8 ATS in 2nd of BB RG’s. ATL 29-31 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in DEC. ATL 37-34 ATS AWAY in DEC. ATL 33-32 ATS as a DOG in DEC. ATL 3-11 ATS w/revenge off SU loss. ATL has had a very bad season and there should be serious evaluations at every position even QB in the off-season. This season showed how bad ATL really is. TB is fighting for playoff position and Brady & CO will not let up. ATL has absolutely nothing to play for and TB will play like their life depends on it. Usually after a blowout win, the winner has a little letdown the next week. But, TB has something big to play for and keeping their OFF going is important in going forward. Don’t be surprised to see TB try some plays that they haven’t used in a while to keep everyone fresh. These two teams met just two weeks ago @ATL with ATL leading 17-0 & 24-7 before blowing the game 31-27. ATL should be mad but the whole season and not just that game have been a major disappointment. Lay the points here as TB wins by 2tds but not like the blowout they had last week @DET.  

THE PICK: TB-6 ½                                     5 STARS  

Sunday January 3rd, 2021 4:00pm

GB Packers (12-3) , (9-6) ATS, (5-2) AWAY, (4-3) ATS @ Chicago Bears (8-7), (8-7) ATS, (3-4) HOME, (3-4) ATS                                             CHI+4

LW, CHI won their 3rd straight game by beating up JAGS @JAGS, 41-17. This game was actually CHI 13-10 at the half but CHI then exploded in the 2nd half and it was CHI 34-10 going into the 4th qtr and you could turn your sets off there. CHI QB Mitch Trubisky had a nice 3rd straight game with 24/35 passing and 265yds. He had 2tds & 1INT. The run game for CHI took some of the pressure off of him by rushing for 128 yds and 3tds. LW, on SNF, GB in the snow stormed out to a 19-0 lead over visiting TENN. But TENN tried to make a comeback and scored 2tds to make it GB 19-14. However, GB scored another 3tds and the final score was GB 40-14. The elements were too much for TENN and rookie GB RB AJ Dillon had a breakout game rushing 21x for 124 yds and 2tds. GB rushers combined for 234 yds rushing as the TENN DEF had no answers. The GB DEF shut down TENN RB Derrick Henry for the most part and then teed off on TENN QB Ryan Tannehill forcing him into 2INTS which GB converted one of them for a td of their own. GB QB Aaron Rodgers was in total control as he wasn’t affected by the snow and threw 21/25 for 231yds, 4tds & 1INT in the blowout. L13 GB@CHI, GB 9-4 SU ATS. L19 GB vs CHI, GB 14-5 ATS. L20 GB vs CHI, ROAD 11-9 ATS. GB 18-21 ATS L39 as a ROAD FAV. GB 35-31 ATS AWAY in DEC. GB 34-30 ATS vs NFC NORTH in DEC. GB 59-35-1 ATS as a FAV in DEC. GB 3-6 ATS as a FAV >4pts after scoring 40>pts. CHI 14-15 ATS L29 as a HOME FAV. CHI 29-46 ATS as a DOG in DEC. CHI 29-33 ATS vs NFC NORTH in DEC. CHI 37-32 ATS @HOME in DEC. CHI 9-2 ATS vs .500> div opp off DD SU win. CHI 4-10 ATS @HOME off non-conf gm. CHI 7-0 ATS in gms 13-16 @HOME off DD ATS win. Both of these teams have something to play for. GB can secure the #1 seed and HOME Field throughout the playoffs. CHI can secure a playoff spot after losing six straight games. HC Matt Nagy read them the riot act after the sixth loss and CHI responded by winning three straight. Granted the wins were vs HOU, @MINN & @ JAGS. GB is not even in their league and CHI may find that out during this game. Both of these teams are coming off blowout wins but GB is the stronger team, don’t fool yourself. Trubisky may have looked good in the last three games but, those teams have terrible DEFs. HOU #30 TOT DEF, MINN #27 TOT DEF & JAGS #32 TOT DEF. GB #7 TOT DEF. The GB DEF will put pressure on Trubisky and you will see the old Trubisky come out. Once GB stops the CHI run game, it will all be on Trubisky and he will knuckle under. Lay the points here as CHI goes home and GB gets the #1 seed while winning this game by at least 10 points. Rodgers owns CHI and he will continue his dominance here.

THE PICK: GB-4                                       5 STARS   

LV Raiders (7-8), (8-7) ATS, (5-2) AWAY, (4-3) ATS @ Denver Broncos (5-10), (7-7-1) ATS, (2-5) HOME, (2-5) ATS                                     DEN+2 ½  

LW, LV blew the game because they went for a fg when they should have scored a td. On top of that, they made stupid mistakes in the last 25 seconds that cost them the game and any shot at the playoffs. Whether you think so or not, LV HC Jon Gruden is not a good coach. He just barks so loud that you ignore his crappy record as a HC. You say he won a SuperBowl? Yeah that was with Tony Dungy’s team. Gruden won it in his 1st season with TB after Dungy was fired. Gruden has torn down LV and the DEF for LV is terrible. How they beat KC & NO earlier in the season is a mystery because the LV DEF is terrible and they make plenty of mistakes. They were celebrating before the game was over with the lead and they deserve to lose. LV Derek Carr is not that good because he continues to make rookie mistakes. He can’t read a DEF and he is fooled easily. LW, DEN didn’t give up. They were down @LAC 13-0 @halftime and they came storming back in the 2nd half but lost 19-16. This wasn’t a particular exciting game because neither team had playoff implications but it was a battle of two young QBs. DEN showed they can battle back. L13 LV @DEN, LV 5-8 SU but 8-5 ATS. L27 LV vs DEN, ROAD 15-12 ATS. LV 1-7-1 ATS L9 as a ROAD FAV. LV 26-39 ATS vs AFC WEST in DEC. LV 22-43-1 ATS AWAY in DEC. LV 18-31-1 ATS as a FAV in DEC. LV 2-14-1 ATS as a FAV vs opp off BB SU losses. LV 14-2 ATS in gms 13-16 AWAY off SU loss vs div opp. LV 2-10 ATS in gms 13-16 when <.500 AWAY off BB SU losses. DEN 13-10 ATS L23 as HOME DOG. DEN 26-34-1 ATS vs AFC WEST in DEC. DEN 22-27-1 ATS as a DOG in DEC. DEN 26-32 ATS @HOME in DEC. DEN 4-7 ATS after LAC. DEN 13-1 ATS as a HOME DOG off div gm. DEN 1-11 ATS in gms 13-16 as a DOG vs div opp off non-div gm. LV HC Jon Gruden is going to give the pride speech all week to his troops. He’ll talk about self respect and getting to .500 and yeah yeah yeah. But he is the problem with LV and Owner Mark Davis thinks Gruden is the answer. But for this week, it will work. DEN has plenty wrong with them and they had big injuries this season which contributed to them being in the toilet in the AFC WEST. Lock has shown promise, than he has a game where he looks like he hasn’t learned anything. Lock has been inconsistent in his 1st season as the starter but should improve in 2021. Hopefully DEN can add to the roster and the game will not totally be on Lock’s shoulders. These two teams met @LV in wk 10 with LV winning 37-12. Lock had 4INTs in that game but should play better in this one. LV needs to stop the run vs DEN and put it all on Lock’s shoulders. However, I like LV in this one because of the Knute Rockne speech that Gruden is giving the team all week after the loss vs MIA. Lay the points here.

THE PICK: LV-2 ½                                     3 STARS    

Jacksonville Jags (1-14), (6-9) ATS, (0-7) AWAY, (3-4) ATS @ Indianapolis Colts (10-5), (8-6-1) ATS, (5-2) HOME, (3-3-1) ATS                  JAGS+14

LW, JAGS laid down @HOME for CHI 41-17. By losing and the NYJ winning, JAGS secured #1 PICK in 2021 NFL draft. This game was actually CHI 13-10 @ the half. But CHI scored 4tds on their first four possessions in the 2nd half and it was over. It was CHI 41-10 and JAGS added a garbage time td. JAGS gave up 128 yds rushing but they made CHI QB Mitch Trubisky look like Tom Brady in his Prime. LW, INDY was up 24-7 @PITT in the 3rd qtr and lost 28-24. Now they are fighting for a playoff spot and need help. They blew the game big time and let Big Ben of PITT pick the INDY DEF apart. PITT had only 20 yds rushing but, Big Ben’s arm was lethal in the 2nd half. INDY QB Philip Rivers had a fumble early in the game that led to a td by PITT and he had an INT in the 4th qtr that could have put INDY ahead. Let’s see how Rivers responds. INDY should be pumped up for this game because they are coming off a loss and the revenge factor vs JAGS from the loss in wk 1. L13 INDY(H) vs JAGS, INDY 9-4 SU but 4-8-1 ATS. L27 INDY vs JAGS, ROAD 14-12-1 ATS. L22 INDY vs JAGS, FAV 12-8-1 ATS 1PICK’EM. L16 JAGS vs INDY, JAGS 8-7-1 ATS. INDY 34-34-1 ATS as a FAV in DEC. INDY 34-29-1 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in DEC. INDY 31-27-1 ATS @HOME in DEC. INDY 10-1 ATS in gms 13-16 w/revenge vs opp off DD SU loss. JAGS 33-37 ATS as a DOG in DEC. JAGS 25-28 ATS AWAY in DEC. JAGS 27-20 ATS vs AFC SOUTH In DEC. JAGS 9-10 ATS as a DOG >10pts. This has blowout written all over it. INDY is coming off a game where they blew a 24-7 lead in the 3rd qtr and losing while JAGS didn’t show up vs CHI & lost 41-17. JAGS have already secured the 1st pick in the 2021 draft so if they lose this game, they can focus on getting rid of some QBs and other waste on their roster. JAGS have a lot of draft picks and should be able to use them well. INDY should get back in the groove after really blowing the game last week. Big Ben picked the INDY DEF apart in the 2nd half and it was an embarrassment. INDY will shore up their DEF this week because they have everything to play for here with a playoff spot riding on this game. If they lose, they are definitely out but if they win, they need others to lose. Look for INDY to pour it on here and scoreboard watch. INDY should be able to rush for over 200 yds here as JAGS are terrible vs the run. JAGS #30 RUSH DEF. Also, there is a little payback for INDY as JAGS won their only game of the season wk 1 vs INDY 27-20. Some people call Rivers a HOF QB, does he deliver here? Lay the points.

THE PICK: INDY-14                                   5 STARS

LA Chargers (6-9), (5-7-3) ATS, (2-5) AWAY, (2-3-2) ATS @ KC Chiefs (14-1), (6-8-1) ATS, (6-1) HOME, (3-4) ATS                                     KC+3 ½

LW, whether or not KC knew it or not, they had a dogfight @HOME vs ATL. ATL was a BIG DOG, ATL+10 ½ and I felt that with KC’s recent ATS record and the fact that ATL plays tough vs good teams, ATL would keep it close and could possibly pull off the upset. KC played just enough to win, 17-14 and ATL probably should have won it with a dropped INT in the endzone that would have sealed it. Then, ATL missed a fg to tie it. KC escaped with one here. LW, LAC was up 16-3 @HOME in the 4th qtr vs DEN. DEN didn’t look like they were putting up much of a fight but the DEF was at least keeping the game in reach. But suddenly the DEN OFF scored 2fgs and 1td and the score was tied at 16-16. LAC needed a fg with :41 left to win 19-16. I had liked DEN+3 so it ended up being a push but the DEF for LAC was terrible. Had DEN QB Drew Lock not thrown 2INTs and had DEN not missed a fg early, LAC would have lost. L13 KC(H) vs LAC, KC 7-6 SU & 6-7 ATS. L27 KC vs LAC, ROAD 17-10 ATS. L21 KC vs LAV, DOG 13-8 ATS. L15 KC vs LAC KC 12-3 SU & 10-5 ATS. KC 6-9 ATS in 2nd of BB HG’s. KC 36-28 ATS @HOME in DEC. KC 38-26 ATS vs AFC WEST in DEC. KC 27-28 ATS as a DOG in DEC. KC 8-1 ATS as a HOME DOG >2pts off SU win vs opp off SU win. KC 6-11 ATS @HOME vs <.500 div opp. KC 12-1 ATS as a DOG 3>pts. LAC 29-34-1 ATS vs AFC WEST in DEC. LAC 34-30-1 ATS as a FAV in DEC. LAC 35-26 ATS AWAY in DEC. LAC 8-1 ATS as div FAV >1pt off SU win vs opp off SU win. In the last seven weeks KC is 7-0 SU but 0-6-1 ATS. In all of those games KC was the FAV and didn’t cover a lick. Don’t think for a moment that KC is going to lay down in this one. KC still has a DEF that makes plays and it would be a bad omen if they lost this game outright. Mahomes will probably play the first half and make sure that KC has a comfortable lead before handing off the reins to some one else. HC Andy Reid would love to finish the season at 15-1 because that is something that he has yet to accomplish. LAC QB Justin Hebert has shown that he has what it takes to play in the NFL. Now LAC has to surround him with players on OFF & DEF who can compete and win. HC Anthony Lynn has made a ton of questionable play calls this season and may or not make it to 2021 as the LAC HC. These two teams met in wk 2 but, it might as well have been last year because LAC didn’t have so many injured players and KC barely won that game @LAC 23-20 in OT. This game will be competitive but KC will win outright.  

THE PICK: KC+3 ½                                    3 STARS

Arizona Cardinals (8-7), (8-7) ATS, (4-3) AWAY, (4-3) ATS @ LA Rams (9-6), (8-6-1) ATS, (5-2) HOME, (4-3) ATS                                         ARZ+2 ½ 

LW, LAR was off a big loss vs NYJ & then looked lame @SEA and lost 20-9. Most of the blame should be on LAR QB Jared Goff who I never liked anyway. He’s like a deer in the headlights and he has no guts. The turning point last week was when SEA was up 13-6 and LAR were on the 1foot line and Goff sheepishly tried to get the ball in the endzone. He almost fumbled and looked like he didn’t even try. Then when LAR needed a 1st down he slid a yard shy and LAR had to punt. On top of it he dislocated his throwing thumb and is out this week. I would look to make a move at QB in the off-season because LAR will not win with this guy. Everyone has to be great around him for the team to win. LAR lost 20-9 @SEA, enough said. LW, ARZ lost @HOME to SF, 20-12. Everyone liked ARZ in this game but I liked SF+5 ½ . Why? Yes CJ Beathard was starting for SF @QB but, SF still has a good DEF and SF RB Jeff Wilson was unstoppable with 183 yards on 22 carries. This took a lot of pressure off of Beathard and he delivered with 13/22 182 yds, 3tds, 0INTS. He did have 1 lost fumble that was not consequential. SF had 2 missed fgs which would have made the final score wider. ARZ can’t have QB Kyler Murray throwing 50x. ARZ can’t win that way and should get their running game going this week to make their OFF more competitive and take less pressure off of Murray. L13 LAR(H) vs ARZ, LAR 6-7 SUATS.  L21 LAR vs ARZ, LAR 12-9 ATS. L19 ARZ vs LAR, ROAD 12-7 ATS. L9 ARZ vs LAR, LAR 8-1 SUATS. ARZ 33-25 ATS vs NFC WEST in DEC. ARZ 46-39 ATS as a DOG in DEC. ARZ 29-29 ATS AWAY in DEC. ARZ 6-9 ATS L15 after SF. ARZ 7-2 ATS off SU FAV loss vs <.500opp. LAR 24-36 ATS @HOME in DEC. LAR 29-36 ATS vs NFC WEST in DEC. LAR 34-30 ATS as a FAV in DEC. LAR 3-17 ATS vs NFC WEST off DD SU div loss. LAR 5-21 ATS vs NFC WEST opp off SU FAV loss. LAR 1-5 ATS L6 after SEA. I honestly don’t think that LAR will win this week. WR Cooper Kupp is on the COVID list. RB Darrell Henderson suffered a high ankle sprain so he’s out. RB Cam Akers is coming off a high ankle sprain so he’s doubtful. Plus, QB John Wolford who has not even been in an NFL game will get the start this week. ARZ is coming off a HOME loss ve SF and they would like nothing better than playing spoiler and knocking someone else out of the playoff picture. Plus, could it be ARZ WR Larry Fitzgerald’s last game? I know he would like to go out with a win. Take ARZ here as LAR folds up their tent and goes home.

THE PICK: ARZ+2 ½                                 5 STARS

Seattle Seahawks (11-4), (9-6) ATS, (4-3) AWAY, (3-4) ATS @ SF 49ers (6-9), (6-9) ATS, (1-6) HOME, (1-6) ATS                                             SF+5

LW, SEA @HOME beat LAR 20-9 for a few reasons. First off, the DEF for SEA played very well and contained any LAR threats of scoring. Second, LAR QB Jared Goff is terrible and couldn’t walk in a td from about the 1inch line. Lastly, SEA got a little lucky and with that combination they beat LAR. SEA QB Russell Wilson played a smart game and didn’t turn the ball over. He was sacked 5x but made the most of given situations. LW, SF surprised ARZ @ARZ, 20-12. SF RB Jeff Wilson rushed for 183 yds & QB CJ Beathard threw for 3tds & 0INTS. ARZ played cathcup this whole game but to no avail. These two teams met in wk 8 @ SEA, with SEA winning 37-27. Could there be a little revenge on the minds of SF? Maybe, but SEA has to play their game, not get sloppy and they will win. L13 SEA @SF, SEA 7-6 SU & 7-5-1 ATS. L17 SEA vs SF, SEA 12-4-1 ATS. SEA 35-27 ATS AWAY in DEC. SEA 35-26 ATS vs NFC WEST in DEC. SEA 36-29 ATS as a FAV in DEC. SEA 22-20-1 ATS L43 as a ROAD FAV. SEA 13-19-1 ATS L33 as a ROAD FAV vs NFC WEST. SF 22-28 ATS vs NFC WEST in DEC. SF 31-30 ATS @HOME in DEC. SF 27-26 ATS as a DOG in DEC. SF 1-13 ATS off SU Div ROAD win. AF 8-2 ATS as a div HOME DOG >3pts vs opp off SU win. SF 5-3 ATS @HOME off SU DIV RD win. SF 4-1 ATS as a div HOAM EDOG 3>pts vs opp off SUATS win. SEA is in the playoffs but is fighting for a higher playoff position. If they win this game with everything else going on, they could end up as the #2 seed. SF has nothing to play for except going into the off-season without incurring any more injuries. This season was a disaster for SF after going to the SuperBowl last season and almost winning. SF needs to stay healthy and add a few pieces here and there and they will be back in the playoff mix. SEA is a team that no one wants to face in the playoffs because anything is possible in SEA. They are always dangerous and SEA HC Pete Carroll would like nothing but to get back to the SuperBowl. Lay the points here as SEA wins by a td.

THE PICK: SEA-5                                       5 STARS

NO Saints (11-4), (8-6-1) ATS, (5-2) AWAY, (4-3) ATS @ Carolina Panthers (5-10), (9-6) ATS, (2-5) HOME, (2-5) ATS                                    CAR+6 ½

LW, CAR barely held on @WASH, 20-13. CAR was up 20-3 at the half and watched as WASH benched QB Dwayne Haskins and brought in Taylor Heincke to shake things up and he played much better bringing WASH to within a td as CAR did not score a point. WASH put some drives together that had CAR fans pacing back and forth. A play here and a play there by WASH and CAR loses this game. CAR QB Teddy Bridgewater wasn’t that impressive with an INT & lost fumble. He was lucky it didn’t result in any WASH pts. On Christmas day, NO took care of MINN @NO, 52-33. NO QB Drew Brees didn’t look particularly well with 2INTs & 0TDS. But the star for NO was RB Alvin Kamara who rushed 22x for 155 yds and 6tds. NO as a team rushed for 264 yds and MINN couldn’t stop them. MINN played catchup all game. Every time MINN scored, NO would pull away with another score. L13 CAR(H) vs NO CAR 6-7 SU & 7-6 ATS. L15 CAR vs NO, NO 10-5 ATS. NO 18-17 ATS L35 as a ROAD FAV. NO 35-29 ATS AWAY in DEC. NO 36-43 ATS as a FAV in DEC. NO 29-34 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in DEC. NO 15-1 ATS AWAY after scoring 40>pts. NO 6-9 ATS as a div ROAD FAV 2>pts. NO 7-0 ATS off BB SU wins vs opp w/revenge off SU win. NO 4-5 ATS off BB SU wins vs opp w/revenge. NO 10-0 ATS AWAY after scoring 40>pts vs opp off SU win. CAR 8-12-1 ATS L21 as a HOME DOG. CAR 33-23 ATS @HOME in DEC. CAR 32-20 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in DEC. CAR 37-24 ATS as a DOG in DEC. CAR 8-6 ATS w/div revenge. CAR 7-6 ATS as a div DOG >1pt w/revenge. CAR 3-12 AT vs div opp off non d-iv gm. CAR 10-1 ATS in gms 13-16 off SU DOG win vs non-div opp. CAR 9-1 ATS off SU DOG win. This week CAR can’t be so lacksidasical vs a team that is looking for playoff positioning. NO is almost assured a high playoff spot but would like to be as high up as possible with HOME playoff gms. CAR has nothing to play for and needs to add players on both OFF & DEF in the off-season to make them competitive and playoff contenders. This could be the last go round for Brees so the team will be making every effort to get him to the SuperBowl. This game has the possibility of a blowout because the CAR DEF is not that good. These two teams met in wk 7 @NO with NO winning 27-24. At the time CAR looked like they may turn their season around but from there on went 2-6 SU. CAR has looked competitive against some teams and very bad vs others. The key for NO here to run all day vs CAR which will let Brees throw easy passes to open receivers. Lay the points here as NO should win by at least 10pts and get the #2 playoff seed.

THE PICK: NO-6 ½                                     5 STARS  

Tennessee Titans (10-5), (8-7) ATS, (5-2) AWAY, (4-3) ATS @ Houston Texans (4-11), (3-10-2) ATS, (2-5) HOME, (2-5) ATS                       HOU+7 ½

LW, HOU @HOME was embarrassed by CINNCY 37-31. Afterwards HOU DE JJ Watt called out his teammates about a number of things. This was shootout of a game with the score tied 10-10 at the half. HOU QB Deshaun Watson almost severely injured his hand on a freak play when it got caught on a CINNCY lineman’s facemask. The DEF for HOU was atrocious by not only not having any sacks of CINNCY QBs, not creating any turnovers & also not making one stop of the CINNCY OFF in the 2nd half. The final score was CINNCY 37-31. LW, TENN was @GB on SNF and it was cold and snowing. GB stormed out to a 19-0 lead and TENN tried to comeback, scoring 2tds to make the score GB 19-14. But GB, having played in this kind of weather many times, took advantage of TENN’s unfamiliarity with the weather and went on to score three more tds to make the final score, GB 40-14. TENN QB Ryan Tannehill was sacked 2x and threw 2INTs which were turned into 7 GB pts. GB also rushed for 234 yds, the bulk of it being between RBs AJ Dillon & Aaron James who were unstoppable. TENN RB Derrick Henry rushed for 98 yds but was essentially a non factor in this game of catchup by TENN. L13 HOU(H) vs TENN, HOU 9-4 SUATS. L21 HOU vs TENN, HOU 14-7 ATS. L27 HOU vs TENN, HOME 16-11 ATS. HOU 9-5 ATS in 2nd of BB HG’s. HOU 7-13 ATS L20 as a HOME DOG. HOU 22-18 ATS @HME in DEC. HOU 25-27-1 ATS as a DOG in DEC. HOU 18-21-1 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in DEC. HOU 9-5-1 ATS after allowing 35>pts. HOU 5-0 ATS @HOME w/revenge vs opp off DD SU loss. HOU 7-0 ATS In gms 13-16 @HOME off SU loss 7<pts. HOU 2-11 ATS in gms 13-16 off SUATS loss vs opp off SU loss. HOU 0-8 ATS as a DOG >3pts vs .600>opp off SU loss. TENN 8-11 ATS L19 as a ROAD FAV. TENN 8-8-1 ATS in 2nd of BB RG’s, 1NL. TENN 34-39 ATS as a FAV in DEC. TENN 30-31 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in DEC. TENN 27-32 ATS AWAY in DEC. TENN 4-12 ATS vs div opp w/revenge. TENN 3-11 ATS AWAY vs div opp w/revenge. TENN 2-6 ATS L8 as a FAV >7pts. TENN 2-8 ATS in gms 13-16 AWAY vs opp w/revenge. HOU should be a little fired up after Watt’s speech. TENN is in a bounceback mode and playing for a playoff spot. But HOU still has a powerful OFF with many weapons. TENN will try to get RB Derrick Henry going so as to take some pressure off of Tannehill so he can make some easy passes. But HOU can play spoiler here and make it difficult for TENN before they make the playoffs. These two teams met in wk 6 @TENN with TENN needing OT to beat HOU, 42-36. HOU may have that game on their minds as they will have a long winter with plenty of work to do to get ready for 2021. Thanks to former GM & HC Bill O’Brien HOU will be without a 1st & 2nd round pick in the 2021 draft. There is pressure on TENN but HOU should be loose. TENN has delinquencies on their DEF that can be exploited. They can be rushed on as their DEF gives up a lot of running yards. I think HOU comes up a little short but no blowout by either team and I like the big point spread here. Take HOU and the points as TENN wins by a fg.

THE PICK: HOU+7 ½                                 5 STARS      

Sunday January 3rd, 2021 8:20pm

Washington Football Team (6-9), (9-6) ATS, (3-4) AWAY, (5-2) ATS @ Philadelphia Eagles (4-10-1), (4-11) ATS, (3-3-1) HOME, (3-4) ATS                                  PHILLY+1 ½

LW, PHILLY was up 14-3 @DAL and it looked like they were going to romp all over DAL. But DAL woke up and PHILLY went to sleep and PHILLY was eliminated from the playoffs with a trouncing by DAL, 37-17. The DEF for PHILLY looked like they were not even on the field in the 2nd half as DAL scored 17pts while PHILLY scored 0pts. Top it off with 3 turnovers by PHILLY in the 2nd half and you can see that things got out of hand for PHILLY. LW, WASH was @HOME vs CAR. This was WASH HC Ron Rivera’s old team and I’m sure he would have liked to beat them but, WASH started out the game with Dwayne Haskins at QB and he turned the ball over 3x in the 1st half. CAR was leading 20-3 at halftime and WASH was in a hole that they could not get out of. Taylor Heinicke came in for Haskins and did throw a td but the CAR DEF made some stops and the score ended up with CAR holding on at 20-13. L13 WASH @PHILLY, WASH 6-7 SU & 9-4 ATS. L23 WASH vs PHILLY, FAV 12-11 ATS. L27 WASH vs PHILLY, ROAD 17-10 ATS. WASH 26-37 ATS vs NFC EAST in DEC. WASH 38-29 ATS AWAY in DEC. WASH 33-29 ATS as a FAV in DEC. WASH 6-5 ATS as a FAV vs opp off BB SU losses. WASH 11-2 ATS off SU FAV loss. WASH 7-10 ATS off BB SU losses. 6-0 ATS as a FAV <6pts off BB SU losses vs opp w/revenge. WASH 10-6 ATS AWAY on SNF. WASH 8-8 ATS as a FAV on SNF. WASH 6-10 ATS on SNF off a loss. PHILLY 34-28 ATS @HOME in DEC. PHILLY 33-22 ATS as a DOG in DEC. PHILLY 37-27 ATS vs NFC EAST in DEC. PHILLY 2-9 ATS as a conf DOG <7pts off DD SU loss. PHILLY 7-7 ATS @HOME on SNF. PHILLY 10-11 ATS as a DOG on SNF. PHILLY 5-7 ATS after DAL. PHILLY 9-7 ATS on SNF off an SU loss. PHILLY 2-9 ATS as a conf DOG off DD SU loss. PHILLY 7-0 ATS off BB SU losses (last vs div). WASH controls their own destiny here. No matter what happens in the DAL-NYG game if WASH wins here, they are in the playoffs. Right now it will be Heinicke @QB if Alex Smith is not able to play. Either way, WASH is still better than PHILLY who really are a mess right now and with DT Fletcher Cox leaving the game @DAL with a neck injury (stinger), the D-LINE is not the same. He is questionable for this game but really doubtful. The WASH DEF with rookie DE Chase Young should be pumped up for this game as they are in a position for a HOME playoff game in his 1st season. WASH HC Ron Rivera should be able to build on this season going forward to get some pieces needed for this team to excel. There are some players on OFF who really stepped up this season and they should be ready for this game knowing that the playoffs are on the line. RB JD McKissic has found a niche as a rusher & receiver. TE Logan Thomas has become a go to guy in WASH. WASH has come on strong with victories @PITT and playing SEA tight. PHILLY has nothing to play for except spoiler but probably would like to walk away uninjured and unharmed. Lay the points as WASH should win by a td.

THE PICK: WASH-1 ½                              5 STARS