2020 NFL SEASON WEEK 6
2020 NFL SCHEDULE WEEK 6 (ATS)
All times Eastern Standard Time
ALL SPREADS ARE COURTESY OF CAESARS HOTEL IN LAS VEGAS @ THE TIME OF ANALYSIS
Sunday October 18th, 2020 1:00pm
Houston Texans (1-4), (1-4) ATS, (0-2) AWAY, (0-2) ATS @ Tennessee Titans (4-0), (2-2) ATS, (2-0) HOME, (1-1) ATS HOU+3
On Tues, TENN @HOME destroyed BUFF 42-16. Did anyone think that would happen? Certainly not. TENN played a complete game while BUFF looked like they hadn’t won a game all season. It was total domination by TENN. Plus, the play that will be talked about is when TENN RB Derrick Henry stiff armed and threw BUFF CB Josh Norman to the ground was a feat of strength. It was a combination of TENN doing everything right and BUFF doing everything wrong which led to the blowout. TENN QB Ryan Tannehill played an almost perfect game and definitely upped his game. LW, HOU finally did the inevitable and fired HC.GM Bill O’Brien. Interim HC Romeo Crennel guided this team to a 30-14 win @HOME vs JAGS. JAGS are terrible too but, I thought they would at least keep it close. HOU QB Deshaun Watson had 2INTS which he needs to cut down on. There were miscues by both HOU & JAGS and HU was lucky they were playing a bad team like the JAGS. If HOU were playing someone better, they would have definitely lost. This game was dog fight when finally HOU broke it open in the 4th qtr. But this game could have gone either way. After the season HOU needs to go over their roster position by position. L13 TENN(H) vs HOU, TENN 7-6 SU & 6-7 ATS. L20 TENN vs HOU, TENN 6-14 ATS. L16 TENN vs HOU, HOME 9-7 ATS. TENN 5-8-1 ATS in 2nd of BB HG’s. TENN 32-29 ATS @HOME in OCT. TENN 29-26 ATS as a FAV in OCT. TENN 23-18 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in OCT. TENN 9-1 ATS as div HOME FAV 3<pts vs opp off SU win. TENN 3-12 ATS vs div opp w/revenge. TENN 5-20 ATS off DD SU win. TENN 3-18 ATS off DD SU win vs conf opp. TENN 3-14 ATS after scoring 35>pts. TENN 1-7 ATS in gms 5-9 @HOME off DD ATS win. TENN 1-10 ATS @HOME off DD SU win vs conf opp. HOU 12-9 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in OCT. HOU 14-17 ATS AWY in OCT. HOU 17-21 ATS as a DOG in OCT. 5-5-1 ATS after JAGS. HOU 3-8 ATS as a DOG <10pts off DD SU win vs >.333opp. HOU 2-7 ATS vs.750>opp. HOU 2-6-1 ATS AWAY off SU DIV win. HOU 6-1 ATS in gms 5-9 when <.500 AWAY vs DIV. HOU 1-8 ATS in gms 5-9 as a DOG off DD ATS win and any SU win. These two teams are going in opposite directions. TENN is looking better than they did in 2019 and HOU is looking worse than they did in 2019. This game should be over in the 1st half because TENN with their RB Derick Henry will wear a team down. Throw in some safe passes by Tannehill here and there and there is no way that an opposing DEF can stop this team. HOU needs a good coach to cultivate the talent and believe in the players and Crennel is not that guy. He is just a stopgap until the next HC comes and brings in his own people. For now, they are playing for jobs. Lay the points here as TENN @HOME should roll on even after a short week.
THE PICK: TENN-3 5 STARS
Cincinnati Bengals (1-3-1), (3-1-1) ATS, (0-2-1) AWAY, (2-1) ATS @ Indianapolis Colts (3-2), (3-2) ATS, (2-0) HOME, (2-0) ATS CINNCY+8
LW, CINNCY& was comepletely drubbed @BALT 27-3. It was a never a game and CINNCY wasn’t ever in this game as BALT was toying with them after their win vs WASH. BALT is chasing KC and CINNCY was in the way. The stats for CINNCY in this game don’t even matter because CINNCY was playing catchup the whole game. Take the loss, learn from it and move forward. LW, INDY was @CLEVE and INDY QB Philip Rivers was a one man burial squad for INDY. He single-handedly lost the game for INDY. With his 2INTs, one a PICK6, & a safety, he put INDY in an unsuccessful catchup mode and completely out of the game. Final score, CLEVE 32-23 and it wasn’t even that close. Whoever said that Rivers was an HOF QB should have their head examined. He never beats the good teams. Anyway, the #1 DEF showed everyone how they get beat. Yes CINNCY will have a tough time but, if Burrow gets protection, he will make a game of it. L9 CINNCY vs INDY, CINNCY 4-5 SUATS. CINNCY 9-4-1 ATS in 2nd of BB RG’s. CINNCY 22-39 ATS AWAY in OCT. CINNCY 31-44 ATS as a DOG in OCT. CINNCY 16-5 ATS after scoring 10<pts. CINNCY 7-3-1 ATS as a DOG 2>pts in 2nd of BB RG’s. INDY 5-0 ATS L5 before bye. INDY 9-3-1 ATS since 2007 before bye. INDY 28-29 ATS @HOME in OCT. INDY 31-29 ATS as a FAV in OCT. INDY 0-7 ATS @HOME off SU FAV loss vs non-div opp off SU loss. INDY 12-2-1 ATS off SU FAV loss vs <1.000 opp. INDY 12-2 ATS off SU loss vs non-div opp off SU loss. INDY 7-1 ATS in gms 5-9 off DD ATS loss. INDY 14-2 ATS off SU FAV loss. I like INDY to win this game but by a closer margin than the spread suggests. CINNCY may even cover this game by a back door cover. CINNCY QB Joe Burrow doesn’t know what it is like to lose a lot in the NFL so he will fight to the end and that helps him in the long run how he matures as an NFL QB. INDY will bounceback after their loss @CLEVE but CINNCY will give them a run for their money. Take the points here.
THE PICK: CINNCY+8 3 STARS
Denver Broncos (1-3), (2-2) ATS, (1-1) AWAY, (2-0) ATS @ NE Patriots (2-2), (2-2) ATS, (2-0) HOME, (2-0) ATS DEN+9 ½
So NE QB Cam Newton has been cleared to play. I’m sure that he is itching to play and since he wasn’t physically injured he should tear the DEN DEF apart. He didn’t play @KC, before this game was postponed, and his last game was @HOME vs LV. He had a very good game and NE won 36-20. But without Cam, NE then lost @KC 26-10. In that game we saw that Brian Hoyer & Jarrett Stidham are not the answers at QB. The running game for NE is by committee which keeps opposing DEFs on their toes. They are talented and all can catch passes out of the backfield. The receivers are getting used to Newton and should be ready for this game. NE 8-5 ATS since 2007 wk after bye. Plus, if CB Stephon Gilmore is activated, the DEF for NE will be even tighter. For DEN, QB Drew Lock’s status is still iffy and if he does come back for this game he will be rusty. He was out because of a shoulder issue. If he is out that means Brett Rypien will be under center for DEN. I like this guy and he needs some time to develop but @NE will be a tough task. He didn’t have much preparation in the game on TNF @NYJ, and it showed. He threw 3INTs incl a PICK6 and that was against NYJ. What will he do @NE? NE is not NYJ and they don’t make the kind of mistakes that NYJ does. DEN 9-4 ATS since 2007 wk after bye. DEN looked awful against TB and couldn’t get anything going. I thought they may have been able to keep it close but it wasn’t that close at all. L11 NE vs DEN, NE 7-4 SUATS. NE 8-6 ATS in 1st of BB HG’s. NE 35-28-1 ATS @HOM in OCT. NE 49-33-1 ATS as a FAV in OCT. NE 27-11-3 ATS L41 (H) vs non-div. NE 14-6-1 AT L21 vs AFC WEST. NE 19-13-3 ATS as a HOME FAV 7>pts. DEN 25-17 ATS as a DOG in OCT. DEN 26-24 ATS AWAY in OCT. DEN 2-8 ATS AWAY vs AFC EAST. NE has to get on a winning streak if they want to be in the hunt in the AFC. They need to prove to everyone that they were more than just Brady’s team. The start of a winning streak, a convincing winning streak would do just that. DEN has a lot of injuries on top of a situation to bring Drew Lock back for this game. I wouldn’t rush him back because he is the future of the franchise and if he gets injured worse, heads will roll. Plan on seeing Rypien under center. Lay the points here as NE rolls.
THE PICK: NE-9 ½ 5 STARS
Atlanta Falcons (0-5), (1-4) ATS, (0-2) AWAY, (1-1) ATS @ Minnesota Vikings (1-4), (3-2) ATS, (0-2) HOME, (1-1) ATS ATL+3 ½
LW, ATL lost @HOME to CAR, 23-16. ATL HC Dan Quinn was let go and DC Raheem Morris was named interim HC. I wouldn’t say that Morris has been doing a great job with the ATL DEF this season as they have been getting shredded every game. ATL #31 TOT DEF. A change needed to be made and changes will certainly be made after the season. As for MINN, they lost a game they should have won on SNF @SEA. Instead of kicking a fg and making the score MINN 29-21, MINN HC Mike Zimmer elected to go for it on 4th down and didn’t get the 1st down. SEA would have needed a td and a 2pt conversion just to tie. SEA got the ball, Russell Wilson did his magic and SEA scored a td with an extra point to win 27-26. MINN didn’t help their cause as in two consecutive possessions, QB Kirk Cousins fumbled the ball and threw an INT. Both possessions were turned into tds by SEA. MINN looked good in this game except for a few mistakes which kept SEA in it to win it. MINN RB Dalvin Cook left the game with a groin strain and returned for one play, then sitting out the rest of the game. He may get an extended rest as MINN is going into their bye. MINN 10-3 ATS since 2007 wk before their bye. His status for this game is hazy at best but they could certainly use him vs ATL. L8 MINN vs ATL, MINN 5-3 SUATS incl MINN(H) vs ATL, MINN 3-1 SUATS. MINN 26-24 ATS @HOME in OCT. MINN 34-31 ATS as a FAV in OCT. MINN 12-0 ATS @HOME off an SU loss. MINN 20-4-1 ATS vs non-div games off an SU loss under HC Mike Zimmer. ATL 30-23 ATS AWAY in OCT. ATL 34-32 ATS as a DOG in OCT. ATL 8-4 ATS as a DOG vs NFC NORTH. ATL 7-1 ATS as a DOG <6pts vs NFC NORTH. ATL 1-8 ATS vs .333<opp. ATL 1-9 ATS L10 as a DOG off SU FAV loss. MINN is desperate for a win because they showed that they can play well against good teams as they did @SEA. They almost pulled the upset. ATL is just bad and I don’t see them showing any life as there is a lot of dead weight on this steam that has to be moved out after the season. Even ATL QB Matt Ryan is not safe. WR Julio Jones has been useless this season and he is currently going through hamstring issues and his status for this game is up in the air. Lay the points here as MINN is on a bounceback and will roll @HOME in the dome.
THE PICK: MINN-3 ½ 5 STARS
Washington Redskins (1-4), (1-4) ATS, (0-2) AWAY, (0-2) ATS @ NY Giants (0-5), (3-2) ATS, (0-2) HOME, (0-2) ATS WASH+3
LW, NYG+9 ½ @DAL was the right call and I was right on the money. I also felt that NYG should have won it outright if, it wasn’t for their usual blunders. I knew that NYG OC Jason Garrett wanted this game bad and NYG had plenty of chances and should have beaten DAL. NYG QB Daniel Jones had a fumble and recovery by DAL for a TD that could have been avoided. NYG showed that they could score but they were playing vs a DAL DEF that is terrible. But this week is a game that they certainly have a good chance to win. LW, WASH @HOME had a rough time vs LAR. I felt they would at least keep it close with Kyle Allen as the QB and a new feeling since Allen had played under HC Rivera @CAR. I was wrong, Allen was knocked out and a rusty QB Alex Smith came in and showed that he did indeed have cobwebs after not playing for 2years. WASH was never really in this game and lost 30-10. L13 NYG(H) vs WASH, NYG 9-4 SU & 7-6 ATS. L22 NYG vs WASH, DOG 12-10 ATS. NYG 27-31 ATS @HOME in OCT. NYG 34-32 ATS as a FAV in OCT. NYG 26-18 ATS vs NFC EAST in OCT. NYG 8-8 ATS L16 vs <.400opp. WASH 25-35 ATS AWAY in OCT. WASH 20-21 ATS vs NFC EAST in OCT. WASH 31-41 ATS as a DOG in OCT. WASH 12-4 ATS before DAL. WASH 3-9 ATS off BB SU losses vs non-div opps. WASH 5-10 ATS off BB SU losses. WASH 9-6 ATS off DD ATS loss. Even though WASH is terrible and Kyle Allen is talented, he doesn’t seem to win games. WASH is in the middle of a major rebuild and needs talented players at almost every position. They couldn’t stop LAR LW and they will not stop a determined NYG this week. NYG has talent on OFF even without RB Saquon Barkley. RB Devonta Freeman has shown that he has plenty left in the tank and can get the job done. This is a game that NYG should win and win convincingly. Lay the points here as NYG gets their 1st victory of the season.
THE PICK: NYG-3 5 STARS
Baltimore Ravens (4-1), (4-1) ATS, (2-0) AWAY, (2-0) ATS @ Philadelphia Eagles (1-3-1), (1-4) ATS, (0-1-1) HOME, (0-2) ATS PHILLY+7 ½
LW, CINNCY was @BALT and it wasn’t much of a game. BALT was toying with CINNCY and probably could have scored 50 points if they really tried. It was 27-0 when CINNCY kicked a fg in the last minute of the game to avoid the shutout. BALT sacked CINNCY QB Joe Burrow 7x. The OFF for CINNCY was stymied by the BALT DEF. LW, PHILLY made a game of it @PITT. PITT was leading 31-14 when PHILLY made a comeback that made the score PITT 31-29. However, PITT went on a drive and scored a td to make the final score PITT 38-29. From week to week, you don’t really know which PHILLY team is going to show up. So far their only win has been against SF and they look like they have the SuperBowl hangover. Plus, SF has massive injuries. But PHILLY can surprise teams when they are taken for granted. This may be one of those games. PHILLY needs to be tough from the get go. PHILLY 6-8 ATS L14 as a HOME DOG. PHILLY 5-9 ATS in 1st of BB HG’s. PHILLY 31-25 ATS @HOME in OCT. PHILLY 17-19 ATS as a DOG in OCT. PHILLY 18-9 ATS L27 vs AFC. PHILLY 11-3 ATS as a DOG after allowing 35>pts vs .500>opp. PHILLY 5-14 ATS before NYG. PHILLY 2-7 ATS as a aDOG 4>pts vs .900<opp. PHILLY 7-0 ATS as a DOG 4>pts after allowing 35>pts. PHILLY 12-4 ATS vs .400> non-conf opp. BALT 16-11-1 ATS L28 as a ROAD FAV. BALT 29-32-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. BALT 27-32-1 ATS as a FAV in OCT. BALT 8-12-1 ATS L21 vs NFC. BALT 3-9 ATS L12 before PITT. BALT 11-4 ATS vs non-conf opp off SU loss. BALT 1-9 ATS in gms 5-9 off div gm vs <.500 opp. I have a serious feeling that BALT will take PHILLY for granted and may be looking ahead to their game vs PITT. This is just too many points to give a home team like PHILLY when they have nothing to lose. If the spread were 3 ½ instead of 7 ½ I may be more inclined to choose BALT but, if PHILLY gets out to a fast start and scores a couple of tds it may be hard for BALT to get focused for this game knowing that they play PITT next week. That is why I like PHILLY @HOME with the points.
THE PICK: PHILLY+7 ½ 3 STARS
Cleveland Browns (4-1), (3-2) ATS, (1-1) AWAY, (1-1) ATS @ Pittsburgh Steelers (4-0), (3-1) ATS, (3-0) HOME, (2-1) ATS CLEVE+3 ½
LW, CLEVE @HOME took on the #1 TOT DEF of INDY. CLEVE pressured INDY QB Philip Rivers and caused 2INTS, one a PICK6. Plus, INDY had no answer for the CLEVE run game that rushed for 124 yds. CLEVE hasn’t been 4-1 since 1994 when Bill Belichick was the HC. CLEVE beat a quality opponent LW and has to keep it up in the tough AFC NORTH. LW, PITT took a big lead @HOME vs PHILLY then watched as PHILLY came within 2pts at 31-29 before delivering a td that sealed the deal at 38-29. It doesn’t look good for the PITT DEF when they let teams think they have hope and a shot at coming back. PHILLY is not that good and for PHILLY QB Carson Wentz to think that he has a shot at coming back, he can be dangerous to opposing teams. The PITT DEF has been able to make stops when they have needed them but, PITT’s largest margin of victory in their four wins has been 10pts. L13 PITT(H) vs CLEVE, 13-0 SU but 7-5-1 ATS. L26 CLEVE vs PITT, CLEVE 4-21-1 SU but 13-12-1 ATS. L26 CLEVE vs PITT, DOG 13-12-1 ATS. CLEVE 7-11-1 ATS in 1st of BB RG’s. CLEVE 27-36 ATS as a DOG in OCT. CLEVE 16-24-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. CLEVE 12-10 ATS vs AFC NORTH in OCT. CLEVE 4-12-1 ATS off SU DOG win. CLEVE 5-9 ATS before CINNCY. CLEVE 3-12 ATS off SUATS win vs .500>opp. CLEVE 3-6-1 ATS off SU DOG win vs non-div opp. CLEVE 1-10 ATS in gms 5-9 vs opp off HOME gm. PITT 10-3-2 ATS in 2nd of BB HG’s. PITT 38-19-1 ATS @HOME in OCT. PITT 47-30 ATS as a FAV in OCT. PITT 29-15-1 ATS vs AFC NORTH in OCT. PITT 15-6 ATS after allowing 28>pts. PITT 13-5 ATS as a FAV after allowing 28>pts. PITT 8-3 ATS after scoring 35>pts. PITT 3-11 ATS as a conf FAV <6pts. CLEVE has a shot here to make the AFC NORTH very interesting. This will be a tight game and any turnovers will be costly in this game. CLEVE QB Baker Mayfield and the rest of the team need to play an almost perfect game because the secondary for PITT has a lot of experience and are very good at baiting QBs into thinking that receivers are open. I like PITT to win this game by a fg and I like the points here because CLEVE does have a shot at surprising PITT in this game.
THE PICK: CLEVE+3 ½ 3 STARS
Chicago Bears (4-1), (3-2) ATS, (2-0) AWAY, (2-0) ATS @ Carolina Panthers (3-2), (3-2) ATS, (1-1) HOME, (1-1) ATS CHI+2 ½
LW, CAR was @ATL and beat ATL 23-16. CAR was up 20-7 at the half and you could basically turn your sets off there. ATL has not been one of those teams that has comeback in them, certainly not this season. I say so what because the ATL DEF is terrible and after the game they fired ATL HC Dan Quinn. CAR has been playing well under the circumstances because no one figured that they would even have three wins all season, much less this early in the season. CAR played well @ATL with 0turnovers but then again it was ATL. LW, on TNF, CHI was down 13-0 and turned the tide @HOME vs TB & QB Tom Brady. TB didn’t score any tds going further and CHI won 20-19. The DEF held after early on it might look like TB would run away with it. CHI QB Nick Foles had some nice throws but, the running game needs to get better to take some of the pressure off of Foles going forward. CHI DE Khalil Mack made his presence known with 2sacks of Brady. L7 CHI vs CAR, CHI 5-2 SU & 3-3-1 ATS. CHI 10-4 ATS in 1st of BB RG’s. CHI 33-22-1 ATS as a DOG in OCT. CHI 29-25 ATS AWAY in OCT. CHI 6-4 ATS AWAY off SU DOG win. CHI 5-3 ATS vs opp offSU DOG win. CHI 2-8 ATS in gms 5-9 vs .500>opp off SU win 7>pts. CHI 2-9 ATS in gms 5-9 .500> vs non-div opp off AWAY gm. CAR 20-26 ATS as a FAV in OCT. CAR 24-24 ATS @HOME in OCT. CAR 20-21-2 ATS L43 as a FAV 4pts or less. CAR 11-3 ATS off div gm vs .500>opp. CAR 9-0 ATS off SU DOG win. CAR 6-0 ATS after ATL. CAR 0-4 ATS before NO. I like CHI in this game because they showed a lot of courage in their game vs TB. They didn’t get down on themselves when they were down 13-0 and were able to control the tempo going further. CAR is still in the learning stages with their HC and Bridgewater at the helm. Take CHI & the points here. This game will be a battle and don’t be surprised if it is a game that goes down to the wire.
THE PICK: CHI+2 ½ 3 STARS
Detroit Lions (1-3), (1-3) ATS, (1-1) AWAY, (1-1) ATS @ Jacksonville Jags (1-4), (2-3) ATS, (1-1) HOME, (1-1) ATS JAGS+3 ½
JAGS are terrible. LW, they had 2missed fgs and two fumbles that led to 2tds by HOU. HOU is bad enough but, give a team too many gifts and they will score points. JAG QBs were sacked 4x while JAGS only got to HOU QB Deshaun Watson 1x. The DEF for JAGS can’t make any stops. JAGS #29 TOT DEF. DET is not that much better. DET is coming off a bye. DET 8-5 ATS since 2007 after their bye. Before that, DET played catchup @HOME to NO. DET HC Matt Patricia better put some wins together or he will be gone soon. So far, he’s been a disaster in DET and the team seems to be getting worse. DET #28 TOT DEF. The OFF for DET has to play well and not turn the ball over, that will be the key to a big win here. DET 8-12 ATS L20 as a ROAD FAV. DET 4-14-1 ATS in 1st of BB RG’s. DET 15-27 ATS as a FAV in OCT. DET 30-24 ATS AWAY in OCT. DET 9-1 ATS L10 vs .333<opp. DET 7-1 ATS w/rest. DET 6-1 ATS AWAY vs .333<opp. JAGS 18-28 ATS L46 as a HOME DOG. JAGS 6-7 ATS since 2007 before their bye. JAGS 29-31 ATS as a DOG in OCT. JAGS 17-28 ATS @HOME in OCT. JAGS 4-28 SU & 7-25 ATS L32 vs NFC. JAGS 7-5 ATS L12 after HOU. JAGS 1-12 ATS as a non-conf DOG >3pts. JAGS 0-4 ATS @HOME off DD SU loss vs DIV. JAGS 1-11 ATS @HOME in gms 5-9 @HOME off DD SU loss. This game will be a shootout of massive proportions with some turnovers by both teams thrown in for good measure. There is really nothing fantastic about either of these two teams and DET should put on an OFF show. DET RB Adrian Peterson should run through the JAGS DEF like a hot knife through butter. DET is more desperate than JAGS because JAGS are trying to get high draft picks while Patricia is just looking to survive. Lay the points here.
THE PICK: DET-3 ½ 3 STARS
Sunday October 18th, 2020 4:00pm
NY Jets (0-5), (0-5) ATS, (0-2) AWAY, (0-2) ATS @ Miami Dolphins (2-3), (3-2) ATS, (0-2) HOME, (1-1) ATS NYJ+8 ½
LW @SF, MIA took it to them like taking candy from a baby. The score was MIA 30-7 at halftime and you could turn your sets off there. Final score, MIA 43-17 and it wasn’t even that close. MIA pretty much did everything right and SF did everything wrong. MIA sacked SF QBs 5x, had 2INTS & 1fumble recovery. It was a full day for the DEF as well as the OFF. MIA QB Ryan Fitzpatrick was 22/38 350 yards, 3TDS, 0INTS & 0turnovers. Granted SF has a lot of guys out on injury but, SF is not the same team that went to the SuperBowl last season. LW, NYJ were beaten badly @HOME by ARZ, 30-10. To top it off, they released RB Le’Veon Bell on Tues after not being able to work out any trade. It just gets worse for HC Adam Gase who is way over his head as an HC to begin with. He is horrible and doesn’t have the players behind him. The only game that NYJ have been in, has been the TNF @HOME vs DEN. Even though that was a loss, they played competitively until the end before losing. All the other games have been over at halftime like the game LW vs ARZ. NYJ QB Joe Flacco looks stoic out there with little mobility and doesn’t have a lot to work with. QB Sam Darnold is looking like a big mistake for NYJ. Could Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence be in mind? L13 MIA(H) vs NYJ, MIA 6-7 SU & 4-9 ATS. L21 MIA vs NYJ, ROAD 14-7 ATS. L26 MIA vs NYJ, DOG 17-8-1 ATS. L22 NYJ @MIA. NYJ 16-6 ATS. MIA 6-8 ATS in 1st of BB HG’s. MIA 21-24 ATS vs AFC EAST in OCT. MIA 27-30 ATS @HOME in OCT. MIA 26-25 ATS as a FAV in OCT. MIA 4-6 ATS after scoring 35>pts. MIA 10-4 ATS @HOME w/div revenge. MIA 5-1 ATS as a div HOME FAV w/revenge. MIA 2-9-1 ATS vs .250< div opp. MIA 10-2 ATS in gms 5-9 off SU win vs opp off DD SU loss. NYJ 27-29 ATS AWAY in OCT. NYJ 31-35 ATS as a DOG in OCT. NYJ 29-15 ATS vs AFC EAST in OCT. NYJ 16-17-1 ATS L34 as a DOG 7>pts. NYJ 8-4 ATS L12 before BUFF. NYJ 8-1 ATS AWAY vs div opp off SU DOGwin. NYJ 9-3 ATS vs div opp off SU DOG win. NYJ 28-7 ATS in gms 5-9 vs div opp. I was actually thinking that NYJ might give MIA a fight but, Fitzpatrick has some personal feelings about NYJ so he takes pleasure in beating them. Fitzpatrick is 2-1 SU vs NYJ since leaving them having played one game against NYJ when he was with TB. He will look to take them down and scre as much as possible. If NYJ get drubbed and shalacked in this game, don’t be surprised if HC Adam Gase is gone before NYJ return home. MIA is playing much better and NYJ doesn’t have the coaching staff. Lay the points here as MIA should blow them out.
THE PICK: MIA-8 ½ 5 STARS
GB Packers (4-0), (4-0) ATS, (2-0) AWAY, (2-0) ATS @ TB Buccaneers (3-2), (2-2-1) ATS, (2-0) HOME, (1-0-1) ATS TB+1 ½
LW, on TNF TB was leading @CHI 13-7 and then they made a crucial mistake. The receiver for TB fumbled and CHI recovered and in four plays CHI scored a td and took the lead 14-13. TB never recovered and scored 2fgs along the way to lose 20-19. Plus, TB QB Tom Brady thought it was 4th down when the game was over. He made a mistake of a lost down. But, TB never recovered after their 13-0 lead and the fumble. CHI’s DEF dominated the rest of the way. GB is coming off a bye. GB since 2007 is 9-3-1 ATS wk after a bye. Before that GB dominated @HOME on MNF vs ATL. The score was 20-3 @halftime and turn your sets off there. GB QB Aaron Rodgers has been playing like a man on a mission and is letting everyone know that there is plenty of gas in the tank. I said it before and I’ll keep saying it that he is pissed that GB drafted QB Jordan Love. Rodgers will be playing at a high level until he has to be physically taken from the field. He has 13tds, 0INTS. The DEF for GB has played better than last season and should be able to keep it up. L6 GB vs TB, GB 3-3 SUATS. GB 16-19 ATS L35 as a ROAD FAV. GB 8-8 ATS in 1st of BB RG’s. GB 33-30 ATS as a FAV in OCT. GB 32-25 ATS AWAY in OCT. GB 3-12 ATS as a non-div conf FAV/DOG 3<pts. GB 13-4 ATS w/rest. GB 2-9 ATS as a non-div ROAD FAV 3<pts. TB 12-16-3 ATS L31 as a HOME DOG. TB 23-36-2 ATS as a DOGin OCT. TB 17-29-1 ATS @HOME in OCT. TB 2-5-1 ATS L8 off SU FAV loss. TB 0-11 ATS as a non-div DOG >1pt off SU FAV loss. Right now GB is a tough team to beat because they are on a mission. Everyone thinks that TB can win every game because of the Brady factor but they showed @CHI that mistakes happen and they can go from winning to losing very quickly. GB is well rested and Rodgers and CO probably looked at this game as a game where they must beat Brady & CO and show him that Rodgers still has it. For Rodgers it’s personal. Lay the points here as GB rolls, once again.
THE PICK: GB-1 ½ 5 STARS
Sunday October 18th, 2020 8:20pm
LA Rams (4-1), (3-1-1) ATS, (2-1) AWAY, (2-0-1) ATS @ SF 49ers (2-3), (2-3) ATS, (0-3) HOME, (0-3) ATS SF+3 ½
LW, LAR beat up a hapless WASH team in WASH. I thought that WASH would at least keep it close with a new QB at the helm. I thought wrong as the same old WASH team showed up and then QB Alex Smith came in for Kyle Allen and was very rusty. LAR was hitting on all cylinders and it wasn’t even close. LAR DEF sacked WASH QBs 8x. LAR DT Aaron Donald had four sacks & LB Troy Reeder had three sacks. WASH was leading 7-6 in the 1st qtr but it was all LAR after that. LW, SF @HOME vs MIA was destroyed. It was MIA 30-7 at halftime and you could turn your sets off there. To top it off, Jimmy G was benched in favor of CJ Beathard after he threw 2INTS and was sacked 3x. Beathard threw 1td in garbage time but was also sacked 2x. SF is going through a SuperBowl hangover that has hit some teams the season after they lost the SuperBowl. Jimmy G is not looking like the hot QB that SF signed for all that money. Injuries have hit SF very badly in all areas and depth is proving thin. Now they are facing a LAR team that is looking to keep pace with SEA in the NFC WEST. L13 LAR @ SF, LAR 4-8-1 SU & 6-7 ATS. L16 LAR vs SF, LAR 7-9 ATS. L20 LAR vs SF, LAR 8-12 ATS. LAR 12-10-2 ATS L24 a s aROAD FAV. LAR 5-10-1 ATS in 2nd of BB RG’s. LAR 28-29 ATS AWAY in OCT. LAR 26-17 ATS as a FAV in OCT. LAR 21-21 ATS vs NFC WEST in OCT. LAR 8-8 ATS AWAY on SNF. LAR 2-6 ATS as a FAV vs <.500 opp on SNF. LAR 5-9 ATS as a FAV on SNF. LAR 2-6 ATS AWAY vs div opp off SU FAV loss. LAR 5-21 ATS vs NFC WEST opp off SU FAV loss. LAR 14-1 ATS off DD SU non-div win vs opp off DD SU loss. LAR 12-1 ATS in gms 5-9 as a FAV vs opp off DD SU loss. SF 12-13-1 ATS L26 as a HOME DOG. SF 17-32 ATS as a DOG in OCT. SF 24-20 ATS vs NFC WEST in OCT. SF 29-34 ATS @HOME in OCT. SF 3-13 ATS after allowing 28>pts vs non-div opp. SF 7-9 ATS @HOME on SNF. SF 4-6 ATS as a DOG on SNF. SF 7-2 ATS as a div HOME DOG >3pts vs opp off SU win. SF 3-8-1 ATS off SU FAV loss. SF 4-0 ATS as a div HOME DOG 3>pts vs opp off SUATS win. SF 1-8 ATS in gms 5-9 vs NFC WEST. Right now, this is a battle of two teams going in opposite directions. LAR is showing how solid they are and that they can bounceback from a loss, while SF is showing that they are in total disarray. SF has won two games @the Meadowlands, whipping both NYG & NYJ. Outside of those two games, SF has looked pretty bad and they had no answers for MIA. Normally this would be a battle of a game but considering how these two teams are playing right now and SF’s injuries, it should be over at halftime for LAR. Lay the points here.
THE PICK: LAR-3 ½ 5 STARS
Monday October 19th, 2020 5:00pm
KC Chiefs (4-1), (3-2) ATS, (2-0) AWAY, (1-1) ATS @ Buffalo Bills (4-1), (2-2-1) ATS, (2-0) HOME, (1-0-1) ATS BUFF+3 ½
On Tues night, TENN destroyed BUFF @TENN, 42-16. BUFF was playing catchup the whole game and TENN RB Derrick Henry had his way running through the BUFF DEF. The play that will be talked about for a long time was the stiff arm that Henry gave BUFF CB Josh Norman that basically threw him aside like a piece of paper. BUFF CB Tre’Davious White was out for the game vs TENN and it showed. They need him for this game because CB Josh Norman has shown that he can’t do the job. BUFF QB Josh Allen did not have a good game throwing 2INTS and missing receivers in crucial spots. Was he intimidated by the TENN DEF? I don’t know but BUFF should have won that game decisively and instead took a step backwards. LW, KC got their bell rung by LV @KC. KC was up in this game 14-3 when LV started to chip away. By the half is it was 24-24. There wasn’t any scoring in the 3rd qtr but, The LV DEF held the KC OFF to three straight punts and then turned a Pat Mahomes INT into a td which made the score LV 40-24. The game was over by that point but it showed that the KC OFF can be stymied. L10 BUFF vs KC, BUFF 6-4 SU & 7-3 ATS. BUFF 13-16 ATS L29 as a HOME DOG. BUFF 27-29-1 ATS @HOME in OCT. BUFF 32-26 ATS as a DOG in OCT. BUFF 20-14-1 ATS as a HOME DOG vs non-div since 2003. BUFF 11-2-1 ATS as a DOG >1pt vs opp off SU FAV loss. BUFF 3-1 ATS as a HOME DOG on MNF. KC 19-12 ATS L31 as a ROAD FAV. KC 6-6 ATS in 1st of BB RG’s. KC 19-26 ATS as a FAV in OCT. KC 24-28-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. KC 17-14-1 ATS L32 vs AFC EAST. KC 4-11 ATS after LV. KC 14-5 ATS as a conf ROAD FAV <7pts. KC 12-6 ATS L18 after an SU loss. KC 2-7 ATS AWAY vs .700>non-div opp. KC 7-1 ATS on MNF vs opp off SU FAV loss. KC 0-5 ATS off DD ATS loss vs opp off DD SU loss. KC 6-0-1 ATS L7 on MNF. Both of these teams are on bounceback and neither one can afford to lose another game at this point. This will be a battle and the BUFF DEF needs to bounceback in a big way. BUFF has to get their running game going. I said that LW and I’ll say it this week. I like this game to be close. Take the points here.
THE PICK: BUFF+3 ½ 3 STARS
Monday October 19th, 2020 8:15pm
Arizona Cardinals (3-2), (3-2) ATS, (2-0) AWAY, (2-0) ATS @ Dallas Cowboys (2-3), (0-5) ATS, (2-1) HOME, (0-3) ATS DAL+2 ½
LW, @DAL, DAL QB Dak Prescott suffered a terrible injury. He is out for the season. In comes Andy Dalton. I loved NYG+9 ½ @DAL LW because I knew that NYG OC Jason Garrett would give it his all. NYG should have won the game but they covered well none the less. Going forward Dalton is capable of leading this team and it now looks like one of the shrewdest moves in the off-season by DAL to have signed Dalton. Their season definitely would have been done without Dalton filling in. The DEF for DAL is another story, and they can’t stop anyone and it was evident vs NYG. DAL #27 TOT DEF. Their OFF is explosive but that was with Dak. Can it continue with Dalton? LW, ARZ was @NYJ and beat them 30-10, so what. Everyone has beaten NYJ and they have major holes at every position. It was basically a tune up game for ARZ. L7 ARZ vs DAL, ARZ 4-3 SUATS. DAL 12-7-1 ATS L20 as a HOME DOG. DAL 32-25 ATS @HOME in OCT. DAL 19-19-1 ATS as a DOG in OCT. DAL 2-8 ATS L10 after NYG. DAL 9-3 ATS as a DOG vs NFC WEST. DAL 5-1 ATS as a HOME DOG on MNF. DAL 10-1 ATS off SU win vs .333<opp. ARZ 13-9 ATS L22 as a ROAD FAV. ARZ 20-32 ATS AWAY in OCT. ARZ 20-20 ATS as a FAV in OCT. ARZ 2-16 ATS after allowing 10<pts. ARZ 1-7 ATS on MNF. ARZ 1-8 ATS on MNF vs <.500opp. ARZ 0-14 ATS as a FAV after allowing 10<pts. ARZ 12-2 ATS in gms 5-9 vs <.500 non-div opp off HOME gm. ARZ 0-5 ATS off DD ATS win vs .700<non-div opp. ARZ 0-2 ATS as a ROAD FAV on MNF. Everyone thinks that ARZ should win this game but, DAL still has a lot of talent on this team and they could do some damage. Dalton is a guy who will be showcasing his skills for a new job in 2021. If he leads DAL to the playoffs, he will get offers from teams looking for a QB. LW, he picked up for Prescott and led DAL to victory. ARZ will be competitive in this game but DAL will prevail. Take the points here.
THE PICK: DAL+2 ½ 3 STARS