2022 NFL SEASON WEEK 2
2022 NFL SCHEDULE WEEK 2 (ATS)
All times Eastern Standard Time
ALL SPREADS ARE COURTESY OF CAESARS HOTEL IN LAS VEGAS @ THE TIME OF ANALYSIS
Thursday September 15th, 2022 8:15pm
LA Chargers (1-0), (1-0) ATS, (0-0) AWAY, (0-0) ATS @ KC Chiefs (1-0), (1-0) ATS, (0-0) HOME, (0-0) ATS LAC+4
LW, LAC D-LINE took it to LV. They sacked LV QB Derek Carr 5x. DE Khalil Mack had 3 sacks while DE Joey Bosa had 1 ½ sacks. The LAC DEF also intercepted Carr 3x. LAC QB Justin Hebert did a nice job spreading out the OFF which had LV DEF chasing who got the ball next. Hebert threw for 3TDS and LAC did not turn the ball over. LAC built a nice 17-3 lead but let LV get back into this one before stopping a 2pt conversion which would have made it a 3pt game. Nonetheless LAC won the game 24-19. LAC WR Keenan Allen may out for this game. LW, it was all KC @ARZ. KC built up a 37-7 lead before ARZ got some garbage time tds to make the score KC 44-21. KC was on all cylinders and Mahomes threw 5tds and was sacked 0x. Mahomes is aware of the LAC DEF and it gets pumped up to play him and KC. L15, KC(H) vs LAC, KC 7-8 SU & 6-9 ATS. L30, LAC vs KC, ROAD 20-10 ATS. L30, LAC vs KC, DOG 19-11 ATS. L18, LAC vs KC, KC 13-5 SU & 11-7 ATS. KC 8-4 ATS as a FAV on TNF. KC 11-8 ATS on TNF. KC 28-24 ATS @HOME in SEPT. KC 26-16 ATS vs AFC WEST in SEPT. KC 35-28 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. KC 11-3 ATS off DD ATS wi vs non-div opp. KC 4-11 ATS @HOME after scoring 35>pts. KC 2-9 ATS after non-conf RG. LAC 5-3 ATS as a DOG on TNF. LAC 5-4 ATS AWAY on TNF. LAC 9-5 ATS on TNF. LAC 7-5 ATS vs AFC WEST on TNF. LAC 28-23-1 ATS AWAY in SEPT. LAC 26-24 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. LAC 19-18 ATS vs AFC WEST in SEPT. LAC 1-7 ATS as a DIV DOG <6pts vs opp off DD SU win. Usually after a team has a blowout win, they don’t score as many points and the game is tighter. Especially here, vs an up and coming LAC team. KC has some injuries from their rout in the desert and Mahomes will certainly have more pressure from LAC’s D-LINE than he did vs ARZ. Turnovers will be huge in this game and KC & LAC will have a couple after both played error free football in week 1. This will be a close and exciting game with a fg deciding it at the end of the game. Take LAC and the points.
LAC INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
CB Tevaughn Campbell (Knee) Out, WR Keenan Allen (Hamstring) Doubtful, CB J.C. Jackson (Ankle) Questionable, TE Stone Smartt (Undisclosed) Out, LB Drue Tranquill (Back) Questionable, LB Damon Lloyd (Undisclosed) Out, C Isaac Weaver (Undisclosed) Out, OT Andrew Trainer (Undisclosed) Out, OT Rashawn Slater (Back) Questionable, TE Donald Parham Jr. (Hamstring) Questionable, DL Forrest Merrill (Undisclosed) Out.
KC INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR Justyn Ross (Foot) Out, K Harrison Butker (Ankle) Questionable, WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (Shoulder) Questionable, QB Patrick Mahomes (Wrist) Questionable, S Justin Reid (Hand) Questionable, CB Trent McDuffie (Hamstring) Questionable, DE Mike Danna N/A N/A, DE Frank Clark (Illness) N/A, OT Orlando Brown (Knee) Questionable, OL Trey Smith (Ankle) Questionable, OT Lucas Niang (Kneecap) Out, TE Blake Bell (Hip) Out, WR Justin Watson (Chest) Questionable.
THE PICK: LAC+4
Sunday September 18th, 2022 1:00pm
NY Jets (0-1), (0-1) ATS, (0-0) AWAY, (0-0) ATS @ Cleveland Browns (1-0), (1-0) ATS, (0-0) HOME, (0-0) ATS NYJ+6
LW, NYJ didn’t play as bad as everyone thinks. If you look behind the numbers, BALT didn’t really play a great game and if a few plays went differently NYJ may have made a game of it. I’m not saying they would have won but, the score certainly would have been closer. The JETS DEF did sack BALT QB Lamar Jackson 2x and intercepted him 1x. NYJ QB Joe Flacco should know better and be able to play better. The O-LINE needs to give him protection because he is not exactly mobile. The secondary cannot let receivers get behind them. LW, CLEVE was up 20-7 @CAR but then decided to see if CAR QB Baker Mayfield could make a game of it. He did, as CAR took the lead 24-23 with about 1:13 to play. CLEV needed a fg with :08 on the clock to scratch out the win, 26-24. CLEV rushed for 217 yds while taking a lot of pressure off of CLEV QB Jacoby Brissett. However, they still managed to need a fg at the end. It doesn’t say much for their DEF, which Mayfield was able to exploit in the 2nd half. L11 NYJ vs CLEVE, NYJ 7-4 SU & 5-4-2 ATS, incl NYJ @CLEVE, NYJ 4-2 SU & 2-2-2 ATS. NYJ 27-27 ATS AWAY in SEPT. NYJ 28-39 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. NYJ 10-8 ATS after scoring 10<pts vs conf opp. NYJ 4-16-1 ATS as a RD <17pts vs opp off SUATS win. NYJ 5-1 ATS after scoring 10<pts. NYJ 1-10 ATS as a RD 9<pts vs opp off SUATS win. CLEV 9-10-3 ATS in 1st of BB HGs. CLEV 7-14 ATS L21 HOME openers. CLEV 19-21 ATS @HOME in SEPT. CLEV 7-11 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. CLEV 24-21-4 ATS since 2003 as a HF vs non-div. CLEV 12-10 ATS off non-conf ROAD gm. CLEV 4-15-2 ATS off SU DOG win. CLEV 4-8-1 ATS off SU DOG win vs non-div opp. CLEV 7-3 ATS @HOME vs opp off SUATS loss. If the JETS can get the running game going between RBs Michael Carter & Breece Hall, they may be able to keep CLEV guessing. Flacco was able to get the ball to seven different receivers which certainly would have the CLEVE secondary on its toes. This is a must win game for JETS and a sense of urgency for NYJ HC Robert Saleh. If JETS get blown out here, his days may be numbered. CLEVE may take NYJ for granted looking ahead at PITT on TNF.
NYJ INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
OT Greg Senat (Undisclosed) Out, QB Zach Wilson (Meniscus) Questionable, FB Nick Bawden (Undisclosed) Out, OL Conor McDermott (Ankle) Questionable, OT Duane Brown (Shoulder) Out, OT Mekhi Becton (Kneecap) Out, DL Vinny Curry (Hamstring) Out.
CLE INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR Isaiah Weston (Knee) Out, QB Deshaun Watson (Suspension) Out, WR Jakeem Grant Sr. (Achilles) Out, WR Michael Woods II (Hamstring) Questionable, CB Greedy Williams (Hamstring) Out, G Dawson Deaton (ACL) Out, C Nick Harris (Knee) Out, LB Chris Odom (Knee (ACL)) Out, OT Elijah Nkansah (Undisclosed) Out, OT Chris Hubbard (Elbow) Questionable, OT Jack Conklin (Knee) Questionable, DE Stephen Weatherly (Knee) Out.
THE PICK: NYJ+6
Washington Commanders (1-0), (1-0) ATS, (0-0) AWAY, (0-0) ATS @ Detroit Lions (0-1), (1-0) ATS, (0-1) HOME, (1-0) ATS WASH +2
These are two teams that don’t figure to be in the playoff mix come January. However, these two teams need to show improvement over the last season for their HCs to stick round. Also, there are players on both teams that are trying to stay in the NFL and win some games. LW, WASH was @HOME vs JAGS. WASH was a tale of two teams in this one. They surged ahead to a 14-3 lead in the 2nd qtr, only to find themselves trailing the JAGS 22-14 in the 4th qtr. WASH was able to put 2 drives together to score 2tds while limiting JAGS to a PUNT & forcing an INT. WASH won the game, 28-22. WASH QB Carson Wentz played a topsy turvy game in that he threw 4tds while also throwing 2INTS. But he came through in the 4th qtr when WASH needed it most. The DEF for WASH also came through at the end of the game which was a surprise but, then again, they were playing the JAGS. LW, DET @HOME was down 31-14 to PHILLY in the 3rd qtr. The stats for DET are a little misleading because DET played catchup and it was considered garbage time. DET never tied or went ahead of PHILLY but they did get a back door cover as the final score was PHILLY 38-35. The spread on the game was DET+4. I thought PHILLY was a good choice and I could not expect their DEF to go to sleep after thinking the game was won. DET showed a good running game getting 181 yds combined and making a game of it. Look for them to do the same this week. The pressure is more on DET to win games than WASH because WASH has so many distractions off the field. L9, DET vs WASH, WASH 4-5 SU & 5-4 ATS. WASH 35-21 ATS AWAY in SEPT. WASH 27-29 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. DET 7-4-2 ATS in 2nd of BB HGs. DET 35-21 ATS @HOME in SEPT. DET 37-38 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. DET 19-31-1 ATS L51(H) vs non-div. DET 4-13 ATS after allowing 35>pts vs opp off SU win. DET 3-13 ATS after scoring 35>pts. DET 2-8 ATS @HOME after allowing 35>pts vs opp off SU win. DET needs to win games this season. They cannot go 3-13-1 again or worse. This is a winnable game because WASH has so many injuries. Plus, they have a tough schedule. The team must show improvement as it is their 2nd game in a row @HOME and need to show the fans that they can win a game. DET QB Jared Goff needs to make good choices and spread the ball around. The DEF for DET needs to make stops and not let Wentz sit in the pocket and pick the DEF apart. If DET can get their running game going, that will keep Wentz on the sidelines. Even in the loss LW, DET RB D’Andre Swift had 144yds rushing. WASH, right now is susceptible to the run. Turnovers will be huge here and DET cannot get sloppy. I like DET here.
WASH INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
RB Brian Robinson (Leg) Out, S Kamren Curl (Thumb) Questionable, DB Josh Drayden (Undisclosed) Out, G Willie Beavers (Undisclosed) Out C Tyler Larsen (Achilles) Out, G Wes Schweitzer (Hamstring) Questionable, TE Curtis Hodges (Thigh) Out TE Cole Turner (Hamstring) Questionable, DT Jonathan Allen (Achillies/Groin) Questionable, DT Phidarian Mathis (Torn Meniscus) Out DE Chase Young (Knee (ACL)) Out.
DET INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR Jameson Williams (Torn ACL) Out, K Aldrick Rosas (Undisclosed) Out S Ifeatu Melifonwu (Hamstring) Questionable, CB Jerry Jacobs (ACL) Out, FB Jason Cabinda (Knee) Out, G Halapoulivaati Vaitai (Back) Out, G Tommy Kraemer (Back) Questionable, DL Levi Onwuzurike (Back) Out, DL Josh Paschal (Sports Hernia) Out, DL Romeo Okwara (Achilles) Out, LB Julian Okwara (Hamstring) Questionable.
THE PICK: DET-2
TB Buccaneers (1-0), (1-0) ATS, (1-0) AWAY, (1-0) ATS @ NO Saints (1-0), (0-1) ATS, (0-0) HOME, (0-0) ATS NO+3
LW, TB went to DAL and knocked out their QB, Dak Prescott. DAL raced down the field in their first possession, kicked a fg and then never found the endzone the rest of the game. Final score, TB 19-3. TB QB Tom Brady did what he needed to do to win. He spread the ball around to seven different receivers and the DAL DEF couldn’t stop it. The DAL DEF only gave up 1td and 4fgs. They made TB kick fgs instead of scoring tds. It didn’t matter because DAL OFF couldn’t get it going. TB WR Julio Jones look good, getting into the act with 3 catches. Look for him to see more touches. Plus, TB rushed for 152 yds incl 127yds by RB Leonard Fournette. A nice balanced attack by TB and DAL didn’t have any answers. NO needed a miracle and a comeback win vs an ATL team that is slated to go nowhere this season. NO was predicted to win the NFC SOUTH and they had trouble with ATL. ATL was leading 26-10 in the 4th qtr. ATL rushed for 201 yds vs NO but 72 of those yds was by ATL QB Marcus Mariota. Also, the O-LINE for NO wasn’t secure as NO QB Jameis Winston was sacked 4x. I’m not sold on Winston because in his last full season he threw 30INTS. Yes, NO rushed for a nice amount of yards vs ATL but TB is no slouch. In the end, NO needed a fg with :19 left to win 27-26. L15 NO(H) vs TB, NO 10-5 SU & 9-6 ATS. L18 TB vs NO, HOME 10-8 ATS. L10 TB vs NO, NO 8-2 ATS. NO 7-3-1 ATS L11 as a HOME DOG. NO 27-25-1 ATS @HOME in SEPT. NO 27-25 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. NO 20-18 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in SEPT. NO 13-0 ATS as a DIV DOG 3>pts. NO 8-10 ATS before CAR. NO 13-2 ATS vs opp off DD SU win. TB 9-14-2 ATS in the 2nd of BB RGs. TB 31-29 ATS AWAY in SEPT. TB 27-19 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in SEPT. TB 22-24-1 ATS as aFAV in SEPT. TB 8-13-2 ATS off DD SU win. Brady is 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS during the regular season as the TB QB vs NO. He did beat them @HOME in the playoffs in 2020 en route to the SuperBowl. But he has had trouble with them during the regular season. However, there is no HC Sean Payton or QB Drew Brees and this team is under a completely different HC in Dennis Allen. Also, TB HC Todd Bowles was the TB DC when Jameis Winston was there, so he knows about his deficiencies. I like Brady & CO to come a roaring through and break the streak. Brady is on a mission to go out a winner so this will be his game. Lay the points here.
TB INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR Chris Godwin (Hamstring) Out, CB Zyon McCollum (Hamstring) Questionable, RB Kenjon Barner (Groin) Out, OLB Cam Gill (Foot) Out, G Aaron Stinnie (Knee (ACL) (MCL)) Out, C Ryan Jensen (Knee) Out, OT Donovan Smith (Elbow) Questionable.
NO INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
TE Dylan Soehner (Undisclosed) Out, LB Isaiah Pryor (Undisclosed) Out, WR Tre'Quan Smith (Groin) Questionable, WR Kawaan Baker (Suspended) Out, RB Dwayne Washington (Hamstring) Questionable, CB Paulson Adebo (Ankle) Questionable, S Smoke Monday (Knee (ACL)) Out, RB Alvin Kamara (Ribs) Questionable, LB D'Marco Jackson (Undisclosed) Out, OT Trevor Penning (Foot) Out, OT Ethan Greenidge (Knee) Out, G Forrest Lamp (Undisclosed) Out, DT Albert Huggins (Leg) Out, DL Malcolm Roach (Undisclosed) Out.
THE PICK: TB-3
Carolina Panthers (0-1), (0-1) ATS, (0-0) AWAY, (0-0) ATS @ NY Giants (1-0), (1-0) ATS, (0-0) HOME, (0-0) ATS CAR+2
LW, I seriously thought that CAR @HOME would beat up CLEVE. CAR QB Baker Mayfield, well, we know the story. But, what happened? Nothing changed for Mayfield. Does CAR really believe in him? He had 1 INT which turned into a CLEVE td and 4 fumbles that, fortunately were recovered. But, was it stage fright for Baker? Meanwhile, CLEVE ran all day on CAR. CAR spotted CLEV a 20-7 4th qtr lead before CAR woke up. But it was too little too late and the play calling by CAR on their last drive was suspect. They should have drove for the td instead of the fg because you never know. Being aggressive in sports, wins game. Being passive, gets you the door. So CAR loses 26-24 on a fg with about :08 left. For the NYG LW, it was win-win. NYG spotted TENN a 13-0 lead @TENN in the 3rd qtr. Then NYG woke up and not only ran all over the TENN DEF for a total of 238 rushing yards but won the game at the end with a gutsy 2pt conversion. The NYG DEF did their job too by holding TENN RB Derrick Henry to 82 yds. That is low for Henry and he really wasn’t a factor. The fact that NYG won is crazy because NYG QB Daniel Jones threw an INT in the endzone which would have tied the game earlier in the 4th qtr and NYG would not have needed their heroics. Jones also had a lost fumb and needs to hang on to the ball, period. NYG RB Saquon Barkley rushed for 164 yds, 1td & also caught 6 passes for 30 yds. Is he back? We like to think so. NYG HC Brian Daboll made the gutsy call on the 2pt conversion. If NYG don’t convert, he looks like a loser. NYG converted and he looks like a superstar. This should carry into this week vs CAR. L9 CAR vs NYG, NYG 5-4 SU & 7-2 ATS. CAR 24-21-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. CAR 21-20 ATS AWAY in SEPT. CAR 12-10 ATS off SUATS loss vs non-div opp. CAR 3-9 ATS before NO. CAR 10-3 ATS as a DOG vs opp off SU DOG win. NYG 3-9 ATS in 1st of BB HGs. NYG 3-12 ATS as a FAV in 1st of BB HGs. NYG 20-39 ATS @HOME in SEPT. NYG 25-26 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. NYG 1-9 SU & 0-10 ATS L10 HOME openers. NYG 1-6 ATS L7 as a FAV vs NFC SOUTH. NYG 5-7 ATS before DAL. NYG 10-11 ATS L21 before div HM gm. NYG should rush the ball all day vs CAR. CAR couldn’t stop CLEV and I don’t see them stopping NYG here. Jones needs to make smart plays and spread the OFF out better. Barkley will help take pressure off of him but Jones needs to step up. I like NYG here because Mayfield tends to overplay and force things because he desperately wants to win. He will turn the ball over here and it will cost him. Take BIG BLUE here.
CAR INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
K Zane Gonzalez (Groin) Out, QB Matt Corral (Ankle/Foot) Out, QB Sam Darnold (Ankle) Out, WR Andre Roberts (Knee) Out, LB Julian Stanford (Undisclosed) Out.
NYG INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
CB Rodarius Williams (Knee (ACL)) Out, OLB Kayvon Thibodeaux (Knee (MCL)) Questionable, WR Collin Johnson (Achilles) Out, WR Wan'Dale Robinson (Knee) Questionable, S Dane Belton (Collarbone) Questionable, ILB Darrian Beavers (Knee (ACL)) Out, CB Nick McCloud (Hamstring) Questionable OLB Azeez Ojulari (Calf) Questionable, OL Marcus McKethan (Knee (ACL)) Out, C Nick Gates (Leg) Out, G Shane Lemieux (Foot) Out, OT Matt Peart (Knee (ACL)) Out OLB Elerson Smith (Leg) Out.
THE PICK: NYG-2
NE Patriots (0-1), (0-1) ATS, (0-1) AWAY, (0-1) ATS @ Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0), (1-0) ATS, (0-0) HOME, (0-0) ATS PITT+1 ½
LW, NE didn’t look too good @MIA. NE had 2 lost fumbles and 1INT. Can you name any WRs on the NE team? Yeah, me neither. Two turnovers in the 1st half for NE and that turned into 10pts for MIA. At the half MIA was ahead 17-0. Turn your sets off there. The DEF for NE held in the 2nd half only giving up 3pts. But, they only scored 7pts. NE lost 20-7. NE QB Mac Jones may have hurt his back. NE needs more of a balanced attack and better receivers. At CINNCY, PITT played their hearts out and tried to make a statement as to how they are moving forward. I liked them getting 6 ½ . PITT was up 17-3 in the 2nd qtr but there was plenty of game left to play after that and CINNCY made a comeback. PITT QB Mitch Trubisky showed poise and didn’t turn the ball over. PITT sacked CINNCY QB Joe Burrow 7x, intercepted him 4x and recovered one of his fumbles and they still needed OT to win. PITT, since 2007, off an SU OT win, 4-0 ATS. The OFF for PITT has to play better, execute and not rely so much on the DEF to make plays. L12 NE vs PITT<, NE 8-4 SU & 7-4-1 ATS incl @PITT, NE 4-3 SUATS. NE 9-11 ATS in 2nd of BB RGs. NE 27-29 ATS AWAY in SEPT. NE 31-37-2 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. NE 60-44-4 ATS as a RF since 2004. NE 13-5 ATS after MIA. NE 9-2-2 ATS vs AFC NORTH. NE 28-15-2 ATS after an SU loss. NE 17-2 ATS off div ROAD gm vs non-div opp. NE 9-0 ATS off div ROAD gm vs non-div opp off ATS win. PITT 13-22-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. PITT 24-28 ATS @HOME in SEPT. PITT 5-7-1 ATS after CINNCY. PITT 8-7 ATS before CLEV. PITT 17-19-1 ATS L37 vs AFC EAST. PITT 10-20-1 ATS off SU win vs opp off SU loss. Even though NE is in a bounceback situation, I like PITT here. The stadium will be rocking and Trubisky & CO will try to show that PITT is still relevant. NE is still adjusting and there isn’t really anyone that sticks out on OFF. PITT LB TJ Watt being out is huge because he makes so much happen. That is a big hole in the PITT DEF that they need to accommodate for. This game is almost a PICK’EM and it will probably come down to the wire. Turnovers will be crucial in this game. But it is HC Mike Tomlin vs HC Bill Belichick here.
NE INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
K Quinn Nordin (Undisclosed) Out QB Mac Jones (Back) Questionable, WR Tyquan Thornton (Collarbone) Out, WR Ty Montgomery (Ankle) Out, WR Kristian Wilkerson (Concussion) Out, DB Adrian Phillips (Ribs) Questionable, S Joshuah Bledsoe (Knee) Questionable, CB Shaun Wade (Ankle) Questionable, CB Joejuan Williams (Shoulder) Out, LB Ronnie Perkins (Undisclosed) Out, OL Andrew Stueber (Hamstring) Out, DT Daniel Ekuale (Suspended) Out.
PITT INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
S Damontae Kazee (Wrist/Arm) Out, RB Jeremy McNichols (Shoulder) Out, LB Hamilcar Rashed Jr. (Undisclosed) Out, DB Carlins Platel (Undisclosed) Out, WR Anthony Miller (Shoulder) Out, WR Calvin Austin III (Foot) Out, RB Najee Harris (Foot) Questionable, CB Levi Wallace (Ankle) Questionable, S Karl Joseph (Ankle/Foot) Out, LB Robert Spillane (Eye) Questionable, OL Mason Cole (Ankle) Questionable, LB T.J. Watt (Pectoral) Out.
THE PICK: PITT+1 ½
Indianapolis Colts (0-0-1), (0-1) ATS, (0-0-1) AWAY, (0-1) ATS @ Jacksonville Jags (0-1), (0-1) ATS, (0-0) HOME, (0-0) ATS JAGS+4
LW, INDY spotted HOU a 20-3 lead before they woke up. INDY scored 17pts in the 4th qtr to tie and then in OT neither team could capitalize and the game ended in a tie. INDY RB Jonathan Taylor rushed for 161 yds and INDY QB Matt Ryan threw for 50x. HOU should have won the game in regulation. INDY K Rodrigo Blankenship was cut on Tuesday. LW, JAGS were trailing 14-3 @WASH. Then they were leading 22-14 vs WASH. Then they gave up 2tds vs WASH and ended up losing 28-22. JAGS HC Doug Pederson will need to get these guys to be able to finish out games because you can’t let another team think they have hope. JAGS had a chance to win the game and were driving but an INT ended the game for JAGS. These two teams know each other very well and fight like dogs. L15 JAG(H) vs INDY, JAGS 9-6 SUATS. L30 JAG vs INDY, ROAD 15-13-2 ATS. L19 JAGS vs INDY, JAGS 10-7-2 ATS. L25 JAGS vs INDY, FAV 12-10-2 ATS 1 PICK’EM. INDY 8-10 ATS L18 as a ROAD FAV. INDY 11-7 ATS 1 NL in 2nd of BB RGs. INDY 29-26 ATS AWAY in SEPT. INDY 31-29 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. INDY 19-25 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in SEPT. INDY 9-7-1 ATS as a div ROAD FAV. INDY 8-4 ATS after HOU. JAGS 17-20 ATS as a HOME DOG. JAGS 22-24 ATS @HOME in SEPT. JAGS 3-30 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. JAGS 21-16 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in SEPT. JAGS 6-2 ATS as a div HOME DOG <6pts. You may not think it matters but, a new kicker for INDY is important. He needs to get accustomed to game settings and may be a little nervous. At this time, INDY has not announced who the new kicker is. JAGS always play INDY tough no matter how bad their record says. Look at what happened in the last game of the season, last season. Need I say more. There may be a little revenge on the minds of INDY but JAGS should be aware of that. INDY may be thinking of KC next week. JAGS need to learn how to close out games because they should have beat WASH LW. JAGS HC Doug Pederson needs to get these guys thinking wins. INDY will probably win by a fg in the end.
INDY INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
S Armani Watts (Ankle) Out, P Rigoberto Sanchez (Achilles) Out, S Trevor Denbow (Foot) Out, LB Shaquille Leonard (Back) Questionable, OT Carter O'Donnell (Undisclosed) Out, TE Andrew Ogletree (Knee (ACL)) Out.
JAGS INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
DE Jordan Smith (Knee) Out.
THE PICK: JAGS+4
Miami Dolphins (1-0), (1-0) ATS, (0-0) AWAY, (0-0) ATS @ Baltimore Ravens (1-0), (1-0) ATS, (0-0) HOME, (0-0) ATS MIA+3 ½
LW, BALT @JETS beat the JETS, 24-9. So what! BALT was supposed to do that. Also, the win was not that impressive. BALT rushed for a measly 63 yds and scored their first td late in the 2nd qtr. Also, they scored their other 2tds in the 3rd qtr and basically coasted the rest of the way. JETS didn’t make a game of it because they helped to beat themselves with mistakes and lousy play calling. Take away the passing of Jackson to Bateman for a 55 yd td and Lamar Jackson had 168yds passing. Not that big of a deal. Plus, on the play, he was wide open. LW, MIA @HOME vs NE, MIA was able to force some mistakes by NE and turn them into a nice opening week win, 20-7. It was MIA 17-0 at the half and the only thing people needed to worry about is if MIA would coast and NE would get a back door cover. MIA QB Tua Tagovailoa was able to spread his passes to nine different receivers that kept the NE DEF guessing. It helped that MIA didn’t have any turnovers while NE had 1INT and 2lost fumbs. One of the fumbles was returned for a td. L11 BALT vs MIA, BALT 8-3 SUATS, incl BALT(H) vs MIA, BALT 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS. BALT 34-20 ATS @HOME in SEPT. BALT 41-30-4 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. BALT 12-25-1 ATS @HOME off non-div gm. BALT 2-13 ATS after allowing <10pts. MIA 29-26 ATS AWAY in SEPT. MIA 28-29-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. MIA 10-3 ATS as a DOG 11<pts after allowing 10<pts. MIA 2-11 ATS after NE. MIA 12-2 ATS as a ROAD DOG off SU win vs opp w/revenge. MIA 1-6 ATS AWAY vs AFC NORTH. These two teams have a small rivalry going that no one makes mention of it. I have been following it for a few years. The games are usually not close except for 2015 & 2013 that were decided by 2pts & 3 pts respectively. There are a lot of injuries to the secondary for BALT and MIA will certainly look to exploit that. MIA has to get their run game going to take pressure off of Tua. BALT QB Lamar Jackson wasn’t that impressive vs a JETS team that was terrible and has problems of its own. But the key for MIA is keeping Lamar at bay and not let the running game get going. I like MIA and the points here because this game should be close.
MIA INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
TE Adam Shaheen (Knee) Out, CB Trill Williams (Knee (ACL)) Out, S Eric Rowe (Pectoral) Questionable, CB Byron Jones (Achilles) Out, RB Salvon Ahmed (Heel) Questionable, S Clayton Fejedelem (Undisclosed) Out, FB John Lovett (Knee) Out, LB Calvin Munson (Undisclosed) Out, OL Austin Jackson (Ankle) Questionable, TE Tanner Conner (Knee) Questionable TE Cethan Carter (Head) Questionable.
BALT INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
CB Kyle Fuller (Knee) Out, CB Marcus Peters (Knee (ACL)) Questionable, RB J.K. Dobbins (Knee (ACL)) Questionable, RB Gus Edwards (ACL) Out, OLB Vince Biegel (Achilles) Out, OLB Tyus Bowser (Achilles) Out, OT Ja'Wuan James (Achilles) Out, OT Ronnie Stanley (Ankle) Questionable, WR Slade Bolden (Undisclosed) Out, TE Charlie Kolar (Sports Hernia) Out OLB David Ojabo (Achilles) Out DT Travis Jones (Knee) Questionable.
THE PICK: MIA+3 ½
Sunday September 18th, 2022 4:00pm
Atlanta Falcons (0-1), (1-0) ATS, (0-0) AWAY, (0-0) ATS @ LA Rams (0-1), (0-1) ATS, (0-1) HOME, (0-1) ATS ATL+10 ½
LW on TNF, LAR @HOME vs BUFF were tied at the half 10-10. In the 2nd half, BUFF made some adjustments and blew out LAR 31-10. I liked BUFF in the game and I was concerned about LAR QB Matthew Stafford’s elbow. Stafford did not have a good game by any means going 29/41, 240 yds, 1TD & 3INTS. He was also sacked 7x. The running game for LAR was non-existent as well, rushing for a total of 52yds. The O-LINE did not do the job and that may be a concern for LAR all season. Also, LAR CB Jalen Ramsey was beat all night and out of position which didn’t help LAR when they needed it most. LW, ATL was up 26-10 in the 4th qtr with 12:41 to go. The ATL DEF was playing well up to that point but then fell apart. They gave up 17pts to NO and ATL lost 27-26. This may be a telltale sign of things to come for ATL. LW, I liked ATL+5 ½ and I thought they had a good shot at stealing a win here. They did but, fell apart. ATL QB Marcus Mariota played a decent game and even rushed for 72yds and 1td. He didn’t throw and INT, was not sacked but did fumble the ball 2x and lost it 1x. He’s still learning but ATL played not to lose and the DEFF went missing with the lead late in the game. L7 ATL vs LAR, ATL 5-2 SU & 4-3 ATS, incl @LAR, ATL 2-1 SUATS. ATL 32-31 ATS AWAY in SEPT. ATL 34-33 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. ATL 14-8 ATS as a DOG 8>pts. ATL 12-8 ATS in 1st of BB RG’s. ATL 4-11 ATS AWAY vs opp off DD SU loss. LAR 8-8 ATS in 2nd of BB HGs. LAR 28-30 ATS @HOME in SEPT. LAR 20-32-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. LAR 9-2-1 ATS as a FAV vs NFC SOUTH. LAR 8-1 ATS as a FAV >2pts vs NFC SOUTH. LAR 9-1 ATS as a FAV 13<pts off an SU loss. This is a total bounceback game for LAR for them to get the ship right and give a team a beat down. On paper it looks like one of those DIV 1 college teams vs a subdivision team for a win in exchange for a payday. LAR should have had enough rest for this team and LAR HC Sean McVay should make some adjustments to get this team back on track in the NFC WEST. The O-LINE for LAR needs to do its job. For ATL, their DEF is not quite there yet and Stafford should be able to pick this team apart. Lay the points here.
ATL INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
LS Beau Brinkley (Achilles) Out, RB Damien Williams (Hips/Ribs) Questionable, WR Calvin Ridley (Suspended) Out, CB Isaiah Oliver (Knee) Out ILB Deion Jones (Shoulder) Out, OL Tyler Vrabel (Undisclosed) Out. OL Jalen Mayfield (Back) Out, TE John FitzPatrick (Undisclosed) Out, DL Marlon Davidson (Knee) Out, DT Vincent Taylor (Achilles) Out.
LAR INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR Van Jefferson (Knee) Questionable, RB Kyren Williams (Ankle) Out, ILB Travin Howard (Groin) Out, S Quentin Lake (Knee) Out, LS Matthew Orzech (Calf) Questionable, OLB Daniel Hardy (Ankle) Out, C Brian Allen (Knee) Out, G Logan Bruss (Knee (ACL)) Out, OT Joe Noteboom (Knee (MCL)) Questionable, DT Bobby Brown III (Suspended) Out.
THE PICK: LAR-10 ½
Seattle Seahawks (1-0), (1-0) ATS, (0-0) AWAY, (0-0) ATS @ SF 49ers (0-1), (0-1) ATS, (0-0) HOME, (0-0) ATS SEA+10
LW, SEA should have lost the game on MNF. SEA played tremendous goal line DEF 2x vs DEN by forcing 2 DEN fumbles right on the SEA goal line and recovered both. One was for a touchback and the other was recovered deep in SEA territory. SEA QB Geno played very well and looked like a seasoned pro. That was not a misprint. He went 23/28, 195 yds, 2tds, 0INTS. He didn’t turn the ball over and the SEA DEF was able to hold the DEN OFF to 3pts total, in the 2nd half. DEN was able to march up and down the field but couldn’t get into the endzone when it counted. DEN was held to 1td and that was on a miscue by the SEA CB. SEA seemed pumped for this game and DEN seemd a little out of it. LW, SF didn’t look so good @CHI and let CHI & QB Justin Fields look like world beaters. It doesn’t help any that SF RB Elijah Mitchell hurt his knee (MCL) and is out for an undetermined amount of time. SF QB Trey Lance is running the show but he didn’t have a particularly good day @CHI. He was 13/28, 164yds. 0TDS, 1INT. He led SF in rushing but that’s not what you want out of your starting QB. SF was up 10-0 in the 3rd qtr when CHI woke up and scored tds on three straight possessions. I liked CHI+7 @HOME because it was just too many points for the HOME team and I am still not convinced about Trey Lance. L15 SF(H) vs SEA, SF 6-9 SU & 6-8-1 ATS. L20 SF vs SEA, SEA 14-5-1 ATS. L16 SF vs SEA, FAV 10-6 ATS. SF 27-22 ATS @HOME in SEPT. SF 34-31 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. SF 24-21 ATS vs NFC WEST in SEPT. SF 8-11-1 ATS off SU FAV loss. SF 13-1 ATS off SU ROAD FAV loss. SEA 27-27-2 ATS AWAY in SEPT. SEA 23-26-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. SEA 19-23-1 ATS vs NFC WEST in SEPT. SEA 13-1-1 ATS as a DOG off SUATS win. SEA 12-0 ATS as a conf DOG off SUATS win. SEA 7-0 ATS off non-conf HG. SEA 9-6 ATS AWAY off non-conf opp vs conf opp. SEA 12-1 ATS as a conf DOG >1pt off SUATS win. This is way too many points to give up for a division rival and if SEA is going to play tough all season, they are going to win some games that on paper they should lose. Pete Carroll knows SF. Does Trey Lance get it together? The SEA DEF may have something to say because SEA By the way, SEA S Jamal Adams hurt his knee and will probably be out for a while. HC Pete Carroll will probably have the DEF throw different looks at Lance so he doesn’t know what’s coming. SF may win this game outright but it is too many points to give a feisty SEA team. Take SEA and the points. This game could come down to a fg at the end. It would not surprise me.
SEA INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
LB Tyreke Smith (Hip) Out, RB Kenneth Walker III (Sports Hernia) Questionable, WR Cody Thompson (Shoulder) Out, CB Artie Burns (Groin) Questionable, CB Tre Brown (Knee) Out, CB John Reid (Groin) Out, SS Jamal Adams (Knee) Questionable, LB Jon Rhattigan (Knee) Out, G Damien Lewis (Ankle/Knee) Questionable, LS Tyler Ott (Shoulder) Questionable, DE L.J. Collier (Elbow) Out, LB Alton Robinson (Knee (PCL)) Out.
SF INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
DB Jimmie Ward (Hamstring) Out, CB Jason Verrett (Knee (ACL)) Out, RB Elijah Mitchell (Knee (MCL)) Out, LB Curtis Robinson (Ankle) Out, OL Daniel Brunskill (Hamstring) Questionable, TE George Kittle (Groin) Questionable, TE Jordan Matthews (Leg/Knee) Out, DL Kalia Davis (Undisclosed) Out, DL Maurice Hurst (Bicep) Out.
THE PICK: SEA+9
Cincinnati Bengals (0-1), (0-1) ATS, (0-0) AWAY, (0-0) ATS @ Dallas Cowboys (0-1), (0-1) ATS, (0-1) HOME, (0-1) ATS DAL+7 ½
What happened to CINNCY LW? The so-called revamped O-LINE for CINNCY gave up 7 sacks of QB Joe Burrow. Plus, Burrow had 4INTS & 1 lost Fumb. Not a good way to start off the season. I liked PITT +6 ½ LW @CINNCY because PITT HC Mike Tomlin was not just going to roll over and die. It was statement game for PITT that they have moved on from BIG BEN. CINNCY made a lot of mistakes but the one player that kept CINNCY in this game was WR Ja’Marr Chase. He seemed to catch everything going his way and caught what was to be the winning td before the blocked extra point. Anyhow, CINNCY was playing catchup all day in front of the HOME fans and they looked out of sorts. CINNCY eventually lost in OT but should be able to recover and move forward. CINNCY, since 2007, off an SU OT loss, 6-2 ATS. LW, DAL looked good for their 1st series of the game, then went missing the rest of the game. Their DEF gave up 152yds rushing and to top it all off, DAL QB Dak Prescott broke his throwing thumb and is out for 6-8 weeks. DAL lost 19-3. I had liked DAL+1 ½ for this game because I actually thought they would come out like gangbusters and show that they may be for real. Well, they didn’t and took some steps backward. RB Ezekial Elliott is in a big year and if he doesn’t get going, he’s gone. His longest run from scrimmage, 7 yards. As for DAL QB Cooper Rush, he could make or break his career here and may have multiple games to prove it. He has started one game in his career and that was last season for DAL @MINN. He had a nice game and led DAL to a victory, 20-16. But, that DAL team was better than this one. L5 CINNCY vs DAL, DAL 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS. CINNCY 8-3 ATS L11 as a ROAD FAV. CINNCY 8-9-1 ATS in 1st of BB RGs. CINNCY 31-26 ATS AWAY in SEPT. CINNCY 15-26 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. CINNCY 8-10 ATS L18 after PITT. CINNCY 3-5-1 ATS as a non-conf FAV >1pt. DAL 11-7-1 ATS L19 as a HOME DOG. DAL 6-11 ATS in 2nd of BB HGs. DAL 28-15-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. DAL 24-29 ATS @HOME in SEPT. DAL 5-10 ATS @HOME off DD ATS loss. DAL 16-5-1 ATS as a non-conf DOG <8pts. DAL 5-25-1 ATS @HOME aft an SU conf loss. DAL 11-1 ATS as a DOG 7>pts vs opp off SU loss. DAL 8-7 ATS as a DOG 7>pts. This is a big bounceback game for CINNCY. I don’t see Burrow having as bad a game as he did vs PITT. It may be a good thing that he is playing this game on the road. There is less of a distraction and he should be able to get CINNCY a nice win here. For DAL, just staying relevant would be a good thing but, their OFF is certainly missing WR Amari Cooper and Lamb can’t do it by himself. As for the DAL O-LINE, they gave up 4 sacks, two of Dak Prescott & two of Cooper Rush. It will be a long season for DAL fans. CINNCY should just keep running the ball at DAL every chance they get and sprinkle it with some passes and the DAL DEF will just fall down. Lay the points here as CINNCY rolls.
CINNCY INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
S Tycen Anderson (Hamstring) Out, CB Cam Taylor-Britt (Abdomen) Out, RB Elijah Holyfield (Knee) Out, S Brandon Wilson (Knee (ACL)) Out, LS Clark Harris (Biceps) Out, LB Joe Bachie (Knee) Out, C Ben Brown (Bicep) Out, OT Isaiah Prince (Elbow) Out, WR Tee Higgins (Concussion) Questionable, TE Devin Asiasi (Quadriceps) Questionable, DE Khalid Kareem (Hamstring) Out.
DAL INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
TE Ian Bunting (Neck) Out, QB Dak Prescott (Thumb) Out, WR Michael Gallup (Knee (ACL)) Questionable, S Jayron Kearse (Knee) Out, LB Damone Clark (Neck) Out, LB Devante Bond (Knee) Out, G Connor McGovern (Ankle) Out, OT Tyron Smith (Knee) Out, WR James Washington (Foot) Out, DE Tarell Basham (Thigh) Questionable.
THE PICK: CINNCY-7 ½
Houston Texans (0-0-1), (1-0) ATS, (0-0) AWAY, (0-0) ATS @ Denver Broncos (0-1), (0-1) ATS, (0-0) HOME, (0-0) ATS HOU+10
LW, conservative play calling by DEN inside the 5yd line cost DEN the game. DEN fumbled 2x on the SEA goal line, losing both. DEN settled for a lousy 3pts in the 2nd half and had to try a 64yd fg to win the game which had the distance but went wide left. However, the DEN DEF gave up 0pts in the 2nd half to SEA. But the DEN DEF did nothing to stop or hinder SEA QB Geno Smith. Smith had a good game vs the DEN DEF and did not turn the ball over. DEN QB Russell Wilson may have been a little nervous in his return to SEA but he was able to move the ball up and down the field but could not get the ball into the endzone when it counted most. Plus, against the SEA DEF, DEN scored 1td. LW, HOU @HOME was crushing INDY for three qts, 20-3. Then INDY woke up and HOU went missing. INDY scored 17 straight points and HOU all of a sudden played not to lose and the score was tied 20-20 at the end of regulation. They played OT and HOU went soft and the final was 20-20. HOU played a good game until they let INDY play catchup and the OFF for INDY went off. HOU HC Lovie Smith knows you can’t play not to lose and they lost one here. HOU QB David Mills spread the ball around nicely and kept the INDY DEF on its toes. He needs to do that again this week because DEN will be on a bounceback week and maybe looking for blood. L8 DEN vs HOU, DEN 5-3 SUATS incl DEN(H) vs HOU, DEN 3-2 SUATS. DEN 11-5-2 ATS in 1st of BB HGs. DEN 31-26-1 ATS @HOME in SEPT. DEN 42-33-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. DEN 34-30-2 ATS L66 after an SU loss. DEN 19-3 SU & 17-4-1 ATS L22 HOME openers vs non-div. HOU 10-7-2 ATS in 1st of BB RGs. HOU 3-8-1 ATS as a DOG >3pts in 1st of BB RGs. HOU 19-23 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. HOU 16-18 ATS AWAY in SEPT. HOU 15-1 ATS as a DOG >5pts vs opp off SU FAV loss. HOU 3-10 ATS as a DOG >7pts vs opp off SU loss. HOU 1-8 ATS after INDY. DEN is coming off a game that they should have won but HOU is a team with nothing to lose and everything to gain. No one is giving them any kind of chance and this is a game that they can play tough. I wasn’t impressed with DEN @SEA LW and the DEN running game was stagnant and not effective. If HOU can get Wilson running to his left like SEA did, they may steal one here because again, they have nothing to lose. But HOU cannot play conservative and has to get everyone involved on OFF to spread things out. The HOU DEF was able to get to INDY QB Matt Ryan so they should be able to get to Wilson. I look for a good game here with no runaways by either team. Take HOU and the points.
HOU INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR John Metchie III (Illness) Out, RB Darius Anderson (Knee) Out, DB Tavierre Thomas (Quadriceps) Out, LB Christian Harris (Hamstring) Out, OT Cedric Ogbuehi (Undisclosed) Out, TE Teagan Quitoriano (Knee) Out, DL Rasheem Green (Thigh) Questionable, DE Derek Rivers (Bicep) Out, DE Mario Addison (Thigh) Out.
DEN INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
CB Michael Ojemudia (Elbow) Out, CB K'Waun Williams (Hand) Questionable, RB Damarea Crockett (ACL) Out, OLB Christopher Allen (Foot) Out, ILB Josey Jewell (Calf) Questionable, OL Billy Turner (Knee) Questionable, OL Tom Compton (Back) Out, OL Quinn Meinerz (Hamstring) Questionable, TE Greg Dulcich (Hamstring) Out, WR Tim Patrick (ACL) Out.
THE PICK: HOU+10
Arizona Cardinals (0-1), (0-1) ATS, (0-0) AWAY, (0-0) ATS @ LV Raiders (0-1), (0-1) ATS, (0-0) HOME, (0-0) ATS ARZ+5 ½
ARZ is going in the wrong direction. Without DE JJ Watt & recently departed DE Chandler Jones there is no one to put pressure on the opposing QB. LW, they had 0 sacks of Mahomes. He had an almost perfect day against the DEF going 30/39 360 yds, 5TDS, 0INTS, 0 fumbs. Yeah ARZ was blown out 44-21 and it wasn’t even that close. The score was 37-7 in the 4th qtr. The only time it was close was when it was 14-7 in the 2nd qtr. The ARZ DEF can’t stop anyone. KC QB Pat Mahomes spread it around nicely and ARZ got caught looking multiple times. It also looks like without WR DeAndre Hopkins, ARZ QB Kyler Murray doesn’t feel comfortable throwing to anyone else. LW, I liked LV+3 and even with all of LV QB Derek Carr’s mistakes, LV was in it until the end. Also, had it not been for a missed 2pt conversion, LV would have at least had a PUSH. But, LV dug themselves a hole by not showing up in the 1st half and trailing 17-3. LV played catchup and the DEF started to play better but LV lost 24-19. Look for the OFF to get going in this game vs ARZ and the DEF to show up early as well. DE Chandler Jones may have something to say vs his old team. The O-LINE of LV needs to play better than giving up 6 sacks. L4 ARZ vs LV, LV 2-2 SU & 3-1 ATS. ARZ 41-34-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. ARZ 34-28 ATS AWAY in SEPT. ARZ 17-8 ATS as a DOG vs <.500 opp. ARZ 7-1 ATS as a DOG 4>pts vs <.500opp. LV 26-30 ATS @HOME in SEPT. LV 23-24 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. LV 12-8-1 ATS off SU DIV loss. LV 9-4 ATS L13 after LAC. LV 5-14-2 ATS L21 @HOME vs NFC. LV 0-12 ATS as a HF 8<pts off SU div RD loss. If LV doesn’t bounce back big and win this game big, then they are not for real. The LV DEF should make it their mission to harass Kyler Murray all day and not let him get comfortable. Carr needs to spread out the OFF as much as possible so that ARZ gets flat footed. This should be an easy game for LV and they should definitely win by at least 2tds. The LV DEF needs to shut down ARZ RB James Connor and Murray will have nowhere to go. Usually a team that gets blown out plays tighter the next week but, KC exposed the fact that there is nothing there in ARZ and that they are ripe for the pickings. Lay the points here.
ARZ INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR Rondale Moore (Hamstring) Questionable, WR DeAndre Hopkins (Suspended) Out, QB Colt McCoy (Arm) Out, WR Antoine Wesley (Hip) Out, CB Marco Wilson (Leg) Questionable, CB Trayvon Mullen (Toe) Questionable S Charles Washington (Chest) Out, CB Antonio Hamilton (Foot) Out, OL Justin Pugh (Neck) Questionable, OL Cody Ford (Ankle) Out, OL Marquis Hayes (Knee) Out, DE J.J. Watt (Calf)Questionable.
LV INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
DE Jordan Jenkins (Knee) Out, WR DJ Turner (Ankle) Questionable, S Tre'von Moehriq (Hip) Questionable, CB Anthony Averett (Thumb) Out, RB Brandon Bolden (Hamstring) Questionable, RB Sincere McCormick (Undisclosed) Out, LB Micah Kiser (Knee) Out LB Denzel Perryman (Ankle) Questionable, C Andre James (Head) Questionable, OT Brandon Parker (Triceps) Out, DT Andrew Billings (Undisclosed) Questionable, DE Clelin Ferrell N/A N/A.
THE PICK: LV-5 ½
Sunday September 18th, 2022 8:15pm
Chicago Bears (1-0), (1-0) ATS, (0-0) AWAY, (0-0) ATS @ GB Packers (0-1), (0-1) ATS, (0-0) HOME, (0-0) ATS CHI+10
Is it time to worry about GB? In 2021 week 1, GB lost horrendously to NO 38-3. Everyone was casting doubt on GB QB Aaron Rodgers and everything else GB. They rebounded well and went to the playoffs. But that’s the key to what Rodgers does, rebounds well. Yes, LW they were manhandled by MINN 23-7. Rodgers was sacked 4x and intercepted 1x. GB was down 20-0 before they found the endzone. GB QB Jordan Love even saw some action, so you know it was either a big blowout for GB or a total loss for GB. Yes, there are some injuries to the GB O-LINE that need to be addressed. But, I am confident that they will get some of them fixed before this game. LW, CHI won @HOME vs SF 19-10. What is a little deceptive is CHI QB Justin Fields stats. Fields was 8/17, 121 yds, 2tds, 1INT. However, on his td pass to WR Dante Pettis which was for 51 yds, if you take that away, all his other passes totaled 70yds, not that impressive. Yes, the weather in the game turned out to be a monsoon but, SF had 331 total yds of OFF to 204 for CHI. L15 GB(H) vs CHI, GB 12-3 SU & 10-5 ATS. L22 GB vs CHI, GB 17-5 ATS. CHI 23-33 ATS AWAY in SEPT. CHI 21-28 ATS vs NFC NORTH in SEPT. CHI 34-34 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. CHI 0-8 ATS AWAY vs opp off SU FAV loss. CHI 10-16 ATS AWAY on SNF. CHI 11-20 ATS as a DOG on SNF. Rodgers is 23-5 SU vs CHI. L23 GB vs CHI, ROAD 13-10 ATS. GB 11-5 ATS on SNF off SU loss. GB 17-9 ATS as a FAV on SNF. GB 12-6 ATS @HOME on SNF. GB 35-27-1 ATS @HOME in SEPT. GB 41-39 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. GB 29-18-1 ATS vs NFC NORTH in SEPT. GB 27-11-1 ATS after DIV GM. GB 21-7 ATS as a FAV after div gm. GB 14-4 ATS off DD ATS loss. 6-0 ATS after scoring 14<pts. Rodgers 12-2 ATS in HOME OPENERS. This is a bounceback game for GB & Rodgers and he is very good at bouncing back. Also, Rodgers owns CHI. Whether it has been @CHI or @HOME in GB. CHI is in a rebuild and a feeling out for QB Justin Fields. There is really no one behind him if he should falter. The DEF for GB has to be better and it needs to put pressure on the QB. Fields is a young QB, so GB should throw different looks at him to force mistakes. Last season @GB, Fields was 18/33 for 224 yds 2TDs, 2INTs. CHI was leading at the half, 27-21 but GB made some adjustments and ran away with it in the 2nd half, winning 45-30. Lay the points here as GB gets their O-LINE in line and GB rolls.
CHI INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
DB Tavon Young (Undisclosed) Out, WR David Moore (Lower Leg) Out, WR N'Keal Harry (Ankle) Out, WR Velus Jones Jr. (Hamstring) Questionable, OL Doug Kramer (Foot) Out, OL Dakota Dozier (Leg/Knee) Out.
GB INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
LB Quay Walker (Shoulder) Questionable, WR Allen Lazard (Ankle) Questionable, CB Keisean Nixon (Shoulder) Questionable, RB Kylin Hill (Knee) Out, LB Krys Barnes (Ankle) Questionable, OT David Bakhtiari (Knee) Questionable, G Elgton Jenkins (Knee (ACL)) Questionable.
THE PICK: GB-10
Monday September 19th, 2022 7:15pm
Tennessee Titans (0-1), (0-1) ATS, (0-0) AWAY, (0-0) ATS @ Buffalo Bills (1-0), (1-0) ATS (0-0) HOME, (0-0) ATS TENN+10
LW, TENN blew the game @HOME vs NYG. It was a combination of NYG coming out with a different game plan in the 2nd half trailing 13-0 & TENN playing lame and didn’t make plays, period. Hence, TENN lost 21-20 @HOME to NYG. TENN deserved to lose the game. If TENN was playing the game right it would have been a blowout from the get go as I had said in my predictions. This should be a wake up call for HC Mike Vrabel and the team that the season could quickly get away from them if they don’t make some changes. LW on TNF, BUFF dominated LAR @ LAR, 31-10. It was 10-10 @halftime. However, it wasn’t a game in the 2nd half as the BUFF DEF just shut down the LAR OFF and plowed through the LAR DEF like it wasn’t even there. QB Josh Allen looked good and the BUFF DEF sacked LAR QB Matthew Stafford 7x and intercepted him 3x. BUFF & TENN know each other well having played each other 4x in the last four seasons. L9 BUFF vs TENN, TENN 6-3 SU & 7-2 ATS incl TENN @BUFF, TENN 3-1 SUATS. L4 TENN vs BUFF, 2-2 SUATS. TENN 31-26 ATS AWAY in SEPT. TENN 36-22 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. TENN 8-1 ATS on MNF, 1 NL. TENN 5-7 ATS as a ROAD DOG on MNF. BUFF 8-6 ATS @HOME on MNF. BUFF 5-4 ATS as HOME FAV on MNF. BUFF 33-23-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. BUFF 37-25-1 ATS @HOME in SEPT. BUFF 6-14 ATS @HOME off DD ATS win. BUFF 7-2-1 ATS before MIA. This is a must win game for TENN or otherwise they are looking at 0-2 already and that’s not good. INDY was picked to win the AFC SOUTH by many and right now INDY is ahead. BUFF may be the FAV to win it all but for BUFF it could be a trap game as they look ahead to MIA. The points are just too big to ignore here and there could be an upset in BUFF if they are not careful. For this to happen, TENN needs to have a more balanced attack on OFF and needs to make some stops on DEF.
TENN INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
K Caleb Shudak (Leg) Out, WR Racey McMath (Hip) Out, CB Lonnie Johnson (Groin) Questionable, CB Elijah Molden (Groin) Out, S A.J. Moore (Ankle) Questionable, LB Chance Campbell (Knee) Out, LB Monty Rice (Achilles) Out, OLB Harold Landry III (Knee (ACL)) Out, OL Jamarco Jones (Triceps) Questionable, TE Tommy Hudson (Undisclosed) Out OLB Ola Adeniyi (Shoulder) Questionable.
BUFF INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR Marquez Stevenson (Foot) Out, LB Andre Smith (Suspended) Out, CB Tre'Davious White (ACL) Out, G Ike Boettger (Achilles) Out, OT Tommy Doyle (Foot) Questionable, TE Quintin Morris (Hamstring) Questionable, DT Ed Oliver (Ankle/Foot) Questionable.
THE PICK: TENN+10
Monday September 19th, 2022 8:30pm
Minnesota Vikings (1-0), (1-0) ATS, (0-0) AWAY, (0-0) ATS @ Philadelphia Eagles (1-0), (0-1) ATS, (0-0) HOME, (0-0) ATS MINN+2
Maybe the critics were wrong about MINN. A lot of them had picked MINN to finish 2022 around .500 because of QB Kirk Cousins. Well, he looked pretty good vs GB on SUN. MINN overall, looked damn good vs GB and was totally dominant on both sides of the ball. It was MINN 20-0 in the 3rd qtr and GB was in panic mode. The MINN DEF even sacked GB QB Aaron Rodgers 4x and intercepted him 1x. The question is, can MINN keep it up? Can Cousins keep it up? LW, PHILLY was leading 38-21 @DET but let DET score 2tds in the 4th qtr to get a backdoor cover. The spread was PHILLY-4 and I thought it was a good pick. You can’t let teams think they have hope to get back into the game. PHILLY gave up a lot on the ground even though some of it was in garbage time. That doesn’t bode well for the DEF. PHILLY RB Miles Sanders looked good and with him healthy and playing well will take a lot of pressure off of QB Jalen Hurts. But if PHILLY is going to run vs MINN, good luck. They need a balanced attack to keep the MINN DEF on its toes. L7 MINN vs PHILLY, MINN 4-3 SU & 4-3 ATS, incl 2-2 SUATS @PHILLY. MINN 11-11 ATS as a ROAD DOG on MNF. MINN 2-8 ATS AWAY on MNF. MINN 25-27-3 ATS AWAY in SEPT. MINN 31-22-4 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. MINN L14, 9-5 ATS vs NFC EAST. MINN 0-7 ATS as a non-div DOG aft allowing 10<pts. MINN 12-6 ATS L18 aft GB. MINN 1-7 ATS AWAY off SU DOG win. MINN 21-12 ATS as a DOG 6<pts vs opp off SU win. MINN 4-9 ATS off SU DOG win vs .500>opp. MINN 7-1 ATS as a RD off DD SU win. MINN 2-12 ATS as a RD <7pts off DD SU win. PHILLY 11-2 ATS on MNF off SU win. PHILLY 17-6 ATS as a HF on MNF. PHILLY 21-33 ATS @HOME in SEPT. PHILLY 28-42 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. PHILLY 0-8 ATS @HOME vs opp off SU DOG win. PHILLY 0-6 ATS @HOME vs non-div opp off SU DOG win. PHILLY 8-0 ATS as a non-div FAV <7pts after scoring 35>pts. PHILLY 2-10 ATS off non div gm vs opp off SU DOG win. MINN looks strong and if they stay healthy they may give GB a run in the NFC NORTH, just maybe. It all comes down to Cousins. However, it was a divisional game and the GB O-LINE was ravaged. LW, PHILLY looked good early vs DET but hey, it’s DET. DET hasn’t had a winning record since 2017 so beating them is not impressive. Especially having them make the score close. Both teams are coming off a win, one impressive, the other not so impressive. I like MINN here. MINN may dominate here if they can keep to a balanced attack. The DEF for MINN needs to play like they did vs GB.
MINN INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
RB Alexander Mattison (Non Injury Related) N/A, S Lewis Cine (Knee) Questionable, WR Blake Proehl (ACL) Out, CB Andrew Booth Jr. (Quad) Doubtful, LB Ryan Connelly (Knee (ACL)) Out, DE Kenny Willekes (Undisclosed) Out, WR Bisi Johnson (Knee (ACL)) Out, WR Thomas Hennigan (Undisclosed) Out.
PHILLY INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
OT Brett Toth (Knee) Out, OT Andre Dillard (Forearm) Out, TE Tyree Jackson (Knee (ACL)) Out, DE Derek Barnett (Knee) Out.
THE PICK: MINN+2