2022 NFL SCHEDULE WEEK 3 (ATS)

All times Eastern Standard Time

ALL SPREADS ARE COURTESY OF CAESARS HOTEL IN LAS VEGAS @ THE TIME OF ANALYSIS

Thursday September 22^nd, 2022 8:20pm

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1), (1-1) ATS, (1-0) AWAY, (1-0) ATS @ Cleveland Browns (1-1), (1-1) ATS, (0-1) HOME, (0-1) ATS                     PITT+4 ½   

LW, CLEV @HOME vs NYJ were leading 30-17 with 1:55 to go in the game and lost 31-30. I said in my analysis LW, that it was a must win game for NYJ and that they could win outright. They never gave up hope and overcame the impossible. The DEF for CLEV was not existent because they were playing PREVENT. As HOF HC John Madden used to say “the Prevent DEF prevents you from winning”. This is what happened here. By all accounts, the CLEVE DEF was torched by NYJ QB Joe Flacco, and not just in the last 2 minutes. PITT needs to take note. CLEVE RB Nick Chubb probably wishes he just fell down instead of scoring that last td to make the score 30-17. Had he fell down with the score 24-17, CLEV would have been able to run out the clock. But, he scored and CLEV missed the extra point, opening the door to the impossible. Plus, it didn’t help that CLEV QB Jacoby Brissett threw an INT in the final drive. LW, PITT @HOME vs NE fell behind 17-6 with the help of a muffed punt that turned into a NE td. Also, the PITT DEF needs to step it up vs the RUN. PITT gave up a combined 124yds on the ground. PITT didn’t lose badly after falling behind 17-6 but the Punt fumble did cost PITT in the end and that was the difference in the game. L15 CLEV(H) vs PITT, CLEV 5-9-1 SU & but 8-7 ATS. L30 PITT vs CLEV, PITT 24-5-1 SU & 16-13-1 ATS. L30 CLEV vs PITT, DOG 16-13-1 ATS. CLEV 8-3 ATS on TNF. CLEV 5-2 ATS @HOME on TNF. CLEV 4-2 ATS as a FAV on TNF. CLEV 7-15 ATS in 2^nd of BB HGs. CLEV 18-17 ATS vs AFC NORTH in SEPT. CLEV 19-22 ATS @HOME in SEPT. CLEV 7-12 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. CLEV 1-10 ATS @HOME with div/revenge off SU loss. CLEV 7-3 ATS @HOME vs opp off SUATS loss. CLEV 3-16 ATS w/div revenge off SU loss. PITT 3-8 ATS AWAY on TNF. PITT 1-5 ATS as a DOG on TNF. PITT 22-35-1 ATS AWAY in SEPT. PITT 13-23-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. PITT 17-20 ATS vs AFC NORTH in SEPT. PITT 16-6 ATS off SUATS loss vs opp off SUATS loss. PITT 8-0-1 ATS as a DOG vs 500>opp w/revenge. Both teams are coming off a loss and PITT is looking to find itself. CLEV is trying to win games and stay relevant until QB Deshaun Watson comes back. PITT has HC Mike Tomlin who never gives up and QB Mitch Trubisky is not playing that bad. Two keys for a PITT win. They need to establish the run and prevent CLEV from establishing their run game. If they can do that and make Brissett throw a lot, PITT will win. Also, no turnovers for PITT. The DEF for PITT has to be aggressive. The PITT DEF has their moments but it seems to be reactive instead of proactive. This game will be a dogfight as usual and will come down to a fg, so I like the points here. Take PITT.

PITT INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

RB Jeremy McNichols (Shoulder) Out, DB Carlins Platel (Undisclosed) Out, WR Anthony Miller (Shoulder) Out, WR Calvin Austin III (Foot) Out, S Damontae Kazee (Wrist/Arm) Out, S Karl Joseph (Ankle/Foot) Out, LB Hamilcar Rashed Jr. (Undisclosed) Out, LB Devin Bush (Foot) Probable, LB T.J. Watt (Pectoral) Out.

CLEV INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR Isaiah Weston (Knee) Out, QB Deshaun Watson (Suspension) Out, WR Jakeem Grant Sr. (Achilles) Out, CB Greedy Williams (Hamstring) Out, G Dawson Deaton (ACL) Out, C Nick Harris (Knee) Out, DE Isaiah Thomas (Hand) Probable, LB Chris Odom (Knee (ACL)) Out, OT Elijah Nkansah (Undisclosed) Out, DE Chase Winovich (Hamstring) Out, OT Chris Hubbard (Illness) Questionable, G Joel Bitonio (Biceps) Questionable OT Jack Conklin (Knee) Questionable, TE Jesse James (Biceps) Out, TE Harrison Bryant (Thumb/Thigh) Questionable, DE Jadeveon Clowney (Ankle) Out, DE Stephen Weatherly (Knee) Out, DE Myles Garrett (Neck) Questionable.

THE PICK: PITT+4 ½

Sunday September 25^th, 2022 1:00pm

Houston Texans (0-1-1), (2-0) ATS, (0-1) AWAY, (1-0) ATS @ Chicago Bears (1-1), (1-1) ATS, (1-0) HOME, (1-0) ATS                                HOU+3 ½  

LW, on SNF whether you may think it, CHI didn’t have a chance @GB. Not only was CHI not winning, they wouldn’t even cover. Rodgers owns CHI and I’m sure that he wants to make a statement with CHI that they were never in it. CHI is not going to win many games if QB Justin Fields throws 11 passes, completes 7 with 1INT. Plus, the running game was heavily relied upon to rush for 180 yds on 27 touches. That’s an unbalance attack. Fields is not getting the right QB experience here. Fields wasn’t that impressive either the week before @HOME vs SF. Fortunately, CHI plays HOU this week. HOU has their own problems. WEEK 1 they looked like gangbusters by taking a 20-3 lead vs INDY into the 4^th qtr only for the real HOU team to show up and blow the lead an settle for a 20-20 tie. Then in week 2 @DEN, HOU is up 9-6 in the 4^th qtr and lose the game 16-9. Good thing HOU was getting +10, which I liked because DEN has a lot of problems of their own. HOU needs to learn to close out games. HOU HC Lovie Smith & his assistants need to teach this team how to win. Smith should be able to because a long long time ago he was the DC of the greatest show on Turf. CB Derek Stingley Jr. is the only one in the secondary that CHI needs to worry about. He will be a star but he can’t do it alone. L5 CHI vs HOU, HOU 4-1 SUATS. HOU 6-10-3 ATS in 2^nd of BB RGs. HOU 20-23 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. HOU 17-18 ATS AWAY in SEPT. HOU 11-7-1 ATS aft scoring 10<pts. HOU 14-3-1 ATS as a DOG after scoring 10<pts vs 750<opp. HOU 1-9 ATS vs non-conf opp off SU loss. CHI 20-26-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. CHI 30-31-1 ATS @HOME in SEPT. CHI 7-3 ATS as a FAV <6pts vs 333<opp off ATS win. CHI 7-1 ATS as a HF <6pts vs 333<opp off ATS win. CHI is coming off an embarrassing loss on SNF and should be able to correct some problems this week vs HOU. But they still have multiple problems and no real backup for Fields if he should lose his way. HOU is in a complete rebuild and just trying to find guys that can fill spots. There is not one all-star on the whole roster as former HC Bill O’Brien destroyed the roster. HOU is basically starting from scratch and QB David Mills is trying but he needs some playmakers around him because he can’t do it alone. I like CHI to get an easy win here unless they get turnoveritous and HOU finds a way to turn them all into points.

HOU INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

DB Tavierre Thomas (Quadriceps) Out, WR John Metchie III (Illness) Out, TE Brevin Jordan (Ankle) Questionable, RB Darius Anderson (Knee) Out, LB Christian Harris (Hamstring) Out, ILB Kevin Pierre-Louis (Groin) Out, OL Justin Britt (Personal) Out, OT Cedric Ogbuehi (Undisclosed) Out, TE Teagan Quitoriano (Knee) Out, DE Derek Rivers (Bicep) Out, DE Mario Addison (Thigh) Out.

CHI INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

OL Dakota Dozier (Leg/Knee) Out, WR N'Keal Harry (Ankle) Out, WR Velus Jones Jr. (Hamstring) Questionable, DB Dane Cruikshank (Hamstring) Questionable, OL Doug Kramer (Foot) Out, OL Alex Leatherwood (Undisclosed) Out.

THE PICK: CHI-3 ½

LV Raiders (0-2), (0-2) ATS, (0-1) AWAY, (0-1) ATS @ Tennessee Titans (0-2), (0-2) ATS, (0-1) HOME, (0-1) ATS                                    TENN+2

The RAIDERS don’t scare anyone but is TENN really this bad? TENN looked horrible on MNF losing @BUFF 41-7. BUFF scored 41pts through 3qtrs and if they didn’t take BUFF QB Josh Allen out and some starters, BUFF would have scored 60pts, no question. The DEF for TENN looks bad and TENN QB Ryan Tannehill has no one to throw to. WRs AJ Brown & Julio Jones are not there. This puts a lot of coverage on Nick Westbrook-Ikhine and newly acquired Robert Woods. The rookie Treylon Burks could emerge as the NO#1 but TENN has to figure out their O-LINE. It seemed like vs BUFF, Tannehill was rushed on every play and couldn’t get comfortable. Plus, he threw 2INTS which didn’t help. Plus, other mistakes by TENN only helped BUFF pour it on. LW, the RAIDERS had a nice 20-0 Halftime lead @HOME vs ARZ. The lead was LV 23-7 in the 4^th qtr and then the DEF for LV disappeared. The OFF for LV didn’t do anything either. After getting beaten badly @HOME in week 1 by KC, ARZ stormed back and took advantage of no-DEF-NO OFF look from LV and beat LV in OT. LV deserved to lose because of their sloppy play and penalties on DEF that gave ARZ plenty of chances. Ultimately it was fumble by LV in OT that was returned by ARZ for a td that ended the game ARZ 29-23. L9 TENN vs LV, LV 5-4 SU & 6-3 ATS, incl @TENN, LV 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS. LV 2-8-1 ATS  L11 as a ROAD FAV. LV 32-25 ATS AWAY in SEPT. LV 23-25 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. LV 13-6 ATS AWAY vs AFC SOUTH. LV since 2007, off SU OT loss, 1-1 ATS. LV 2-14-1 ATS off SU FAV loss vs <500 opp. LV 9-4 ATS L13 vs AFC SOUTH. LV 2-151 ATS as a FAV vs opp off BB SU Losses. LV 0-11 ATS as a non-div FAV vs opp off BB SU losses. LV 10-8 ATS vs 333<conf opp. TENN 13-7 ATS L20 as a HOME DOG. TENN 33-26 ATS @HOME in SEPT. TENN 36-23 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. TENN 5-13 ATS @HOME vs AFC WEST. TENN 1-8 ATS off BB SU losses vs opp off BB SU losses. TENN 7-2 ATS before INDY. LV doesn’t scare anyone. Their O-LINE is terrible and LV QB Derek Carr has been known to have happy feet. Put pressure on him and he disintegrates. You give Carr a dangerous weapon like WR Davante Adams and Adams gets a lousy 2 receptions for 12yds? Carr is predictable. TENN was the #1 seed in 2021 and they need to get going or otherwise they can call it quits. Luckily, they are in the AFC SOUTH where no one team has claimed dominance. The O-LINE for TENN needs to play better with running lanes and protection. TENN O-LINE needs to be concerned with LV DE Maxx Crosby & DE Chandler Jones. These two can wreck havoc but can’t do it alone but, it seems like they are. TENN needs this game and should get some kind of OFF going in a bounceback from a blowout. Also, less mistakes from TENN would help. Look for TENN RB Derrick Henry to have a BIG game. I like TENN here.

LV INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

DE Jordan Jenkins (Knee) Out, RB Sincere McCormick (Undisclosed) Out, WR Hunter Renfrow (Concussion) Questionable, WR Dillon Stoner (Undisclosed) Out, WR DJ Turner (Ankle) Out, S Tre'Von Moehrig (Hip) Questionable, CB Anthony Averett (Thumb) Out, RB Brandon Bolden (Hamstring) Questionable, LB Micah Kiser (Knee) Out, LB Denzel Perryman (Ankle) Questionable, C Andre James (Head) Questionable, OT Brandon Parker (Triceps) Out, DT Bilal Nichols (Shoulder) Questionable, DE Clelin Ferrell N/A N/A.

TENN INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

K Caleb Shudak (Leg) Out, WR Racey McMath (Hip) Out, CB Elijah Molden (Groin) Out, CB Kristian Fulton (Hamstring) Questionable, S A.J. Moore (Ankle) Out, RB Dontrell Hilliard (Hamstring) Questionable, LB Chance Campbell (Knee) Out, LB Monty Rice (Achilles) Out, OLB Harold Landry III (Knee (ACL)) Out, OL Jamarco Jones (Triceps) Questionable, TE Tommy Hudson (Undisclosed) Out, DE Da'Shawn Hand (Quad) Out.

THE PICK: TENN+2

KC Chiefs (2-0), (1-1) ATS, (1-0) AWAY, (1-0) ATS @ Indianapolis Colts (0-1-1), (0-2) ATS, (0-0) HOME, (0-0) ATS                                INDY+6 ½

LW on TNF, LAC were @KC but LAC was the better team. I liked LAC +4 and they did it style with a back door cover. The big hit was the 99yd PICK6 that was thrown by LAC QB Justin Herbert to KC Jaylen Watson which broke a 17-17 tie. It was a swing in KC’s direction. KC QB Pat Mahomes was able to spread the KC OFF as he is used to doing and KC escaped with the win 27-24. LW, INDY didn’t get off the plane @JAGS and lost 24-0. INDY QB Matt Ryan had 3INTS, one of which was turned into a td for the JAGS. INDY couldn’t even sack JAGS QB Trevor Lawrence as Ryan was sacked 5x. With no pressure on the QB by INDY, Lawrence went 25/30 and had all day to throw. Ryan needs to do a better job and the DEF needs to put pressure on and make some stops. Nothing positive about the game for INDY, just move on from it and learn. L8 KC vs INDY, INDY 5-3 SU & 4-4 ATS. KC 20-17-1 ATS L38 as a ROAD FAV. KC 8-9 ATS in 1^st of BB RGs. KC 39-23 ATS AWAY in SEPT. KC 35-29 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. KC 11-6-1 ATS AWAY vs AFC SOUTH. KC 11-2 ATS as a RF <7pts off BB SU wins. KC 17-8 ATS as a conf RF <7pts. KC 17-3-1 ATS AWAY aft BB SU wins. KC 11-1 ATS as a FAV 3>pts off div gm vs opp off SU loss. KC 9-0 ATS after div gm vs 500<opp. KC 1-6 ATS as a non-div conf RF >3pts. INDY 6-9 ATS L15 as a HOME DOG. INDY 26-30 ATS @HOME in SEPT. INDY 23-24 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. INDY 10-5-1 ATS in 1^st of BB HGs. INDY 24-9-1 ATS as a DOG >1pt off SU loss. INDY 10-3 ATS off div gm vs 600>opp. INDY 6-0 ATS as a DOG >3pts aft scoring <14pts. INDY 13-7-1 ATS off SU FAV loss. INDY 16-5-1 ATS off DD ATS loss. INDY 12-1 ATS off DD ATS loss vs opp off SU win. This is a must make themselves relevant again kind of game for INDY. Everyone has them picked to walk away with the AFC SOUTH but so far they have seriously disappointed everyone and themselves. After their poor showing @HOU & @JAGS which I picked both games against them, INDY needs to look deep inside themselves and say if they think they can turn things around. On paper it is a good team. KC & Mahomes are going to do their thing but INDY has to keep this game competitive on both sides of the ball to stay in this until the end. I like the points here that INDY is getting because it’s just too big to ignore. Don’t be surprised if INDY jumps out to a nice early lead. But KC will come back and win but won’t cover.

KC INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR Justyn Ross (Foot) Out, K Harrison Butker (Ankle) Questionable, WR Mecole Hardman (Ankle) Questionable, CB Trent McDuffie (Hamstring) Out, CB Jaylen Watson (Shoulder) Questionable, LB Willie Gay (Suspended) Out, DE Mike Danna (Calf) Questionable, DE Frank Clark (Illness) N/A, OT Lucas Niang (Kneecap) Out, TE Blake Bell (Hip) Out, WR Justin Watson (Shoulder) Questionable. 

INDY INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

S Armani Watts (Ankle) Out, P Rigoberto Sanchez (Achilles) Out, WR Michael Pittman Jr. (Quad) Questionable, WR Alec Pierce (Concussion) Questionable, S Trevor Denbow (Foot) Out, LB Shaquille Leonard (Back) Questionable, OT Carter O'Donnell (Undisclosed) Out, TE Andrew Ogletree (Knee (ACL)) Out. 

THE PICK: INDY+6 ½

Buffalo Bills (2-0), (2-0) ATS, (1-0) AWAY, (1-0) ATS @ Miami Dolphins (2-0), (2-0) ATS, (1-0) HOME, (1-0) ATS                                         MIA+5 ½  

Is BUFF the real deal? On MNF BUFF scored 41pts and that was just in 3qtrs. BUFF QB Josh Allen shredded the TENN DEF and he didn’t even play in the 4^th qtr. Final score, BUFF 41-7. This game was tied 7-7 in the 1^st qtr and then BUFF just stepped it up. Their DEF was incredible too, holding TENN RB Derrick Henry to just 25yds rushing on 13 carries, 2INTS, one a PICK6 and recovering 2 fumbles. It was MEN vs boys. TENN was the #1 AFC playoff seed last year but, you wouldn’t know it from this game. Allen seemed to complete passes at will and the TENN DEF seemed dumfounded. TENN had sloppy play in the 2^nd half vs BUFF which didn’t help their cause for at least trying to get back in the game after a BUFF 17-7 halftime score. It was a total team effort by BUFF. LW @ BALT, MIA was down 35-14 in the 4^th qtr and you would have thought that the game was over. But no one told MIA HC Mike McDaniel and the rest of the team. MIA showed a lot of character and scored 4tds in the 4^th qtr to win 42-38. The MIA DEF made some plays while the MIA OFF found itself. MIA QB Tua Tagovailoa was unconscious with 6tds and 469yds passing. MIA WRs Tyreek Hill & Jaylen Waddle each caught 2tds and Hill had 190 yds receiving, while Waddle had 171 yds receiving. It was a great comeback win for MIA and showed that they have explosive talent on OFF that cannot be ignored. L15 MIA(H) vs BUFF, MIA 7-8 SUATS. L26 MIA vs BUFF, BUFF 15-10 ATS 1NL. L22 MIA vs BUFF, HOME 12-9 ATS 1NL. L29 MIA vs BUFF, HOME 16-12 ATS 1NL. L10 BUFF vs MIA, BUFF 9-1 SU & 7-2 ATS 1NL. BUFF 11-12 ATS L23 as a ROAD FAV. BUFF 11-9-1 ATS in 1^st of BB RGs. BUFF 29-22 ATS AWAY in SEPT. BUFF 34-23-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. BUFF 26-20 ATS vs AFC EAST in SEPT. BUFF 18-11 ATS as a div FAV 3>pts. BUFF 7-0 ATS as a div FAV 3>pts vs opp off SU DOG win. BUFF 8-4 ATS as a FAV after scoring 35>pts. BUFF 4-7 ATS as a FAV 3>pts after scoring 35>pts. BUFF 10-1 ATS vs opp off SU DOG win. MIA 18-12-1 ATS L31 as a HOME DOG. MIA 24-28-1 ATS @HOME in SEPT. MIA 21-22 ATS vs AFC EAST in SEPT. MIA 29-29-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. MIA 7-14-1 ATS after allowing 35>pts. MIA 3-8 ATS as a DOG after allowing 35>pts. MIA 5-6 ATS aft scoring 35>pts. MIA 10-4 ATS @HOME w /div revenge. MIA 14-8 ATS off SU DOG win vs conf opp. MIA 15-7 ATS as a DOG 2>pts vs opp off BB SUATS wins. MIA 10-3 ATS as a DOG 7<pts vs opp off BB SUATS wins. MIA 8-1 ATS as a conf DOG 7<pts vs opp off BB SUATS wins. This game has the makings of another shootout. MIA lost to BUFF both times in 2021 so there may be some revenge on the minds of some players even though there is a new HC. MIA is a team that doesn’t seem to give up but the secondary for BUFF is a lot better than the secondary for BALT. For MIA to win this game they can’t make mistakes early and have BUFF capitalize on it. Also, there is no comebacks vs BUFF. They don’t lift the foot off the petal if they are beating you. They make sure that you are buried. BUFF HC Sean McDermott is 9-1 SU vs MIA. If MIA wants to make a statement, this is the game to do it in. This game will come down to a fg and I like the big points here. A close game with MIA at least covering.  

BUFF INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR Marquez Stevenson (Foot) Out, LB Andre Smith (Suspended) Out, WR Gabe Davis (Ankle) Questionable, CB Tre'Davious White (ACL) Out, G Ike Boettger (Achilles) Out, OT Bobby Hart (Suspended) Out, DT Ed Oliver (Ankle/Foot) Questionable, DT Tim Settle (Calf) Questionable.

MIA INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

TE Adam Shaheen (Knee) Out, CB Trill Williams (Knee (ACL)) Out, WR Cedrick Wilson Jr. (Ribs) Questionable, CB Byron Jones (Achilles) Out, LB Channing Tindall (Illness) Questionable, S Clayton Fejedelem (Undisclosed) Out, FB John Lovett (Knee) Out LB Calvin Munson (Undisclosed) Out, OL Austin Jackson (Ankle) Out, TE Cethan Carter (Head) Questionable, TE Hunter Long (Ankle) Questionable.

THE PICK: MIA+5 ½

Detroit Lions (1-1), (2-0) ATS, (0-0) AWAY, (0-0) ATS @ Minnesota Vikings (1-1), (1-1) ATS, (1-0) HOME, (1-0) ATS                                DET+6

LW, on MNF, MINN QB Kirk Cousins showed everyone why he is not ready for “Prime Time”. His record with WASH during Prime Time games was atrocious and continues with MINN. His 3INTS in the 2^nd half of the game @PHILLY, when MINN was already down 24-7 didn’t help MINN’s cause, especially an INT that was in the endzone. On MNF, MINN scored 1td in the first half and punted 4x. Also, the MINN DEF seemed to be out of place on many plays that PHILLY took advantage of to create the lead at halftime 24-7 that ended up being the final score. LW, DET played hard @HOME vs WASH and took at 22-0 halftime lead. The DEF for DET forced WASH to punt 6x in the 1^st half and sacked WASH QB Carson Wentz in the endzone for a safety. DET HC Dan Campbell has his players believing that they can do better than 2021 when DET started 0-10-1. WASH mounted a comeback in the 2^nd half getting as close as 22-15 before losing to DET 36-27. DET has to learn to not let up and let teams get back into it. However, in week 1 they were manhandled by PHILLY 38-35. The score in that game was PHILLY 31-14 before DET mounted an unsuccessful comeback. DET QB Jared Goff has played better since coming over from LAR and he is making better decisions which helps. L15 MINN(H) vs DET, MINN 11-4 SU & 7-6-2 ATS. L16 MINN vs DET, AWAY 9-6-1 ATS. L30 DET vs MINN, HOME 13-14-3 ATS. L22 DET vs MINN, DOG 10-10-2 ATS. L30 MINN vs DET, DOG 12-15-3 ATS. MINN 36-25-2 ATS @HOME in SEPT. MINN 28-33-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. MINN 24-23-2 ATS vs NFC NORTH in SEPT. MINN 15-4 ATS @HOME off SU loss. DET 20-26 ATS vs NFC NORTH in SEPT. DET 24-33 ATS AWAin SEPT. DET 39-33 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. DET 4-13 ATS after scoring 35>pts. DET 1-11 ATS after scoring 35>pts vs 333.opp. These two teams know each other and don’t like each other. Campbell knows that to get DET better, they have to beat the teams in their own division. This is where it starts. This is a bounceback game for MINN after the MNF loss. I like MINN to win this game and win by a TD. The key for DET is stopping the run game of MINN and putting it all on Kirk Cousins shoulders. If they can do that and get their own running game going like they did vs WASH, DET will be in this game throughout. If Goff has to pass 50x it will spell disaster for DET. The DET DEF isn’t there yet and they have shown that they can get burned.

DET INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR Jameson Williams (Torn ACL) Out, CB Amani Oruwariye (Hamstring) Questionable, S Ifeatu Melifonwu (Hamstring) Questionable, CB Jerry Jacobs (ACL) Out, FB Jason Cabinda (Knee) Out, G Halapoulivaati Vaitai (Back) Out, G Jonah Jackson (Finger) Questionable, C Frank Ragnow (Groin/Foot) Questionable, G Tommy Kraemer (Back) Out, DL Levi Onwuzurike (Back) Out, DL Josh Paschal (Sports Hernia) Out, DL Romeo Okwara (Achilles) Out.

MINN INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

RB Alexander Mattison (Non Injury Related) N/A, WR Blake Proehl (ACL) Out, CB Andrew Booth Jr. (Quad) Questionable, LB Ryan Connelly (Knee (ACL)) Out, DE Kenny Willekes (Undisclosed) Out, WR Bisi Johnson (Knee (ACL)) Out, WR Thomas Hennigan (Undisclosed) Out.

THE PICK: MINN-6

Baltimore Ravens (1-1), (1-1) ATS, (1-0) AWAY, (1-0) ATS @ NE Patriots (1-1), (1-1) ATS, (0-0) HOME, (0-0) ATS                                    NE+3

LW, BALT was up 35-14 in the 4^th qtr and people probably thought that the game was over. I’m sure that everyone in BALT thought that the game was over. Especially, after BALT QB Lamar Jackson ran for a 79yd td to put the score at BALT 35-14. Well, somehow the message didn’t get to MIA HC Mike McDaniel & the rest of the MIA team. The BALT DEF went into a total collapse and MIA went on to win 42-38 by scoring 4tds in the 4^th qtr. The DEF of BALT was torched. To note, MIA won on the arm of QB Tua Tagovailoa and not the running game. The BALT secondary is not that good. Plus, they only sacked Tua, 1x. LW, NE beat a so-so PITT team that really hasn’t found themselves just yet.  NE had jumped to a nice 17-6 lead by the 3^rd qtr with the help of a gift but it was the DEF for NE in the end that saved the game for NE. NE stopped PITT on two last drives that forced PITT to punt and that basically was the game. NE won 17-14. NE QB Mac Jones is doing what he needs to do to win which is good enough for NE & HC Bill Belichick. L7 BALT vs NE incl playoffs, BALT 5-1-1 ATS. L9 BALT vs NE, not incl playoffs, NE 7-2 SU & 6-2-1 ATS. L5 NE(H) vs BALT, NE 5-0 SU & 4-0-1 ATS. BALT 16- 13-1 ATS L30 as a ROAD FAV. BALT 28-30 ATS AWAY in SEPT. BALT 37-32 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. BALT 3-11 ATS off non-div SU FAV loss. NE 5-2 ATS as a HOME DOG. NE 25-31-2 ATS @ HOME in SEPT. NE 18-18 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. NE 33-15-3 ATS L50 (H) vs non-div. NE 10-2-2 ATS L14 vs AFC NORTH. NE 4-11 ATS off SU non-div win vs .500>non div opp. NE 18-4 ATS off non-div gm vs opp off SU loss 4>pts. BALT hasn’t really shown us anything this season. They beat a bad NYJ team in week 1 and lost to an up and coming MIA team in week 2. NE lost to the same MIA team in week 1 and beat a so-so PITT team in week 2. In years past it was Tom Brady vs the BALT DEF. That BALT DEF is long gone and the DEF for BALT gave up 547 total yds to MIA. The MIA DEF gave up total yds in the 300s to PITT and MIA wk 1. The BALT DEF is susceptible to the long pass but NE doesn’t have sprinters like MIA. One thing NE knows how to do is spread the ball around and that’s what they will do in this game. This will be another low scoring NE game where turnovers will be costly. If Mac Jones gets time, he will pick this DEF apart. BALT didn’t really add any new faces to the roster in the off-season so the whole team is just a year older. It will take its toll. Take NE in this game as they win at home.  

BALT INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR James Proche II (Groin) Questionable, WR Devin Duvernay (Concussion) Questionable, DB Brandon Stephens (Quad) Questionable, CB Kyle Fuller (Knee) Out, RB J.K. Dobbins (Knee (ACL)) Questionable, RB Gus Edwards (ACL) Out, OLB Vince Biegel (Achilles) Out, ILB Josh Ross (Foot) Out, OLB Tyus Bowser (Achilles) Out, OLB Steven Means (Ankle) Out, OT Ja'Wuan James (Achilles) Out, OT Ronnie Stanley (Ankle) Questionable, WR Slade Bolden (Undisclosed) Out, TE Charlie Kolar (Sports Hernia) Out, OLB David Ojabo (Achilles) Out, DT Travis Jones (Knee) Questionable. 

NE INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

K Quinn Nordin (Undisclosed) Out, WR Tyquan Thornton (Collarbone) Out, WR Ty Montgomery (Ankle) Out, WR Kristian Wilkerson (Concussion) Out, DB Kyle Dugger (Knee) Questionable, S Joshuah Bledsoe (Knee) Questionable, CB Joejuan Williams (Shoulder) Out, LB Ronnie Perkins (Undisclosed) Out, OL Andrew Stueber (Hamstring) Out, DT Daniel Ekuale (Suspended) Out. 

THE PICK: NE+3

Cincinnati Bengals (0-2), (0-2) ATS, (0-1) AWAY, (0-1) ATS @ NY Jets (1-1), (1-1) ATS, (0-1) HOME, (0-1) ATS                                        NYJ+6  

LW, NYJ did the impossible. I said that it was a must win game for NYJ and I was looking rather foolish for 58 minutes of the game @CLEV. NYJ were down 30-17 with 1:55 to go in the game. CLEV’s RB Nick Chubb ran in for a td instead of falling down outside the endzone and having CLEVE run out the clock. After he scored the td, CLEV missed the extra point. Then CLEV kicked off. The NYJ took 2 plays and scored a td to make it 30-24. Then they recovered the onside kick and went 9plays to score a td and an extra point to lead 31-30. CLEV got the ball back but CLEV QB Jacoby Brissett threw an INT to end the game. NYJ QB Joe Flacco looked like his old self in this one, going 26/44, 307 yds, 4tds, 0INTS but, 1 lost fumble that fortunately didn’t turn into points. CLEV had a nice balancing attack, keeping the NYJ DEF on its back toes. CLEV rushed for a combined 184yds and 3tds which took a lot of pressure off of Brissett. Flacco was able to spread it around but they need to get more out of their RBs. LW, CINNCY was a heavy FAV-7 ½ @DAL. Bad pick here as CINNCY’s so called “Refurbished” O-LINE has given up 13 sacks total in the first two games. You cannot win when your QB is constantly running for his life. The CINNCY DEF has not done their job either the last two weeks and it seems like if they face someone with some talent, they will get burned. CINNCY & DAL both punted 5x so there wasn’t much action going on. Also, CINNCY dug themselves a hole with a 17-3 halftime deficit. CINNCY was able to tie the score but DAL kicked a last second fg to win 20-17. L9 CINNCY vs NYJ, NYJ 5-4 SU & 6-3 ATS, incl NYJ(H) vs CINNCY, NYJ 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS. L9, CINNCY vs NYJ, HOME is 9-0 ATS. CINNCY 8-4 ATS L12 as a RAOD FAV. CINNCY 11-5-1 ATS in 2^nd of BB RGs. CINNCY 31-27 ATS AWAY in SEPT. CINNCY 15-27 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. CINNCY 2-12 ATS AWAY vs AFC EAST. CINNCY 8-11 ATS AWAY off BB SU losses. CINNCY 11-10 ATS as a FAV <7pts off DD ATS loss. CINNCY 20-6 ATS off non-conf gm vs non-div opp. CINNCY 7-3 ATS as a conf ROAD FAV. CINNCY 10-2 ATS as a non-div FAV off non conf gm. CINNCY 10-1 ATS as a non-div FAV 3>pts off non-conf gm. NYJ 20-21-1 ATS L42 as a HOME DOG. NYJ 29-39 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. NYJ 20-35 ATS @HOME in SEPT. NYJ 8-18 ATS L26 after scoring 25>pts. NYJ 0-6 ATS L6 after scoring 28>pts. Last season, NYJ were a HUGE HOME DOG @+10 but somehow managed to upset CINNCY in WEEK 8, 34-31. It was one of the very few bright spots the NYJ had in the 2021 season. Will CINNCY & Joe Burrow remember? They need to get their O-LINE in sync fast but, it just doesn’t take a week to get it done. You can’t just insert someone and think it’s all good from now on. This may be Flacco’s last game as the starting QB because Zach Wilson is slated to come back next week off the injured list. But, we will see. For now, he wants to continue playing well. As for CINNCY, they are desperate to get back on the winning ways and will probably win this game by a fg late in the game. NYJ needs to put pressure on Joe Burrow like the other teams have and it will be a very exciting game. Take the NYJ and the points and it may even be a shootout.

CINNCY INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

S Tycen Anderson (Hamstring) Out, CB Cam Taylor-Britt (Abdomen) Out, RB Elijah Holyfield (Knee) Out, S Brandon Wilson (Knee (ACL)) Out, LS Clark Harris (Biceps) Out, LB Joe Bachie (Knee) Out, C Ben Brown (Bicep) Out, OT Isaiah Prince (Elbow) Out, TE Devin Asiasi (Quadriceps) Questionable, TE Drew Sample (Knee) Questionable, DE Khalid Kareem (Hamstring) Out.

NYJ INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

OT Greg Senat (Undisclosed) Out, QB Zach Wilson (Meniscus) Out, FB Nick Bawden (Undisclosed) Out, OT Duane Brown (Shoulder) Out, OT Mekhi Becton (Kneecap) Out, TE C.J. Uzomah (Hamstring) Questionable, NT Quinnen Williams (Foot) Questionable, DL Vinny Curry (Hamstring) Out. 

THE PICK: NYJ+6

Philadelphia Eagles (2-0), (1-1) ATS, (1-0) AWAY, (0-1) ATS @ Washington Commanders (1-1), (1-1) ATS, (1-0) HOME, (1-0) ATS         WASH+6 ½  

LW, on MNF PHILLY @HOME was in total control vs MINN. It doesn’t hurt that MINN QB Kirk Cousins is just plain awful in PRIME TIME. I knew it but thought MINN would come out strong after their strong showing vs GB. Yes, I was wrong. Anyway, PHILLY stormed out to 24-7 halftime lead and with the help of 3INTS by Kirk Cousins in the 2^nd half, that was the final score as well. It was a total balanced attack by PHILLY which kept the MINN DEF guessing and missing. PHILLY probably could have scored 40 points easy but, they let up on MINN. With a balanced attack like that, the PHILLY OFF will be hard to beat. PHILLY also shut down the MINN running game which put even more pressure on Cousins to get the job done. LW, WASH lost @DET. WASH was losing 22-0 before they woke up and made a game of it. WASH eventually lost 36-27 to DET. DET ran all over WASH. What will PHILLY do? But seriously, WASH is not in the same class right now as PHILLY. In WEEK 1 WASH was losing @HOME to the JAGS 22-14 before they needed 2tds in the 4^th qtr to pull out the win 28-22. How many yds rushing will WASH get vs PHILLY? How many INTS will WASH QB Carson Wentz have this week vs PHILLY? Put pressure on him and he will fold like a house of cards. L15 WASH(H) vs PHILLY, WASH 6-9 SUATS. L26 WASH vs PHILLY, FAV 15-11 ATS. L30 WASH vs PHILLY, ROAD 19-11 ATS. WASH 15-16 ATS L31 as a HOME DOG. WASH 21-36 ATS @HOME in SEPT. WASH 27-30 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. WASH 21-25 ATS vs NFC EAST in SEPT. WASH 15-5 ATS before DAL. WASH 3-13 ATS vs div opp off SU win. WASH 3-13 ATS off SU loss vs opp off DD SU win. WASH 11-11 ATS as a HD vs .400>opp. WASH 9-3 ATS as a HD vs .600>opp. PHILLY 10-16 ATS L26 as a ROAD FAV. PHILLY 22-35 ATS AWAY in SEPT. PHILLY 29-42 AT as a FAV in SEPT. PHILLY 14-21 ATS vs NFC EAST in SEPT. PHILLY 3-6 ATS as a RF off DD ATS win. PHILLY 3-6 ATS as a RF 3>pts off DD ATS win. Right now, both of these teams are at different levels. PHILLY QB Jalen Hurts is showing everyone how wrong they were. I liked him from the get go and said, give him some time and some weapons. Well, he is playing smart and winning, that’s what matters. WASH has a lot of guys hurt and the replacements are not filling in the gaps. PHILLY should be very pumped for this game and WASH should be very very afraid. Lay the points as PHILLY continues to romp.

PHILLY INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

OT Brett Toth (Knee) Out, OT Andre Dillard (Forearm) Out, TE Tyree Jackson (Knee (ACL)) Out, DE Derek Barnett (Knee) Out.

WASH INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

RB Brian Robinson (Leg) Out, S Kamren Curl (Thumb) Questionable, DB Josh Drayden (Undisclosed) Out, G Willie Beavers (Undisclosed) Out, C Tyler Larsen (Achilles) Out, G Wes Schweitzer (Hamstring) Questionable, C Chase Roullier (Knee) Out, TE Curtis Hodges (Thigh) Out, DE Daniel Wise (Ankle) Questionable, DE Casey Toohill (Head) Questionable, DT Phidarian Mathis (Torn Meniscus) Out, DE Chase Young (Knee (ACL)) Out.

THE PICK: PHILLY-6 ½  

NO Saints (1-1), (0-2) ATS, (1-0) AWAY, (0-1) ATS @ Carolina Panthers (0-2), (0-2) ATS, (0-1) HOME, (0-1) ATS                                      CAR+3  

LW, NO & TB were tied in a heated battle, 3-3 in the 4^th qtr. Then the old Jameis Winston came out for NO and threw 3INTS in the qtr, one a PICK6. The other 2INTS resulted in another 10 points for TB and the final score being TB 20-10. NO QB Jameis Winston was also sacked 6x for what accounted for as a horrible day. It was a back and forth battle but when you give a guy like Tom Brady extra chances, he will bury you and that’s what he did. LW, NYG were on a high and it was going to be difficult for CAR to get past that. NYG are playing better than expected and CAR is playing lower than expected. It was a winnable game for CAR but CAR QB Baker Mayfield could not get it done. CAR had to rely heavily on RB Christain McCaffrey who had to rush for over 100 yds and also catch passes. McCaffrey gets his yd and touches but the QB has to do more and Mayfield didn’t. CAR was actually up 13-6 in this game but the OFF went to sleep after that. Meanwhile, NYG took advantage of whatever the CAR DEF was giving them and went on to score 1td & 4fgs for the win 19-16. The only folks excited by this game were the NYG fans who saw their QB Daniel Jones NOT turn the ball over. CAR had 2lost fumbles that turned into 2 NYG fgs. CAR has had turnovers that have cost them points in both winnable games. L15 CAR(H) vs NO, CAR 7-8 SU & 8-7 ATS. L18 CAR vs NO, NO 10-8 ATS . L18 NO vs CAR, NO 11-7 ATS. L30 NO vs CAR, NO 17-13 SU but 13-17 ATS. CAR 6-10-1 ATS L17 as a HOME DOG. CAR 11-7-1 ATS in 1^st of BB HGs. CAR 20-27-1 ATS @HOME in SEPT. CAR 13-19 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in SEPT. CAR 24-22-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. CAR 13-9 ATS @HOME after an SUATS loss. NO 18-11 ATS L29 as a ROAD FAV. NO 28-32 ATS AWAY in SEPT. NO 25-32-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. NO 20-19 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in SEPT. NO 10-7 ATS after TB. NO 8-11 ATS as a div RF 2>pts. NO 13-1 ATS L14 AWAY off SUATS loss. These two teams split the season series last season. They know each other very well. CAR has had golden opportunities in the first two games to win but they have squandered both games. Barely losing @HOME vs CLEV and losing @NYG were both winnable games. They need to get on a winning track but, this week will be against a tougher team than either of those two. NO is better and they too are on a bounceback. CAR isn’t doing much right so far but they could at least correct a few things to make this game interesting. On the otherside, this is a perfect game for NO QB Jameis Winston to get back on track. He needs to show that he can lead this team because the first two games have not been without mistakes. Add to the fact that Mayfield makes mistakes on his own volition and this should be a nice win for NO.   

NO INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

TE Dylan Soehner (Undisclosed) Out, LB Isaiah Pryor (Undisclosed) Out, S Marcus Maye (Wrist) Questionable, WR Tre'Quan Smith (Shoulder) Questionable, WR Kawaan Baker (Suspended) Out, CB Paulson Adebo (Ankle) Questionable, S Smoke Monday (Knee (ACL)) Out, RB Alvin Kamara (Ribs) Questionable, LB D'Marco Jackson (Undisclosed) Out, OT Trevor Penning (Foot) Out, OT Ethan Greenidge (Knee) Out, G Forrest Lamp (Undisclosed) Out, DT Albert Huggins (Leg) Out, DL Malcolm Roach (Undisclosed) Out.

CAR INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

K Zane Gonzalez (Groin) Out, QB Matt Corral (Ankle/Foot) Out, QB Sam Darnold (Ankle) Out, WR Andre Roberts (Knee) Out, CB Donte Jackson (Hamstring) Questionable, LB Brandon Smith (Thigh) Questionable, LB Julian Stanford (Undisclosed) Out, DT Bravvion Roy (Hamstring) Out.

THE PICK: NO-3

Sunday September 25^th, 2022 4:00pm

Jacksonville Jags (1-1), (1-1) ATS, (0-1) AWAY, (0-1) ATS @ LA Chargers (1-1), (2-0) ATS, (1-0) HOME, (1-0) ATS                                JAGS+3

LAC let one get away on TNF @KC. The score was tied 17-17 and LAC QB Justin Herbert threw an ill advised pass that was returned 99yds for a td by KC. It swung the game to KC and KC won 27-24. LAC was +4 and I liked their chances but thank god for a late td by LAC that gave them the back door cover. But the smart money was on LAC because they were ready. But it just goes to show you that one mistake, little or big could change the game completely. That was the only turnover LAC had and Herbert did spread the ball around nicely to eight different receivers. However, moving forward, LAC still needs to get their running game going. LW, JAGS @HOME beat INDY 24-0. It was a completely one-sided game and JAGS had a nice balanced attack vs an INDY team that threw 3INTS. I wouldn’t say that the JAGS have made a complete turnaround just yet but, JAGS HC Doug Pederson brings a different perspective and style that won him a SuperBowl with PHILLY. If the JAGS can start winning games vs big time opponents and do it consistently, then I would say beware of the JAGS. Until then, they are not feared. L11 LAC vs JAGS, LAC 9-2 SU & 10-1 ATS, incl LAC(H) vs JAGS, 5-0 SUATS. JAGS 7-14 ATS in 1^st of BB RGs. JAGS 31-30 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. JAGS 21-24 ATS AWAY in SEPT. JAGS 3-8 ATS off SU DOG win. JAGS 2-14 ATS off DD SU win vs 400<opp. JAGS 3-12 ATS L15 vs AFC WEST. JAGS 2-5 ATS L7 AWAY after allowing 10<pts. LAC 27-29-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. LAC 28-32 ATS @HOME in SEPT. LAC 37-39-1 ATS as a HF vs non-div. LAC 28-8 ATS vs AFC SOUTH. LAC 14-4 ATS @HOEM vs AFC SOUTH. This is a big bounceback game for LAC after the one that got away. The fact that it is @HOME for LAC should have them chopping at the bit. LAC should beat JAGS on all levels here because they are the better team. DEs Khalil Mack & Joey Bosa should give the JAGS O-LINE some trouble. If pressure is put on JAGS QB Trevor Lawrence, there aren’t too many safety nets for him to drop the ball off to. Look for some turnovers created by the LAC DEF and then Herbert & CO should take advantage of them. LAC should be able to rout JAGS. Lay the points here.

JAGS INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

DE Jordan Smith (Knee) Out. 

LAC INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

QB Justin Herbert (Ribs) Questionable, WR Keenan Allen (Hamstring) Questionable, TE Stone Smartt (Undisclosed) Out, LB Damon Lloyd (Undisclosed) Out, C Isaac Weaver (Undisclosed) Out, OT Andrew Trainer (Undisclosed) Out, C Corey Linsley (Knee) Questionable, OT Trey Pipkins III (Ankle) Questionable, TE Donald Parham Jr. (Hamstring) Questionable, DL Forrest Merrill (Undisclosed) Out.

THE PICK: LAC-3

LA Rams (1-1), (0-2) ATS, (0-0) AWAY, (0-0) ATS @ Arizona Cardinals (1-1), (1-1) ATS, (0-1) HOME, (0-1) ATS                                  ARZ+4

The LAR are looking average at best. WEEK 1, they were outplayed @HOME by BUFF in front of the whole world, 31-10. Then in WEEK 2, LAR is up 31-10 and stops playing on both sides of the ball to barely win 31-27. They blew a big cover as well. LAR HC Sean McVay is not a good coach. He is just lucky. He’s plays conservatively and when it comes time to knocking out an opponent, he plays not to lose. ATL was big DOG +10 ½ coming in with nothing to lose and if they hadn’t made some mistakes early, they may have taken this one. However, QB Matthew Stafford looked like his old DET self by throwing 2INTS where one led to an ATL td. Then ATL blocked a punt for a td. This was sloppy on both sides but a team such as LAR shouldn’t be making these mistakes. By the way, LAR has no running game and teams should make Stafford throw because he is prone to mistakes. Don’t be fooled, this is not the same team that won the SuperBowl last season. LW, ARZ was down 20-0 at halftime @LV. Then it was LV 23-7 in the 4^th qtr when the combination of ARZ waking up and LV going to sleep occurred at the same time. ARZ couldn’t afford another lousy showing after getting walloped @HOME by KC in week 1 44-21. ARZ QB Kyler Murray is a magician who could not be stopped by LV. He was able to spread the ball to nine different receivers while managing to get sacked only 1x. I say this because at times it looked like he had all the time in the world to throw the ball. With no pressure from LV, the secondary for LV was caught many times with penalties which extended the drives. ARZ fought back to tie the game with 2tds and 2-2pt conversions and then returned a fumble by LV 59yds for a 29-23 OT win. L15 ARZ(H) vs LAR, ARZ 7-8 SUATS. L12 ARZ vs LAR, LAR 10-2 SUATS. L22 LAR vs ARZ, ROAD 14-8 ATS. LAR 16-15-1 ATS L32 as a ROAD FAV. LAR 11-7 ATS in 1^st of BB RGs. LAR 20-33-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPt. LAR 19-33-2 ATS AWAY in SEPT. LAR 13-19 ATS vs NFC WEST in SEPT. LAR 8-14 ATS vs opp off SU DOG win. LAR 5-0 ATS L5 as a FAV 7<pts vs opp off SU DOG win. ARZ 10-12 -1 ATS L23 as a HOME DOG. ARZ 20-31-1 ATS @HOME in SEPT. ARZ 42-34-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. ARZ 21-23-1 ATS vs NFC WEST in SEPT. Both teams are coming off wins but ARZ’s win over LV was by far more impressive. ARZ should be pumped for this game because they know how to beat LAR. They split the season series but in the playoffs @LAR, LAR won handily, 34-11. There should be a little revenge factor going for ARZ but I don’t think LAR HC Sean McVay is even thinking about that because he is probably putting together his usual conservative game plan. This division does not have a FAVORITE in my mind because LAR is not the same team as last season. ARZ has a chance to take the division if they get back on the winning ways. I don’t see a blowout here but if LAR makes mistakes early, i.e. Stafford, ARZ could run away with it. ARZ needs to set up their running game so that Murray doesn’t have to keep pulling rabbits out the hat. Divisional games are tough and I like ARZ here.

LAR INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

CB Troy Hill (Groin) Out, WR Van Jefferson (Knee) Questionable, DB Decobie Durant (Hamstring) Questionable, RB Kyren Williams (Ankle) Out, ILB Travin Howard (Groin) Out, S Quentin Lake (Knee) Out, OLB Daniel Hardy (Ankle) Out, C Brian Allen (Knee) Questionable, G Logan Bruss (Knee (ACL)) Out, OT Tremayne Anchrum Jr. (Leg) Out, DT Bobby Brown III (Suspended) Out.

ARZ INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

OL Joshua Miles (Undisclosed) Out, WR Rondale Moore (Hamstring) Questionable RB James Conner (Ankle) Questionable, WR DeAndre Hopkins (Suspended) Out, QB Colt McCoy (Arm) Out, WR Antoine Wesley (Hip) Out, WR Andy Isabella (Back) Questionable, CB Trayvon Mullen (Toe) Questionable, S Charles Washington (Chest) Out, CB Antonio Hamilton (Foot) Out, S Tae Daley (Undisclosed) Out OL Cody Ford (Ankle) Out, OL Marquis Hayes (Knee) Out.

THE PICK: ARZ+4

Atlanta Falcons (0-2), (2-0) ATS, (0-1) AWAY, (1-0) ATS @ Seattle Seahawks (1-1), (1-1) ATS, (1-0) HOME, (1-0) ATS                       ATL+2

LW, ATL went to LAR as a Heavy DOG +10 ½ . The score was LAR 31-10 in the 4^th qtr and it looked like LAR was going to win big. But, this is when LAR decided to stop playing. ATL is a feisty bunch. They don’t know they are supposed to lose. They play with all their hearts and QB Marcus Mariota is no wet nosed rookie. Well after LAR stopped playing DEF and the rest of the team was playing not to lose, ATL scored a td, blocked a punt for a td and then forced LAR to give up a safety as they narrowed the final score to LAR 31-27. In the process, they also managed to get a back door cover for folks who picked ATL. ATL exposed LAR in many different ways but Mariota gave LAR some extra chances with his 3turnovers. I don’t see him having 3turnovers this week. LW, SEA was run over by SF’s Jimmy G. After SF QB Trey Lance was knocked out of the game it was all Jimmy G’s show. SF dominated and won 27-7. The only points scored for SEA was a blocked fg, returned for a td. The SEA OFF couldn’t get going after an emotional win the previous week over DEN’s Russell Wilson. The SEA DEF is young and can be run all over on as SF rushed for 189 total yds and 2tds. SEA’s OFF is also in a funk as they can’t get into a comfortable rhythm. L10 SEA vs ATL, SEA 6-4 SU & 5-5 ATS, incl SEA(H) vs ATL, 4-3 SU & 3-4 ATS. SEA 36-24-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. SEA 33-23 ATS @HOME in SEPT. SEA 3-7 ATS as a HF <9pts vs .500<opp. SEA 14-6-1 ATS after SU loss AWAY & coming HOME. SEA 14-3 ATS off div ROAD gm vs non-div opp. SEA 4-8 ATS as a FAV vs NFC SOUTH. SEA 11-4 ATS after SF. SEA 6-8 ATS l14 vs NFC SOUTH. ATL 9-11 ATS in 2^nd of BB RG’s. ATL 33-31 ATS AWAY in SEPT. ATL 35-33 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. ATL 5-11 ATS AWAY vs opp off DD SU loss. This is a game that ATL can win. Last week, they got into a hole early against an average LAR team with turnovers and bad play. They created a deficit that may have been a little too big to crawl out of but, they fought until the end. ATL HC Arthur Smith has this team believing that they can play with anyone. SEA is still trying to find themselves and see which players are NFL caliber. But the one thing that SEA can be exploited is their secondary. It’s young and inexperienced. Mariota is experienced enough to see this and take advantage of weak areas. ATL needs to establish a run game vs SEA so they can keep the SEA secondary guessing. SEA QB Geno Smith is not playing bad but, the rest of the team is not helping him. I like ATL here to get their 1^st win. This is sort of a PICK’EM game but ATL is a better team and should come out with the win.  

ATL INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

LS Beau Brinkley (Achilles) Out, RB Damien Williams (Ribs) Out, WR Calvin Ridley (Suspended) Out, CB Isaiah Oliver (Knee) Out, ILB Deion Jones (Shoulder) Out, OL Tyler Vrabel (Undisclosed) Out, OL Jalen Mayfield (Back) Out TE John FitzPatrick (Undisclosed) Out, DL Marlon Davidson (Knee) Out, DT Vincent Taylor (Achilles) Out.

SEA INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR Cody Thompson (Shoulder) Out, CB Artie Burns (Groin) Questionable, CB Tre Brown (Knee) Out, CB Justin Coleman (Calf) Questionable, CB John Reid (Groin) Out, SS Jamal Adams (Quad) Out, FS Joey Blount (Hamstring) Questionable, LB Jon Rhattigan (Knee) Out, G Damien Lewis (Quad) Questionable, LS Tyler Ott (Shoulder) Out, DE L.J. Collier (Elbow) Out, LB Tyreke Smith (Hip) Out, DE Shelby Harris (Back) Questionable, LB Alton Robinson (Knee (PCL)) Out.

THE PICK: ATL+2

GB Packers (1-1), (1-1) ATS, (0-1) AWAY, (0-1) ATS @ TB Buccaneers (2-0), (2-0) ATS, (0-0) HOME, (0-0) ATS                               GB+2 ½

LW, GB got on track @HOME vs CHI. Yes, Rodgers owns CHI, everyone knows that. He delivered. However, GB went conservative after leading @halftime, 24-7. The GB DEF did make stops and CHI was turned away at the goal which could have impacted the score for the gamblers. GB was winning this game but it could have been a nail biter for others. GB was able to get their running game going as GB rushed for a combined 203 yds while the GB DEF gave up 180 combined yds. TB, take note. GB did sack CHI QB Justin Fields 3x. But CHI’s OFF was run heavy and Fields only attempted 11 passes with 1INT. LW, TB went to NO and it was nothing short of a dogfight. It was 3-3 going into the 4^th qtr when the old Jameis Winston resurfaced and threw 3INTS in the 4^th qtr vs TB. One of them was a PICK 6 which helped TB break the tie. TB took command from there and the final score was, TB 20-10. QB Tom Brady had been 0-4 SUATS vs NO in his time with TB and probably was thinking that he needed to do something different. Well, Winston helped him out there. The score was TB 20-3 when NO scored their only TD at 3:02 but it was too little too late. Also, TB WR Mike Evans was thrown out of the game for fighting with NO CB Marcus Lattimore. He is suspended for this game vs GB. L7 TB vs GB, TB 4-3 SUATS incl TB(H) vs GB, TB 3-1 SUATS (not incl playoffs). TB 7-10 ATS in 1^st of BB HGs. TB 3-8-1 ATS in 1^st of BB HGs vs non-div opp. TB 23-28-1 ATS @HOME in SEPT. TB 23-24-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. TB 22-27-3 ATS L53 as a HOME FAV. TB 8-8 ATS after NO. TB 6-2 ATS as a HF 3<pts vs opp off SU win. TB 9-13-2 ATS off DD SU win. GB 26-27 ATS AWAY in SEPT. GB 28-17 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. GB 13-8 ATS as a DOG >2pts vs 666>opp. GB 5-13 ATS as a non div conf FAV/DOG 3<pts. GB 11-2-1 ATS after CHI. GB 28-11-1 ATS after Div gm. GB 1-12 ATS as a DOG w/revenge. GB 1-11 ATS as a conf DOG w/revenege. GB 11-5-2 ATS off div HM win. GB 10-0 ATS off SU div win vs opp off SU win. GB 0-7 ATS after allowing 10<pts vs div opp. These two teams played in 2020 @TB in week 5 with TB winning handily 38-10. This game started out differently as GB took an early 10-0 before a rare PICK6 by Rodger opened up the scoring for TB. GB never recovered. Rodgers hasn’t forgotten that game. Then GB lost @HOME in the NFC Championship to TB & Brady. I’m sure that Rodgers hasn’t forgotten that game either. TB eventually won the SuperBowl so Rodgers will be focused. WR Cole Beasley was signed to the practice squad for TB to help with the deleted WR corps. He could only help the likes of TB as he is a very good slot receiver with great hands. TB WR Julio Jones is still questionable with his knee at this time but wouldn’t be 100% if he was cleared for this game. LW, NO was able to get some sort of running game going vs the TB DEF before they had to play catchup. GB needs to establish the run early as so not to rely strictly on the pass. This should be a great game but Rodgers is in payback mode and GB should come away with the victory here.

GB INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

RB Kylin Hill (Knee) Out, LB Krys Barnes (Ankle) Out, OT David Bakhtiari (Knee) Questionable.

TB INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR Julio Jones (Knee) Questionable, WR Mike Evans (Suspension) Out, WR Chris Godwin (Hamstring) Questionable, RB Giovani Bernard (Ankle) Questionable, CB Zyon McCollum (Hamstring) Questionable, RB Kenjon Barner (Groin) Out, OLB Cam Gill (Foot) Out, G Aaron Stinnie (Knee (ACL) (MCL)) Out, C Ryan Jensen (Knee) Out, OT Josh Wells (Calf) Questionable, OT Donovan Smith (Elbow) Questionable DL Akiem Hicks (Foot) Out.

THE PICK: GB+2 ½

Sunday September 25^th, 2022 8:20pm

SF 49ers (1-1), (1-1) ATS, (0-1) AWAY, (0-1) ATS @ Denver Broncos (1-1), (0-2) ATS, (1-0) HOME, (0-1) ATS                                 DEN+1 ½  

Jimmy G is back. LW, SF QB Trey Lance suffered a horrendous ankle injury in the game @SF vs SEA and was lost for the season. SF is probably very happy they didn’t trade Jimmy because the season would be lost completely. He comes in and it’s like he never left. SF beats SEA 27-7. I had picked SEA+6 because it was with Lance as the SF QB. But with Jimmy G in there it’s a different ball game. SF seemed to get a lift on both sides of the ball and it wasn’t even a contest. SF rushed for 189 total yds. I feel bad for Lance because this was his chance to prove himself. Anyway, SF is looking differently right now because Jimmy knows the OFF so well. LW, DEN could barely get by a bad HOU team. They were losing 9-6 in the 4^th qtr and incompetence from HOU helped DEN to win this game. DEN looks like they can’t even call the right play at times and seemed to have forgotten how to get into the endzone. DEN HC Nathaniel Hackett looks like he is calling plays for the 1^st time out there on a trial and error basis because the plays that the DEN OFF are running look like they have been drawn up in the playground. Players look lost. QB Russell Wilson even looks lost. DEN beat HOU but it was in no way convincing. L4 DEN vs SF, SF 3-1 SUATS. DEN 15-9 ATS L24 as a HOME DOG. DEN 8-10 ATS in 2^nd of BB HGs. DEN 9-5 ATS as a DOG on SNF. DEN 7-1 ATS as a DOG vs non-div on SNF. DEN 31-27-1 ATS @HOME in SEPT. DEN 19-15 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. DEN 1-7-1 ATS before LV. SF 9-11 ATS as a FAV on SNF. SF 6-5 ATS AWAY on SNF. SF 8-7 ATS L15 as a ROAD FAV. SF 29-31 ATS AWAY in SEPT. SF 35-31 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. With Jimmy G SF looks a lot better and more confident. Why they would want to replace him this early, I don’t know. SF will rush all day on DEN and throw in some passes here and there. DEN is not that good, so far. They haven’t shown anything. A loss @SEA and @HOME barely beating HOU is not impressive. The fact that this is almost a PICK’EM game is peculiar because SF has the weapons to run away with this one. Lay the point here and watch Jimmy G pick DEN apart. DEN already has a few injuries to their receiver corps, so it’s limited opportunities for Wilson. Enjoy the game.       

SF INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

DB Jimmie Ward (Hamstring) Out, CB Jason Verrett (Knee (ACL)) Out, QB Trey Lance (Ankle) Out, RB Elijah Mitchell (Knee (MCL)) Out, RB Tyrion Davis-Price (Ankle) Out, LB Curtis Robinson (Ankle) Out, OL Daniel Brunskill (Hamstring) Questionable DL Jordan Willis (Knee) Out, TE Tyler Kroft (Knee) Out, TE George Kittle N/A Questionable, TE Jordan Matthews (Leg/Knee) Out, DL Kalia Davis (Undisclosed) Out, DL Maurice Hurst (Bicep)Out.

DEN INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR KJ Hamler (Hip/Knee) Questionable, CB Pat Surtain II (Shoulder) Questionable, WR Jerry Jeudy (Ribs) Questionable, CB Michael Ojemudia (Elbow) Out, RB Damarea Crockett (ACL) Out, S Justin Simmons (Quad) Out, OLB Christopher Allen (Foot) Out, ILB Josey Jewell (Calf) Questionable, OL Billy Turner (Knee) Questionable, OL Tom Compton (Back) Out, OL Quinn Meinerz (Hamstring) Doubtful, TE Greg Dulcich (Hamstring) Out, WR Tim Patrick (ACL) Out.

THE PICK: SF-1 ½

Monday September 26^th, 2022 8:15pm

Dallas Cowboys (1-1), (1-1) ATS, (0-0) AWAY, (0-0) ATS @ NY Giants (2-0), (2-0) ATS, (1-0) HOME, (1-0) ATS                                  DAL+1 ½  

LW, NYG @HOME had another come from behind win, 19-16. This time the victim was CAR. NYG were down 13-6 but took the lead 16-13 before finally winning 19-16. NYG Daniel Jones did not turn the ball over which is a miracle for him. NYG RB Saquon Barkley has looked like his old self which takes a lot of pressure off of Jones. If Jones is able to spread the ball around and not turn it over, NYG has a chance. But sooner or later Jones will revert to his old habits. Plus, they just beat CAR who haven’t figured out how to win yet under HC Matt Rhule. However, NYG HC Brian Daboll has the G-MEN believing that they are better than who they are. They surprised a bad TENN team and beat a below average CAR team. LW, DAL was @HOME +7 ½ vs CINNCY. CINNCY hasn’t figured out to protect their QB Joe Burrow and DAL sacked him 6x. The DEF for DAL kept CINNCY at bay and the OFF took advantage and the halftime score was DAL 17-3. Well, CINNCY made some adjustments and DAL needed a fg with :00 on the clock to pull out the victory, 20-17. DAL QB Cooper Rush is doing what he needs to do until Dak Prescott comes back but, RB Ezekiel Elliott needs to get with the program and contribute more. L15 NYG(H) vs DAL, NYG 6-9 SU & 7-8 ATS. L10 DAL vs NYG, DAL 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS. L26 NYG vs DAL, ROAD 13-12-1 ATS. NYG 7-5 ATS in 2^nd of BB HGs. NYG 9-6 ATS as a HF on MNF. NYG 21-39 ATS @HOME in SEPT. NYG 26-26 ATS asa FAV in SEPT, NYG 24-20 ATS vs NFC EAST in SEPT. NYG 3-7 ATS off BB SUATS wins. NYG 1-8 ATS @HOME vs opp off SU DOG win. NYG 6-17 ATS vs opp off SU DOG win. DAL 35-21-1 ATS AWAY in SEPT. DAL 29-15-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. DAL 28-19 ATS vs NFC EAST in SEPT. DAL 13-7 ATS as a RD on MNF. DAL 11-11 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins. DAL has a DEF that the NYG haven’t faced yet. They will be in for a surprise if DAL smells blood coming from NYG. These two teams know each other and the games are usually high intensity, especially under the lights of MNF. I don’t know how the G-MEN are favored in this game because they really haven’t proven themselves to be the real thing. DAL needs to stop the NYG run game so all the pressure is on Jones. If the game is on Daniel’s shoulders, history will show that he will falter. I like DAL to win outright in this game unless they turn the ball over too many times and give the NYG ample opportunities to score.

DAL INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

TE Ian Bunting (Neck) Out, QB Dak Prescott (Thumb) Out, WR Michael Gallup (Knee (ACL)) Questionable, S Jayron Kearse (Knee) Questionable, LB Damone Clark (Neck) Out, LB Devante Bond (Knee) Out, G Connor McGovern (Ankle) Questionable, OT Tyron Smith (Knee) Out, WR James Washington (Foot) Out, TE Dalton Schultz (Knee) Questionable DE Tarell Basham (Thigh) Out.

NYG INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

CB Rodarius Williams (Knee (ACL)) Out, OLB Kayvon Thibodeaux (Knee (MCL)) Questionable, WR Collin Johnson (Achilles) Out, WR Wan'Dale Robinson (Knee) Questionable, DB Jason Pinnock (Shoulder) Questionable, CB Aaron Robinson (Appendix) Questionable, ILB Darrian Beavers (Knee (ACL)) Out, CB Nick McCloud (Hamstring) Questionable, OLB Azeez Ojulari (Calf) Questionable, OL Marcus McKethan (Knee (ACL)) Out, C Nick Gates (Leg) Out, G Shane Lemieux (Foot) Out, OT Matt Peart (Knee (ACL)) Out, OLB Elerson Smith (Leg) Out, DL Leonard Williams (Knee) Questionable.

THE PICK: DAL+1 ½