2022 NFL SCHEDULE WEEK 5 (ATS)

All times Eastern Standard Time

ALL SPREADS ARE COURTESY OF CAESARS HOTEL IN LAS VEGAS @ THE TIME OF ANALYSIS

Thursday October 6^th, 2022 8:15pm

Indianapolis Colts (1-2-1), (1-3) ATS, (0-1-1) AWAY, (0-2) ATS @ Denver Broncos (2-2), (1-3) ATS, (2-0) HOME, (1-1) ATS                        INDY+3 ½ 

LW, INDY dug themselves another hole that they couldn’t get out of. They were trailing 24-10 at halftime. TENN got 14pts off 2turnovers by, you guessed it, INDY QB Matt Ryan. He fumbled and TENN recovered which led to 7-0. Then he threw an INT which led to a td and the score being 24-3. As usual, INDY tried a valiant comeback to no avail and lost 24-17. The INDY DEF did wake up in the 2^nd half, holding TENN to 0pts and forcing them to punt 4x. However, INDY lost a fumb and missed a fg which made it impossible for a successful comeback. LW, DEN was in a seesaw battle with LV @LV. But a fumble by DEN RB Melvin Gordon changed the momentum of the game to LV and DEN was chasing LV all afternoon. The DEN DEF couldn’t stop LV when it needed to and DEN’s OFF punted 4 straight times to start the 2^nd half. DEN needs to spread the OFF out if they plan on winning any games. What made matters worse is that DEN RB Javonte Williams left with a knee injury and didn’t return. DEN lost 32-23 in a sloppy game for DEN. L11 INDY vs DEN, INDY 7-4 SUATS. INDY 11-2 ATS AWAY on TNF. INDY 15-5 SU & 15-4-1 ATS on TNF. INDY 8-3 ATS L11 on TNF. INDY 5-3 ATS as a DOG on TNF. INDY 32-29 ATS AWAY in OCT. INDY 28-30 ATS as a DOG in OCT. INDY 6-6-1 ATS L13 after TENN. INDY 25-9-1 ATS as a DOG >1pt off SU loss. INDY 3-10 ATS L13 before JAGS. INDY 14-7 ATS off SU FAV loss. INDY 13-4-1 ATS off SU FAV loss vs <1.00opp. INDY 17-5-1 ATS off DD ATS loss. INDY 12-3 ATS off SU loss vs non-div opp off SU loss. INDY 4-14 ATS vs 400>opp off SUATS loss. INDY 1-13 ATS vs 400>conf opp off SUATS loss. INDY 0-8 ATS vs 400>non-div conf opp off SUATS loss. INDY 11-1 ATS off SU FAV loss vs non-div opp. DEN 8-1 ATS on TNF vs non-div opp. DEN 11-4 ATS on TNF. DEN 5-2 ATS @HOME on TNF. DEN 7-4 ATS as a FAV on TNF. DEN 35-30 ATS @HOME in OCT. DEN 34-37 ATS as a FAV in OCT. DEN 34-31-2 ATS L67 after an SU loss. DEN 2-8-1 ATS before LAC. Both of these teams are coming off losses. Plus, they are both coming off games that they certainly could have and should have won. Neither Russell Wilson nor Matt Ryan have been lighting it up for their teams. Wilson is stuck in an OFF that can’t get out of its own way and Ryan is a guy that needs everyone around him to be good. Even though the DEN DEF gave up a ton of yardage on the ground to LV LW, INDY is hot and cold with their run game depending on how many points they are trailing and need to catch up. LW, DEN showed signs of their OFF coming alive but the fumble by Gordon had DEN playing catchup all game. INDY dug themselves a big whole early and never recovered. Look for DEN RB Melvin Gordon to have a big game because RB Javonte Williams is out for the season. DEN LB Randy Gregory is out for multiple weeks. DEN just signed RB Latavius Murray and he should help out on the OFF out of the backfield. DEN will find a way to take care of business. INDY is overrated and won’t keep up. Lay the points here.

INDY INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

S Armani Watts (Ankle) Out, P Rigoberto Sanchez (Achilles) Out, RB Jonathan Taylor (Ankle) Questionable, S Julian Blackmon (Ankle) Questionable, S Trevor Denbow (Foot) Out, LB Shaquille Leonard (Concussion) Out, OT Carter O'Donnell (Undisclosed) Out, C Ryan Kelly (Knee) Probable, TE Andrew Ogletree (Knee (ACL)) Out, DE Tyquan Lewis (Concussion) Questionable, DT DeForest Buckner (Elbow) Probable.

DEN INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

RB Damarea Crockett (ACL) Out, QB Russell Wilson (Shoulder) Questionable, OLB Randy Gregory (Knee) Out, S P.J. Locke (Concussion) Questionable, CB Michael Ojemudia (Elbow) Out, WR Tyrie Cleveland (Hamstring) Questionable, CB Darius Phillips (Hamstring) Questionable, CB K'Waun Williams (Wrist) Probable, RB Melvin Gordon III (Neck) Questionable, S Caden Sterns (Hip) Questionable, S Justin Simmons (Quad) Out, RB Javonte Williams (Knee) Out, OLB Christopher Allen (Foot) Out, OLB Jonathon Cooper (Hamstring) Questionable, OL Billy Turner (Knee) Questionable, G Dalton Risner (Ankle) Probable, OL Tom Compton (Back) Out, OL Quinn Meinerz (Hamstring) Questionable, TE Greg Dulcich (Hamstring) Out, WR Tim Patrick (ACL) Out, OLB Aaron Patrick (Head) Questionable.

THE PICK: DEN-3 ½  

Sunday October 9^th, 2022 9:30am

NY Giants (3-1), (3-1) ATS, (1-0) AWAY, (1-0) ATS @ GB Packers (3-1), (2-2) ATS, (2-0 HOME, (1-1) ATS (London, England)                       NYG+8

LW, NE 3^rd string QB Bailey Zappe came out of nowhere and almost hijacked the game for NE, @GB. GB QB Aaron Rodgers threw a PICK6 right before halftime to give NE a 10-7 halftime lead. That mistake by Rodgers led this game to be a seesaw battle that knotted the game at 24-24 at the end of regulation. Both teams relied on the run game and neither DEFs were able to stop them. This game went into OT as both teams touched the ball and couldn’t do anything with it but GB got the ball back and was able to sustain a drive that enabled them to kick a fg and win 27-24. GB since 2007, off SU OT win, 4-2 ATS. But, it seemed that this game could go either way as neither team was dominating on either side of the ball. LW, NYG @HOME were playing a very bad CHI team. The DEF for NYG sacked CHI QB Justin Fields 6x. CHI also had 3 lost fumbles. NYG were sloppy too. NYG QB Daniel Jones suffered an injury and Tyrod Taylor came in at QB and then he suffered a concussion. RB Saquon Barkley then had to take the ball under center and run some plays until Jones could come back. Neither team could stop the run as NYG rushed for a combined 262yds while CHI rushed for a combined 149 yds. For NYG, it was easy to focus in on Fields because CHI doesn’t really have faith in him and they do not have a suitable backup. But this week, NYG will have a tough go at it with a GB team that is looking to rebound. L8 NYG vs GB, GB 5-3 SU but 3-4-1 ATS. NYG 39-20-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. NYG 32-21 ATS as a DOG in OCT. NYG 22-6 ATS as a DOG 5>pts after an SU win. NYG 3-14 ATS AWAY vs opp off BB Su wins. GB 13-4-2 ATS in 2^nd of BB HGs. GB 37-32-1 ATS as a FAV in OCT. GB 26-26-1 ATS @HOME in OCT. GB 8-3-1 ATS L12 as a HF <10pts vs NFC EAST. GB 18-5 ATS @HOME off non-conf gm. GB 14-4 ATS as a HF 13<pts off non-conf gm. GB 10-2 ATS as a non-div HF 13<pts off non-conf gm. LW, GB QB Aaron Rodgers had said after the game vs NE was not a sustainable way to win and that he needs to play better. I think he was sending a message to the whole team that GB needs to play better. However, GB needs to get back on track and for this game the DEF needs to step up and stop the run game of the NYG. GB needs to put the game all on NYG QB Daniel Jones’s shoulders. Make Jones make mistakes. NYG RB Saquon Barkley is showing everyone that he is back to full strength and can carry the load. But, he hasn’t played against a team that is really good and GB needs to show that they can stop him. Lay the points here as GB gets back on track and NYG shows that they can’t play with the Big Boys.

NYG INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

CB Rodarius Williams (Knee (ACL)) Out, QB Tyrod Taylor (Head) Questionable, WR Sterling Shepard (Knee) Out, QB Daniel Jones (Ankle) Questionable, WR Collin Johnson (Achilles) Out, WR Wan'Dale Robinson (Knee) Questionable, WR Kenny Golladay (Knee) Questionable, S Julian Love (Concussion) Questionable, DB Cor'Dale Flott (Calf) Questionable, CB Aaron Robinson (Knee) Out, ILB Darrian Beavers (Knee (ACL)) Out, CB Nick McCloud (Hamstring) Questionable, OL Marcus McKethan (Knee (ACL)) Out, C Nick Gates (Leg) Out, G Shane Lemieux (Foot) Out, OT Evan Neal (Neck) Questionable, OT Matt Peart (Knee (ACL)) Out, WR Kadarius Toney (Hamstring) Questionable, OLB Elerson Smith (Leg) Out, DL Leonard Williams (Knee) Questionable.

GB INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR Sammy Watkins (Hamstring) Out, CB Jaire Alexander (Groin) Questionable, S Adrian Amos (Concussion) Questionable, RB Kylin Hill (Knee) Out, LB Krys Barnes (Ankle) Out, OT Caleb Jones (Illness) Out.

THE PICK: GB-8

Sunday October 9^th, 2022 1:00pm

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3), (1-3) ATS, (1-1) AWAY, (1-1) ATS @ Buffalo Bills (3-1), (2-1-1) ATS, (1-0) HOME, (1-0) ATS                             PITT+14

LW, PITT decided to change QBs @ halftime of the game @HOME vs NYJ. At the time NYJ were leading 10-6. They went from Mitch Trubisky to their heir apparent, Kenny Pickett. Pickett ended up throwing 3INTS but did rush for 2tds. However, PITT lost 24-20. This is a game they certainly should have won if their DEF could make a stop. The PITT DEF has gone missing at times and it has cost them games. The PITT OFF has a also done a disappearing act but is now in the hands of Pickett. LW, BUFF was down @BALT, 20-3 and then put the clamps on the BALT OFF. The BUFF DEF made BALT punt 3x and forced 2INTs. In turn, BUFF kicked a fg with :00 on the clock to win 23-20. BUFF didn’t bring their A game but they came back in a nice fashion. They might have felt the after effects from their loss @MIA the previous week. L8 PITT vs BUFF, PITT 6-2 SU & 5-3 ATS. BUFF 29-30-1 ATS @HOME in OCT. BUFF 25-36-2 ATS as a FAV in OCT. BUFF 6-1 ATS w/revenge vs <.500opp. PITT 27-11-1 ATS as a DOG in OCT. PITT 35-24 ATS AWAY in OCT. PITT 17-20-1 ATS L38 vs AFC EAST. PITT 13-22 ATS AWAY vs non-div conf opp. PITT 19-4 ATS as a DOG vs >.500opp. PITT 8-0-1 ATS as a DOG vs .500>opp w/revenge. These two teams met in wk 1 of last season @ BUFF with PITT stunning BUFF, 23-16. There is some revenge for BUFF in this game and they are playing a very inexperienced QB in Kenny Picket. BUFF HC Sean McDermott will throw many different DEF looks at Pickett to confuse him. PITT doesn’t have a sustainable running game to take the pressure off of Pickett so he will be throwing most of this game. It has been hot and cold and BUFF #3 RUSH DEF will be there to make sure it goes cold. Some may look at this game as a trap game for BUFF because they play @KC next week. But, McDermott has them playing one game at a time. Pickett should have a few turnovers by way of fumbles and INTS. BUFF should romp here like they did vs TENN. Lay the points here.

PITT INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

RB Jeremy McNichols (Shoulder) Out, DB Carlins Platel (Undisclosed) Out, WR Anthony Miller (Shoulder) Out, WR Calvin Austin III (Foot) Questionable, S Damontae Kazee (Wrist/Arm) Out, CB Ahkello Witherspoon (Hamstring) Questionable, S Terrell Edmunds (Concussion) Questionable, S Karl Joseph (Ankle/Foot) Out, S Minkah Fitzpatrick (Knee) Questionable, LB Hamilcar Rashed Jr. (Undisclosed) Out, LB T.J. Watt (Pectoral) Out, DT Cameron Heyward (Elbow) Questionable.

BUFF INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

CB Xavier Rhodes (Undisclosed) Out, WR Marquez Stevenson (Foot) Out, WR Isaiah McKenzie (Head) Questionable, LB Andre Smith (Suspended) Out, WR Jake Kumerow (Ankle) Questionable, S Jordan Poyer (Undisclosed) Questionable, S Micah Hyde (Neck) Out, CB Tre'Davious White (ACL) Out, CB Christian Benford (Hand) Questionable, G Ike Boettger (Achilles) Out, OL Justin Murray (Foot) Questionable, OT Tommy Doyle (Knee (ACL)) Out, WR Jamison Crowder (Ankle) Out, DT Ed Oliver (Ankle/Foot) Questionable, DT Jordan Phillips (Hamstring)Questionable.

THE PICK: BUFF-14

LA Chargers (2-2), (3-1) ATS, (1-1) AWAY, (2-0) ATS @ Cleveland Browns (2-2), (2-2) ATS, (1-1) HOME, (1-1) ATS                                CLEV+3

LW, CLEVE couldn’t get out of their own way. If you would have just looked at CLEV’s stats for the game @ATL, you would have thought that they won big. Decent numbers, balanced OFF but, they lost to a scrappy ATL team that had no business winning this game. The DEF for CLEV is the problem. CLEV is @ #9 TOT DEF but, when have they stopped anyone? It is misleading because they haven’t played a decent team yet and their two wins were against CAR & PITT, big deal. This is the first game vs some real talent. They will be exposed. LW, LAC built up a 27-7 lead and coasted to a 34-24 win @HOU. I liked HOU+5 because HOU is due but LAC RB Austin Ekeler was a one man wrecking crew rushing for 2tds while catching 1td. LAC QB Justin Herbert spread the ball around to 10 different receivers with 8 of them catching passes. This keeps the DEF guessing and is a sure fire way to win games. However, the LAC running game needs to produce a little more to keep opposing DEFs from getting the edge. LAC DE Khalil Mack is showing that he has returned to All-Pro form with 5 sacks already. But he needs to keep it up because 3 of those sacks were in the 1^st game vs LV. LAC is expected to win some games and they need to win this one. L9 LAC vs CLEV, LAC 7-2 SU but 3-6 ATS. LAC 11-9-2 ATS L22 as a ROAD FAV. LAC 9-6-1 ATS in 2^nd of BB RGs. LAC 3-6-1 ATS as a FAV 2>pts in 2^nd of BB RGs. LAC 31-36 ATS AWAY in OCT. LAC 33-32 ATS as a FAV in OCT. LAC 10-6 ATS before DEN. CLEV 9-11-3 ATS in 1^st of BB HGs. CLEV 10-19 ATS L29 as a HOME DOG. CLEV 24-18-1 ATS @HOME in OCT. CLEV 27-38-1 ATS as a DOG in OCT. CLEV 12-11 ATS off non-conf ROAD gm. Last season, these two teams played in a shootout in wk 5 @LAC with LAC winning 47-42. The CLEV QB was Baker Mayfield. Jacoby Brissett is not a gunslinger type of QB and if he put the ball up 40x in a game he would probably have about 4INTs. LAC is finding themselves now and coming off the win @HOU should be able to take care of CLEV. But the RB combo of Hunt & Chubb may be a little of a problem for LAC. CLEV is coming off a game @ATL that they should have won. How do you lose to a team that the opposing QB only completed 7 passes? However, CLEV didn’t have any answer to the run game of ATL that produced 202yds. Also, DE Myles Garrett is out and DE Jadeveon Clowney may not play so, Herbert may have all day in the pocket. CLEV in a bounceback here but, I like LAC to prevail.  

LAC INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR Keenan Allen (Hamstring) Questionable, WR Jalen Guyton (Knee (ACL)) Out, TE Stone Smartt (Undisclosed) Out, LB Damon Lloyd (Undisclosed) Out, C Isaac Weaver (Undisclosed) Out, OT Andrew Trainer (Undisclosed) Out, OT Rashawn Slater (Biceps) Out, TE Donald Parham Jr. (Hamstring) Questionable, DL Forrest Merrill (Undisclosed) Out, OLB Joey Bosa (Groin) Out.

CLEV INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR Isaiah Weston (Knee) Out, QB Deshaun Watson (Suspension) Out, LB Anthony Walker Jr. (Quad) Out, WR Jakeem Grant Sr. (Achilles) Out, CB Greedy Williams (Hamstring) Questionable, RB Jerome Ford (Ankle) Out, G Dawson Deaton (ACL) Out, C Nick Harris (Knee) Out, OT Joe Haeg (Concussion) Questionable, LB Chris Odom (Knee (ACL)) Out, OT Elijah Nkansah (Undisclosed) Out, DE Chase Winovich (Hamstring) Out, TE Jesse James (Biceps) Out, TE Harrison Bryant (Illness) Questionable, DE Jadeveon Clowney (Ankle) Questionable, DE Stephen Weatherly (Knee) Out, DE Myles Garrett (Shoulder/Biceps) Questionable, DT Taven Bryan (Hamstring) Questionable.

THE PICK: LAC-3

Chicago Bears (2-2), (1-3) ATS, (0-2) AWAY, (0-2) ATS @ Minnesota Vikings (3-1), (2-2) ATS, (2-0) HOME, (1-1) ATS                                CHI+7

LW, CHI @NYG couldn’t even beat a mediocre NYG team. NYG are mediocre despite what their record says. This game was very sloppy and could have gone in CHI’s favor had it not been for fumbles. But also, CHI has no faith in their QB Justin Fields. The game plan for Fields is to run first then pass. On top of all that NYG DEF sacked Fields 6x. Fields has 2tds & 4INTS on the season, paltry at best. The run game is the only thing saving CHI because Fields can’t pick up the opposing DEF and get the ball to the right receiver. Last week MINN played @NO in London. It was a game that went back and forth. NO tried a 61yd fg to tie the game with :00 left but it did a double doink and fell short. MINN escaped 28-25. MINN QB Kirk Cousins did have an INT that resulted in a NO td which tied the game at 7 but, it was a game that could have easily gone the other way. MINN has a habit of playing down to their competition. Look what happened vs DET. The DEF for MINN gave up 3tds and a fg. The NO DEF gave up 2tds and 5fgs. MINN has to get into the endzone. L15 MINN(H) vs CHI, MINN 10-5 SU & 8-7 ATS. L30 MINN vs CHI, HOME 17-12 ATS 1 NL. L14 MINN vs CHI, FAV 9-4 ATS 1NL. CHI 9-6-1 ATS in 2^nd of BB RGS. CHI 25-13-2 ATS vs NFC NORTH in OCT. CHI 35-27-1 ATS as a DOG in OCT. CHI 31-28-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. MINN 36-33 ATS as a FAV in OCT. MINN 21-27 ATS vs NFC NORTH in OCT. MINN 26-28 ATS @HOME in OCT. MINN 9-4 ATS as a HF>3pts off BB SU wins. MINN 10-3 ATS vs div opp off SU loss. CHI #3 RUSH OFF vs MINN #23 RUSH DEF. If MINN wants to win this game big, they need to completely stop the run and put it all on Fields passing abilities. If they do that, MINN will not only get control of this game but could turn it into a slaughter. There is no one behind Fields on the depth chart so it is his team for now. The MINN OFF has to have a nice combination of run and pass plays to keep the CHI guessing and tired. Cousins can’t force the ball or turn it over. This way, they will grind them down and make it easier to score points. These are the two keys to the game. Only factor here for CHI is that MINN may be tired after an overseas game with no break. But this is a division game that MINN usually gets up for. Lay the points here as MINN romps.

CHI INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

OL Dakota Dozier (Leg/Knee) Out, K Cairo Santos (Non Injury Related (Personal)) Questionable, WR N'Keal Harry (Ankle) Out, WR Byron Pringle (Calf) Out, DB Dane Cruikshank (Hamstring) Questionable, RB David Montgomery (Knee) Questionable, DB Jaylon Johnson (Quad) Questionable, LB Matthew Adams (Hamstring) Questionable, OL Cody Whitehair (Knee) Questionable, OL Doug Kramer (Foot) Out, OL Alex Leatherwood (Undisclosed) Out, TE Ryan Griffin (Achilles) Questionable.

MINN INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

DE Kenny Willekes (Undisclosed) Out, RB Alexander Mattison (Non Injury Related) N/A, S Lewis Cine (Ankle) Out, WR Blake Proehl (ACL) Out, CB Andrew Booth Jr. (Quad) Questionable, WR Bisi Johnson (Knee (ACL)) Out, WR Thomas Hennigan (Undisclosed) Out.

THE PICK: MINN-7

Detroit Lions (1-3), (3-1) ATS, (0-1) AWAY, (1-0) ATS @ NE Patriots (1-3), (2-2) ATS, (0-1) HOME, (0-1) ATS                                         DET+3

LW @GB, NE QB Brian Hoyer went down with a concussion and 3^rd string QB Bailey Zappe almost hijacked a win from the heavily favorite PACKERS. He was pretty good for a 3^rd round pick out of Western Kentucky and he looked good in his first NFL game off the bench. He may be the starter this week too. The game went into OT but GB prevailed 27-24. NE since 2007 off SU OT loss, 9-2 ATS. NE Rookie CB Jack Jones also played a big role in this game when he put NE ahead before the half with PICK6 of GB QB Aaron Rodgers. He also had a fumble recovery later in the game. NE always seems to find diamonds in the draft. Zappe looked pretty cool under pressure event though he was sacked 3x. Maybe NE has found another long term QB if Mac Jones doesn’t work out. CB Jones seems to be a keeper as well. LW, DET @HOME was in a shootout with SEA. But DET let SEA get out to a 31-15 3^rd qtr lead before the game seesawed back and forth with SEA finally winning 48-45. Neither team played any DEF and there was 1,075 total yds in the game between the two teams. A shootout of mighty proportions. Out of their first four games, DET has only had the lead to stay in one game. But HC Dan Campbell is trying t improve on a disastrous 2021 season where no one took DET seriously. QB Jared Goff has actually played decently, 11tds, 3INTs while only being sacked 5x. The O-LINE for DET has been holding their own. Now if only the DEF…… L4 DET vs NE, DET 1-3 SU & 2-2 ATS. DET since 2007 wk before bye, 5-10 ATS. DET 34-25 ATS AWAY in OCT. DET 40-33 ATS as a DOG in OCT. DET 5-13 ATS after scoring 35>pts. DET 2-11 ATS after scoring 35>pts vs 333>opp. DET 3-15 ATS as a DOG 11<pts off SU FAV loss. DET 9-5 ATS AWAY vs 333<opp. DET 13-7 ATS L20 vs 333<opp. DET 8-1 ATS as a non div RD vs 333<opp. NE 37-31-1 ATS @HOME in OCT. NE 50-36-2 ATS as a FAV in OCT. NE 33-16-2 ATS L51 (H) vs non-div. NE 14-3 SU & 12-4-1 ATS L17 vs NFC NORTH. NE 30-15-2 ATS after an SU loss. DET HC Dan Campbell has the team believing that they are not out of any game. DET has been close in all their losses. They have lost by 3pts, 4pts and 3pts. Two have them have been unsuccessful comebacks and the one DET lost by 4pts was a game @MINN that DET was up 24-14 in the 4^th qtr and eventually lost 28-24. That game DET should have won, no doubt about it. This is DET’s 1^st game in the elements and the weather is supposed to be mild. NE is also coming off a loss but NE’s three losses have been by wider margins. NE is not known as a comeback team unless the QB was Brady. DET has an explosive OFF but a lot of it has been in catchup or garbage time when DEFs tend to ease up a little bit. DET is due for a win and so is NE. I see DET staying in this game until the end and maybe losing by a missed extra point. I like the points here and it should be a good game. Turnovers could be monumental for either team.     

DET INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR DJ Chark (Ankle) Questionable, WR Jameson Williams (Torn ACL) Out, WR Amon-Ra St. Brown (Ankle) Questionable, K Austin Seibert (Right Groin) Questionable, S Tracy Walker III (Achilles) Out, RB D'Andre Swift (Ankle/Shoulder) Questionable, CB Jerry Jacobs (ACL) Out, FB Jason Cabinda (Knee) Out, G Halapoulivaati Vaitai (Back) Out, G Jonah Jackson (Finger) Questionable, G Tommy Kraemer (Back) Out, DL John Cominsky (Wrist) Questionable, WR Quintez Cephus (Foot) Questionable, DL Levi Onwuzurike (Back) Out, DL Josh Paschal (Sports Hernia) Out, DLRomeo Okwara (Achilles) Out.

NE INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR Kristian Wilkerson (Concussion) Out, K Quinn Nordin (Undisclosed) Out, CB Jalen Mills (Hamstring) Questionable, QB Brian Hoyer (Head) Questionable, QB Mac Jones (Ankle) Questionable, WR Tyquan Thornton (Collarbone) Out, WR Ty Montgomery (Ankle) Out, WR Jakobi Meyers (Knee) Questionable, S Joshuah Bledsoe (Groin) Questionable, CB Joejuan Williams (Shoulder) Out, LB Ronnie Perkins (Undisclosed) Out, OL Andrew Stueber (Hamstring) Out, OL Yodny Cajuste (Thumb) Out, TE Jonnu Smith (Ankle) Questionable, DL Lawrence Guy (Shoulder) Questionable.

THE PICK: DET+3

Seattle Seahawks (2-2), (2-2) ATS, (1-1) AWAY, (1-1) ATS @ NO Saints (1-3), (0-4) ATS, (0-2) HOME, (0-2) ATS                                         SEA+5 ½  

LW at @DET, SEA QB Geno Smith put on a show. Too bad the SEA DEF didn’t do the same. SEA won in a wild one 48-45. SEA was up in this game in the 3^rd qtr 31-15 but let DET get back into it before finally winning 48-45. This game had 1,075 total yds from both teams and the DEF was non-existent on both sides. SEA is in a transition year, seeing what works and what doesn’t. Right now, they need help with their DEF. LW, NO was in London playing MINN. MINN squandered many opportunities but NO QB Andy Dalton showed, he still can play at a high level. There was a lot of little scores by both teams in the 2^nd half and NO actually took the lead 22-19 in the 4^th qtr. With the score MINN 28-25, NO tried a 61 yard fg that would have tied the score. The kick did a double doink and fell off the goal post, no good. So MINN escaped with the victory 28-25. L6 NO vs SEA, SEA 2-4 SU & 3-3 ATS. SEA 7-10 ATS in 2^nd of BB RGs. SEA 31-37-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. SEA 29-33-1 ATS as a DOG in OCT. SEA 13-2-1 ATS as a DOG off SUATS win. SEA 12-1 ATS as a conf DOG off SUATS win. SEA 6-10 ATS before ARZ. SEA 6-9 ATS L15 vs NFC SOUTH. SEA 12-6 ATS after scoring 35>pts. SEA 12-2 ATS as a conf DOG >1pt off SUATS win. NO 11-6-1 ATS in 2^nd of BB HGs. NO 3-7 ATS in 2^nd of BB HGs vs non-div opp. NO 32-31 ATS @HOME in OCT. NO 38-35 ATS as a FAV in OCT. NO 37-35-3 ATS as a HF vs non-div. NO 8-9 ATS vs NFC WEST. NO 20-3 ATS @HOME vs non-div opp off SU DOG win. NO 13-3 ATS as a non-div HF <8pts off SU loss. NO 9-2 ATS @HOME off SU loss vs non-div conf opp. This game could have the makings of another shootout. Dalton is no slouch and should feel pretty good about getting a legitimate shot here while Winston is out. But NO is a slither from being 0-4. Seattle is actually playing ahead of itself and its OFF is playing well. But the DEF could use some help. NO has just made too many mistakes and they have been costly. Teams have scored points on almost every NO turnover. I like the points here with SEA because not only do I think they will cover but they have a chance to win outright. This should be an exciting game.   

SEA INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR Cody Thompson (Shoulder) Out, CB Tre Brown (Knee) Out, RB Travis Homer (Ribs) Out, CB Justin Coleman (Calf) Questionable, CB John Reid (Groin) Out, SS Jamal Adams (Quad) Out, FS Joey Blount (Hamstring) Questionable, DE Darryl Johnson (Ankle) Questionable, LB Jon Rhattigan (Knee) Out, LS Tyler Ott (Shoulder) Out, DE L.J. Collier (Elbow) Out, LB Tyreke Smith (Hip) Out, LB Alton Robinson (Knee (PCL)) Out.

NO INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

TE Dylan Soehner (Undisclosed) Out, LB Isaiah Pryor (Undisclosed) Out, QB Jameis Winston (Back/Ankle) Questionable, S Marcus Maye (Rib) Questionable, WR Michael Thomas (Foot) Questionable, WR Kawaan Baker (Suspended) Out, CB Alontae Taylor (Knee) Out, S Smoke Monday (Knee (ACL)) Out, RB Alvin Kamara (Ribs) Questionable, LB D'Marco Jackson (Undisclosed) Out, OT Trevor Penning (Foot) Out, OT Ethan Greenidge (Knee) Out, G Andrus Peat (Concussion) Questionable  G Forrest Lamp (Undisclosed) Out, DT Albert Huggins (Leg) Out, DE Carl Granderson (Eye) Questionable, DL Malcolm Roach (Undisclosed) Out.

THE PICK: SEA+5 ½

Miami Dolphins (3-1), (3-1) ATS, (1-1) AWAY, (1-1) ATS @ NY Jets (2-2), (2-2) ATS (0-2) HOME, (0-2) ATS                                         NYJ+3 ½  

LW, on TNF, MIA QB Tua Tagovailoa should never have been playing the game. He had sustained a concussion vs BUFF four days before and then was slammed to the turf in the game @CINNCY. I doubt he will be returning for this game. QB Teddy Bridgewater did his best to rally MIA @CINNCY but fell short 27-15. Bridgewater is very capable of leading a team and getting victories. Coming off their win vs BUFF, I felt MIA could carry over against CINNCY. CINNCY had only beaten NYJ and CINNCY QB Joe Burrow had already been taking a beating with a lot of sacks and no protection from his O-LINE. But, CINNCY was able to keep the MIA DEF from getting to Burrow and he was able to dissect the MIA DEF. CINNCY also played better DEF and stopped MIA from doing any real damage. LW, NYJ took advantage of PITT’s misfortunes, 4 total INTS by 2 different PTT QBs and turned them into 10 NYJ pts. Not only was PITT up 20-10 in the 4^th qtr but NYJ took advantage of one of those INTS to put together a nice drive that was the go ahead td to win 24-20. I his 1^st game of the season, NYJ QB Zach Wilson threw 2INTS that led to 10 PITT pts. This was a sloppy game for both PITT & NYJ but NYJ prevailed when it counted. The NYJ were able to sustain a run game that took a little pressure off of Wilson but he was very rusty. L25 NYJ vs MIA ROAD, 17-8 ATS. L30 MIA vs NYJ, DOG, 18-11-1 ATS. L15 NYJ(H) vs MIA, NYJ 5-10 SU & 4-10-1 ATS. NYJ 20-22-1 ATS L43 as a HOME DOG. NYJ 32-29 ATS @HOME in OCT. NYJ 35-38 ATS as a DOG in OCT. NYJ 30-17 ATS vs AFC EAST in OCT. NYJ 4-13-2 ATS vs opp w/rest. NYJ 1-11 ATS w/revenge off SU DOG win vs opp off SU loss. MIA 5-5 ATS L10 as a ROAD FAV. MIA 8-12 ATS in 2^nd of BB RGs. MIA 35-28 ATS AWAY in OCT. MIA 27-27 ATS as a FAV in OCT. MIA 22-25 ATS vs AFC EAST in OCT. MIA 11-6-1 ATS w/rest. MIA is on a bounceback here and coming of a nice rest. Bridgewater is always playing for a job but he knows how to carry a team when called upon. NYJ are coming off a high from a win in a game that they should have lost. Wilson will have no excuses if he has a bad game and the NYJ lose badly. MIA has been a nice surprise so far. However, they need to get their run game going to keep the NYJ DEF guessing and on their toes. If the MIA DEF can put pressure on Wilson and stop the NYJ run game, MIA will walk away with this game. Lay the points here as MIA should roll.   

MIA INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

TE Adam Shaheen (Knee) Out, CB Trill Williams (Knee (ACL)) Out, QB Tua Tagovailoa (Concussion) Out, CB Byron Jones (Achilles) Out, CB Xavien Howard (Groin) Questionable, S Clayton Fejedelem (Undisclosed) Out, FB John Lovett (Knee) Out, LB Calvin Munson (Undisclosed) Out, OL Austin Jackson (Ankle) Out.

NYJ INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

OT Greg Senat (Undisclosed) Out, OT Mekhi Becton (Kneecap) Out, FB Nick Bawden (Undisclosed) Out, LB Quincy Williams (Ankle) Doubtful, OL Max Mitchell (Knee) Doubtful, OT Duane Brown (Shoulder) Questionable, OT George Fant (Knee) Out, DL Vinny Curry (Hamstring) Questionable.

THE PICK: MIA-3 ½

Atlanta Falcons (2-2), (4-0) ATS, (1-1) AWAY, (2-0) ATS @ TB Buccaneers (2-2), (2-2) ATS, (0-2) HOME, (0-2) ATS                                  ATL+8 ½  

LW, ATL @HOME stole one from CLEV. ATL hung around long enough to win the game with 202yds combined rushing and made an INT when CLEV tried to get down the field for a game tying fg. Unfortunately, in the game, ATL RB Cordarrelle Patterson injured his knee and will be out for a while. LW on SNF TB @HOME vs KC started out with a disadvantage. TB fumbled the opening kickoff and KC then had perfect field position for a td. KC never trailed in this game and it was a valiant effort by TB QB Tom Brady & his OFF to mount a comeback but the DEF for TB was the culprit. They couldn’t make any stops all night vs KC & QB Pat Mahomes. Final score KC 41-31. The run game for TB went out the window and TB was forced to throw the ball all night. TB had 3yds rushing. L15 TB(H) vs ATL, TB 7-8 SU & 8-6-1 ATS. L22 TB vs ATL, HOME 12-9-1 ATS. L23 TB vs ATL, FAV 13-9-1 ATS. L12 TB vs ATL, TB 6-6 ATS. TB 20-34-3 ATS as a FAV in OCT. TB 20-30-4 ATS @HOME in OCT. TB 18-23 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in OCT. TB 22-28-3 ATS L53 as a HOME FAV. TB 1-13 ATS as a FAV off BB SU losses. ATL 31-24 ATS AWAY in OCT. ATL 23-14 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in OCT. ATL 36-33 ATS as a DOG in OCT. ATL 15-8 ATS as a DOG 8>pts. ATL 12-7 ATS off SU DOG win vs non-div opp. ATL 10-5 ATS as a DOG off SU DOG win. ATL 10-6 ATS as a DOG >1pt off SU DOG win. ATL 6-11 ATS AWAY vs opp off DD SU loss. ATL 8-0 ATS as div RD vs opp off BB SU losses. Everyone is probably thinking TB & Tom Brady but, they haven’t looked the same. The problems with TB can’t be fixed in a week. You can’t go from 3yds rushing to 150yds rushing in a week. Brady will be looking at film but what about the rest of the team? The DEF has become suspect. TB HC Todd Bowles is not HC Bruce Arians. Mariota is having success with ATL because he is taking what the DEF is giving him, no more, no less. The OFF for ATL uses many different players in different situations to keep everyone involved. TB is in a double bounceback situation here and they are certainly looking for a win but I don’t think they get that blowout win that everybody thinks they will get. I think it will be closer than the spread suggests because in a way Mariota is like Mahomes, elusive at times and unpredictable. Take ATL with the points. 

ATL INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

LS Beau Brinkley (Achilles) Out, RB Damien Williams (Ribs) Out, WR Calvin Ridley (Suspended) Out, CB Isaiah Oliver (Knee) Out, ILB Deion Jones (Shoulder) Out, OL Tyler Vrabel (Undisclosed) Out, OL Jalen Mayfield (Back) Out, RB Cordarrelle Patterson (Knee) Out, TE John FitzPatrick (Undisclosed) Out, DL Marlon Davidson (Knee) Out, DT Vincent Taylor (Achilles) Out.

TB INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR Julio Jones (Undisclosed) Questionable, WR Breshad Perriman (Knee/Hamstring) Questionable, CB Carlton Davis III (Shoulder) Questionable, RB Giovani Bernard (Ankle) Out, S Logan Ryan (Foot) Questionable, RB Kenjon Barner (Groin) Out, OLB Cam Gill (Foot) Out, G Aaron Stinnie (Knee (ACL) (MCL)) Out, C Ryan Jensen (Knee) Out, OT Josh Wells (Calf) Out, TE Cameron Brate (Concussion) Questionable, DL Akiem Hicks (Foot) Questionable.

THE PICK: ATL+8 ½

Tennessee Titans (2-2), (2-2) ATS, (1-1) AWAY, (1-1) ATS @ Washington Commanders (1-3), (1-3) ATS, (1-1) HOME, (1-1) ATS         WASH+2 ½  

LW, TENN @INDY took a 24-3 lead and then coasted to a 24-17 victory. TENN RB Derrick Henry had a nice game with 22 carries, 114yds &1td. A good game for Henry takes a lot of pressure off of QB Ryan Tannehill. Tannehill didn’t turn the ball over and passed for 2tds. He didn’t throw the ball much but he didn’t have to because the TENN DEF did their job in this game by getting 1INT and 2 fumbles from INDY. INDY played sloppy and TENN played just enough to win. As much as you would like to think that WASH had a chance @DAL last week, they had no chance. WASH actually led the game 7-6 in the 2^nd qtr but DAL then took over. WASH QB Carson Wentz threw 2INTS but it only turned into 3pts for DAL. The WASH run game did get going but they couldn’t find the endzone as they were playing catchup most of the day @DAL. Final score, DAL 25-10. L4 WASH vs TENN, 2-2 SUATS. WASH 15-17 ATS L32 as a HOME DOG. WASH 10-2 ATS before TNF. WASH 31-32 ATS @HOME in OCT. WASH 32-46 ATS as a DOG in OCT. WASH 11-6 ATS off DD ATS loss. WASH 10-15 ATS off BB SU losses. WASH 11-12 ATS vs .400>opp. TENN 7-1 ATS L8 AWAY vs NFC EAST. TENN since 2007 wk before bye, 7-8 ATS. TENN 9-13 ATS 1NL L23 as a ROAD FAV. TENN 10-9-1 ATS 1NL in 2^nd of BB RGs. TENN 32-26 ATS as a FAV in OCT. TENN 33-27 ATS AWAY in OCT. TENN 9-2 ATS AWAY off BB SU wins (last vs div) vs non-div. TENN 2-18 ATS vs non-div opp off SU loss >10pts. I honestly don’t think that WASH can beat anyone. If Carson Wentz gets pressured, he folds up like a house of cards. He has already been sacked 17x and the O-LINE gives him no protection to make decent throws. Hence he already has 5INTS & 3fumbs. He had 7INTS & 8fumbs in all of 17 games last season. TENN will get rolling with their run game which will take pressure off of Tannehill but, TENN needs to score points in the 2^nd half and not just come out lame. TENN has scored a total of 7pts in the 2^nd half of their first four games. That will not get you a lot of wins. It will get you a lot of losses but, fortunately for TENN they haven’t played a tough schedule and their competition is even worse. WASH #16 RUSH DEF is decent and has kept the team hanging around but the O-LINE for WASH is terrible and is compounded by a terrible QB. TENN needs to get a win before their bye so that they can sort some things out and get ready for the long stretch. TENN has to consistently put pressure on Wentz. WASH in a major bounceback spot but no bounceback here. The TENN DEF has to step it up as Wentz is trying to spread out the OFF. Lay the points as TENN wins by at least 4pts unless they give WASH easy opportunities by way of turnovers.    

TENN INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

OLB Harold Landry III (Knee (ACL)) Out, DE Da'Shawn Hand (Quad) Out, K Caleb Shudak (Leg) Out, WR Racey McMath (Hip) Out, WR Treylon Burks (Toe) Out, RB Trenton Cannon (Knee) Out, CB Elijah Molden (Groin) Out, DB Ugo Amadi (Ankle) Questionable S A.J. Moore (Ankle) Out, DB Chris Jackson (Undisclosed) Out, DB Amani Hooker (Concussion) Questionable, LB Zach Cunningham (Elbow) Questionable LB Chance Campbell (Knee) Out, OLB Bud Dupree (Hip) Questionable, LB Monty Rice (Achilles) Questionable, OL Jamarco Jones (Triceps) Out, OT Taylor Lewan (Knee) Out, OLB Ola Adeniyi (Neck) Questionable.

WASH INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR Jahan Dotson (Hamstring) Questionable, RB Brian Robinson (Leg) Questionable, WR Curtis Samuel (Illness) Questionable, S Percy Butler (Quad) Questionable, LB Milo Eifler (Hamstring) Questionable, G Willie Beavers (Undisclosed) Out, C Tyler Larsen (Achilles) Questionable, G Wes Schweitzer (Concussion) Out, OT Charles Leno Jr. (Shoulder) Questionable, C Chase Roullier (Knee) Out, G Nolan Laufenberg (Undisclosed) Out, OT Sam Cosmi (Thumb) Out, TE Curtis Hodges (Thigh) Out, DT Phidarian Mathis (Torn Meniscus) Out, DE Chase Young (Knee (ACL)) Out.

THE PICK: TENN-2 ½

Houston Texans (0-3-1), (3-1) ATS, (0-2) AWAY, (2-0) ATS @ Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2), (2-2) ATS, (1-0) HOME, (1-0) ATS                         HOU+7

LW, JAGS QB Trevor Lawrence had a pretty bad game in a game that JAGS HC Doug Pederson wanted to win. I liked JAGS in that game +6 1/2. From early on with a 14-0 lead it looked like a good bet. But, Lawrence had 1INT and 5 fumbles, 4 lost which resulted in 24 pts for PHILLY. You can’t win a game when your starting QB is giving the opposition the ball more chances in which to score. Your whole game plan goes out the door when your DEF is on the field extra possessions and you are playing catchup. JAGS almost had a back door cover but still lost 29-21. LW, HOU was down 21-0 in the 2^nd qtr and 27-7 at halftime before you could figure out what was going on. HOU made a valiant effort to come back but ended up losing 34-24. I liked HOU+5 because they were HOME and have been known for an upset now and then. But LAC RB Austin Ekeler seemed to be a one-man wrecking crew rushing for 2tds while catching a pass for another td. Give HOU some credit as they tried to make a game of it but came up short. Rookie RB Dameon Pierce was a big bright spot for HOU as he rushed 14x for 131yds and 1td. L15 JAG(H) vs HOU, HOU 9-6 SUATS. L20 JAGS vs HOU, ROAD 13-7 ATS.  L8 HOU vs JAGS, HOU 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS. L30 JAGS vs HOU, HOU 21-9 SU & 17-13 ATS. HOU since 2007, wk before their bye, 10-4-1 ATS. HOU 12-11 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in OCT. HOU 14-21 ATS AWAY in OCT. HOU 17-27 ATS as a DOG in OCT. JAGS 13-25 ATS as a FAV in OCT. JAGS 18-30 ATS @HOME in OCT. JAGS 17-27 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in OCT. JAGS 2-9 ATS as a FAV 7>pts off SUATS loss. JAGS 4-6 ATS as a FAV 7pts. JAGS 2-14-1 ATS before INDY. JAGS 8-12 ATS as a FAV 3>pts vs 333<opp. JAGS are on a huge bounceback here and HC Doug Pederson is intent on turning the JAGS around. One area for a turnaround is how they respond after a loss. JAGS have the personnel to compete, they just can’t make so many mistakes. HOU doesn’t have the personnel, so they are trying people out and finding out who can and cannot play. JAGS did give up 210 yds rushing to PHILLY but PHILLY is a rushing heavy OFF that looks to take a lot of pressure off of their QB, which is working so far. Also, JAGS cannot let HOU get their rushing game going. JAGS need to put the game on HOU QB Davis Mills because he doesn’t have a lot of guys to throw to. JAGS need a big game here to get them back on track and unfortunately for HOU, they are in the way. HOU HC Lovie Smith has HOU playing competitive but they are coming up short. Maybe HOU can figure some things out during their bye week. Lay the points here as JAGS should win by 10pts unless they continue their turnoveritous and lose their way.   

HOU INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

DB Tavierre Thomas (Quadriceps) Out, WR John Metchie III (Illness) Out, TE Brevin Jordan (Ankle) Questionable, DB Isaac Yiadom (Thigh) Questionable, RB Darius Anderson (Knee) Out, LB Christian Harris (Hamstring) Questionable, LB Blake Cashman (Head) Questionable, ILB Kevin Pierre-Louis (Groin) Out, OL Justin Britt (Personal) Out, OL Austin Deculus (Knee) Questionable, TE Teagan Quitoriano (Knee) Out DE Derek Rivers (Bicep) Out, DE Mario Addison (Thigh) Questionable.

JAGS INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR Zay Jones (Ankle)Questionable, OLB K'Lavon Chaisson (Ankle) Questionable, OL Cole Van Lanen (Hamstring) Questionable, DE Jordan Smith (Knee) Out, DLFoley Fatukasi (Quad) Questionable.

THE PICK: JAGS-7

Sunday October 9^th, 2022 4:00pm

SF 49ers (2-2), (2-2) ATS, (0-2) AWAY, (0-2) ATS @ Carolina Panthers (1-3), (1-3) ATS, (1-2) HOME, (1-2) ATS

LW on MNF the DEF for SF played a great game vs LAR. They kept the LAR OFF out of the endzone and limited LAR to 3fgs. Not only that, with LAR driving in the 4^th qtr and the score SF 17-9, SF S Talonoa Hufanga intercepted a Matthew Stafford pass and ran it back for a td, a 24-9 lead and the final score. The SF DEF was all over Stafford as he was sacked 7x. The OFF for SF seemed a little shaky at times and this game was SF 14-9 going into the 4^th qtr. For SF, if it wasn’t for the PICK6, all they had in the 2^nd half was a fg & a missed fg to show. With more reps in practice Jimmy G will get his game back and SF should be on track for a playoff run. LW, CAR was just awful. CAR QB Baker Mayfield had 2INTS, 1 lost fumb and five passes batted down. CAR was actually up 10-3 at the half but squandered a game that they could have and should have won. The problem for CAR is that Mayfield has regressed and they don’t have anyone on the roster that they could turn to at the QB position. QB Sam Darnold is still injured with his ankle. Plus only PJ Walker is on the roster and 3^rd round draft choice, Matt Corral is on injured reserve and out for the season. Plus, the run game for CAR is almost non-existent. CAR HC Matt Rhule should be worried about his job but injuries have decimated the team. L7 CAR vs SF, CAR 6-1 SUATS. CAR 7-10-1 ATS L18 as a HOME DOG. CAR 38-20 ATS as a DOG in OCT. CAR 24-28 ATS @HOME in OCT. CAR 14-9 ATS @HOME off SUATS loss. CAR 12-10 ATS off SUATS loss vs non-div opp. CAR 9-4 ATS @HOME ff SUATS loss vs non-div opp. SF 15-9-1 ATS in 1^st of BB RGs. SF 25-41 ATS AWAY in OCT. SF 43-31 ATS as a FAV in OCT. SF 6-2 ATS as a FAV vs <500opp. SF has found new life with QB Jimmy G and this game should be a win for SF. CAR has not impressed anyone. Their only win was against a NO team that committed penalties and turnovers and dug themselves a hole early which they could not get out of. Otherwise for CAR it’s been nothing but frustration. SF comes in with a DEF that is playing very well and is not giving up much. Even in SF’s two losses, the opposing QBs couldn’t really do much damage. In the loss @DEN, the DEF only gave up 1td. SF shouldn’t have a problem with Mayfield. Mayfield forces the ball too many times and makes mistakes when pressure is put on him. SF should get going and blow the doors off CAR. Lay the points here.

SF INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

TE Jordan Matthews (Leg/Knee) Out, DB Jimmie Ward (Hamstring) Out, CB Jason Verrett (Knee (ACL)) Out, QB Trey Lance (Ankle) Out, WR Danny Gray (Hip) Questionable, RB Elijah Mitchell (Knee (MCL)) Out, RB Tyrion Davis-Price (Ankle) Questionable DB Tarvarius Moore (Hamstring) Questionable, LB Azeez Al-Shaair (Knee) Out, LB Curtis Robinson (Ankle) Out, OT Trent Williams (Ankle) Questionable, DL Jordan Willis (Knee) Out, TE Tyler Kroft (Knee) Questionable, DL Kalia Davis (Undisclosed) Out, DL Maurice Hurst (Bicep) Out, DT Javon Kinlaw (Knee) Questionable. 

CAR INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

K Zane Gonzalez (Groin) Out, QB Matt Corral (Ankle/Foot) Out, QB Sam Darnold (Ankle) Out, WR Laviska Shenault Jr. (Hamstring) Questionable, WR Andre Roberts (Knee) Out, S Jeremy Chinn (Hamstring) Out, CB Stantley Thomas-Oliver III (Achilles) Questionable, LB Julian Stanford (Undisclosed) Out, DT Bravvion Roy (Hamstring) Out.

THE PICK: SF-6 ½  

Dallas Cowboys (3-1), (3-1) ATS, (1-0) AWAY, (1-0) ATS @ LA Rams (2-2), (1-3) ATS, (1-1) HOME, (0-2) ATS                                            DAL+4 ½  

LW, WASH may have thought they had a chance @DAL but they really didn’t. DAL was just toying with them and pulled away for a 25-10 win. The DAL DEF stopped WASH when they needed. They had 2INTS, 2sacks and made WASH punt 6x. WASH couldn’t get things going and also turned the ball over on downs 2x. It was ball control and the little things that won it for DAL. However, DAL still needs to get their running game going which has been lagging. On MNF, LAR were @SF. The SF DEF sacked LAR QB Matthew Stafford 7x and the OFF managed 3fgs. LAR was moving the ball up and own the field but could not get into the endzone. Stafford has been relying too much on WR Cooper Kupp and not looking for others in the OFF. Opposing DEFs are picking up on that. After SF missed a fg which kept the score SF 17-9, LAR was driving for what looked like a tying td. But, Stafford didn’t see one of the SF defenders on what was a WR screen. The SF defender intercepted the ball and raced to the endzone for a td. The final score SF 24-9. Also, the LAR DEF didn’t even sack Jimmy G 1x. The best tackle that LAR LB Bobby Wagner had all night was when he knocked down a spectator who ran on the field. L9 DAL vs LAR, DAL 5-4 SUATS. DAL 14-6 ATS in 1^st of BB RGs. DAL 19-20-1 ATS as a DOG in OCT. DAL 28-31-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. DAL 23-19-1 ATS L43 as a ROAD DOG. DAL 10-4 ATS as a DOG vs NFC WEST. DAL 11-1 ATS off SUATS win vs opp off DD SU loss. LAR 9-7 ATS in 1^st of BB HGs. LAR 31-27 ATS @HOME in OCT. LAR 30-20 ATS as a FAV in OCT. LAR 28-28 ATS L56 as a HOME FAV. LAR 9-2 ATS as a FAV <13pts off SU loss. DAL QB Cooper Rush has been playing well in Dak Prescott’s absence and this may be his last game before Prescott comes back. He would like to go out with a win and show that he is capable of leading a team in this league. In his 3 starts he has 4tds & 0INTS. Yes, LAR is in a bounceback and they could use a win here but if you follow me on Social media and my website, I have said that this is not the same team that won the SuperBowl last season. Stafford does not look strong and he has become even less mobile than before. The matchup of DAL #7 TOT DEF vs LAR #28 TOT OFF is a staggering statistic and should not be overlooked. LAR did not look good on MNF and their OFF problems will not get solved in just one week. Take DAL and the points as they should win by at least a td.  

DAL INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

TE Ian Bunting (Neck) Out, CB Jourdan Lewis (Groin) Questionable, QB Dak Prescott (Thumb) Questionable, S Jayron Kearse (Knee) Questionable, LB Damone Clark (Neck) Out, LS Jake McQuaide (Triceps) Out, LB Devante Bond (Knee) Out, OT Tyron Smith (Knee) Out, WR James Washington (Foot) Out, WR Noah Brown (Neck) Questionable, DE Tarell Basham (Thigh) Out, DT Quinton Bohanna (Shoulder) Questionable.

LAR INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

CB Troy Hill (Groin) Out, WR Van Jefferson (Knee) Out, DB Cobie Durant (Hamstring) Questionable, DB David Long Jr. (Groin) Questionable, RB Kyren Williams (Ankle) Out, ILB Travin Howard (Groin) Out, S Quentin Lake (Knee) Out, OLB Daniel Hardy (Ankle) Out, C Brian Allen (Knee) Questionable, G Logan Bruss (Knee (ACL)) Out, OT Tremayne Anchrum Jr. (Leg) Out, G David Edwards (Illness) Questionable, TE Brycen Hopkins (Suspension) Out, DT Bobby Brown III (Suspended) Out.

THE PICK: DAL+4 ½

Philadelphia Eagles (4-0), (3-1) ATS, (2-0) AWAY, (1-1) ATS @ Arizona Cardinals (2-2), (2-2) ATS, (1-1) HOME, (1-1) ATS                       ARZ+5

Yes PHILLY is playing well. No doubt about it but, LW @HOME vs JAGS the game should have gone the other way. JAG QB Trevor Lawrence turned the ball over 5x. This was 4 fumbles lost and an INT in which PHILLY converted into 23pts. The final score, PHILLY 29-21. This was after JAGS were leading 14-0. It didn’t hurt that PHILLY rushed for a combined 210yds against a JAGS DEF that was on the field more than necessary due to the turnovers. PHILLY WR AJ Brown has been a nice addition to the team as he has given QB Jalen Hurts a nice target to work with. The DEF for PHILLY is also tough as they had 4 sacks of JAGS QB Trevor Lawrence and they don’t let up. PHILLY #3 TOT DEF w/ #9 RUSH DEF & #7 PASS DEF. LW, ARZ beat a bad CAR team. They batted down CAR QB Baker Mayfield’s passes 5x, forced 2INTS, 1lost fumb and sacked him 2x. The game was 10-10 in the 4^th qtr when ARZ finally took control of the game and scored a fg & 2tds to pull ahead 26-10. The final score was CAR 26-16. But ARZ shouldn’t be patting themselves on their backs. ARZ QB Kyler Murray has to play better and the run game has to get going for. Yes, ARZ rushed for a combined 132 yds vs CAR but, it was CAR and they are really bad. We’ll see what happens this week vs PHILLY. L9 ARZ vs PHILLY, ARZ 6-3 SU & 7-2 ATS, incl, ARZ(H) vs PHILLY, 4-0 SUATS. PHILLY 11-16 ATS L27 as a ROAD FAV. PHILLY 29-31 ATS AWAY in OCT. PHILLY 42-37 ATS as a FAV in OCT. PHILLY 3-7 ATS L10 AWAY vs NFC WEST. PHILLY 2-9 ATS L11 as a non-div ROAD FAV 3>pts. PHILLY 1-14 ATS AWAY off SU win vs non-div opp off SUATS win. PHILLY 2-10 ATS off non-div gm vs opp off SU DOG win. PHILLY 7-6 ATS before DAL. ARZ 10-13-1 ATS L24 as a HOME DOG. ARZ 38-41 ATS as a DOG in OCT. ARZ 36-30 ATS @HOME in OCT. ARZ 12-6 ATS as a non-div HOME DOG. ARZ 15-6 ATS as a non-div HD <7pts. ARZ 10-3 ATS as a non-div HD >3pts. ARZ 8-0 ATS as a non-div HD >2pts vs opp off SUATS win. ARZ 15-4 ATS @HOME vs non-div opp off SUATS win. ARZ 19-8 ATS @HOME vs opp off SUATS win. ARZ 7-4 ATS L11 vs NFC EAST. Don’t be impressed by ARZ’s win. They were playing a bad CAR team with no real QB and it took until the 4^th qtr for ARZ to take control of the game. PHILLY will make you pay with every mistake that you make. ARZ hasn’t shown any consistency so far and they are just biding their time until WR DeAndre Hopkins gets back. But, by that time it may be too late for ARZ. Here’s a stat that will come in handy. PHILLY #5 RUSH OFF vs ARZ #5 RUSH DEF. Who will break first? ARZ hasn’t played any rush heavy teams and they were crushed in wk 1 vs KC so it may be a little misleading that they are so good vs the run. But PHILLY looks to grind you down and then top it off with passes. But who has PHILLY really played? DET, WASH, JAGS & MINN. The crowd may get into this one. PHILLY may win by 3pts but not by a td. If this were @PHILLY it may be a different story. Take the points here because it should be a good game.    

PHILLY INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

CB Darius Slay (Forearm) Questionable, CB Avonte Maddox (Ankle) Questionable, RB Boston Scott (Rib) Questionable, LB Patrick Johnson (Concussion) Questionable, G Isaac Seumalo (Ankle) Questionable, LB Kyron Johnson (Head) Questionable, OT Brett Toth (Knee) Out, OT Jordan Mailata (Shoulder) Questionable, OT Andre Dillard (Forearm) Questionable, TE Tyree Jackson (Knee (ACL)) Out, DE Derek Barnett (Knee) Out.

ARZ INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

OL Joshua Miles (Undisclosed) Out, WR DeAndre Hopkins (Suspended) Out, QB Colt McCoy (Arm) Questionable, WR Antoine Wesley (Hip) Questionable, WR A.J. Green (Knee) Questionable, S Charles Washington (Chest) Out, CB Antonio Hamilton (Foot) Questionable, ILB Ezekiel Turner (Ankle) Questionable, S Tae Daley (Undisclosed) Out, ILB Nick Vigil (Hamstring) Questionable, OL Justin Pugh (Elbow) Questionable, OL Cody Ford (Ankle) Out, OL Lachavious Simmons (Undisclosed) Out, OL Marquis Hayes (Knee) Out, DT Rashard Lawrence (Hand) Questionable.

THE PICK: ARZ+5

Sunday October 9^th, 2022  8:20pm

Cincinnati Bengals (2-2), (2-2) ATS, (1-1) AWAY, (1-1) ATS @ Baltimore Ravens (2-2), (2-1-1) ATS, (0-2) HOME, (0-1-1) ATS                            CINNCY+3

LW, BALT @HOME had a 20-3 lead over BUFF but lost 23-20. BUFF adjusted and clamped down their DEF. They forced BALT to punt 4x and throw 2INTS. BALT let the game get away from them and when they needed to kick a fg, BALT HC John Harbaugh went for a 4^th down play instead, turning the ball over and allowing BUFF to drive all the way down the field and kick the winning fg. Harbaugh should know better because he made a rookie mistake. On TNF, CINNCY took care of business and cut down the number of sacks allowed to 1x. MIA was actually up in the 4^th qtr 15-14 but the DEF for CINNCY shut down MIA. CINNCY kicked 2fgs and scored a td in the 4^th qtr to win, 27-15. However, CINNCY has to get their run game going. Look for them to get it going so that BALT QB Lamar Jackson stays off the field. L15 BALT(H) vs CINNCY, CINNCY 6-9 SU but 8-5-1 ATS. L22 BALT vs CINNCY, FAV 12-8-1 ATS 1NL. L26 BALT vs CINNCY, CINNCY 16-8-1 ATS 1NL. BALT 9-8 ATS on SNF. BALT 1-4 ATS on SNF vs opp off DD SU win. BALT 7-8 ATS as a FAV on SNF. BALT 10-6 ATS in 2^nd of BB HGs. BALT 28-35-1 ATS as a FAV in OCT. BALT 16-17-1 ATS vs AFC NORTH in OCT. BALT 24-30-1 ATS @HOME in OCT. BALT 12-26-1 ATS @HOME off non-div gm. BALT 9-13 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins. BALT 5-0 ATS L5 as div FAVS 6<pts. CINNCY 0-3-1 ATS as a DOG on SNF. CINNCY 0-4-1 ATS AWAY on SNF. CINNCY 8-10-1 ATS in 1^st of BB RGs. CINNCY 5-5-1 ATS as a DOG in 1^st of BB RGs. CINNCY 25-40 ATS AWAY in OCT. CINNCY 32-44-2 ATS as a DOG in OCT. CINNCY 16-32-1 ATS vs AFC NORTH in OCT. CINNCY 6-8-1 ATS w/rest. CINNCY 3-6-1 ATS L10 off BB SU wins. CINNCY 8-1 ATS vs division opp w/revenge. CINNCY 0-6 ATS as a DOG w/rest. This game is not easy to figure because they are very similar and know each other very well. On one hand there is the bounceback for BALT after their loss LW @HOME vs BUFF. There is also a revenge factor for BALT because CINNCY swept the series form BALT last season. Both QBS are very good and both are looking for deep runs in the playoffs. However, CINNCY #11 TOT DEF vs BALT #30 TOT DEF might give CINNCY the edge. For CINNCY, Burrow doesn’t take as many chances as Jackson and doesn’t make as many mistakes. Sometimes BALT HC John Harbaugh makes some calls that have you scratching your head. Against a good team, you have to be careful. Cinncy is one of those teams and their secondary is suspect. This is a game that will probably come down to a fg but I’m giving CINNCY the benefit of the doubt. Take the points here.   

CINNCY INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

S Tycen Anderson (Hamstring) Out, CB Cam Taylor-Britt (Abdomen) Questionable, RB Elijah Holyfield (Knee) Out, S Brandon Wilson (Knee (ACL)) Out, LS Clark Harris (Biceps) Out, LB Joe Bachie (Knee) Out, C Ben Brown (Bicep) Out, OT Isaiah Prince (Elbow) Out, WR Tee Higgins (Ankle) Questionable, TE Devin Asiasi (Ankle) Questionable, TE Drew Sample (Knee) Out, DE Khalid Kareem (Hamstring) Questionable, DT DJ Reader (Knee) Out.

BALT INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR Rashod Bateman (Foot) Questionable, CB Kyle Fuller (Knee) Out, RB Gus Edwards (ACL) Questionable, RB Justice Hill (Hamstring) Questionable, OLB Vince Biegel (Achilles) Out, OLB Justin Houston (Groin) Questionable, ILB Josh Ross (Foot) Out, OLB Tyus Bowser (Achilles) Out, DT Michael Pierce (Biceps) Out, OLB Steven Means (Ankle) Out, C Patrick Mekari (Ankle) Questionable, OT Ja'Wuan James (Achilles) Out, OT Ronnie Stanley (Ankle) Questionable, WR Slade Bolden (Undisclosed) Out, TE Charlie Kolar (Sports Hernia) Out, OLB David Ojabo (Achilles) Out.

THE PICK: CINNCY+3

Monday October 10^th, 2022 8:15pm

LV Raiders (1-3), (1-3) ATS, (0-2) AWAY, (0-2) ATS @ KC Chiefs (3-1), (2-2) ATS, (1-0) HOME, (0-1) ATS                                           LV+7

LW, LV was the recipient of a gift by DEN that kind of set the tone for the game. I had liked DEN+2 ½ because LV had shown me nothing so far this season. However, DEN RB Melvin Gordon who’s skill set has definitely declined fumbled the ball which was returned for a td by LV. DEN played catchup the rest of the game and the play seemed to invigorate the whole LV team. DEN who has problems of their own punted on 4 straight possessions in the 2^nd half while LV increased their lead to 9pts. In the end, LV held on and got a must needed win. It also helped that LV got their running game going and rushed for a combined 212yds & 2tds which DEN had no answer for. LW, on SNF it seemed that KC was on a mission for the outset. The tone was set when TB fumbled the opening kickoff and gave the ball deep in TB territory. On the night, KC forced to 2 fumbles that turned into tds in the 1^st half and TB was playing catchup the whole game, never to catch up. KC QB Pat Mahomes looked like a magician out there and made plays that only he could make. He tore apart the TB DEF like they were a second tier team. Any time TB scored a td, KC answered right back with another td. KC also used the run game for a combined 189yds and 2tds. L15 KC(H) vs LV, KC 8-7 SU & 7-8 ATS. L10 KC vs LV, KC 8-2 SU & 6-4 ATS. L30 KC vs LV, ROAD 17-13 SUATS. L30 LV vs KC, DOG 16-12 ATS 2PICK’EMS. LV since 2007, wk before bye, 7-7-1 ATS. LV 13-11 ATS as a RD on MNF. LV 33-26 ATS AWAY in OCT. LV 38-34 ATS as a DOG in OCT. LV 21-25 ATS vs AFC WEST in OCT. LV 4-7 ATS L11 after DEN. KC 8-9 ATS in 1^st of BB HGs. KC 6-1-1 ATS L8 on MNF. KC 8-4 ATS as a HOME FAV on MNF. KC 36-29 ATS @HOME in OCT. KC 27-17 ATS vs AFC WEST in OCT. KC 23-28 ATS as a FAV in OCT. KC 1-7 ATS as a HF 7>pts after scoring 35>pts. KC 11-4 ATS off DD ATS win vs non-div opp. KC 4-12 ATS @HOME after scoring 35>pts. KC 4-9 ATS after scoring 35>pts vs opp off SUATS win. KC 6-15 ATS as a div HF vs <500opp. KC 6-12 ATS @HOME vs <500 div opp. KC 8-2 ATS vs div opp w/revenge off SUATS win. KC 7-0-1 ATS L8 on MNF vs conf opp. KC 2-10 ATS after non-conf ROAD gm. Don’t be fooled by LV’s win vs DEN last week. DEN has a lot of problem on OFF that they haven’t figured out yet and their DEF is overrated. The DEN DEF sacked LV QB Derek Carr 2x but created no turnovers and the LV OFF ran all over the place. But LV will not do that this week @KC. KC got out to such a great start @TB, that the forced TB to rely solely on Brady’s arm and limit the TB rushing game to 3yds, yes 3yds. I look for KC to get out to anther fast start in this game and take control with the weapons they have on OFF and keep the LV secondary guessing and missing. Look for Carr to have happy feet in this game and turn the ball over. Lay the points here.  

LV INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

DE Jordan Jenkins (Knee) Out, RB Sincere McCormick (Undisclosed) Out, WR Hunter Renfrow (Concussion) Questionable, WR Dillon Stoner (Undisclosed) Out, WR DJ Turner (Ankle) Out, CB Rock Ya-Sin (Knee) Questionable, CB Anthony Averett (Thumb) Out, LB Micah Kiser (Knee) Out, LB Denzel Perryman (Concussion) Questionable, OT Brandon Parker (Triceps) Out, TE Foster Moreau (Knee) Questionable, DE Clelin Ferrell N/A N/A.

KC INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)

WR Justyn Ross (Foot) Out, K Harrison Butker (Ankle) Questionable, CB Trent McDuffie (Hamstring) Out, CB L'Jarius Sneed (Ankle) Questionable, LB Willie Gay (Suspended) Out, DE Mike Danna (Calf) Questionable, DE Frank Clark (Illness) N/A, DE Joshua Kaindoh (Illness) Questionable, OL Trey Smith (Pectoral) Questionable, OT Lucas Niang (Kneecap) Out, TE Blake Bell (Hip) Out.

THE PICK: KC-7