2022 NFL SEASON WEEK 7
2022 NFL SCHEDULE WEEK 7 (ATS)
All times Eastern Standard Time
ALL SPREADS ARE COURTESY OF CAESARS HOTEL IN LAS VEGAS @ THE TIME OF ANALYSIS
Byes: Buffalo Bills, LA Rams, Minnesota Vikings & Philadelphia Eagles
Thursday October 20th, 2022 8:15pm
NO Saints (2-4), (1-5) ATS, (1-1) AWAY, (0-2) ATS @ Arizona Cardinals (2-4), (3-3) ATS, (0-3) HOME, (1-2) ATS NO+1 ½
LW, NO was @HOME vs CINNCY. NO could have had this game because they were winning for most of the game. BUT, they couldn’t put CINNCY away and late in the game, NO gave up a 60-yard pass play to CINNCY WR Ja’Marr Chase that sealed the victory for CINNCY. It was a seesaw battle but NO was finding scores every time and CINNCY would answer. NO QB Andy Dalton had a little revenge factor going against the team he spent many years with. But, Dalton only played average throwing 17/32, 162yds, 1td, 0INTs He got a lot of help from the running game with a combined 228 rushing and 1td. However, the DEF for NO couldn’t stop CINNCY when it mattered and CINNCY QB Joe Burrow was flawless. LW, ARZ was @SEA in a game they should have won. The SEA DEF is terrible but you wouldn’t have known it if you only watched this game. Mistakes and bad play by ARZ led to a 19-9 defeat at the hands of SEA. ARZ QB Kyler Murray rushed 10x for 100 yds as he tried to make some things happen. But miscues by ARZ and some inconsistencies in plays doomed them and they had to settle for 1fg all day on OFF. L6, NO vs ARZ, NO 4-2 SUATS. But, HOME team 5-1 SUATS. NO 5-9-2 ATS on TNF. NO 3-6-1 ATS AWAY on TNF. NO 4-4 ATS on TNF vs opp off SU loss. NO 0-6-2 ATS on TNF vs non-div opp. NO 34-23 ATS AWAY in OCT. NO 30-19 ATS asa DOG in OCT. NO 20-9 ATS L29 as a ROAD DOG. NO 13-2 ATS AWAY off SUATS loss. ARZ 3-11 ATS on TNF. ARZ 1-5 ATS @HOME on TNF. ARZ 1-4 ATS as a FAV on TNF. ARZ 37-30 ATS @HOME in OCT. ARZ 23-22 ATS as a FAV in OCT. ARZ 9-4 ATS as a conf FAV <14pts off DD ATS loss. ARZ 11-2 ATS as a conf FAV <10pts off DD ATS loss. ARZ 4-10 ATS off SU FAV loss. ARZ 9-2 ATS off SU FAV loss vs <500opp. ARZ 0-4 ATS on TNF vs non-div opp. Newly acquired WR Robbie Anderson from CAR should add some OFF firepower to this team as WR Marquise Brown was lost for the season. ARZ WR DeAndre Hopkins also will suit up for this game having finished his 6game suspension for PEDs. The passing game has suffered for ARZ without Hopkins. But with Hopkins back and the addition of Anderson in the place of the injured Brown, ARZ should get things going. This will also open things up for their running game. All six of NO’s game this season have been decided by 10 points or less. This means they have been in every game until the end. The two losses, vs TB & @CAR were blowouts and NO made them closer in garbage time. But the other games have been decided by 7 or less points. Look for Jameis Winston to start this game for NO. NO will rely heavily on the rush to limit Winston’s error factor. Both of these teams are coming off losses but ARZ is coming off two losses that they could have won so they may have a sense of urgency here. ARZ has to stop the NO run game. NO #7 RUSH OFF. Lay the points as ARZ has some HOME cooking.
NO INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
TE Dylan Soehner Out, LB Isaiah Pryor Out, QB Jameis Winston Questionable, WR Jarvis Landry Questionable, S Marcus Maye Probable, WR Deonte Harty Out, WR Michael Thomas Questionable, QB Andy Dalton Questionable, WR Keith Kirkwood Questionable, RB Mark Ingram II Questionable, CB Marshon Lattimore Questionable, CB P.J. Williams Out, CB Alontae Taylor Questionable, CB Paulson Adebo Questionable, S Smoke Monday Out, LB D'Marco Jackson Out, OT Trevor Penning Out, OT Ethan Greenidge Out, OL Andrus Peat Questionable, OL Calvin Throckmorton Questionable, G Forrest Lamp Out, TE Adam Trautman Questionable, DT Albert Huggins Out, DE Payton Turner Questionable.
ARZ INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
OL Joshua Miles Out, WR Marquise Brown Out, K Matt Prater Questionable, RB James Conner Questionable, WR Antoine Wesley Out, CB Trayvon Mullen Questionable, RB Darrel Williams Questionable, ILB Zaven Collins Questionable, RB Eno Benjamin Questionable, S Charles Washington Out, RB Jonathan Ward Out, S Jalen Thompson Questionable, OLB Dennis Gardeck Questionable, S Tae Daley Out, ILB Nick Vigil Out, OL Rodney Hudson Questionable, OL Justin Pugh Out, OL Cody Ford Questionable, OL Lachavious Simmons Out, OL Marquis Hayes Out, DE Michael Dogbe Questionable.
THE PICK: ARZ-1 ½
Sunday October 23rd, 2022 1:00pm
Atlanta (3-3), (6-0) ATS, (1-2) AWAY, (3-0) ATS @ Cincinnati Bengals (3-3), (4-2) ATS, (1-1) HOME, (1-1) ATS ATL+6
LW, ATL @HOME played very well vs SF. SF has a lot of players out on injuries but ATL took full advantage of it. ATL also forced SF QB Jimmy G to throw 2INTS which stopped SF drives. However, ATL did recover a SF fumble and returned it back for a td and a temporary 14-0 lead. ATL eventually won the game 28-14 and were never in danger of losing as the ATL DEF kept the pressure on the SF OFF. The ATL DEF gave up 0pts in the 2nd half. ATL QB Marcus Mariota continues to do a decent job in keeping ATL in every game. The rushing game for ATL combined for 168yds and 1td vs SF and will continue to use other players until RB/WR Cordarrelle Patterson comes back. But the ATL OFF has stepped up when needed. LW, CINNCY QB Joe Burrow was making a return visit to the state and field where he won his national championship with LSU. Burrow didn’t disappoint as CINNCY won 30-26. Burrow had a fine game throwing 28/37, 300yds, 3TDSs, 0INTS & 0turnvers. However, the CINNCY running game continues to go nowhere and three different rushers racked up a total of 75yds. CINNCY #27 RUSH OFF needs to step it up. CINNCY can’t only rely on Burrow’s arm to win games. Burrow was sacked 3x vs NO which brings his season total to 21. That is a lot of pounding and the O-LINE needs to do a better job. CINNCY WR JaMarr Chase continues to be Joe’s favorite target as he turned a 15 pass play into a 60yard td. Chase is an explosive player that many teams can’t cover. After taking the lead 30-26 with 1:57 to play, the CINNCY DEF stopped NO on the ensuing drive and that was the game. L4 CINNCY vs ATL, 2-2 SUATS. CINNCY 23-35-3 ATS @HOME in OCT. CINNCY 22-30-1 ATS as a FAV in OCT. CINNCY 20-6 ATS off non-conf gm vs non-div opp. CINNCY 11-2 ATS as a non-div FAV off non-conf gm. CINNCY 11-1 ATS as a div FAV 3>pts off non-conf gm. CINNCY 6-15-1 ATS vs opp off DD SU win. CINNCY 4-6-1 ATS as a non-conf FAV >1pt. CINNCY 4-6-1 ATS L11 off BB SU wins. ATL 38-33 ATS as a DOG in OCT. ATL 32-24 ATS AWAY in OCT. ATL 13-7 ATS off SU DOG win vs non-div opp. ATL 9-2 ATS AWAY off SU non-div win vs non-div opp. ATL 10-5 ATS as a DOG off SU DOG win. ATL 10-6 ATS as a DOG >1pt off SU DOG win. ATL has been using different RBs as well as Mariota in their run game to keep opposing teams guessing. It has been working because they then can complement them with a sprinkle of passes to different receivers. ATL #3 RUSH OFF vs CINNCY #21 RUSH DEF is the matchup here as ATL will keep going with their version of “ground and pound”. CINNCY keeps finding themselves in tight games. In four of CINNCY’s 6games, the margin of victory(whether win or lose for CINNCY) has been 3, 3, 2 & 4pts. In their other games it was 15 & 12pts. This is another one of those games where CINNCY faces a team that fights to the end. Does CINNCY win the game and cover the spread? I think they win the game but not by more than 6pts. ATL will play tough and the game will be a 3pts game with ATL maybe winning or falling short at the end. I don’t see CINNCY getting a blowout win here. ATL has been playing well considered no one gave them a chance to even get to four wins this season. They are making the best of a situation and giving opposing teams headaches. If CINNCY gets out to a big lead, ATL will surely get the back door cover. Take the points here.
ATL INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
LS Beau Brinkley (Achilles) Out, ILB Mykal Walker (Groin) Questionable, RB Damien Williams (Ribs) Out, WR Calvin Ridley (Suspended) Out, CB A.J. Terrell (Thigh) Questionable, CB Isaiah Oliver (Shoulder) Probable, CB Casey Hayward (Shoulder) Out, CB Dee Alford (Hamstring) Questionable, OL Jalen Mayfield (Back) Out, WR Jared Bernhardt (Groin) Questionable, RB Cordarrelle Patterson (Knee) Out, TE John FitzPatrick (Undisclosed) Out, DL Marlon Davidson (Knee) Out, OLB Adetokunbo Ogundeji (Shoulder) Questionable, DL Ta'Quon Graham (Knee) Questionable, DT Vincent Taylor (Achilles) Out.
CINNCY INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR Ja'Marr Chase (Hip) Questionable, S Tycen Anderson (Hamstring) Out, RB Elijah Holyfield (Knee) Out, S Brandon Wilson (Knee (ACL)) Out, LS Clark Harris (Biceps) Out, LB Joe Bachie (Knee) Questionable, LB Markus Bailey (Shoulder) Questionable, LB Logan Wilson (Shoulder) Questionable, C Ben Brown (Bicep) Out, DT Josh Tupou (Calf) Out, OT Isaiah Prince (Elbow) Out, WR Tee Higgins (Ankle) Questionable, TE Hayden Hurst (Groin) Questionable, TE Drew Sample (Knee) Out, DE Jeff Gunter (Knee) Questionable, DT DJ Reader (Knee) Out.
THE PICK: ATL+6
Detroit Lions (1-4), (3-2) ATS, (0-2) AWAY, (1-1) ATS, @ Dallas Cowboys (4-2), (4-2) ATS, (2-1) HOME, (2-1) ATS DET+7
LW, DAL was @PHILLY on SNF. I honestly thought that DAL would give PHILLY trouble and win the game outright. But after a 0-0 1st qtr, PHILLY exploded for a 20-0 lead in the 2nd qtr and never looked back. DAL fought back as much as they could but, PHILLY added a td in the 4th qtr and PHILLY won 26-17. DAL couldn’t stop a run heavy OFF by PHILLY but were able to sack PHILLY QB Jalen Hurts 4x. The DAL DEF couldn’t muster any turnovers to give the OFF extra chances. DAL QB Cooper Rush had his worst game as a starter throwing 18/38 181 yds, 1td & 3INTS. Two of Rush’s INTS led to 10pts for PHILLY. DET is coming off a bye and before that they lost horribly @NE, 29-0. In that game, DET QB Jared Goff couldn’t get comfortable and the DET OFF had an INT and a fumble that resulted in 10pts for NE in the 2nd qtr. Top it off with the NE rushing game which ran all over the DET DEF for 176yds. With their back against the wall in the 2nd half and trailing19-0, DET turned the ball over on downs 4x in the 2nd half without seeing the endzone. L10 DET vs DAL, DAL 7-3 SU & 6-4 ATS. DET 10-5 ATS since 2007 after their bye. DET 34-26 ATS AWAY in OCT. DET 40-34 ATS as a DOG in OCT. DET 8-5-1 ATS w/rest. DAL 10-8 ATS in 1st of BB HGs. DAL 35-26 ATS @HOME in OCT. DAL 44-35 ATS as a FAV in OCT. DAL 6-25-1 ATS @HOME after an SU conf loss. DAL 2-21 ATS as a HOME FAV after a conf loss. DAL 1-8 ATS as a HOME FAV off an SU loss. DAL 0-9 ATS as a HF 12<pts off SU div loss. The DET DEF has shown that it is vulnerable. DET #32 TOT DEF w/ #26 PASS DEF & #32 RUSH DEF should give DAL QB Dak Prescott a nice advantage in his 1st game back after injury. He shouldn’t rush things and just take what the DET DEF gives him. This is a bounceback game for DAL to keep pace in the suddenly competitive NFC EAST. This has the makings of a blowout. DET RB Jamal Williams can’t do it alone and RB D’Andre Swift should be back for this game but DAL will be ready. DET HC Dan Campbell has the DET team playing better but the DEF has not gotten the message. DET QB Jared Goff has certainly been playing better but he can’t play on both sides of the ball. Also look for the DAL DEF to create some turnovers in this game after getting 0turnovers LW vs PHILLY. Lay the points here as DAL gets back on track.
DET INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR DJ Chark (Ankle) Questionable, WR Josh Reynolds (Knee) Questionable, WR Jameson Williams (Torn ACL) Out, WR Amon-Ra St. Brown (Ankle) Probable, S Tracy Walker III (Achilles) Out, CB Will Harris (Groin) Questionable, S Ifeatu Melifonwu (Ankle) Questionable, CB Bobby Price (Knee) Questionable, CB Saivion Smith (Concussion) Out, RB D'Andre Swift (Ankle/Shoulder) Questionable, CB Jerry Jacobs (ACL) Questionable, FB Jason Cabinda (Knee) Out, LB Chris Board (Knee) Questionable, DL Charles Harris (Groin) Questionable, OT Matt Nelson (Calf) Questionable, OT Taylor Decker (Personal) Questionable, G Halapoulivaati Vaitai (Back) Out, C Frank Ragnow (Foot) Questionable, G Tommy Kraemer (Back) Out, DL John Cominsky (Wrist) Questionable, WR Quintez Cephus (Foot) Out, DL Levi Onwuzurike (Back) Out, DL Josh Paschal (Sports Hernia) Questionable, DL Romeo Okwara (Achilles) Out.
DAL INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
TE Ian Bunting (Neck) Out, QB Dak Prescott (Thumb) Questionable, RB Rico Dowdle (Ankle) Out, LB Damone Clark (Neck) Questionable, LS Jake McQuaide (Triceps) Out, LB Devante Bond (Knee) Out, OT Tyron Smith (Knee) Out, WR Simi Fehoko (Shoulder) Out, WR James Washington (Foot) Out, TE Dalton Schultz (Knee) Questionable, DE Tarell Basham (Thigh) Out.
THE PICK: DAL-7
Indianapolis Colts (3-2-1) , (3-3) ATS, (1-1-1) AWAY, (1-2) ATS @ Tennessee Titans (3-2), (3-2) ATS, (1-1) HOME, (1-1) ATS INDY+3
LW, INDY won a must win game @HOME vs JAGS. JAGS were winning for most of this game. A 4th qtr td by the by INDY gave them the lead 26-21, only to give back the lead 27-26, 10 minutes later at 2:44. It took a miraculous drive and a will to win for INDY to get a td with :17 left in the game and a 34-27 final to avoid a series sweep by the JAGS. INDY has not been playing up to the level that they have been capable of and with RB Jonathan Taylor out with an injury, INDY Matt Ryan has had to try to win games with his arm. Before their bye, TENN was @WASH and they were holding onto a 21-17 in the last minute of the game. With WASH driving, WASH had made it to the TENN 5yd line. The last play ended up with WASH QB Carson Wentz throwing an ill advised pass that had no chance of being completed and it was intercepted by TENN to end the game for TENN, 21-17. But it was very close and TENN could have easily lost. TENN RB Derrick Henry ran for his usual 100 yds but TENN QB Ryan Tannehill was only 15/25 for 181yds 1td, 0INTS but was sacked 5x. L6 TENN vs INDY, TENN 5-1 SU ATS. This includes the game a few weeks ago.L15 TENN (H) vs INDY, TENN 4-11 SU & 7-6-1 ATS. L17 TENN vs INDY, ROAD 10-5-1 ATS 1NL. TENN 9-6 ATS since 2007 off their bye. TENN 35-30 ATS @HOME in OCT. TENN 33-26 ATS as a FAV in OCT. TENN 27-18 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in OCT. TENN 10-1 ATS as a div HF 3<pts vs opp off SU win. TENN 6-13 ATS vs div opp w/revenge. TENN 10-2 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins. INDY 19-27-1 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in OCT. INDY 33-29 ATS AWAY in OCT. INDY 29-30 ATS as a DOG in OCT. INDY 4-7 ATS as a conf RD 3>pts w/revenge. INDY 5-8 ATS as a conf RD w/revenge. INDY RB Jonathan Taylor is scheduled to come back for this game and INDY is looking to avoid another series sweep in the AFC SOUTH. These two teams met in wk 4 @INDY and Taylor was held to 42yds on 20 carries. In that game TENN won 24-17 but scored all their points in the 1st half while INDY could not make up lost ground after trailing 24-10 at the half. One thing Matt Ryan is good at is spreading the ball around. Nine different receivers have caught nine or more passes from Ryan which should keep The TENN DEF on its toes. The key for INDY here is to stop TENN RB Derrick Henry from getting started. Put the ball back in TENN QB Ryan Tannehill’s hands and he will make some mistakes. Tannehill has regressed a little since losing the playoff game in 2021 and the TENN OFF overall has struggled at times. Take the points here as both teams are on a roll and this game could come down to the wire with a fg to win it.
INDY INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
S Armani Watts (Ankle) Out, P Rigoberto Sanchez (Achilles) Out, WR Keke Coutee (Concussion) Questionable, WR Ashton Dulin (Foot) Out, RB Nyheim Hines (Concussion) Probable, RB Jonathan Taylor (Ankle) Questionable, S Julian Blackmon (Ankle) Probable, RB Deon Jackson (Quad) Probable, S Trevor Denbow (Foot) Out, DE Kwity Paye (Ankle) Questionable, LB Shaquille Leonard (Concussion/Nose/Back) Questionable, OT Carter O'Donnell (Undisclosed) Out, TE Kylen Granson (Neck) Questionable, TE Andrew Ogletree (Knee (ACL)) Out.
TENN INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
OLB Harold Landry III (Knee (ACL)) Out, DE Da'Shawn Hand (Quad) Out, K Caleb Shudak (Leg) Out, WR Racey McMath (Hip) Out, WR Treylon Burks (Toe) Out, RB Trenton Cannon (Knee) Out, CB Elijah Molden (Groin) Out, S A.J. Moore (Ankle) Out, DB Chris Jackson (Undisclosed) Out, DB Amani Hooker (Concussion) Probable, LB Zach Cunningham (Elbow) Questionable, LB Joe Jones (Knee) Questionable, FB Tory Carter (Neck) Questionable, LB Chance Campbell (Knee) Out, OLB Bud Dupree (Hip) Probable, G Nate Davis (Knee) Questionable, OL Jamarco Jones (Triceps) Out, OT Taylor Lewan (Knee) Out OLB Ola Adeniyi (Neck) Out.
THE PICK: INDY+3
GB Packers (3-3), (2-4) ATS, (1-1) AWAY, (1-1) ATS @ Washington Commanders (2-4), (2-4) ATS, (1-2) HOME, (1-2) ATS WASH+5 ½
LW, GB @HOME took a bath vs a very hungry NYJ team. GB couldn’t do anything vs the NYJ run game giving up 179yds & 2tds. Not to mention a blocked punt by NYJ that was returned for a td. This game was 3-3 at the half and you would think that it would be a close one but the DEF for NYJ surprised GB and the GB RUSH game couldn’t get going. In the 1st half, GB had a missed fg and a fumble which did turn into 3pts for NYJ. But in the 2nd half NYJ had a td and a blocked punt for a td and GB was down 17-3 and it was all uphill from there. GB tried to come back but to no avail and lost 27-10. On TNF, WASH was @CHI in a battle of who cares. CHI had many chances to score points and this game came down to the last play of the game with CHI and the ball. WASH held tightly and won the game 12-7. WASH QB Carson Wentz fractured a finger in his throwing hand and is out indefinitely. The WASH DEF did give up 238 yds combined on the ground, which alone should have spelled defeat. However, 88yds was by the CHI QB Justin Fields. WASH did mange 128yds on the ground and their only td in the win. Luckily for WASH that this week they don’t face a QB that is run first and throw second. WASH #15 PASS DEF is decent and should hold GB at bay with the receiver core that they have. If this game was last season, the WASH secondary would be overwhelmed and Rodgers may have his way. L8 WASH vs GB, WASH 3-5 SU but 4-3-1 ATS. HOME is 5-2-1 ATS. WASH 15-18 ATS L33 as a HOME DOG. WASH 31-33 ATS @HOME in OCT. WASH 33-47 ATS as a DOG in OCT. WASH 11-4 ATS off SU DOG win. WASH 4-14 ATS w/rest. WASH 11-11 ATS as a HD vs 400>opp. GB 13-18-1 ATS L32 as a ROAD FAV. GB 9-9-1 ATS in 1st of BB RGs. GB 37-34-3 ATS as a FAV in OCT. GB 35-26-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. GB 15-5 ATS off DD ATS loss. GB 8-4 ATS after scoring 14<pts. WASH QB Taylor Heinicke is in for the injured Wentz which is actually addition by subtraction. Heinicke is hungry and looking for an opportunity. Wentz is, well, Wentz. Heinicke started 15 games last season, so he knows the OFF and I think the team will rally around him. No one rallies around Wentz. WASH will look to go heavy on the run game so that all the pressure is not on Heinicke’s shoulders. GB #27 RUSH DEF can be beaten. WASH has a committee of RBs that could attack the GB DEF and put them on their backs. Hopefully WASH HC Ron Rivera sees this. WASH could score a major upset here as GB is not the same GB as in 2021. GB has injuries to the WR core and throw in some rookies not accustomed to Rodgers and you have a disaster like LW vs NYJ. The roster for GB at WR looks totally foreign from last season. But GB had a breakdown in other areas other than on OFF which gave NYJ the blowout win. This is my upset pick of the week unless WASH turns the ball over a lot and GB gets easy opportunities to score. Take WASH & the points here.
GB INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR Christian Watson (Hamstring) Questionable, WR Sammy Watkins (Hamstring) Out, WR Randall Cobb (Ankle) Out, RB Kylin Hill (Knee (ACL)) Questionable, LB Tipa Galeai (Hamstring) Out, LB Krys Barnes (Ankle) Out, OL Jake Hanson (Bicep) Questionable, OT Caleb Jones (Illness) Out.
WASH INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR Jahan Dotson (Hamstring) Questionable, CB William Jackson III (Back) Questionable, QB Carson Wentz (Finger) Out, S Percy Butler (Quad) Questionable, RB Jonathan Williams (Knee) Questionable, LB Milo Eifler (Hamstring) Out, G Wes Schweitzer (Concussion) Out, C Chase Roullier (Knee) Out, G Nolan Laufenberg (Undisclosed) Out, OT Sam Cosmi (Thumb) Questionable, TE Curtis Hodges (Thigh) Out, TE Logan Thomas (Calf) Questionable, TE John Bates (Hamstring) Questionable, DT Phidarian Mathis (Torn Meniscus) Out, DE Chase Young (Knee (ACL)) Out.
THE PICK: WASH+5 ½
TB Buccaneers (3-3), (2-4) ATS, (2-1) AWAY, (2-1) ATS @ Carolina Panthers (1-5), (1-5) ATS, (1-3) HOME, (1-3) ATS CAR+11
LW CAR @LAR, CAR was the DOG+10 ½ . CAR almost had a back door cover. With the score LAR 24-10 late in the 4th qtr, CAR had a drive but RB Christian McCaffrey caught a pass and scampered 49yds to the LAR redzone. It looked like CAR would score a td after a few plays but CAR QB Jacob Eason had a pass that was deflected and intercepted by LAR in the endzone, scare over. I liked LAR in this game but as usual they were not impressive and CAR was still playing hungry. CAR QB PJ Walker started for CAR but was knocked out with a neck injury and Eason stepped in. Eason didn’t do that badly except for the INT. LAR’s rushing yds are a little deceiving because they used a few end arounds by WRs. LW, TB were surprised a lot @PITT as they lost 20-12. The PITT DEF stopped TB drives and had TB kick 4fgs. The score was PITT 20-12 when TB finally found the endzone late in the 4th qtr. But, TB couldn’t convert the 2pt conversion and the final score was PITT 20-18. TB QB Tom Brady was sacked 2x and the TB run game was ineffective as Brady threw the ball 40x in the loss. The DEF for TB was the only thing keeping PITT from running away with this game as PITT threw 2tds from Trubisky & Pickett while giving up 2fgs. But TB didn’t make the plays needed to take the game over. L15 CAR(H) vs TB, CAR 8-7 SU & 6-9 ATS. L30 TB vs CAR, FAV 18-12 ATS. L19 CAR vs TB, ROAD 13-6 ATS. L10 TB vs CAR, TB 7-3 ATS. TB 10-14-2 ATS in 2nd of BB RGs. TB 10-13 ATS L23 as a ROAD FAV. TB 20-38-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. TB 20-36-3 ATS as a FAV in OCT. TB 18-24 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in OCT. TB 7-7-1 ATS L15 off a SU FAV loss. TB 14-1 ATS as a FAV <11pts off SU non-div FAV loss. TB 8-2 ATS vs <400 div opp. CAR 7-11-1 ATS L19 as a HOME DOG. CAR 38-22 ATS as a DOG in OCT. CAR 24-29 ATS @HOME in OCT. CAR 22-15 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in OCT. CAR 14-10 ATS @HOME off SUATS loss. CAR 12-13 ATS off SUATS loss vs non-div opp. CAR 10-4 ATS @HOME off SUATS loss vs non-div opp. CAR 8-8 ATS w/div revenge. CAR 7-8 ATS as a div DOG w/div revenge. CAR 6-9 ATS before ATL. CAR 6-15 ATS vs div opp off non-div gm. CAR traded WR Robbie Anderson to ARZ after this game for a confrontation he had with interim HC Steve Wilks and another assistant coach. CAR is also listening to offers for RB Christian McCaffrey, the team’s best player. CAR QB Sam Darnold comes off IR this week but, he certainly is not the answer at QB. Jacob Eason is available and if PJ Walker clears the concussion protocol, I would start him. As for TB, they can’t get going and Brady looks like he has other things on his mind. Todd Bowles is too nice of a guy to be HC and I thought he was too soft on the players when he was HC of NYJ. The team is showing it as it plays differently than under Bruce Arians. CAR is a big DOG here and they could get the back door cover or even surprise TB totally who can’t get their run game going to save themselves. Brady can’t throw 50x a game and the CAR DEF will eventually get to him. IF CAR can keep the TB run game at bay TB #32 RUH OFF and force Brady to throw a lot, he will get uncomfortable. Plus, the O-LINE for TB is terrible which Brady is not accustomed to. I see this as a closer game than the spread, especially since CAR is @HOME. If this were younger Brady, forget it, TB all the way. But it’s 2022 and CAR is playing for jobs. Take the points here.
TB INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR Julio Jones (Knee) Questionable, CB Sean Murphy-Bunting (Quad) Questionable, RB Giovani Bernard (Ankle) Out, S Logan Ryan (Foot) Out, S Mike Edwards (Elbow) Questionable, OLB Cam Gill (Foot) Out, G Aaron Stinnie (Knee (ACL) (MCL)) Out, C Ryan Jensen (Knee) Out, OT Josh Wells (Calf) Out, TE Cameron Brate (Neck) Questionable, DL Akiem Hicks (Foot) Questionable.
CAR INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
K Zane Gonzalez (Groin) Out, QB Baker Mayfield (Ankle) Questionable, CB Jaycee Horn (Ribs) Questionable, QB Matt Corral (Ankle/Foot) Out, QB PJ Walker (Neck) Questionable, QB Sam Darnold (Ankle) Out, WR Laviska Shenault Jr. (Hamstring) Questionable, WR Andre Roberts (Knee) Out, S Jeremy Chinn (Hamstring) Out, CB Stantley Thomas-Oliver III (Achilles) Out, CB CJ Henderson (Head) Questionable, CB Donte Jackson (Ankle) Questionable, LB Frankie Luvu (Shoulder) Questionable, LB Cory Littleton (Groin) Questionable, DT Bravvion Roy (Hamstring) Out.
THE PICK: CAR+11
NY Giants (5-1), (5-1) ATS, (2-0) AWAY, (2-0) ATS @ Jacksonville Jags (2-4), (2-4) ATS, (1-1) HOME, (1-1) ATS NYG+3
LW, I had NYG+5 ½ @HOME vs BALT. I said if they contained BALT QB Lamar Jackson, they could possibly keep it close and win the game. NYG did both. NYG did give up 211 yds combined rushing which is concerning. But the NYG DEF made the plays when they needed to and kept the NYG close enough so that BALT had to play perfect football. Well with NYG down 20-10 in the 4th qtr, NYG made their move. NYG scored a td on a nice drive. Then, NYG DEF intercepted a Jackson pass with a nice return deep in BALT territory. NYG OFF ran 3plays to score another td to make the score NYG 24-20. On the ensuing possession by BALT, NYG DEF forced a fumble of Jackson, recovered it and ran out the game for the 24-20 win. NYG made big plays at a big time. NYG QB Daniel Jones had 1lost fumble but it wasn’t consequential to the game. He also spread the ball around nicely to eight different receivers. NYG RB Saquon Barkley had a nice game, rushing 22x for 83yds and 1td while catching 3passes for 12yds. A balanced OFF attack for NYG is their key for keeping opposing DEFs guessing. LW, JAGS @INDY was a revenge game for INDY. In wk 2, JAGS @HOME had embarrassed INDY 24-0. This was a payback game for INDY. This was seesaw game in which the lead changed a couple of times in the 4th qtr. But INDY had a drive at the end of the game that resulted in a td rather than a possible game winning fg. JAGS rushed for a combined 243 yds and 3td while JAGS QB Trevor Lawrence was near perfect throwing 20/22 165yds and 1td with 0INTs. However, even though JAGS DEF held INDY to 45total yds on the ground, INDY QB Matt Ryan went 42/58, 389 yds 3tds, 0INTS. He was the difference in the game and at the end of the game as well. L4 NYG vs JAGS, JAGS 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS incl JAGS(H) vs NYG, 2-0 SUATS. NYG 6-11-1 ATS in 1st of BB RGs. NYG 40-20-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. NYG 34-21 ATS as a DOG in OCT. NYG 4-8 ATS off BB SUATS wins. NYG 3-7 ATS as a non-conf DOG 6<pts. NYG 23-5 ATS as a RD 3>pts vs opp off SU loss. NYG 23-5 ATS as a RD vs opp off SU loss. NYG 3-6 ATS as a non-div DOG off SU DOG win. JAGS 13-26 ATS as a FAV in OCT. JAGS 22-25 ATS @HOME in OCT. JAGS 4-39 SU & 9-34 ATS L43 vs NFC. JAGS 12-3 ATS as a FAV >2pts vs opp off SU DOG win. JAGS 5-0 ATS L5 @HOME off div gm vs 500>opp. JAGS 1-8 ATS vs opp off SU DOG win. NYG are coming off two BIG wins in a row. The first was @GB in London and last week @HOME vs BALT. NYG can’t have a letdown because it is the JAGS. They have to stay tough. The challenges for NYG in this game is the NYG RUSH DEF. NYG #28 RUSH DEF vs JAGS #9 RUSH OFF could pose a problem as JAGS like to run to take pressure off of Lawrence. NYG need to stop the JAGS run and not let Lawrence get comfortable. The NYG need to create turnovers like they did vs BALT and they will secure another win. NYG HC Brian Daboll has this team going in the right direction earlier than anyone had expected. NYG team won only 4games in all of 2021 and they already have 5wins in 2022. JAGS HC Doug Pederson probably thought the JAGS would have more wins by this time but the JAGS blew the last three games. These are games which JAGS could have won all three. JAGS are still making mistakes even though there is talent at many positions. NYG can’t take JAGS likely here and need to play smart. NYG should win by a td and create some turnovers. Take the points here.
NYG INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
CB Rodarius Williams (Knee (ACL)) Out, WR Sterling Shepard (Knee) Out, WR Collin Johnson (Achilles) Out, WR Kenny Golladay (Knee) Questionable, RB Saquon Barkley (Shoulder) Questionable, S Jason Pinnock (Ankle) Questionable, DB Cor'Dale Flott (Calf) Questionable, CB Aaron Robinson (Knee) Out, S Tony Jefferson (Foot) Out, ILB Darrian Beavers (Knee (ACL)) Out, OLB Azeez Ojulari (Calf) Questionable, OLB Oshane Ximines (Quad) Questionable, OL Marcus McKethan (Knee (ACL)) Out, C Nick Gates (Leg) Questionable, G Shane Lemieux (Foot) Out, OT Matt Peart (Knee (ACL)) Out, C Jon Feliciano (Groin) Questionable, OT Andrew Thomas (Ankle) Questionable, WR Kadarius Toney (Hamstring) Questionable, OLB Elerson Smith (Leg) Out, DL Henry Mondeaux (Ankle) Out, DL D.J. Davidson (Ankle) Out.
JAGS INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR Marvin Jones Jr. (Hamstring) Questionable, LB Foyesade Oluokun (Calf) Questionable, CB Shaquill Griffin (Back) Questionable, WR Jamal Agnew (Knee) Questionable, OLB K'Lavon Chaisson (Knee) Out, DT DaVon Hamilton (Foot) Questionable, G Ben Bartch (Knee) Out, DE Jordan Smith (Knee) Out, DL Folorunso Fatukasi (Quad) Questionable.
THE PICK: NYG+3 ½
Cleveland Browns (2-4), (3-3) ATS, (1-1) AWAY, (1-1) ATS @ Baltimore Ravens (3-3), (2-3-1) ATS, (1-2) HOME, (0-2-1) ATS CLEV+6 ½
LW, BALT was @NYG and I don’t think BALT took NYG seriously. BALT may have run for a lot of yards (211) but this game was not out of reach even though BALT was up 20-10 in the 4th qtr. But NYG came back with a td to make it BALT 20-17. Then BALT QB Lamar Jackson threw an INT which set up another td for NYG and the game was NYG 24-20. Jackson was then stripped sacked with NYG recovering and that was your game, NYG 24-20. Jackson had a decent game except for the 2turnovers late in the game which made the difference here. LW, CLEV was walloped @HOME by NE. It started out on the wrong foot as CLEV QB Jacoby Brissett threw an INT on the 2nd play from scrimmage. This made it NE 3-0. CLEV answered with a fg and the score at halftime was 10-6. The game was in reach for CLEVE. But NE made adjustments and CLEV didn’t. After NE started out with a td, CLEV punted, NE punted but Brissett threw another INT that NE capitalized on. The score was now NE 24-6 and CLEV was playing uphill the rest of the way. Final score 38-15. It didn’t help that 2fumbles by CLEVE turned into 2NE tds. On the day, four turnovers by CLEV turned into 24 NE pts. L15 BALT (H) vs CLEV, 12-3 SU but 8-7 ATS. L25 BALT vs CLEV, ROAD 16-9 ATS. L28 BALT vs CLEV, BALT 23-5 SU & 19-9 ATS. CLEV 17-26-2 ATS AWAY in OCT. CLEV 28-38-1 ATS as a DOG in OCT. CLEV 12-12-1 ATS vs AFC NORTH in OCT. CLEV 1-8 ATS L9 before CINNCY. CLEV 7-2 ATS after allowing 35>pts vs non-div opp. CLEV 3-16 ATS w/div revenge off SU loss. BALT 28-37-1 ATS as a FAV in OCT. BALT 16-18-1 ATS vs AFC NORTH in OCT. BALT 24-31-1 ATS @HOME in OCT. BALT 5-17 ATS as a div HOME FAV 4>pts. BALT 2-7 ATS @HOME off SU FAV loss. BALT 3-11 ATS off non-div SU FAV loss. BALT 1-8 ATS @HOME off non-div SU FAV loss. BALT 0-7 ATS as a HOME FAV off non-div SU FAV loss. Both teams are coming off losses but CLEV has lost three straight. Everyone is expecting CLEV to just roll over in this game. It will not happen because it is a division game and they know Jackson. Plus, he makes mistakes at crucial times late in games. CLEV has a great running game with Nick Chubb & Kareem Hunt and they need to use it more here. This will take a lot of pressure off of Brissett who has shown he can’t take the pressure. CLEV #1 RUSH OFF vs BALT #7 RUSH DEF. The O-LINE for CLEVE is fantastic as Brisett has only been sacked 9x in 6 games. So why does he throw so many INTs? The key for CLEV in this game is the run game and attacking the BALT secondary with passes that get them guessing. But Brissett has trouble reading DEFs. BALT is in a bounceback here and has bounced back after losses this season. But, not convincingly. I like BALT to win but CLEVE getting a back door cover as they don’t give up. BALT hasn’t convinced anyone and Jackson hasn’t convinced anyone he is worth a max contract. Also, someone on CLEV has to cover TE Mark Andrews who suddenly has become Jackson’s favorite target. Look for a close game here as division games rarely become blowouts.
CLEV INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR Isaiah Weston (Knee) Out, QB Deshaun Watson (Suspension) Out, LB Anthony Walker Jr. (Quad) Out, WR Jakeem Grant Sr. (Achilles) Out, CB Denzel Ward (Concussion) Questionable, RB Jerome Ford (Ankle) Out, G Dawson Deaton (ACL) Out, C Nick Harris (Knee) Out, ILB Deion Jones (Shoulder) Questionable, OT Joe Haeg (Concussion) Questionable, LB Chris Odom (Knee (ACL)) Out, DE Chase Winovich (Hamstring) Out, G Wyatt Teller (Calf) Questionable, TE Jesse James (Biceps) Out, DE Jadeveon Clowney (Leg) Questionable, DE Stephen Weatherly (Knee) Out.
BALT INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
OLB Vince Biegel (Achilles) Out, WR Rashod Bateman (Foot) Questionable, CB Kyle Fuller (Knee) Out, RB J.K. Dobbins (Knee) Questionable, S Marcus Williams (Wrist) Out, RB Gus Edwards (ACL) Questionable, RB Justice Hill (Hamstring) Questionable, OLB Justin Houston (Groin) Questionable, ILB Josh Ross (Foot) Out, OLB Tyus Bowser (Achilles) Questionable, DT Michael Pierce (Biceps) Out, OLB Steven Means (Ankle) Out, G Ben Cleveland (Foot) Questionable, OT Ja'Wuan James (Achilles) Out, OT Morgan Moses (Heel) Questionable, TE Charlie Kolar (Sports Hernia) Questionable, OLB David Ojabo (Achilles) Questionable.
THE PICK: CLE+6 ½
Sunday October 23rd, 2022 4:00pm
NY Jets (4-2), (4-2) ATS, (3-0) AWAY, (3-0) ATS @ Denver Broncos (2-4), (2-4) ATS, (2-1) HOME, (1-2) ATS NYJ+3
LW, NYJ went to GB and tore the place apart. This game was 3-3 at the half but NYJ broke it open in the 2nd half. GB had a missed fg, fumble and a fg that was blocked by NYJ and returned for a td in this game. The game ended with a NYJ 27-10 win and it was total team effort by NYJ. The NYJ running game rushed for a combined 179 yds, 2tds on 33 carries. The NYJ DEF sacked GB QB Aaron Rodgers 4x and held their running game to 60yds and 0tds. The NYJ DEF also recovered a fumble by Rodgers. NYJ QB Zach Wilson only threw 18 passes but NYJ had 0turnovers. On MNF, DEN lost their 2nd straight OT game. DEN 4-2 ATS since 2007 off an SU OT loss. DEN had one good drive in the whole game which was in the 1st qtr which led to a td. After that it was all downhill. In OT, DEN muffed a punt which gave LAC great field position and four plays later LAC kicked a fg and won 19-16. I liked DEN +5 ½ in this game because they were due and I didn’t see either team on the winning side of a blowout. DEN needs a better run game to get pressure off of DEN QB Russell Wilson who is having a terrible season. He looks like he has the whole OFF on his shoulders. RB Latavius Murray took some pressure off of him by rushing for 66yds on 15 carries but it wasn’t enough and the LAC DEF knew he was coming. What kept DEN in this game was the DEF which limited LAC RBs. But now DEN faces a pumped up NYJ team on a short week. L9 DEN vs NYJ, DEN 7-2 SUATS. DEN 35-31 ATS @HOME in OCT. DEN 34-38 ATS as a FAV in OCT. DEN 6-8 ATS after LAC. DEN 2-5 ATS as a FRAV vs AFC EAST. DEN 2-8 ATS @HOME vs non-div opp off BB SUATS wins. NYJ 7-10 ATS in 2nd of BB RGs. NYJ 29-32-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. NYJ 37-38 ATS as a DOG in OCT. NYJ 4-14 ATS AWAY vs AFC WEST. NYJ 9-14 ATS as a ROAD DOG 4<pts. NYJ 1-9 ATS off DD ATS win vs opp off BB SU losses. NYJ 9-19 ATS L28 after scoring 25>pts. NYJ 1-11 ATS w/revenge off SU DOG win vs opp off SU loss. This is a revenge game for NYJ for the whooping that DEN put on the NYJ @DEN in wk 3 in 2021. In that game, NYJ QB Zach Wilson had a terrible game going 19/35, 160 yds, 0tds, 2INTS. He was also sacked 5x. NYJ rushed for a combined 43 yds and were down 17-0 at halftime. DEN QB Teddy Bridgewater led the OFF For DEN then but he’s long gone. NYJ HC Robert Saleh should remind his team of that game all week to get pumped up. Right now, DEN HC Nathaniel Hackett is in way over his head and is making the DEN OFF look pathetic. They look lost and if they complete a pass, it looks almost lucky. The only thing keeping DEN in games is their DEF. DEN #3 TOT DEF w/#13 RUSH DEF & #5 PASS DEF. In three of DEN’s four losses, they have lost the games 1, 3 and 3pts. The other game vs LV was a shootout where they lost by 9pts. DEN is inches from being 5-1 instead of 2-4. Saleh better not get too giddy for this game and needs to bring out some trick plays to keep the DEN DEF guessing. DEN’s OFF may be a mess but their DC Ejiro Evero is making sure that DEN is in striking range if they ever get their OFF in sync. Take note: In 2022, DEN as a FAV, 0-3 ATS. This could be a close game due to DEN’s DEF. But, take the points here as NYJ get their revenge.
NYJ INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
OT Greg Senat (Undisclosed) Out, OT Mekhi Becton (Kneecap) Out, FB Nick Bawden (Undisclosed) Out, DE Jermaine Johnson (Ankle) Questionable, OL Max Mitchell (Knee) Out, OT George Fant (Knee) Out.
DEN INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
RB Damarea Crockett (ACL) Out, QB Russell Wilson (Hamstring) Questionable, OLB Randy Gregory (Knee) Out, WR Tyrie Cleveland (Shoulder) Questionable, CB K'Waun Williams (Wrist/Elbow) Questionable, CB Ronald Darby (ACL) Out, CB Damarri Mathis (Knee) Questionable, S Caden Sterns (Hip) Questionable, RB Javonte Williams (Knee) Out, CB Essang Bassey (Hamstring) Questionable, OLB Christopher Allen (Foot) Out, LS Jacob Bobenmoyer (Hand) Out, ILB Josey Jewell (Knee) Questionable, OL Billy Turner (Knee) Questionable, OL Tom Compton (Back) Out, OT Garett Bolles (Leg) Out, G Quinn Meinerz (Foot) Questionable, WR Tim Patrick (ACL) Out, TE Eric Saubert (Thigh) Probable, OLB Aaron Patrick (Knee (ACL)) Out, DT D.J. Jones (Ankle) Questionable.
THE PICK: NYJ+3
Houston Texans (1-3-1), (4-1) ATS, (1-2) AWAY, (3-0) ATS @ LV Raiders (1-4), (2-3) ATS, (1-1) HOME, (1-1) ATS HOU+7
Both of these teams are coming off their byes. But before their bye, LV was @ KC on MNF. LV came out strong and was leading KC, 17-0. Yes, that is what happened and it is not a misprint. But this is KC. LV QB Derek Carr played decent in this game with 0turnovers and LV was still ahead 20-10 at the half. LV RB Josh Jacobs also did his share of the damage in this game rushing 21x for 154yds and 1td. The DEF for LV was playing well for most of this game until KC QB Pat Mahomes got started. I liked KC-7 in this game because LV is not on the same page as KC. KC fought all the way back as the LV DEF didn’t have any answers for Mahomes and LV was trailing 30-23 before a late td by LV made it 30-29. But a 2pt conversion to take the lead for LV failed and the final score was KC 30-29. The LV DEF let KC back in the game. LV 5-10 ATS since 2007 after their bye. Before their bye, HOU was @JAGS in which JAGS couldn’t do anything right and HOU’s RB Dameon Pierce showed that he is worthy of being in the NFL. He rushed 26x for 99yds and the only td that was scored by either team in this game. JAGS QB Trevor Lawrence threw for 2INTS. One was intercepted by highly touted and 1st round draft choice, CB Derek Stingley which was his 1st this season and the 1st of his career. He is becoming an anchor in the HOU secondary. This game wasn’t much of an OFF show but more of an exercise in futility. Neither of the 2JAG INTS turned into HOU points but it took the game late into the 4th qtr for HOU to score the only td of the game and the win 13-6. HOU 8-7 ATS since 2007 after their bye. HOU QB Davis Mills has been doing and adequate job in keeping HOU in games. In 5 games he has 4INTS and has been sacked 12x. It could be worse but he is spreading the ball around to keep DEFs guessing. AS he gets more relaxed in the position he will have better throws and better grasp of the DEFs coming at him. L11 HOU vs LV, HOU 7-4 SU & 6-5 ATS incl HOU @ LV, HOU 4-2 SUATS. LV 27-34 ATS @HOME in OCT. LV 21-26 ATS as a FAV in OCT. LV 9-5 ATS L14 vs AFC SOUTH. LV 5-9 ATS L14 w/rest. LV 8-3 ATS as a FAV 3>pts after allowing 10>pts vs .500>opp. LV 7-3 ATS vs opp w/rest. LV 10-8 ATS vs 333<conf opp. HOU 15-21 ATS AWAY in OCT. HOU 18-27 ATS as a DOG in OCT. HOU 5-14-2 ATS before TENN. HOU 7-6 ATS w/rest. HOU #23 PASS DEF & LV #24 PASS DEF. Neither one of these teams has cornered the market on DEF but I like the running styles of HOU RB Dameon Pierce and LV RB Josh Jacobs. This has the makings of a shootout because of the RB situation and the fact that the PASS DEF for both teams are not that good. This could make it a close game. However, I see LV winning this game outright but not by more than 3 or four points IF, the HOU O-LINE can contain LV DE Maxx Crosby. In five games he has 6sacks and creates havoc for teams in crucial situations. HOU has to have a plan for Crosby otherwise it will be a blowout for LV. If they contain him, it will show much improvement for HOU. Also, Carr didn’t have any turnovers vs KC, so he’s due to have a couple in this game. HOU could get a back door cover in this game as they have been very good ATS. Take the points here.
HOU INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
DB Tavierre Thomas (Quadriceps) Out, WR John Metchie III (Illness) Out, TE Brevin Jordan (Ankle) Questionable, WR Nico Collins (Achilles) Questionable, WR Chris Moore (Hip) Questionable, RB Darius Anderson (Knee) Out, LB Christian Harris (Hamstring) Questionable, DL Michael Dwumfour (Undisclosed) Out, DL Jerry Hughes (Knee) Questionable, ILB Kevin Pierre-Louis (Groin) Out, OL Justin Britt (Personal) Out, OL Austin Deculus (Knee) Questionable, TE Teagan Quitoriano (Knee) Questionable, DE Derek Rivers (Bicep) Out, DL Maliek Collins (Knee) Questionable.
LV INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
DE Jordan Jenkins (Knee) Out, RB Sincere McCormick (Undisclosed) Out, WR Mack Hollins (Heel) Questionable, WR DJ Turner (Ankle) Questionable, CB Anthony Averett (Thumb) Questionable, CB Nate Hobbs (Hand) Out, LB Micah Kiser (Knee) Out, LB Jayon Brown (Hamstring) Questionable, OL Justin Herron (Torn ACL) Out, OT Brandon Parker (Triceps) Out, TE Darren Waller (Hamstring) Questionable, TE Foster Moreau (Knee) Questionable, DE Clelin Ferrell N/A N/A.
THE PICK: HOU+7
Seattle Seahawks (3-3), (3-3) ATS, (1-2) AWAY, (1-2) ATS @ LA Chargers (4-2), (3-3) ATS, (2-1) HOME, (1-2) ATS SEA+6 ½
LAC got a gift on MNF from a team that can’t do anything right on OFF. In OT @LAC, DEN was receiving a punt with the score 16-16. Well, DEN muffed the punt and LAC recovered well into DEN territory. For good measure, LAC ran a few plays to get closer and kicked a fg to win in OT 19-16. But, for most of this game, LAC didn’t look comfortable on OFF and was only able to score 1td. LAC QB Justin Herbert threw the ball 57x in this game while the running game never really got off the ground. This was a seesaw game and LAC was lucky to get the win. LW, SEA was @HOME vs ARZ and all of a sudden SEA had a DEF hat could make stops. SEA held ARZ to 1fg on OFF. The other points scored by ARZ was on a blocked punt that was recovered in the endzone. The final score was SEA 19-9. SEA ran the ball effectively with SEA QB Geno Smith picking up the slack. But the DEF for SEA kept ARZ from doing any real damage and getting in the endzone. L4 LAC vs SEA, LAC 3-1 SU & 2-2 ATS. SEA 31-38-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. SEA 30-33-1 ATS as a DOG in OCT. SEA 0-5 ATS as a non-conf RD 7<pts vs >500 opp. SEA 13-3-1 ATS as a DOG off SUATS win. SEA 4-10-1 ATS as a non-conf RD 7<pts. SEA 1-10 ATS as a non-div RD off DD ATS win vs >500opp. SEA 1-11 ATS as a non-div RD off DD ATS win. SEA 11-4 ATS off div HG vs non-div opp. LAC 5-10 ATS since 2007 wk before their bye. LAC 1-3-1 ATS since 2007 off SU OT win. LAC 7-13 ATS in 2nd of BB HGs. LAC 31-26 ATS @HOME in OCT. LAC 33-34 ATS as a FAV in OCT. LAC 37-40-1 ATS as a HOME FAV vs non-div. LAC 8-5 ATS after DEN. Herbert is a smart enough QB to learn from his mistakes. He will make some corrections and have a better game this week. He certainly should have a better game vs aSEA DEF that is not as good as DEN. SEA #30 TOT DEF w/#31 RUSH DEF & #22 PASS DEF. LAC needs t use their running game more so that Herbert doesn’t have to win the game on his arm. This game will certainly have more scoring but LAC should win by a td or more. LAC will be able to use a balanced attack against a team that has an inferior DEF. Lay the points here as LAC rolls.
SEA INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR Cody Thompson (Shoulder) Out, WR Penny Hart (Hamstring) Questionable, RB Rashaad Penny (Lower Leg) Out, CB Artie Burns (Groin) Questionable, CB Tre Brown (Knee) Out, CB Isaiah Dunn (Hamstring) Questionable, RB Travis Homer (Ribs) Out, SS Jamal Adams (Quad) Out, DE Darryl Johnson (Ankle) Out, LB Jon Rhattigan (Knee) Out, G Gabe Jackson (Hip) Questionable, LS Tyler Ott (Shoulder) Out, DE L.J. Collier (Elbow) Questionable, LB Tyreke Smith (Hip) Out, LB Alton Robinson (Knee (PCL)) Out, DT Al Woods (Knee) Questionable.
LAC INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
K Dustin Hopkins (Hamstring) Out, WR Keenan Allen (Hamstring) Questionable, WR Jalen Guyton (Knee (ACL)) Out, RB Joshua Kelley (MCL) Out, TE Stone Smartt (Undisclosed) Out, LB Damon Lloyd (Undisclosed) Out, C Isaac Weaver (Undisclosed) Out, OT Andrew Trainer (Undisclosed) Out, C Corey Linsley (Illness) Questionable, OT Rashawn Slater (Biceps) Out, TE Donald Parham Jr. (Concussion) Questionable, DL Forrest Merrill (Undisclosed) Out, OLB Joey Bosa (Groin) Out.
THE PICK: LAC-6 ½
KC Chiefs (4-2), (2-4) ATS, (2-1) AWAY, (2-1) ATS @ SF 49ers (3-3), (3-3) ATS, (2-0) HOME, (2-0) ATS SF+3
LW, KC @ HOME vs BUFF was the game of the week. These two teams will be meeting each other deep in the playoffs, no doubt about it. I liked BUFF-3 and I just felt that BUFF was the better team. KC is very good but, their run game needs so work. Not that KC QB Pat Mahomes can’t handle the pressure. It’s that against the better teams, you need a balnced attack. Better teams pick up on things that other teams don’t, that’s why they are better. However, this game was a tight battle and it went down to the wire with BUFF getting the go ahead td with about 1:00 left. Then on the ensuing drive by KC, Buff intercepted it and that was the game. Mahomes had another INT earlier in the game that was turned into 3pts by BUFF. But the DEF for KC was lacking as BUFF put up over 400 yards worth OFF. The final score was BUFF 24-20. LW, SF was @ATL and it was a mismatch from the beginning. I liked ATL @HOME +5 ½ because the SF DEF has many injuries to key guys and right now, you can’t count ATL out of any game. As a result, SF couldn’t stop ATL as ATL used their rush heavy OFF for 40plays and 168yds on the ground. ATL QB Marcus Mariota threw only 14passes but completed 13 and passed for 129yds 2TDS & 0INTS. ATL had 0turnovers. SF QB Jimmy Garoppolo had 2INTS that didn’t turn into any ATL points but stopped drives. SF RB Jeff Wilson had a fumble that was returned for an ATL td. But, this game was ATL 21-14 at the half and SF didn’t threaten in the 2nd half. ATL scored another td to make the final score 28-14. L4 SF vs KC, KC 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS. KC 8-7 ATS since 2007 before their bye. KC 21-18-1 ATS L40 as a ROAD FAV. KC 24-29 ATS as a FAV in OCT. KC 29-29-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. KC 16-9 ATS L25 after an SU loss. SF 15-16-1 ATS L32 as a HOME DOG. SF 19-33 ATS as a DOG in OCT. SF 31-36 ATS @HOME in OCT. SF 13-17-2 ATS in 2nd of BB non-div gms. SF 7-15 ATS after allowing 28>pts vs non-div opp. SF 10-11-1 ATS off SU FAV loss. SF 8-1 ATS L9 as a non-conf DOG. SF 6-0 ATS as a non-div DOG w/revenge vs >400 opp. SF 15-1 ATS off SU ROAD FAV loss. SF 5-0 ATS L5 as a non-conf DOG <6pts. KC is on a big bounceback and SF has a lot of starters that are injured. These two teams haven’t played each other since the SuperBowl after the 2019 season where SF took a lead into the 4th qtr, only to lose it and the game 31-20. Is this a revenge game for SF & Jimmy G? I don’t think so because KC hasn’t missed a beat since that game going to the SB in 2020 and deep into the playoffs in 2021. SF didn’t make the playoffs in 2020 but made it to the NFC Championship game in 2021. This season has been shaky for SF as they have lost a lot of key players to injuries in the last few weeks. SF has been a very good bounceback team but their three wins are against average and bad teams. Their three losses are also against average and bad teams and this is their 1st game against a really good team. SF #1 TOT DEF w/ #2 RUSH DEF & #2 PASS DEF. But again, who has SF really played? Three wins vs SEA, LAR & @CAR. Their three losses were @CHI, @DEN & @ATL. Look for KC to develop the run and burn SF with the pass. Lay the points here as KC gets back to business.
KC INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR Justyn Ross (Foot) Out, S Bryan Cook (Concussion) Questionable, CB Trent McDuffie (Hamstring) Questionable, CB Rashad Fenton (Hamstring) Questionable, DE Mike Danna (Calf) Questionable, OL Joe Thuney (Ankle) Questionable, OT Lucas Niang (Kneecap) Out, WR Jerrion Ealy (Suspended) Out, TE Blake Bell (Hip) Out, DT Tershawn Wharton (ACL) Out.
SF INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
TE Jordan Matthews (Leg/Knee) Out, DB Jimmie Ward (Hand) Questionable, CB Jason Verrett (Knee (ACL)) Questionable, CB Emmanuel Moseley (Knee) Out, QB Trey Lance (Ankle) Out, CB Charvarius Ward (Groin) Questionable, RB Elijah Mitchell (Knee (MCL)) Out, S Talanoa Hufanga (Concussion) Questionable, LB Azeez Al-Shaair (Knee) Out, DL Samson Ebukam (Achilles) Questionable, OL Colton McKivitz (Knee) Out, OT Mike McGlinchey (Calf) Questionable, OT Trent Williams (Ankle) Questionable, DL Jordan Willis (Knee) Out, DL Arik Armstead (Ankle) Questionable, DL Kalia Davis (Undisclosed) Out, DL Maurice Hurst (Bicep) Out, DL Nick Bosa (Groin) Questionable, DT Javon Kinlaw (Knee) Out.
THE PICK: KC-3
Sunday October 23rd, 2022 8:20pm
Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4), (2-4) ATS, (1-2) AWAY, (1-2) ATS @ Miami Dolphins (3-3), (3-3) ATS, (2-1) HOME, (2-1) ATS PITT+7
LW, MIA QB Skyler Thompson was starting @HOME vs MINN. He injured his hand and in came Teddy Bridgewater. Bridgewater was a little rusty and he was sacked 5x, threw 2INTS but threw 2tds. MIA was in this game but gave up a 53yds run late to MINN RB Dalvin Cook which gave MINN a nice cushion at 24-10, late in the 4th qtr. MIA scored a td later and the final was MINN 24-16. The MIA DEF stopped the running game except for the long run by Cook. The MIA O-LINE gave up a total of six sacks. Two miscues by MIA led to 10pts for MINN. This was the biggest difference in the game. LW, TB was a heavy FAV-8 @PITT. The DEF for PITT held TB to 4fgs and 1td late in the game. TB went for a tying 2pt conversion but it failed and PITT walked away with the win, 20-18. PITT QB Kenny Picket led PITT to their 1st td but was knocked out of the game with a concussion. Mitch Trubisky came in and threw a td in the 4th qtr to make the score PITT 20-12. Trubisky kept it simple and went 9/12, 144yds, 1tds but more importantly, 0turnovers. The rushing game for PITT managed 77yds on 29 touches. PITT needs to get their running game going to take pressure off of whoever the QB is. But the DEF for PITT may be starting to come together. L8 PITT vs MIA, MIA 2-6 SU but 5-3 ATS. MIA 6-4-1 ATS off an SU loss & playing on SNF. MIA 9-8 ATS as a FAV n SNF. MIA 9-6-1 ATS 1NL in 2nd of BB HGs. MIA 29-32 ATS @HOME in OCT. MIA 27-28 ATS as a FAV in OCT. MIA 4-12 ATS @HOME vs <500 opp off SU win. PITT 7-11 ATS in 1st of BB RGs. PITT 28-12-1 ATS as a DOG in OCT. PITT 35-25 ATS AWAY in OCT. PITT 17-22-1 ATS L40 vs AFC EAST. PITT 14-23 ATS AWAY vs non-div conf opp. PITT 10-21-1 ATS off SU win vs opp off SU loss. There’s a game within this game that most people are probably not aware of. PITT Senior Defensive Assistant/Linebackers coach is Brian Flores. He was the HC of MIA for three seasons (2019-2021). He then was fired. Do you think he wants to give it to MIA in their home stadium? The DEF surely wants to play well and stick it to MIA. MIA is coming off a three game losing streak with injuries to their QBs which altered their season so far. They would like to get back on the winning trail. PITT had their QB of the future go down with a concussion LW and Trubisky might be the starter here. PITT is coming off a nice win @HOME vs TB. TB has their own problems but PITT made the plays that needed to be made to stop TB cold. Can they do it again @MIA? Tua Tagovailoa is slated to start this game but, he may be a little rusty coming back from his injuries. Usually a first game back comes with turnovers and that is what I am counting on here. LW, Bridgewater was rusty and it helped MINN seal a win. MIA #11 RUSH DEF vs PITT #28 RUSH OFF. If Trubisky starts for PITT he will have to shoulder the load vs MIA because the run game for PITT is so weak. He better play carefully and the game plan for him has to be simple. However, I don’t see a blowout here as PITT will keep it close and the game could be decided by 3 or 4pts. Take PITT and the points here.
PITT INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
RB Jeremy McNichols (Shoulder) Out, DB Carlins Platel (Undisclosed) Out, QB Kenny Pickett (Concussion) Questionable, WR Anthony Miller (Shoulder) Out, WR Calvin Austin III (Foot) Questionable, CB Cameron Sutton (Hamstring) Questionable, S Damontae Kazee (Wrist/Arm) Out, CB Ahkello Witherspoon (Hamstring) Questionable, CB Levi Wallace (Head) Questionable, S Karl Joseph (Ankle/Foot) Out, S Minkah Fitzpatrick (Knee) Questionable, LB Hamilcar Rashed Jr. (Undisclosed) Out, WR Steven Sims (Hamstring) Questionable, TE Pat Freiermuth (Concussion) Questionable, LB T.J. Watt (Pectoral) Out, DE DeMarvin Leal (Knee) Out.
MIA INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
TE Adam Shaheen (Knee) Out, CB Trill Williams (Knee (ACL)) Out, QB Tua Tagovailoa (Concussion) Questionable, QB Skylar Thompson (Thumb) Questionable, CB Byron Jones (Achilles) Out, DB Keion Crossen (Knee) Questionable, CB Kader Kohou (Oblique) Questionable, FB John Lovett (Knee) Out, OT Terron Armstead (Toe) Questionable, OL Austin Jackson (Ankle) Questionable, TE Durham Smythe (Hamstring) Questionable, TE Cethan Carter (Concussion) Out, DE Emmanuel Ogbah (Back) Questionable, LB Trey Flowers (Foot) Questionable, LB Porter Gustin (Undisclosed) Out.
THE PICK: PITT+7
Monday October 24th, 2022 8:15pm
Chicago Bears (2-4), (1-4-1) ATS, (0-3) AWAY, (0-2-1) ATS @ NE Patriots (3-3), (4-2) ATS, (1-1) HOME, (1-1) ATS CHI+7 ½
LW, NE was @CLEV. I have liked NE QB Bailey Zappe since he came in for Brian Hoyer @GB in wk 4. So far in 2 starts Bailey is 2-0. Right now you stay with him even if QB Mac Jones is 100%. Don’t think that NE HC Bill Belichick is not thinking the same thing. Hello, Tom Brady & Drew Bledsoe scenario. Zappe had a nice game @CLEV 24/34, 309yds, 2tds, 0INTS but did have a lost fumble which fortunately, was not consequential for NE. NE took a 10-3 lead on CLEV and never looked back. NE won 38-15. The strong playing of RB Rhamondre Stevenson with 19 carries for 76 yards and 1td takes a lot of pressure off of Zappe. The DEF for NE also made it happen in this game getting 2INTS and 2 lost fumbles from CLEV. LW, on TNF, CHI was @HOME vs WASH. This was basically a PICK’EM game because both teams have played rather poorly. In this game, CHI had multiple opportunities to score tds but found ways not to score. At the end of the game, with WASH leading 12-7, CHI had a 1st & goal at the WASH 5yd line and had a chance to get a winning td. CHI had 4 chances but, could not get into the endzone. The final score, WASH 12-7. CHI rushed for a combined 238yds with QB Justin Fields rushing for 88yds but it wasn’t enough. This was another sloppy game by two teams going nowhere. L4 NE vs CHI, NE 4-0 SU & 3-0-1 ATS. NE 8-6-2 ATS on MNF. NE 7-4 ATS as a HOME FAV on MNF. NE 38-31-1 ATS @HOME in OCT. NE 51-36-2 ATS as a FAV in OCT. NE 34-16-3 ATS L53 (H) vs non-div. NE 15-3 SU & 13-4-1 ATS vs NFC NORTH. NE 18-4 ATS off SU non-div DOG win. NE 21-14-3 ATS as a HF 7>pts. NE 19-3 ATS off SU win vs non-div opp off SU loss. NE 18-4 ATS off non-div gm vs opp off SU loss 4>pts. NE 14-1 ATS off non-div gm vs <500opp off SU loss 4>pts. CHI 13-13 ATS as a ROAD DOG on MNF. CHI 12-5 ATS in 1st of BB RGs. CHI 35-27-2 ATS as a DOG in OCT. CHI 31-28-2 ATS AWAY in OCT. CHI 13-8 ATS L21 non-conf ROAD gms. CHI 4-8 ATS w/rest off SU loss. CHI 8-3 ATS vs opp off SU DOG win. NE HC Bill Belichick has put together very good game plans against inexperienced QBs and won. This is one of those games. NE #13 TOT DEF vs CHI #28 TOT OFF. Justin Fields is going to be overwhelmed and made sure that he will not be able to run. He will be forced to sit in the pocket and then he will make mistakes. This is what Belichick does against inexperienced QBs. He takes away your strengths and makes you rely on your weaknesses. CHI will try to use the run, CHI #2 RUSH OFF vs NE #17 RUSH DEF. It won’t work because NE & Belichick have been there before. Just ask Mahomes of KC. For the NE OFF, it has been made simple for Zappe but, he is doing the job and learning more as he starts more games. But, as he continues to flourish, will Mac Jones have a job when he is 100% and able to return? Anyway, lay the points here as NE rolls.
CHI INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
OL Dakota Dozier (Leg/Knee) Out, QB Justin Fields (Shoulder) Questionable, WR Byron Pringle (Calf) Out, LB Matt Adams (Calf) Out, OL Cody Whitehair (Knee) Out, OL Doug Kramer (Foot) Out, OL Alex Leatherwood (Undisclosed) Questionable.
NE INJURY REPORT (POS, PLAYER, STATUS)
WR Kristian Wilkerson (Concussion) Out, K Quinn Nordin (Undisclosed) Out, QB Brian Hoyer (Head) Out, QB Mac Jones (Ankle) Questionable, WR Ty Montgomery (Ankle) Out, WR Nelson Agholor (Hamstring) Questionable, SS Cody Davis (Knee) Out, CB Jonathan Jones (Ankle) Questionable, CB Joejuan Williams (Shoulder) Out, RB Damien Harris (Hamstring) Questionable, LB Ronnie Perkins (Undisclosed) Out, LB Josh Uche (Hamstring) Questionable, OL Andrew Stueber (Hamstring) Out, OL Yodny Cajuste (Thumb) Out, WR Kendrick Bourne (Toe) Questionable, DL Christian Barmore (Knee) Questionable, DL Lawrence Guy Sr. (Shoulder) Questionable.
THE PICK: NE-7 ½