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All times Eastern Standard Time


BYES: KC Chiefs & LA Chargers

Thursday October 27th, 2022 8:15pm

Baltimore Ravens (4-3), (2-4-1) ATS, (2-1) AWAY, (2-1) ATS @ TB Buccaneers (3-4), (2-5) ATS, (1-2) HOME, (0-3) ATS                               TB+1 ½  

LW, BALT almost found a way to lose after being up 23-13 in the 4th qtr. BALT was @HOME vs CLEV and I liked CLEV+6 ½. This was a division game and teams play tighter. But, BALT has had BIG problems in the 4th qtr of games. They gave up a td to CLEVE and then fumbled the ball on a drive where BALT was trying to lock up the game. There was some suspect play calling on that drive and CLEVE got the ball. CLEV had a chance to tie and even win this game but they have Jacoby Brissett at QB. Anyway, CLEVE missed a long fg and BALT survived 23-20. BALT QB Lamar Jackson was unimpressive in this game as BALT was very run heavy vs a CLEV team that wouldn’t go away. LW, TB was a heavy FAV(-11) @CAR. I spoke about this game on the Rick Kamla show on FRI night. I loved CAR and said, don’t be surprised about an upset here. Well, I couldn’t be more right. TB was a mess and even TB WR Mike Evans dropped a sure td pass and TB lost 21-3. CAR ran all over the TB DEF and TB couldn’t get their OFF going. TB had 46yds rushing & TB QB Tom Brady threw 49x in catchup mode. TB has more problems on a team that was projected to go deep into the playoffs. L4 BALT vs TB, BALT 4-0 SU & 3-0-1 ATS. BALT 1-5 ATS AWAY on TNF. BALT 7-3 ATS as a FAV on TNF. BALT 17-14-1 ATS L32 as a ROAD FAV. BALT 6-11 ATS in 1st of BB RGs. BALT 30-34-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. BALT 28-38-1 ATS as a FAV in OCT. BALT 12-17-1 ATS L30 vs NFC. BALT 12-5-1 ATS after CLEV. BALT 13-7 ATS vs non-conf opp off SU loss. TB 2-10-1 ATS on TNF. TB 2-5 ATS on TNF off SU loss. TB 0-5 ATS @HOME on TNF. TB 0-3 ATS as a HD on TNF. TB 1-6 ATS vs 500>opp on TNF. TB 9-9-2 ATS L20 as a HOME DOG. TB 3-9-1 ATS in 1st of BB HGs vs non-div opp. TB 7-11-1 ATS in 1st of BB HGs. TB 24-37-2 ATS as a DOG in OCT. TB 20-31-4 ATS @HOME in OCT. TB 7-8-1 ATS off SU FAV loss. TB 6-8-1 ATS after CAR. Jackson is in a contract year and betting on himself. Right now BALT is average at best and you really don’t know what team shows up on game day. TB is a mess. TB HC Todd Bowles is not a good HC and the O-LINE doesn’t give Brady the protection he is accustomed to. TB #22 TOT OFF w/#32 RUSH OFF. This in turn means that the game is totally on Brady’s shoulders and he gets no help. The BALT DEF is not that good either like in past years. BALT #23 TOT DEF w/ #26 PASS DEF. This game could be a low scoring game but here is the matchup I like. BALT #5 RUSH OFF vs TB #16 RUSH DEF. BALT should run all night on the TB DEF. Jackson has only faced Brady 1x and that was in 2019 when Brady was still @NE. That game was played @BALT with BALT winning 37-20. BALT HC John Harbaugh needs to get his team playing better. They have the talent but, he needs them to play at a higher level. BALT has the RBs to run effectively all night on TB and use a lot of the clock. Take BALT here.


OLB Justin Houston (Groin) Out, OLB Steven Means (Ankle) Out, OT Ja'Wuan James (Achilles) Out, OT Morgan Moses (Heel) Questionable, CB Kyle Fuller (Knee) Out, DT Michael Pierce (Biceps) Out, OLB Tyus Bowser (Achilles) Questionable, S Marcus Williams (Wrist) Out, OLB Vince Biegel (Achilles) Out, RB Gus Edwards (ACL) Questionable, RB Justice Hill (Hamstring) Out, RB J.K. Dobbins (Knee) Questionable, WR Rashod Bateman (Foot) Out, G Ben Cleveland (Foot) Out, TE Charlie Kolar (Sports Hernia) Out, WR Slade Bolden (Undisclosed) Out, CB Jalyn Armour-Davis (Gameday Inactive) Out, OLB David Ojabo (Achilles) Questionable ILB Josh Ross (Foot) Out.


TE Kyle Rudolph (Gameday Inactive) Out, WR Julio Jones (Knee) Out, DL Akiem Hicks (Foot) Out, S Logan Ryan (Foot) Out, C Ryan Jensen (Knee) Out, RB Giovani Bernard (Ankle) Out, OT Josh Wells (Calf) Out, OLB Shaquil Barrett (Illness) Probable, TE Cameron Brate (Neck) Questionable, G Aaron Stinnie (Knee (ACL) (MCL)) Out, S Mike Edwards (Elbow) Out, CB Sean Murphy-Bunting (Quad) Out, OLB Cam Gill (Foot) Out, QB Kyle Trask (Gameday Inactive) Out.


Sunday October 30th, 2022 9:30am

Denver Broncos (2-5), (2-5) ATS, (0-3) AWAY, (1-2) ATS @ Jacksonville Jags (2-5), (2-5) ATS, (1-2) HOME, (1-2) ATS (London, England)       DEN+3

LW, DEN was @HOME vs NYJ. NYJ were a DOG anywhere from +1 to +3. It didn’t matter because NYJ won 16-9. The DEN DEF which continues to shine, only gave up 1td and 3fgs to the NYJ all game. Unfortunately for DEN, they only scored 1td with a missed extra pt and 1fg in the game. DEN QB Russell Wilson did not play as he was resting a sore shoulder and some minor bumps and bruises. Brett Rypien was called upon at QB. He did a credible job as he spread the ball around to 8 different receivers. The run game combined for 105 yds & 1td but the OFF couldn’t muster enough in the 2nd half to overtake the NYJ 10-9 lead. LW, JAGS were 1yd away from winning @HOME vs NYG. The score was NYG 23-17 and because NYG RB Saquon Barkley made multiple mistakes of not staying in bounds, JAGS had enough time for a last minute drive. They were in reach of a td but a pass from JAGS QB Trevor Lawrence to WR Christian Kirk was stopped at the NYG 1ft line as time ran out. In this game JAGS gave up 236 combined rushing yds to NYG which sustained NYG drives and kept the JAGS OFF off the field. JAGS RB Travis Etienne had a nice game rushing 114yds. JAGS managed 2tds & 1fg but couldn’t get into the endzone when it counted. The JAGS DEF couldn’t make any stop sin the 4th qtr to protect their 17-13 lead and ended up losing 23-17. L9 JAGS vs DEN, JAGS 5-4 SU & 6-3 ATS. JAGS 13-27 ATS as a FAV in OCT. JAGS 22-26 ATS @HOME in OCT. JAGS 7-17 ATS in 2nd of BB HGs. JAGS 6-11 ATS @HOME vs AFC WEST. JAGS 6-5 ATS as a HOME FAV off BB SU losses. JAGS 4-17 ATS as a non-div FAV w/revenge. JAGS 4-18 ATS vs opp off SU FAV loss. JAGS 4-12 ATS L16 vs AFC WEST. JAGS 1-10 ATS as a non-div FAV <6pts w/revenge. DEN 7-8 ATS since 2007 before their bye. DEN 27-21 ATS as a DOG in OCT. DEN 28-26 ATS AWAY in OCT. The only reason DEN is in most of their games is because of the DEF. DEN #2 TOT DEF w/ #2 PASS DEF & #15 RUSH DEF. Their OFF is lethargic as it continues to look like it was put together on the playground. DEN #23 TOT OFF. The JAGS problem is that they can’t keep leads. Their four losses were by 6pts, 8pts, 7pts, 7pts and 6pts. These are all one score games except the game @PHILLY where they lost by 8pts and JAGS QB Trevor Lawrence had 5turnovers. That was a game that JAGS were leading 14-0. JAGs were also leading 17-13 LW vs NYG. JAGS look like they lack the fundamentals because they make silly little mistakes that cost them games. In all their losses, JAGS were ahead but couldn’t keep the lead. Look for DEN to attack the JAGS weaknesses and come out with victory. Both of these teams are coming off the loss but right now, neither of these two teams are going anywhere fast. DEN has been the biggest disappointment and JAGS are well, the JAGS. JAGS are 4-4 ATS in London which is a legitimate record. But here they are the FAV and JAGS don’t do well when they are the FAV. JAGS 4-11 ATS L15 as a FAV incl 0-2 ATS in 2022. In a game where both teams are really not that good, take the team with the points. So take DEN+3. DEN should win this game outright.


OL Tom Compton (Back) Out, OL Billy Turner (Knee) Questionable, CB K'Waun Williams (Wrist/Arm) Probable, RB Melvin Gordon III (Knee/Ribs) Questionable, CB Ronald Darby (ACL) Out, OLB Randy Gregory (Knee) Out, S Justin Simmons (Quad) Questionable, OT Garett Bolles (Leg) Out, TE Eric Saubert (Thigh) Questionable, WR Tim Patrick (ACL) Out, ILB Josey Jewell (Knee) Out, G Dalton Risner (Back) Questionable, RB Damarea Crockett (ACL) Out, LS Jacob Bobenmoyer (Hand) Out, CB Michael Ojemudia (Elbow) Questionable, RB Javonte Williams (Knee) Out, OLB Jonathon Cooper (Hamstring) Questionable, S Caden Sterns (Hip) Out, G Quinn Meinerz (Hamstring) Probable, TE Greg Dulcich (Hamstring) Questionable, CB Damarri Mathis (Knee) Questionable, OLB Christopher Allen (Foot) Out.


WR Marvin Jones Jr. (Hamstring) Out, WR Zay Jones (Ankle) Probable, WR Jamal Agnew (Knee) Questionable, DL Folorunso Fatukasi (Quad) Out, LB Foyesade Oluokun (Calf) Probable, DT DaVon Hamilton (Foot) Probable, OLB K'Lavon Chaisson (Knee) Out, G Ben Bartch (Knee) Out, DE Jordan Smith (Knee) Out, S Tyree Gillespie (Gameday Inactive) Out, RB Snoop Conner (Gameday Inactive) Out, CB Montaric Brown (Gameday Inactive) Out, OLB De'Shaan Dixon (Gameday Inactive) Out. 


Sunday October 30th, 2022 1:00pm

Carolina Panthers (2-5), (2-5) ATS, (0-2) AWAY, (0-2) ATS @ Atlanta Falcons (3-4), (6-1) ATS, (2-1) HOME, (3-0) ATS                            CAR+5

LW on the Rick Kamla show on FRI night on Bettor Sports Network, I discussed how I loved CAR +11 @HOME vs TB. I said, don’t be surprised if you see an upset here. Well, CAR didn’t disappoint and won 21-3. They put a beat down on a TB team that has been a BIG disappointment to themselves and everyone watching. But, in their defense, TB WR Mike Evans dropped a sure td pass when he was wide open and could have walked into the endzone. But otherwise it was all CAR. CAR RBs D’Onta Forman & Chuba Hubbard combined for 181yds and 1td. CAR QB PJ Walker had a nice game going 16/22 177yds, 2td & 0turnovers. He is the starting QB going forward. ATL coaching is showing that they really don’t have faith in QB Marcus Mariota’s throwing abilities. He threw the ball 13x, completing 8 passes for 124yds, 1td, 0turnovers. They were blown out @CINNCY, 35-17. CINNCY QB Joe Burrow put on a show and picked the ATL secondary apart throwing for 3tds. CINNCY was ahead 28-7 in the 2nd qtr and the final score could have been worse than 35-17. ATL has no one to throw to and they continue to rely on a run heavy OFF. L15 ATL(H) vs CAR, ATL 9-6 SUATS. L22 CAR vs ATL, HOME, 12-10 ATS. L20 ATL vs CAR, DOG 12-8 ATS. ATL 7-7 ATS in 1st of BB HGs. ATL 29-35 ATS @HOME in OCT. ATL 22-28 ATS as a FAV in OCT. ATL 24-14 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in OCT. ATL 14-26 ATS L40 as a HOME FAV. ATL 0-8 ATS @HOME vs <.800 div opp off SU win. CAR 8-10-1 ATS in 1st of BB RGs. CAR 34-23 ATS AWAY in OCT. CAR 39-21 ATS as a DOG in OCT. CAR 23-15 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in OCT. CAR 10-2 ATS off DD ATS win. CAR 18-15-1 ATS L34 off DD SU win. CAR 8-11 ATS AWAY off div gm. CAR 10-5 ATS off SU DOG win. CAR 1-10 ATS as a RD 4>pts vs opp off SUATS loss. CAR 4-16 ATS AWAY vs opp off SUATS loss. CAR 7-15 ATS vs div opp off non-div gm. CAR 7-0 ATS AWAY off DD ATS win. CAR 6-1 ATS off SU HOME DOG win. CAR RB D’Onta Foreman is getting a real chance to start and show what he can do now that RB Christian McCaffrey is gone. He bounced from HOU to TENN and did well in 2021 when TENN RB Derrick Henry was injured. But, TENN chose not to resign Foreman. ATL’s PASS DEF deficiencies showed up LW vs CINNCY and CINNCY exploited them for a crushing win. On top of that ATL goes into this game with starting players out in the secondary. As CB AJ Terrell, CB Mike Ford & S Jaylin Hawkins all left the game with injuries and all of them are questionable for SUN. CAR should take note. ATL #32 PASS DEF.  CAR needs to go pass heavy and complement it with some runs as the ATL secondary is hurting. Even though this is a bounceback for ATL and they are @HOME, teams are starting to figure them out and play accordingly. CAR is coming off the blowout win but they can’t get deflated. There are guys that need to prove themselves. ATL is a scrappy bunch but that can get you just so far, you need to win outright. CAR needs to stop the ATL run game and make them pass the ball. ATL #31 PASS OFF. Interdivision games are always dogfights and these two teams are no exception. I see, ATL winning this game by a fg at best if CAR falls flat. I like CAR with the points.


WR Andre Roberts (Knee) Out, OT Cameron Erving (Groin) Probable, LB Cory Littleton (Groin) Questionable, K Zane Gonzalez (Groin) Out, QB Baker Mayfield (Ankle) Out, QB Sam Darnold (Ankle) Probable, CB Donte Jackson (Ankle) Questionable, LB Frankie Luvu (Shoulder) Out, WR Laviska Shenault Jr. (Hamstring) Out, S Jeremy Chinn (Hamstring) Out, CB CJ Henderson (Head) Questionable, CB Stantley Thomas-Oliver III (Achilles) Out, DT Bravvion Roy (Hamstring) Out, CB Jaycee Horn (Ribs) Out, DT Daviyon Nixon (Gameday Inactive) Out, QB Matt Corral (Ankle/Foot) Out, DE Amare Barno (Gameday Inactive) Out, G Cade Mays (Gameday Inactive) Out.


CB Casey Hayward (Shoulder) Questionable, LS Beau Brinkley (Achilles) Out, RB Cordarrelle Patterson (Knee) Out, RB Damien Williams (Ribs) Out, S Erik Harris (Gameday Inactive) Out, DT Vincent Taylor (Achilles) Out, TE Anthony Firkser (Gameday Inactive) Out, OT Elijah Wilkinson (Knee) Probable, WR Calvin Ridley (Suspended) Out, OT Chuma Edoga (Gameday Inactive) Out, DL Marlon Davidson (Knee) Out, ILB Mykal Walker (Groin) Out, CB A.J. Terrell (Thigh) Questionable, TE Kyle Pitts (Hamstring) Probable, OL Jalen Mayfield (Back) Out, OLB Adetokunbo Ogundeji (Shoulder) Out, TE John FitzPatrick (Undisclosed) Out, WR Jared Bernhardt (Gameday Inactive) Out.


Chicago Bears (3-4), (2-4-1) ATS, (1-3) AWAY, (1-2-1) ATS @ Dallas Cowboys (5-2), (5-2) ATS, (3-1) HOME, (3-1) ATS                             CHI+10 ½  

LW, on MNF CHI stuck to a game plan that probably didn’t surprise NE. But NE didn’t respond and CHI ran the ball all night. CHI ran for 243yds and 2tds on 45 touches. CHI wasn’t threatened all night except for about a five minute span in the 2nd qtr when NE scored 2tds to make the score, NE 14-10. After that CHI stuck to their game plan and scored 23 straight points to win @NE, 33-14. I like NE@HOME -7 ½ because I said that NE needed to stop CHI in the run game and put it all on QB Justin Field’s shoulder. Well, NE didn’t do that and Fields ran 82yds and 1td & threw 13/21, 179 yds, 1td, 1INT. He had a very good game and he also spread the ball around to seven different receivers. On 3rd down, CHI was 11-18. NE Couldn’t make a stop and CHI was in control all game. LW, DAL @HOME was up 10-6 on DET in the 4th qtr. This game could have easily gone DET’s way. But DET turned the ball over on 4 straight possessions giving DAL an easy opportunity to score 2tds. This put the score at DAL 24-6 and the game was out of reach for DET. DET was actually ahead in this game 6-3 in the 3rd qtr but 5 turnovers in a game, will not get you a win. It was DAL QB Dak Prescott’s 1st game back from injury and DAL kept it simple in the game plan. He was 19/25 for 207yds, 1td, 0turnovers. The run game for DAL helped him out, rushing for a combined 139yds and 2tds. L8 CHI vs DAL, 4-4 SUATS. DAL 7-8 ATS since 2007, wk before their bye. DAL 7-11 ATS in 2nd of BB HGs. DAL 36-26 ATS @HOME in OCT. DAL 45-35 ATS as a FAV in OCT. DAL 18-4 ATS @HOME vs ,500 opp off SU DOG win. DAL 3-12 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins (last as a DOG). DAL 12-11 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins. CHI 9-6-2 ATS in 2nd of BB RGs. CHI 36-27-2 ATS as a DOG in OCT. CHI 32-28-2 ATS AWAY in OCT. CHI 9-6 ATS AWAY off SU DOG win. CHI 5-15 ATS vs NFC EAST. Can Justin fields continue to play better? DAL has a better DEF than NE and playing @DAL is always hostile as the fan base gets totally into it. DAL #6 TOT DEF w/#4 PASS DEF & #20 RUSH DEF.  But, DAL can be run on, you just have to be careful. They have a secondary that is aggressive and they make tackles. CHI #1 RUSH OFF. CHI has very capable RBs in David Montgomery & Khalil Herbert and they can take a lot of the pressure off of Fields so he can sprinkle in some passes. The game plan for CHI is simple. Also, CHI needs to create turnovers and put pressure on Prescott. If he can sit in the pocket with no pressure, his receivers will find a way to get open. On the flip side, Fields needs to take what the DAL DEF gives you and exploit it. Newly acquired DT Johnathan Hankins was brought to DAL to help with DEF vs the run. Let’s see how he does. Take the points here as DAL should win but by seven or less.


OL Dakota Dozier (Leg/Knee) Out, OL Cody Whitehair (Knee) Out, LB Matt Adams (Calf) Out, WR Byron Pringle (Calf) Out, QB Justin Fields (Shoulder) Questionable, OL Alex Leatherwood (Undisclosed) Questionable, OL Doug Kramer (Foot) Out.


OT Jason Peters (Chest) Probable, OT Tyron Smith (Knee) Out, LS Jake McQuaide (Triceps) Out, LB Devante Bond (Knee) Out, DE Tarell Basham (Thigh) Out, WR James Washington (Foot) Out, TE Dalton Schultz (Gameday Inactive) Out, TE Ian Bunting (Neck) Out, WR CeeDee Lamb (Hip) Probable, RB Rico Dowdle (Ankle) Out, WR Simi Fehoko (Shoulder) Out, CB Nahshon Wright (Gameday Inactive) Out, OT Matt Waletzko (Gameday Inactive) Out, LB Damone Clark (Neck) Questionable, S Markquese Bell (Gameday Inactive) Out, LB Devin Harper (Gameday Inactive) Out.


Miami Dolphins (4-3), (3-4) ATS, (1-2) AWAY, (1-2) ATS @ Detroit Lions (1-5), (3-3) ATS, (1-2) HOME, (2-1) ATS                                       DET+3

LW, on SNF PITT was @MIA. I liked PITT+7 because of the Brain Flores factor. Well, this game was defensive battle and neither team scored a point in the 2nd half. MIA stormed out to a 13-0 and everyone probably thought that the rout was on. Well, MIA basically coasted the rest of the way, playing not to lose. PITT tightened up and scored 10pts in the 2nd qtr and MIA added a fg in the qtr to make it 16-10. PITT was driving in the last minute of the game but PITT QB Kenny Pickett threw an INT in the endzone and MIA held on for a 16-10 win. Neither team was that impressive offensively and MIA QB Tua Tagovailoa was a little rusty in his 1st game back from injury. MIA didn’t turn the ball over and everyone sort of cringed when Tua ran for a 1st down and was tackled head first. Tua was 21/35, 261 yds, 1td 0turnovers. LW, DET was @DAL. I liked DAL-7 but this game was in doubt until the 4th qtr. DAL was leading 10-6 going into the qtr but DET’s four possessions in that qtr resulted in a lost fumble, INT, lost fumble and another lost fumble. It resulted in two tds for DAL and that was the game, DAL 24-6. Overall, DET had 5turnovers in the game that resulted in 21pts for DAL. A team cannot win when they turn the ball over that many times. Up until the 4th qtr DET was still in this game and gave the DAL faithful a little bit of a scare. But DET is a bad team and bad teams find a way to lose. L7 MIA vs DET, MIA 4-3 ATS. L4 DET vs MIA, DET 3-1 SUATS incl DET(H) vs MIA, 2-0 SUATS. MIA 5-6 ATS L11 as a ROAD FAV. MIA 14-6 ATS 1NL in 1st of BB RGs. MIA 35-29 ATS AWAY in OCT. MIA 27-29 ATS as a FAV in OCT. DET 7-8 ATS in 1st of BB HGs. DET 23-37 ATS @HOME in OCT. DET 40-35 ATS as a DOG in OCT. DET 20-32-1 ATS L53(H) vs non-div. DET 17-22 ATS L39 as a HOME DOG. DET 3-13 ATS before GB. Going forward, two things are certain. DET will not have five turnovers in this game. However, they are #30 in the NFL in the turnover margin, so expect a couple of turnovers here. Tua will be more comfortable and situated in his 2nd game back after his injury. Look for more of an explosive OFF from MIA in this game vs a DEF that can’t stop anyone. MIA #10 TOT OFF vs DET #32 TOT DEF. DET did manage to rush for a combined 117 yds rushing so look for DET to try to get the ball moving there. DET #7 RUSH OFF vs MIA #7 RUSH DEF. DET is coming off a game they should have won, so MIA has to be very careful here. If MIA plays turnover free football, they will win. Lay the points here as MIA should win on the road by 10pts.   


OT Terron Armstead (Toe) Out, DT John Jenkins (Gameday Inactive) Out, CB Byron Jones (Achilles) Out, LB Trey Flowers (Foot) Questionable, DE Emmanuel Ogbah (Back) Questionable, TE Adam Shaheen (Knee) Out, TE Cethan Carter (Concussion) Out, TE Durham Smythe (Hamstring) Out, DB Keion Crossen (Knee) Questionable, DB Elijah Campbell (Foot) Probable, RB Myles Gaskin (Gameday Inactive) Out, LB Porter Gustin (Undisclosed) Out, FB John Lovett (Knee) Out, CB Nik Needham (Achilles) Out, OL Austin Jackson (Ankle) Questionable, CB Trill Williams (Knee (ACL)) Out, WR Erik Ezukanma (Gameday Inactive) Out, QB Skylar Thompson (Thumb) Questionable, CB Kader Kohou (Oblique) Out.


G Halapoulivaati Vaitai (Back) Out, DL Romeo Okwara (Achilles) Out, DL Charles Harris (Groin) Questionable, WR DJ Chark (Ankle) Questionable, S Tracy Walker III (Achilles) Out, FB Jason Cabinda (Knee) Out, CB Will Harris (Groin) Questionable, DL John Cominsky (Wrist) Questionable, OT Matt Nelson (Calf) Questionable, RB D'Andre Swift (Ankle/Shoulder) Questionable, WR Quintez Cephus (Foot) Out, G Tommy Kraemer (Back) Out, DL Levi Onwuzurike (Back) Out, S Ifeatu Melifonwu (Ankle) Questionable, CB Jerry Jacobs (ACL) Questionable, WR Jameson Williams (Torn ACL) Out, DL Josh Paschal (Sports Hernia) Questionable.


Arizona Cardinals (3-4), (4-3) ATS, (2-1) AWAY, (2-1) ATS @ Minnesota Vikings (5-1), (3-2-1) ATS, (3-0) HOME, (1-1-1) ATS            ARZ+3 ½  

Before their bye, MINN was @MIA. MIA was without their starting QB Tua Tagovailoa so it wasn’t a difficult pick to make. MINNN was up 24-10 when MIA scored a late td to make it 24-16. Before that, MINN RB Dalvin Cook had a run of 75yds for a td that sealed the game for MINN. LW on TNF, ARZ was the recipient of 3INTS by NO QB Andy Dalton. Two were PICK6’s that put NO in a whole and one was turned into 3pts by ARZ. ARZ was up 28-14 at the half and it was over. ARZ WR DeAndre Hopkins showed everyone that he was missed by QB Kyler Murray. Hopkins had 10 catches for 103yds in his 1st game of the season. ARZ won 42-34 in another TNF battle of essentially two teams going nowhere. One other positive for ARZ is that RB Eno Benjamin had a nice game rushing 12x for 92yds & 1td.  If he can get going, he will take a lot of pressure off of Murray to win games by himself. L10 MINN vs ARZ, MINN 7-3 SU & 6-4 ATS incl MINN(H) vs ARZ, MINN 6-0 SU & 3-3 ATS. MINN 6-9 ATS since 2007 wk after their bye. MINN 26-28-1 ATS @HOME in OCT. MINN 37-33-1 ATS as a FAV in OCT. MINN 8-11 ATS w/rest. ARZ 24-33 ATS AWAY in OCT. ARZ 39-41 ATS as a DOG in OCT. ARZ 13-4 ATS AWAY vs 700>non-div opp. ARZ has definitely got an uplift on OFF with the return of WR Hopkins. There’s no question that he is Murray’s favorite receiver. But, to give credit, he catches practically everything in his area. He is such a threat that sometimes two defenders cannot contain him. This opens other possibilities for ARZ that Murray needs to be aware of. Look for WR Robbie Anderson to be more involved. You can’t go to the till too many times. MINN hasn’t really played anyone and they can be beat. They beat MIA with a backup QB. MINN can be beat. These two teams met in wk 2 in 2021 @ARZ with ARZ winning 34-33. I don’t think there is a revenge factor here because MINN has a new HC in Kevin O’Connell. Murray has to take what the MINN DEF gives him. They need to sprinkle in the run and get that going as well. Both teams are well rested and ARZ needs this game. I like this game to be a dogfight with ARZ coming out ahead. ARZ cannot let MINN get their run game going. ARZ #6 RUSH DEF. Put it all on Cousins shoulders. ARZ needs to put pressure on him. He will make mistakes. Take the points here.  


K Matt Prater (Hip) Out, OL Rodney Hudson (Knee) Out, OL Justin Pugh (Knee) Questionable, OL Max Garcia (Toe) Probable, ILB Nick Vigil (Hamstring) Out, S Charles Washington (Chest) Out, RB James Conner (Ribs) Out, OLB Dennis Gardeck (Ankle) Questionable, RB Darrel Williams (Knee) Out, OL Cody Ford (Ankle) Out, QB Trace McSorley (Gameday Inactive) Out, CB Trayvon Mullen (Hamstring) Out, CB Byron Murphy Jr. (Groin) Probable, WR Antoine Wesley (Hip) Out, WR Marquise Brown (Ankle) Out, OL Joshua Miles (Undisclosed) Out, RB Jonathan Ward (Hamstring) Out, DT Rashard Lawrence (Hand) Probable, OL Lachavious Simmons (Undisclosed) Out, OL Lecitus Smith (Gameday Inactive) Out, OL Marquis Hayes (Knee) Out, S Tae Daley (Undisclosed) Out. 


OL Chris Reed (Gameday Inactive) Out, WR Bisi Johnson (Knee (ACL)) Out, RB Alexander Mattison (Shoulder) Probable, RB Ty Chandler (Ankle) Out, DE Kenny Willekes (Undisclosed) Out, OLB D.J. Wonnum (Illness) Out, TE Ben Ellefson (Groin) Out, WR Blake Proehl (ACL) Questionable, DL Khyiris Tonga (Gameday Inactive) Out, S Lewis Cine (Ankle) Out, DL Esezi Otomewo (Gameday Inactive) Out, OT Vederian Lowe (Gameday Inactive) Out, S Theo Jackson (Gameday Inactive) Out, WR Thomas Hennigan (Undisclosed) Out.


LV Raiders (2-4), (3-3) ATS, (0-3) AWAY, (1-2) ATS @ NO Saints (2-5), (1-6) ATS, (1-3) HOME, (1-3) ATS                                                   NO+2

LW, LV was-7 @HOME vs HOU. HOU was leading 20-17 in the 4th qtr but that is when LV stepped up their game. LV scored 2tds and had a PICK6 with no scoring responses from HOU and won 38-20. LV RB Josh Jacobs was a one-man wrecking crew rushing 20x for 143yds & 3tds. The HOU DEF had no answer for him. This took a lot of pressure off of LV QB Derek Carr and he was able to play his game going 21/27, 241 yds 1td & 0turnovers. It was nice win for LV who were coming off their bye. LW on TNF, NO was tied 14-14 in what looked like a seesaw battle between two so far, mediocre teams. Well, NO QB Andy Dalton decided to throw some excitement into the mix and turn the game around by throwing 2straight PICK6 which gave ARZ a 28-14 halftime lead. NO had to play catchup the rest of the way and never caught up, losing 42-34. It was ARZ 42-24 with about 6:00 left in the game and you could turn your sets off there. The NO DEF gave up 494yds of total OFF to ARZ while creating 0turnovers. Dalton also threw an INT in the 1st qtr which resulted in a fg for ARZ as well. L5 LV vs NO, NO 3-2 SUATS. LV 2-9-2 ATS L13 as a ROAD FAV. LV 9-12 ATS in 1st of BB RGs. LV 34-26 ATS AWAY in OCT. LV 22-26 ATS as a FAV in OCT. LV 6-5 ATS AWAY vs 400> non-conf opp. LV 2-16-1 ATS as a FAV vs opp off BB SU losses. LV 0-12 ATS as a non-div FAV vs opp off BB SU losses. NO 7-6-1 ATS L14 as a HOME DOG. NO 7-10-2 ATS in 1st of BB HGs. NO 30-20 ATS as a DOG in OCT. NO 33-32 ATS @HOME in OCT. NO 13-8-1 ATS after an SU loss AWAY & playing @HOME. NO 14-3 ATS vs opp off DD SU win. LV will try to establish the run early to take the pressure off of Carr. LV #11 RUSH OFF.  If NO wants to win this game, they have to stop the run completely and put it all on Carr’s shoulders. If NO does that, they will win. If Jacobs is able to run wild like he did vs HOU it will be all over for NO. Carr has happy feet and gets nervous when the game is on his shoulders. Carr is so due for a bad game. NO has to show that they are not dead. Dalton can’t force things and he has talented receivers but he needs to spread the OFF out. He needs to keep LV guessing. He threw the ball to 9different receivers, which is great however, he made 3 huge errors. He should be able to correct some things before this game vs LV. LV #27 PASS DEF.  The LV secondary can be beat, Dalton just has to be patient. NO is due for a big win here.   


TE Darren Waller (Hamstring) Questionable, DE Jordan Jenkins (Knee) Out, LB Jayon Brown (Hamstring) Questionable, OT Brandon Parker (Triceps) Out, CB Anthony Averett (Thumb) Out, LB Micah Kiser (Knee) Out, TE Foster Moreau (Knee) Questionable, OL Justin Herron (Torn ACL) Out, WR DJ Turner (Ankle) Out, CB Nate Hobbs (Hand) Questionable, RB Sincere McCormick (Undisclosed) Out.


WR Jarvis Landry (Ankle) Out, QB Jameis Winston (Back/Ankle) Probable, CB P.J. Williams (Quad) Out, WR Michael Thomas (Foot) Out, TE Nick Vannett (Gameday Inactive) Out, CB Marshon Lattimore (Abdomen) Out, S Marcus Maye (Rib) Probable, G Forrest Lamp (Undisclosed) Out, DT Albert Huggins (Leg) Out, WR Deonte Harty (Foot) Out, OT Ethan Greenidge (Knee) Out, TE Adam Trautman (Foot) Questionable, DL Malcolm Roach (Ankle) Probable, OL Calvin Throckmorton (Ankle) Out, WR Chris Olave (Concussion) Out, WR Kawaan Baker (Suspended) Out, TE Dylan Soehner (Undisclosed) Out, CB Paulson Adebo (Knee) Probable, DE Payton Turner (Chest) Out, OT Trevor Penning (Foot) Out, CB Alontae Taylor (Knee) Out, LB D'Marco Jackson (Undisclosed) Out, S Smoke Monday (Knee (ACL)) Out, LB Isaiah Pryor (Undisclosed) Out. 


NE Patriots (3-4), (4-3) ATS, (2-2) AWAY, (3-1) ATS @ NY Jets (5-2), (5-2) ATS, (1-2) HOME, (1-2) ATS                                                       NYJ+2

LW, on MNF CHI+7 ½ @NE, NE was competitive for about 5minutes in the 2nd qtr. CHI is a run heavy team that sprinkles in passes. Well, if I know that, then NE HC Bill Belichick certainly knew that. But NE didn’t play like they knew that because CHI rushed for a combined 243yds and 2tds on 45 touches. No matter what, NE couldn’t stop CHI’s run game and that was the difference here. NE was leading 14-10 on an up-lift by NE QB Bailey Zappe but CHI answered with 23 straight points and won 33-14. NE QB Mac Jones started the game but didn’t look too good and QB Bailey Zappe came in and completed 2td drives. But that was the best that NE could muster on OFF. As the DEF for NE put the NE OFF in a catchup mode that they couldn’t overtake. NE looked completely unprepared on DEF and it showed. LW, NYJ were a DOG +1- +3 @DEN depending on where you looked. I liked NYJ in this game because of the revenge factor from last season. To make a long story short, DEN beat NYJ in DEN 26-0 in wk 4 last season. Right now, the NYJ are playing well and DEN is not. I knew that it would be a low scoring, tight game and it was. NYJ managed to win the game 16-9. NYJ didn’t turn the ball over and combined to rush for 155yds and 1td. However, NYJ RB Breece Hall suffered a torn ACL and is done for the season. JAGS RB James Robinson was acquired on Monday to fill the void. He is a proven RB that was having a nice start to 2022 but was replaced in the JAGS starting lineup by Travis Etienne. Hopefully Robinson can pick up where he left off and take some pressure off of NYJ QB Zach Wilson. L15 NYJ(H) vs NE, NYJ 4-11 SU but 8-7 ATS. L20 NE vs NYJ, NYJ 11-9 ATS. L23 NYJ vs NE, ROAD 11-12 ATS. L48 NE vs NYJ, ROAD 28-19-1 ATS. L22 NYJ(H) vs NE, NYJ 8-14 ATS. NYJ vs NE in OCT, NE 14-6 ATS. NYJ vs NE if DOG <7pts, L10 5-5 ATS. L12 NE vs NYJ, NE 12-0 SU & 8-4 ATS. NYJ 21-22-1 ATS L34 as a HOME DOG. NYJ 5-14 ATS in 1st of BB HGs. NYJ 33-29 ATS @HOME in OCT. NYJ 38-38 ATS as a DOG in OCT. NYJ 31-17 ATS vs AFC EAST in OCT. NYJ 9-6 ATS before BUFF. NYJ 3-11 ATS w/revenge off SU DOG win vs opp off SU loss. NE 25-20-2 ATS L47 as a ROAD FAV. NE 39-22-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. NE 51-37-2 ATS as a FAV in OCT. NE 23-21 ATS vs AFC EAST in OCT. NE 13-5 ATS @NYJ in OCT. NE 21-11-1 ATS off SU FAV loss vs >500 opp. NE 15-9-1 ATS after allowing 28>pts. NE 20-14 ATS as a ROAD FAV after an SU loss. NE 31-15-2 ATS after an SU loss. NE 11-1 ATS off SU loss vs opp off BB SU wins. NE 2-6 ATS as a FAV <6pts vs opp w/revenge. NE 2-9 ATS AWAY vs .500>opp w/revenge. The DEF for NYJ played well last week @DEN. But DEN’s OFF is a mess and it wasn’t really a test for the NYJ DEF. However, they didn’t let that fact get away from them. This week will be a very big test for the NYJ DEF. These two teams know each other well. Last week’s loss by NE @HOME was a very big surprise by everyone. Belichick was probably saying that NE didn’t do anything right, and they didn’t. He is one of those coaches that quickly corrects mistakes during the week as he prepares for the next game. What a way to bounce back after a big loss than against his favorite team, the New York Jets? Also, Belichick is tied with CHI HC George Halas for 2nd in all-times win with 324. Wouldn’t it be nice to move into 2nd place with a win vs NYJ? This game will come down to a td because NE is very good at bouncing back after a blowout. Lay the points here.  


QB Brian Hoyer (Head) Out, DL Lawrence Guy Sr. (Shoulder) Out, SS Cody Davis (Knee) Questionable, WR Ty Montgomery (Ankle) Out, CB Jonathan Jones (Ankle) Out, LB Raekwon McMillan (Thumb) Probable, TE Jonnu Smith (Ankle) Probable, WR Kendrick Bourne (Toe) Questionable, RB Damien Harris (Hamstring) Out, WR Jakobi Meyers (Knee) Probable, CB Joejuan Williams (Shoulder) Out, OL Yodny Cajuste (Thumb) Out, LB Josh Uche (Hamstring) Out, WR Kristian Wilkerson (Concussion) Out, DL Christian Barmore (Knee) Questionable, S Joshuah Bledsoe (Gameday Inactive) Out, LB Ronnie Perkins (Undisclosed) Out, K Quinn Nordin (Undisclosed) Out, OL Andrew Stueber (Hamstring) Out.


OT Duane Brown (Shoulder) Probable, RB Breece Hall (ACL) Out, OT Mike Remmers (Gameday Inactive) Out, OT George Fant (Knee) Out, QB Mike White (Gameday Inactive) Out, OT Greg Senat (Undisclosed) Out, FB Nick Bawden (Undisclosed) Out, OT Mekhi Becton (Kneecap) Out, CB Bryce Hall (Gameday Inactive) Out, TE Jeremy Ruckert (Gameday Inactive) Out, DE Jermaine Johnson (Ankle) Out, OL Max Mitchell (Knee) Out, S Tony Adams (Gameday Inactive) Out. 


Pittsburgh Steelers (2-5), (3-4) ATS, (1-3) AWAY, (2-2) ATS @ Philadelphia Eagles (6-0), (4-2) ATS, (3-0) HOME, (3-0) ATS                     PITT+10 ½  

LW, on SNF PITT was +7 @MIA. I liked PITT and I felt that there was an upset in the making here because of the Brian Flores factor. Well, I was half right. PITT covered but lost. Neither team was that impressive but the PITT DEF definitely made some adjustments after trailing 13-0 and stopped MIA from scoring more points and running away with the game. PITT had one last drive at the end of the game but PITT QB Kenny Pickett threw an INT in the endzone and the final score was MIA 16-10. He made a bad decision and probably could have made a better choice on the play. Had PITT won the game with a td at the end, it would have been a story book ending. Before their bye, PHILLY was @HOME vs DAL on SNF. PHILLY stormed out to a 17-0 lead and then coasted the rest of the way for a 26-17 win. I thought the game would be closer but DAL QB Cooper Rush had 3INTS that gave more possessions to PHILLY to work their magic and get into the endzone. The way PHILLY was playing, they could have easily put up 40 points in the game. DAL came up short later in the game after making a nice comeback but, it was too little too late after digging such a big hole. L5 PHILLY vs PITT, PITT 3-2 SU & 2-3 ATS. But HOME 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS. PITT 9-6 ATS since 2007, wk before their bye. PITT 9-8 ATS in 2nd of BB RGs. PITT 29-12-1 ATS as a DOG in OCT. PITT 36-25 ATS AWAY in OCT. PITT 19-5 ATS as a DOG vs >500 opp. PHILLY 7-8 ATS since 2007 after their bye. PHILLY 35-27 ATS @HOME in OCT. PHILLY 43-38 ATS as a FAV in OCT. PHILLY 22-13 ATS L35 vs non-conf opp. PHILLY 10-4 ATS w/rest vs .600<opp. PHILLY 15-7 ATS vs 400> non-conf opp. PHILLY 7-1 ATS as a FAV >5pts w/rest. Here is a bad combination for PITT. They have next to nothing for a run game and a rookie QB that has to win games on his back. Pickett has 2tds & 7INTS. He can’t rely on his run game. PITT #27 RUSH OFF vs PHILLY #12 RUSH DEF. PHILLY knows that they can take over a game very easily. Also, PHILLY #6 RUSH OFF vs PITT # 18 RUSH DEF. Hurts can hurt you with his feet and his arm and defenses are kept guessing. PITT is one dimensional and right now PHILLY is just too damn good to blow a game like this especially @HOME. PHILLY will go run heavy and then blow PITT out with passes that leave the PITT secondary dumbfounded. Lay the points here as PHILLY is well rested and ready to go.


S Karl Joseph (Ankle/Foot) Out, LB T.J. Watt (Pectoral) Out, CB Ahkello Witherspoon (Hamstring) Out, CB Cameron Sutton (Hamstring) Out, S Damontae Kazee (Wrist/Arm) Out, RB Jeremy McNichols (Shoulder) Out, QB Mason Rudolph (Gameday Inactive) Out, WR Anthony Miller (Shoulder) Out, CB Levi Wallace (Head) Out, TE Pat Freiermuth (Concussion) Out, WR Calvin Austin III (Foot) Questionable, C Kendrick Green (Gameday Inactive) Out, LB Hamilcar Rashed Jr. (Undisclosed) Out, DE DeMarvin Leal (Knee) Out, DB Carlins Platel (Undisclosed) Out. 


DE Derek Barnett (Knee) Out, TE Tyree Jackson (Knee (ACL)) Out, OT Brett Toth (Knee) Out, RB Trey Sermon (Gameday Inactive) Out, QB Ian Book (Gameday Inactive) Out, DE Tarron Jackson (Gameday Inactive) Out, DE Janarius Robinson (Ankle) Out, CB Josh Jobe (Shoulder) Out, S Reed Blankenship (Gameday Inactive) Out, G Josh Sills (Gameday Inactive) Out. 


Sunday October 30th, 2022 4:00pm

Tennessee Titans (4-2), (4-2) ATS, (2-1) AWAY, (2-1) ATS @ Houston Texans (1-4-1), (4-2) ATS, (0-1-1) HOME, (1-1) ATS                          HOU+2

LW, HOU +7 @LV looked like a good decision going into the 4th qtr with HOU leading 20-17. But HOU QB Davis Mills threw a PICK6 and that was the game. LV won 38-20. Also, the HOU DEF had no answer for LV RB Josh Jacobs who rushed 20x for 143 yds and 3tds. The DEF for HOU looked lost at times and out of place and this was against LV. Mills spreads the ball around nicely but the HOU DEF is atrocious and they can’t stop anyone. One lousy sack and 0turnovers will not get the job done. LW, TENN was @HOME -3 vs INDY. This was a revenge game for INDY because in wk 4 TENN beat INDY @INDY 24-17. I figured that INDY would play a tighter game and get the win. Well, the INDY DEF had no answer for TENN RB Derrick Henry as he rushed 30x for 128 yds. INDY QB Matt Ryan threw 2 straight INTS. One was for a PICK6 and TENN was leading at the half, 13-0. TENN held on for the 19-10 win with DEF. The TENN DEF made INDY punt 5x. L15 TENN(H) vs HOU, TENN 8-7 SU & 7-8 ATS. L20 TENN vs HOU, HOME 12-8 ATS. L24 TENN vs HOU, HOU 17-7 ATS. L10 HOU vs TENN, HOU 6-4 ATS. HOU 11-13 ATS L24 as a HOME DOG. HOU 6-9-1 ATS in 1st of BB HGs. HOU 18-22-1 ATS @HOME in OCT. HOU 13-11 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in OCT. HOU 18-28 ATS as a DOG in OCT. HOU 11-6-1 ATS after allowing 35>pts. HOU 4-0-1 ATS as a div Dog sfter allowing 35>pts. TENN 10-7 ATS L17 as a ROAD FAV. TENN 7-14 ATS in 1st of BB RGs. TENN 34-26 ATS as a FAV in OCT. TENN 34-27 ATS AWAY in OCT. TENN 28-18 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in OCT. HOU HC Lovie Smith is doing the best he can with a team that has no growing pains. I say no growing pains because this team is not moving forward and they are certainly going nowhere. Every week this team looks like they are just holding on. Two players that are rising stars are RB Dameon Pierce & CB Derek Stingley. Other than these two, the team is forgettable. TENN is just getting started with their running game and the whole team is starting to come together. They are on a 4gane winning streak after starting the season out 0-2. HOU is the perfect team to play against to tweak any of their deficiencies. HOU #32 RUSH DEF. TENN RB Derrick Henry should run as much as he can over this team with RB Dontrelle Hilliard coming in to give Henry a rest from running so much. If TENN QB Ryan Tannehill doesn’t turn the ball over, TENN should win by at least 10pts.


OT Taylor Lewan (Knee) Out, OLB Bud Dupree (Hip) Questionable, LB Zach Cunningham (Elbow) Questionable, LB Joe Jones (Knee) Questionable, OLB Harold Landry III (Knee (ACL)) Out, DE Da'Shawn Hand (Quad) Out, OL Jamarco Jones (Triceps) Out, RB Trenton Cannon (Knee) Out, OLB Ola Adeniyi (Neck) Questionable, S A.J. Moore (Ankle) Out, DB Amani Hooker (Concussion) Questionable, G Nate Davis (Knee) Questionable, DB Chris Jackson (Undisclosed) Out, WR Racey McMath (Hip) Out, CB Elijah Molden (Groin) Out, WR Treylon Burks (Toe) Out, LB Chance Campbell (Knee) Out, K Caleb Shudak (Leg) Out.


OL Justin Britt (Personal) Out, ILB Kevin Pierre-Louis (Groin) Out, WR Chris Moore (Hip) Questionable, DE Derek Rivers (Bicep) Out, DB Tavierre Thomas (Quadriceps) Out, LB Blake Cashman (Head) Questionable, RB Darius Anderson (Knee) Out, DL Jonathan Greenard (Ankle) Questionable, TE Brevin Jordan (Ankle) Questionable, DL Michael Dwumfour (Undisclosed) Out, WR John Metchie III (Illness) Out, LB Christian Harris (Hamstring) Questionable, TE Teagan Quitoriano (Knee) Out, OL Austin Deculus (Knee) Questionable. 


Washington Commanders (3-4), (3-4) ATS, (1-2) AWAY, (1-2) ATS @ Indianapolis Colts (3-3-1), (3-4) ATS, (2-1) HOME, (2-1) ATS                    WASH+3

LW, INDY QB Matt Ryan went down with a separated shoulder and will be benched for the rest of the season. He’s done anyway. Ryan has 9INTs, he’s been sacked 20x and has 3lost fumbles. In the game @TENN he threw a PICK6 that helped TENN win 19-10.  The QB that is replacing Ryan is Sam Ehlinger. Ehlinger has not thrown a pass in an NFL game and has been in the league since 2021. Nick Foles will be his backup. INDY’s run game has been hot and cold and this week it was cold. INDY rushed for a combined 65yds and 0tds. INDY was down 13-0 at halftime and was basically playing catchup all game. TENN stopped INDY from getting any closer than 16-10 and added a fg to make it 19-10. The INDY DEF had no answer for TENN RB Derrick Henry who rushed 30x for 128yds. LW, I loved WASH @HOME +5 ½ vs GB. GB is a mess and as I mentioned LW, historically, WASH has always given GB trouble no matter how good or bad GB has been. The WASH DEF seemed to be chasing GB QB Aaron Rodgers all day. GB was actually up in this game 14-3 because of a PICK6 thrown by WASH QB Taylor Heinicke. After that he settled down and went to work. The WASH DEF held the GB running game to 38yds. The WASH run game combined for 166yds which took pressure off of Heinicke. He also distributed the ball to 7 different receivers which kept the GB DEF guessing. WASH scored 20 straight points to lead 23-14 late in the 4th qtr. GB added a td to make the score 23-21 but, couldn’t get any closer. L4 WASH vs INDY, INDY 4-0 SU & 3-0-1 ATS. INDY 30-32 ATS @HOME in OCT. INDY 33-31 ATS as a FAV in OCT. INDY 7-6-1 ATS after TENN. INDY 7-0 ATS as a FAV after scoring <14pts. INDY 19-11 ATS as a FAV 3<pts. INDY 9-1 ATS as a FAV vs opp off BB SU wins. INDY 10-1 ATS as a FAV 8<pts vs opp off BB SU wins. WASH 8-1 ATS off an SU loss vs AFC SOUTH off a loss. WASH 28-38 ATS AWAY in OCT. WASH 34-47 ATS as a DOG in OCT. WASH 12-4 ATS off SU DOG win. WASH is facing a QB that has never thrown a pass. WASH should throw different looks on DEF at Ehlinger to get him confused and make mistakes. The DEF needs to play an aggressive game like it did vs GB. Is WASH HC Ron Rivera smart enough to dial that up?On OFF, Heinicke needs to keep spreading the ball around. This will keep the INDY DEF guessing. Heinicke is playing for a job and his future because QB Carson Wentz should be done. INDY has not been impressive at all. Their only real win was vs KC and that was a team desperation win. Since that game, INDY has not looked impressive at all. WASH is on a 2game win streak and they should make it three. INDY #9 TOT DEF but, they haven’t played anyone tough and it’s easy to beat up a bad team. WASH #13 TOT DEF is legit because they have played PHILLY, DAL, GB & an all of a sudden surging CHI. WASH should win outright unless they get turnoveritous. Take WASH & the points here.


TE Logan Thomas (Calf) Questionable, QB Carson Wentz (Finger) Questionable, CB William Jackson III (Back) Questionable, G Willie Beavers (Undisclosed) Out, RB Jonathan Williams (Knee) Questionable, G Wes Schweitzer (Concussion) Out, C Chase Roullier (Knee) Out, DE Chase Young (Knee (ACL)) Out, OT Sam Cosmi (Thumb) Questionable, G Nolan Laufenberg (Undisclosed) Out, LB Milo Eifler (Hamstring) Out, WR Jahan Dotson (Hamstring) Questionable, DT Phidarian Mathis (Torn Meniscus) Out, TE Curtis Hodges (Thigh) Out, S Percy Butler (Quad) Questionable.


P Rigoberto Sanchez (Achilles) Out, LB Shaquille Leonard (Concussion/Nose) Out, RB Nyheim Hines (Concussion) Out, WR Keke Coutee (Concussion) Questionable, QB Matt Ryan (Shoulder) Out, S Armani Watts (Ankle) Out, CB Tony Brown (Head) Probable, LB Bobby Okereke (Hand) Questionable, WR Ashton Dulin (Foot) Out, RB Jonathan Taylor (Ankle) Out ,S Julian Blackmon (Ankle) Probable, OT Carter O'Donnell (Undisclosed) Out, RB Deon Jackson (Quad) Questionable, DE Kwity Paye (Ankle) Out, DT Eric Johnson (Gameday Inactive) Out, TE Andrew Ogletree (Knee (ACL)) Out, S Trevor Denbow (Foot) Out, C Wesley French (Gameday Inactive) Out.


SF 49ers (3-4), (3-4) ATS, (1-3) AWAY, (1-3) ATS @ LA Rams (3-3), (2-4) ATS, (2-2) HOME, (1-3) ATS                                                          LAR+2

LW, SF was @HOME vs KC. Everyone thought with the addition of RB Christian McCaffrey that SF would take care of business. Also, SF QB Jimmy Garoppolo was probably relieved, knowing that the game wouldn’t be all on his shoulders. Well why didn’t the line move from KC-3? I knew that KC was on a bounceback and McCaffrey would get limited touches as he was playing on a abbreviated playbook. SF jumped out to a 10-0 lead and it looked like there was going to be a rout. KC didn’t worry and they went to work. SF got a fg to make it 13-7 but KC answered back with a td to make it KC 14-13. To make long story short, KC took over in the 2nd half and won 44-23. SF had no answers for the KC OFF even though three starters on DEF came back from injury. SF played catchup for most of the game and KC let them move up and down the field except getting into the endzone. Before their bye, LAR was @HOME -10 ½ vs CAR. The CAR HC had just been fired and the CAR team was a mess. LAR barely covered the spread because RB Christian McCaffrey caught a pass and took it deep into LAR territory. CAR QB Jacob Eason who came in for PJ Walker, threw a pass that was deflected and intercepted by LAR and the threat was over. LAR cam very close to just beating CAR by seven points. LAR QB Matthew Stafford spread the ball around nicely to 8 different receivers and was barely touched by CAR all afternoon. But the running game for LAR was masked by a lot of end arounds and generated 111yds on 29 touches. L15 LAR(H) vs SF, LAR 4-11 SU & 6-9 ATS. L31 SF vs LAR, SF 22-8-1 SU & 19-12 ATS. L21 SF vs LAR, SF 14-7 ATS. L7 SF vs LAR, SF 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS. L11 SF vs LAR, DOG 7-4 ATS. LAR 5-9-1 ATS L15 as a HOME DOG. LAR 11-3-1 ATS since 2007 after their bye. LAR 33-39 ATS as a DOG in OCT. LAR 22-24 ATS vs NFC WEST in OCT. LAR 32-28 ATS @HOME in OCT. LAR 7-3 ATS w/rest off SU win. LAR 5-3 ATS w/rest off ATS win. LAR 6-3 ATS L9 w/div revenge. LAR 10-3 ATS w/rest vs <666 opp. LAR 2-19-1 ATS vs >400 opp off BB SU losses. SF 1-3 ATS as a ROAD FAV in 2022. SF 9-9 ATS L18 as a ROAD FAV. SF 7-8 ATS since 2007 before their bye. SF 26-42 ATS AWAY in OCT. SF 25-20 ATS vs NFC WEST in OCT. SF 44-32 ATS as a FAV in OCT. SF 12-12 ATS L24 AWAY after allowing 28>pts. SF 7-15 ATS after allowing 28>pts vs non-div opp. SF 1-11 ATS as a FAV off DD SU loss. SF 6-0 ATS after non-conf HG. The Rams are an average team at best and SF is on a serious bounceback. These two teams know each other very well and in wk 4 on MNF SF embarrassed LAR @SF, 24-9. LAR might be feeling a revenge factor here but they don’t match up well vs SF. Plus, their O-LINE has not gotten any better over their bye. SF is desperate for a win here to get back to .500 after the blowout loss. The LAR wins have not been impressive. ATL, @ARZ & CAR will not get you to the playoffs. Losses to BUFF, @SF & DAL will get you nothing but doubters. SF will unleash RB Christian McCaffrey and you will see him on full display. He will take a lot of pressure off of Jimmy G and SF will again win vs LAR. As for LAR, they don’t have a run game. LAR #31 RUSH OFF. That means that it is all on Stafford’s arm. Before their bye, LAR’s leading rusher vs CAR was RB Darrell Henderson who rushed 12x for 43yds. LAR did a lot of end arounds to try to get CAR off guard. They may try that here too but it will not work vs SF. Take SF here in a bounceback.


OT Trent Williams (Ankle) Out, TE Jordan Matthews (Leg/Knee) Out, CB Jason Verrett (Knee (ACL)) Questionable, DL Arik Armstead (Ankle) Out, TE Tyler Kroft (Knee) Out, DL Jordan Willis (Knee) Out, OT Mike McGlinchey (Calf) Questionable, DL Maurice Hurst (Bicep) Out, CB Charvarius Ward (Groin) Questionable, CB Emmanuel Moseley (Knee) Out, DL Nick Bosa (Groin) Out, LB Azeez Al-Shaair (Knee) Out, DT Javon Kinlaw (Knee) Out, OL Colton McKivitz (Knee) Out, QB Trey Lance (Ankle) Out, RB Elijah Mitchell (Knee (MCL)) Out, OL Aaron Banks (Knee) Probable, WR Danny Gray (Gameday Inactive) Out, DL Kalia Davis (Undisclosed) Out.


DL Aaron Donald (Foot) Probable, CB Troy Hill (Groin) Out, TE Tyler Higbee (Ankle) Probable, WR Cooper Kupp (Foot) Probable, OT Joe Noteboom (Achilles) Out, C Brian Allen (Knee) Out, ILB Travin Howard (Groin) Out, DB Grant Haley (Knee) Questionable, G Coleman Shelton (Ankle) Out, QB John Wolford (Neck) Out, G David Edwards (Concussion) Out, RB Cam Akers (Personal) Out, WR Van Jefferson (Knee) Out, DB Jordan Fuller (Hamstring) Out, OT Tremayne Anchrum Jr. (Leg) Out, DT Bobby Brown III (Suspended) Out, RB Kyren Williams (Ankle) Out, G Logan Bruss (Knee (ACL)) Out, DB Cobie Durant (Hamstring) Out, S Quentin Lake (Knee) Out, OLB Daniel Hardy (Ankle) Out, DB Shaun Jolly (Gameday Inactive) Out, WR Lance McCutcheon (Gameday Inactive) Out.


NY Giants (6-1), (6-1) ATS, (3-0) AWAY, (3-0) ATS @ Seattle Seahawks (4-3), (4-3) ATS, (2-1) HOME, (2-1) ATS                                            NYG+3

LW, SEA+6 ½ was @LAC. Well, LAC never saw it coming because SEA was doing it on all cylinders. SEA was up 17-0 in the 1st qtr and LAC tried to play catch up, to no avail. The LAC DEF couldn’t stop what the SEA OFF was throwing and SEA won 37-23. LAC had an INT & fumble that turned into 10 SEA pts and that helped with the rout. The DEF for SEA was stellar and held LAC to 7pts in the 2nd half. SEA RB Kenneth Walker couldn’t be stopped as he took a lot of pressure off of SEA QB Geno Smith. He rushed for 168 yds on 23 touches & 2 tds while Smith threw 20/27, 210 yds 2 tds. Geno did have 1INT & 1 lost fumble. Geno’s fumble did turn into 7 gift pts for LAC which made the score SEA 17-14. But that was as close as LAC would get. The SEA DEF really stepped up when needed. LW, NYG were @JAGS and they won the game by a hair. NYG were a DOG+3 and I liked them @JAGS because right now they are playing well and JAGS are not. A combination of the two helped make my choice. But, NYG almost blew the game with NYG RB Saquon Barkley going out of bounds a couple of times and not letting the clock wind down to almost nothing. This gave the JAGS one last drive with which to get a win. JAGS QB Trevor Lawrenece drove the JAGS deep into NYG territory and with about :05 seconds left threw a pass to WR Christian Kirk that was a hair shy of the endzone. The NYG defense men were able to gang tackle and stop him from getting any part of the ball across the goal line as time expired. NYG were able to escape with the victory, 23-17 after some mistakes by Barkley. However, RB Saquon Barkley & QB Daniel Jones both rushed for over 100 yds as JAGS had no answer for NYG ground game that combined for 236yds and 1td. L9 NYG vs SEA, SEA 6-3 SU & 5-4 ATS. NYG 7-7-1 ATS since 2007 before their bye. NYG 8-8-2 ATS in 2nd of BB RGs. NYG 6-7-2 ATS as a DOG in 2nd of BB RGs. NYG 4-6-2 ATS as a DOG 9<pts in 2nd of BB RGs. NYG 41-20-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. NYG 35-21 ATS as a DOG in OCT. NYG 5-8 ATS off BB SUATS wins. NYG 5-13 ATS L18 vs NFC WEST. NYG 4-6 ATS as a non-div DOG off SU DOG win. NYG 6-17 ATS vs opp off SU DOG win. NYG 3-14 ATS AWAY vs opp off BB SU wins. SEA 21-32 ATS @HOME in OCT. SEA 23-35 ATS as a FAV in OCT. SEA 0-10 ATS off BB SU wins (last by DD) vs opp ff SU win. SEA 6-11 ATS before ARZ. SEA 12-7 ATS after scoring 35>pts. SEA1-8 ATS after non-conf RG. SEA has been able to turn around their season which looked like a dud just a few weeks ago. SEA HC Pete Carroll has been able to make QB Geno Smith believe in himself, step up and show that he can be a winner. It doesn’t hurt that SEA has a running game. SEA #12 TOT OFF w/#10 RUSH OFF vs NYG #28 RUSH DEF. If SEA can get their RUN OFF going vs NYG, this will take a lot of pressure off of Geno and he can find open receivers. SEA WR DK Metcalf hurt his knee in this game but is considered day to day. Geno has been able to spread the ball around nicely to keep opposing DEFs guessing. NYG OFF has to play well and players have to know what’s at stake. NYG had 0turnovers @JAGS but, still need to execute better so not to give chances to the other team. This game will come down to the wire. I don’t see a blowout. SEA as a HOME DOG in 2022, 2-0 ATS. As a HOME FAV 0-1 ATS. SEA is a tough place to play but I give the edge to SEA. Last time these two teams met was in 2020 and NYG embarrassed SEA @SEA, 17-11. SEA was a HOME FAV -11 and NYG came out swinging. SEA should look at the tapes of that game. Lay the points here.  


S Tony Jefferson (Foot) Out, DL Leonard Williams (Knee) Probable, WR Sterling Shepard (Knee) Out, WR Kenny Golladay (Knee) Probable, C Nick Gates (Leg) Questionable, WR Collin Johnson (Achilles) Out, OT Matt Peart (Knee (ACL)) Out, G Shane Lemieux (Foot) Out, WR Kadarius Toney (Hamstring) Out, CB Rodarius Williams (Knee (ACL)) Out, OLB Elerson Smith (Leg) Out, CB Aaron Robinson (Knee) Out, OLB Azeez Ojulari (Calf) Out, S Jason Pinnock (Ankle) Out, WR Wan'Dale Robinson (Knee) Probable, DB Cor'Dale Flott (Calf) Out, ILB Darrian Beavers (Knee (ACL)) Out, OL Marcus McKethan (Knee (ACL)) Out, DL D.J. Davidson (Ankle) Out.


DT Al Woods (Knee) Out, LS Tyler Ott (Shoulder) Out, DE Shelby Harris (Hip) Probable, G Gabe Jackson (Hip) Out, CB Artie Burns (Groin) Out, SS Jamal Adams (Quad) Out, SS Teez Tabor (Gameday Inactive) Out, RB Rashaad Penny (Lower Leg) Out, SS Ryan Neal (Ankle) Probable, WR Penny Hart (Hamstring) Out, RB Travis Homer (Ribs) Out, DE Darryl Johnson (Ankle) Out, WR Cody Thompson (Shoulder) Out, DE L.J. Collier (Elbow) Questionable, LB Alton Robinson (Knee (PCL)) Out, WR Dee Eskridge (Illness) Probable, CB Tre Brown (Knee) Out, LB Jon Rhattigan (Knee) Out, LB Tyreke Smith (Hip) Out, FS Joey Blount (Calf) Probable.


Sunday October 30th, 2022 8:20pm

GB Packers (3-4), (2-5) ATS, (1-2) AWAY, (1-2) ATS @ Buffalo Bills (5-1), (4-1-1) ATS, (2-0) HOME, (2-0) ATS                                          GB+10 ½  

LW, GB was @WASH. GB was the FAV @-5 ½ . I liked WASH with the points and to possibly win outright because no matter how WASH is doing, they always seem to give GB a tough game. GB was actually up 14-3 in this game after WASH QB Taylor Heinicke threw a PICK6. But after that it was mostly WASH. GB was frustrated by a WASH DEF that made stops when they needed it most and WASH took the lead 23-14 late in the 4th qtr. GB came back with a td but WASH won 23-21. GB’s O-LINE wasn’t much help as GB RBs Aaron Jones & AJ Dillon rushed 12x for 38yds. Other players on GB didn’t do their jobs and helped the WASH cause. GB went 0-6 on 3rd down. BUFF is coming off a bye. Before their bye, BUFF was @KC. BUFF was the ROAD FAV @-3 and I liked them because of the revenge factor. Look up last season’s playoff game for reference here. This was a tight game and BUFF QB Josh Allen played his Superman self and let BUFF to a victory. He threw a td late in the game and then the BUFF DEF intercepted a pass from KC QB Pat Mahomes the ensuing possession for KC to end the game. The game was a seesaw battle but the BUFF DEF made stops when they needed to. The final score was BUFF 24-20. L4 BUFF vs GB, 2-2 SUATS but, HOME team is 4-0 SUATS. GB 7-11 ATS in 2nd of BB RGs. GB 22-20 ATS as a DOG in OCT. GB 35-27-1 ATS AWAY in OCT. GB 12-5 ATS on SNF off an SU loss. GB 15-12 ATS AWAY on SNF. GB 10-9 ATS as a DOG on SNF. GB 19-23-1 ATS vs AFC. GB 14-8 ATS as a DOG >2pts vs 666>opp. GB 11-3 ATS as a non-conf DOG 2>pts. GB 14-2-1 ATS vs opp w/rest off SU win. BUFF 6-2 ATS on SNF. BUFF 5-3 ATS as a FAV on SNF. BUFF 8-0 ATS on SNF vs opp off SU loss. BUFF 9-5-1 ATS since 2007 after their bye. BUFF 30-30-1 ATS @HOME in OCT. BUFF 27-36-2 ATS as a FAV in OCT. BUFF 4-7 ATS L11 before NYJ. GB is in serious bounceback mode but I don’t see it happening this week. BUFF is just too tough. GB has a terrible O-LINE and they have injuries to key receivers which means Rodgers is limited. He came out and said a lot of things about the perception of the team for this game but GB doesn’t have the weapons to battle a team like BUFF. GB #18 RUSH OFF vs BUFF #1 RUSH DEF. This means that Rodgers will have to do it alone and they don’t have the players to do it. The BUFF crowd will be noisy and will not let Rodgers get his plays off. BUFF #1 TOT OFF vs GB #8 TOT DEF w/#1 PASS DEF & #27 RUSH DEF. This is another big game for BUFF and their DEF will create some turnovers. Also, the running game for BUFF will get a lot of work because GB can’t stop it either. Lay the points here.   


WR Randall Cobb (Ankle) Questionable, WR Sammy Watkins (Hamstring) Out, LB Rashan Gary (Toe) Probable, RB Kylin Hill (Knee (ACL)) Questionable, LB Tipa Galeai (Hamstring) Out, OL Jake Hanson (Bicep) Questionable, LB Krys Barnes (Ankle) Out, OT Rasheed Walker (Gameday Inactive) Out, OL Sean Rhyan (Gameday Inactive) Out, WR Christian Watson (Hamstring) Out, DL Jonathan Ford (Gameday Inactive) Out, WR Samori Toure (Gameday Inactive) Out, OT Caleb Jones (Illness) Out.


S Micah Hyde (Neck) Out, CB Xavier Rhodes (Undisclosed) Out, DT Jordan Phillips (Hamstring) Probable, WR Jamison Crowder (Ankle) Out, WR Jake Kumerow (Ankle) Out, OT Justin Murray (Gameday Inactive) Out, DT Brandin Bryant (Gameday Inactive) Out, CB Tre'Davious White (ACL) Questionable, LB Andre Smith (Suspended) Out, G Ike Boettger (Achilles) Out, RB Zack Moss (Gameday Inactive) Out, WR Marquez Stevenson (Foot) Out, OT Spencer Brown (Foot) Questionable, OT Tommy Doyle (Knee (ACL)) Out, LB Baylon Spector (Gameday Inactive) Out.


Monday October 31st, 2022 8:15pm

Cincinnati Bengals (4-3), (5-2) ATS, (2-2) AWAY, (3-1) ATS @ Cleveland Browns (2-5), (4-3) ATS, (1-3) HOME, (2-2) ATS                     CLEV+3  

LW, CINNCY @HOME vs ATL+5 ½. I made the mistake of thinking that ATL would stay competitive in this one. CINNCY made mince meat against an ATL team that doesn’t pass much and relies heavily on the run. Plus, the ATL secondary has its shortcomings. Well CINNCY QB Joe Burrow is not afraid to pass and pass is what he did. He shredded the ATL secondary throwing 34/42 481yds, 3tds & 0turnovers. He was able to spread the ball around to 7 different receivers. The run game for CINNCY was modest at 21 rushes for 78 yds and 2tds. Twenty of those yds were by Burrow himself. The score was CINNCY 28-7 in the 2nd qtr and they never looked back, winning 35-17. LW, CLEVE was +6 ½ @BALT. I liked CLEV because no matter what, they always give BALT a tough time. But, CLEV QB Jacoby Brissett should be wearing the other team’s jersey. He seems to either fumble the ball away or throws an INT that hands the game over to the other team. Brissett fumbled during the game when the score was BALT 13-10. His fumble was eventually turned into a td by BALT to give them a 20-10 lead. Plus, he doesn’t know how to manage a game. He took a sack late in the game that put CLEV out of FG range and they missed a 60 yard fg instead of an easier, closer fg. Despite his play, CLEV lost 23-20 but, covered. L15 CLEV(H) vs CINNCY, CLEV 8-7 SU but 5-8-2 ATS. L21 CLEv vs CINNCY, CINNCY 11-6-4 ATS. L30 CLEV vs CINNCY, DOG 17-9-4 ATS. L30 CLEV vs CINNCY, CINNCY 15-11-4 ATS. L17 CLEV vs CINNCY, CINNCY 11-3-3 ATS. CLEV 5-10 ATS since 2007 wk before their bye. CLEV 11-19 ATS L30 as a HOME DOG. CLEV 1-3 ATS as a HOME DOG on MNF. CLEV 25-19-1 ATS @HOME in OCT. CLEV 29-38-1 ATS as a DOG in OCT. CLEV 13-12-1 ATS vs AFC NORTH in OCT. CLEV 2-10 ATS L12 after BALT. CLEV 1-9 ATS off SU DIV loss vs >500 opp. CLEV 3-13-2 ATS off SU DIV loss. CINNCY 10-4 ATS L14 as a ROAD FAV. CINNCY 27-40 ATS AWAY in OCT. CINNCY 23-30-1 ATS as a FAV in OCT. CINNCY 17-32-1 ATS vs AFC NORTH in OCT. CINNCY 0-1 ATS as a ROAD FAV on MNF. CINNCY 8-3 ATS as a conf ROAD FAV. CINNCY 13-2 ATS AWAY vs opp off BB SU losses. CINNCY 4-6-1 ATS L11 off BB SU wins. In four of five CLEV losses the losses have been by 1pt, 3pts, 2pts & 3pts. The other game was vs NE and they were blown out by 23pts. They were in all these games but Brissett has either a lost fumble or INT that decided the game against CLEV. But you can’t really put it ALL on him because the DEF for CLEV is pretty bad too. There are some guys on the CLEV DEF making some really nice money and haven’t been holding their weight. CLEV #24 RUSH DEF. BALT rushed for 160 yds and 2tds. Burrow is the kind of QB that takes what the DEF gives him. He watches film, he waits it out. He picks his spots. He doesn’t try to force anything. It’s obvious when the ball is thrown. He will eat this DEF up. CINNCY DEF is starting to really come together too. CINNCY #11 TOT DEF w/#9 PASS DEF. CLEV will go with run but that won’t be there either. Lay the points here as CINNCY rolls.      


LS Clark Harris (Biceps) Out, DT DJ Reader (Knee) Out, S Brandon Wilson (Knee (ACL)) Out, DT Josh Tupou (Calf) Questionable, TE Hayden Hurst (Groin) Probable, RB Elijah Holyfield (Knee) Out, OT Isaiah Prince (Elbow) Out, TE Drew Sample (Knee) Out, OT Jonah Williams (Knee) Probable, RB Trayveon Williams (Gameday Inactive) Out, WR Tee Higgins (Ankle) Probable, LB Joe Bachie (Knee) Out, LB Logan Wilson (Shoulder) Questionable, G Jackson Carman (Gameday Inactive) Out, OT D'Ante Smith (Gameday Inactive) Out, CB Cam Taylor-Britt (Gameday Inactive) Out, S Tycen Anderson (Hamstring) Out, C Ben Brown (Bicep) Out, DE Jeff Gunter (Undisclosed) Questionable.


OT Chris Hubbard (Gameday Inactive) Out, DE Jadeveon Clowney (Leg) Out, TE Jesse James (Biceps) Out, ILB Deion Jones (Shoulder) Questionable, OT Joe Haeg (Concussion) Out, WR Jakeem Grant Sr. (Achilles) Out, DE Stephen Weatherly (Knee) Out, QB Deshaun Watson (Suspension) Out, LB Anthony Walker Jr. (Quad) Out, LB Chris Odom (Knee (ACL)) Out, CB Denzel Ward (Concussion) Out, G Wyatt Teller (Calf) Questionable, DE Chase Winovich (Hamstring) Out, G Drew Forbes (Gameday Inactive) Out, QB Kellen Mond (Gameday Inactive) Out, C Nick Harris (Knee) Out, RB Demetric Felton Jr. (Gameday Inactive) Out, RB Jerome Ford (Ankle) Out, WR Isaiah Weston (Knee) Out, G Dawson Deaton (ACL) Out.