2023 NFL SEASON WEEK 1
2023 NFL SCHEDULE WEEK 1 (ATS)
All times Eastern Standard Time
ALL SPREADS ARE COURTESY OF CAESARS HOTEL IN LAS VEGAS @ THE TIME OF ANALYSIS
Thursday September 7th, 2023 8:20pm
Detroit Lions @ KC Chiefs DET+6 ½
DET can ill afford to get off to a slow start like they did in 2022. They were 1-6 SU & 3-4 ATS in their 1st seven games and they were playing catchup the whole season. This is a showcase game for them to see if HC Dan Campbell can sustain the momentum that DET had in the 2nd half of 2022 where they went 8-2 SU & 9-1 ATS the rest of the way. For KC, a few parts here and there have been tweaked and TE Travis Kelce is still the go to guy for QB Pat Mahomes when no one else can get open. For KC, DT Chris Jones is still holding out and that could lead to a problem up fronton DEF. DET 2-12 ATS as a DOG on TNF. DET 2-7 ATS on TNF vs non-div opp. DET 25-33 ATS AWAY in SEPT. DET 39-33 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. L4 DET vs KC, DET 2-2 SU & 3-1 ATS. HOME 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS. KC 8-5 ATS as a FAV on TNF. KC 11-9 ATS on TNF. KC 28-25 ATS @HOME in SEPT. KC 35-30 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. If you read my column on Sportskeeda.com last season, you would have read an article about how bad, KC is @HOME ATS. They win plenty SU but as a gambler you need to stay away when betting on KC, ATS. This is one of those games that falls into that category. Since 2000, SuperBowl Champs are 19-4 SU & 14-7-2 ATS, Week 1 of the following season. Look for DET to use all their weapons on OFF and the DEF should make some plays. I look for DET to play a solid game but KC is just better. However, DET will cover this game with a back door cover that will make the game look closer. If DET finds a way to upset KC, all the doubters will be out on KC. KC usually starts slow and everybody starts whispering. Take the points here.
THE PICK: DET+6 ½
Sunday September 10th, 2023 1:00pm
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons CAR+3 ½
Last season ATL had no one to throw the ball to. They were a run first, pass 3rd team, really. Hopefully there is more of a balance this season and they can get things going. Desmond Ridder is the starter for ATL with Taylor Heinicke backing him up. CAR drafted QB Bryce Young with the #1 overall pick and he has been installed as the starter. Let’s see what he can do vs an average ATL team. L16 CAR @ ATL, CAR 5-11 SU & 6-10 ATS. L24 CAR vs ATL, HOME 13-11 ATS. L22 CAR vs ATL, DOG 14-8 ATS. CAR 14-19 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in SEPT. CAR 25-22-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. CAR 21-21 ATS AWAY in SEPT. CAR 7-10-2 ATS L19 openers. CAR 3-11 ATS bef NO. ATL 7-9 ATS in 1st of BB HGs. ATL 29-25 ATS @HOME in SEPT. ATL 21-25 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. ATL 19-21 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in SEPT. Look for ATL ALL-PURPOSE Cordarrelle Patterson to see a lot of action here because he is healthy and raring to go. Both these teams will go run heavy so as not to put too much pressure on their young QBs. ATL should win by a TD as Young will make some mistakes that will lead to points for ATL. Welcome to the NFL Rook. Lay the points here.
THE PICK: ATL-3 ½
Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns CLEV+2 ½
In 2022, CINNCY got off to a slow start and ended up chasing KC & BUFF for the 1st spot in the AFC. If CINNCY wants to have HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE in the playoffs, they need to start strong and have other teams chasing them. I don’t know if CLEVE has improved since last season or just moved sideways. But they have had QB Deshaun Watson for a full training camp and that means that there shouldn’t be any confusion on OFF coming out of the gate. L16 CINNCY @CLEV, CINNCY 7-9 SU & 8-6-2 ATS. L32 CINNCY vs CLEV, DOG 18-10-4 ATS. L23 CINNCY vs CLEV, CINNCY 12-7-4 ATS. CINNCY 8-3 ATS L11 as a ROAD FAV. CINNCY 32-27 ATS AWAY in SEPT. CINNCY 16-27 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. CINNCY 17-24 ATS vs AFC NORTH in SEPT. CINNCY 11-4 ATS L15 as a conf ROAD FAV. CLEV 13-19-1 ATS L33 as a HOME DOG. CLEV 33-26 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. CLEV 19-17 ATS vs NFC NORTH in SEPT. CLEV 20-22 ATS @HOME in SEPT. Last season CINNCY QB Joe Burrow was just coming off an injury and trying to get up to speed. This season he is just doing what he needs to do to prepare so it’s a different scenario. CINNCY should come out strong in this game as CLEV usually comes out slow. They split the season series last season but CINNCY can ill afford to lose to teams within their own division. Lay the points here.
THE PICK: CINNCY-2 ½
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts INDY+4 ½
JAGS HC Doug Marrone had a nice 1st season where he turned around a team that had previously went 3-14. Can he continue to turn the culture around that has been associated with losing? We will see. INDY is a mess. They have had different QBs for the last number of seasons and now they are all in on QB Anthony Richardson who was taken with the #4 overall pick out of U. of Florida. They already have a RB by committee and that right there puts a lot of pressure on the QB. Not to mention that the INDY O-LINE gave up 60 sacks. Welcome to the NFL Rook! L16 JAGS @ INDY, JAGS 4-12 SU but 9-5-2 ATS. L27 INDY vs JAGS, FAV 13-11-2 ATS 1 PICK. L32 JAGS vs INDY, ROAD 15-15-2 ATS. L21 JAGS vs INDY, JAGS 11-8-2 ATS. JAGS 30-27 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. JAGS 22-16 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in SEPT. JAGS 22-24 ATS AWAY in SEPT. INDY 24-24 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. INDY 27-30 ATS @HOME in SEPT. INDY 19-26 ATS vs AFC SOUTH in SEPT. Jaguars should be pumped for this game to start out on a winning note so I would lay the points here and hopefully JAGS don’t get too confident. JAGS QB Trevor Lawrence should use his tools around him and the DEF should confuse Richardson into making some mistakes. Look for JAGS to play well while INDY looks lost. Lay the points here as JAGS should romp.
THE PICK: JAGS-4 ½
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Minnesota Vikings TB+6
Last season if you bet against MINN ATS you were a consistent winner. They had a great regular season record at 13-4 SU but, were horrible when points were involved, 8-8-1 ATS. Any time MINN was more than a 3 ½ pt FAV they were 1-3-1 ATS. MINN has to do better than their early exit in the playoffs in 2022. For TB, Tom Brady is officially retired and Baker Mayfield is the starting QB, trying to resurrect his career. TB is looking at a down year after the up and down year in 2022. There will be no miraculous comebacks for TB like the ones Brady orchestrated in 2022. L7 TB vs MINN, TB 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS, incl TB @ MINN, TB 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS. TB 32-29 ATS AWAY in SEPT. TB 31-32 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. TB 26-28-2 ATS AWAY vs non-div. MINN 36-26-2 ATS @HOME in SEPT. MINN 28-34-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. MINN needs to come out strong and show everyone that 2022 wasn’t a fluke. MINN RB Dalvin Cook is gone which takes puts more pressure on QB Kirk Cousins. But, TB is not that good and Cousins should have time to dissect the TB DEF. MINN wins by a td. Lay the points here.
THE PICK: MINN-6
Tennessee Titans @ New Orleans Saints TENN+3
Both of these teams were disappointments last season. Injuries and apathy hit both of these teams hard. To me, these teams are middle of the road. However, each one did add some firepower to try to get back on the winning side. NO added QB Derek Carr who is the starter. His problem is that he gets happy feet and needs everyone around him to be great. We’ll see how he plays this season because I have never been a big fan of his play. TENN won the DeAndre Hopkins sweepstakes after he was given persona non-grata status in ARZ. After interviewing with a few teams, Hopkins picked TENN. This guy catches everything and seems to get open all the time. He should help TENN & QB Ryan Tannehill tremendously. Lets’ see what they do week 1. L5 TENN vs NO, TENN 3-2 SU & 2-3 ATS. L5 TENN vs NO, ROAD 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS. TENN 31-27 ATS AWAY in SEPT. TENN 37-23 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. TENN 14-7 SU & 13-8 ATS vs NFC SOUTH. NO 27-26-1 ATS @HOME in SEPT. NO 25-33-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. NO 39-35-3 ATS as a HOME FAV vs non-div. NO 11-17-1 ATS L29 @HOME vs AFC. NO 9-11 ATS bef CAR. NO 6-14 ATS as a non-conf FAV 3>pts. NO 5-12 ATS as a HOME FAV vs AFC. NO 1-10 ATS as a non-conf HOME FAV 3>pts. I like TENN here because Lord knows that TENN RB Derrick Henry is rested and ready to play. He should be able to run because now TENN has a legitimate threat at WR that they didn’t have last season. As for NO, Carr will make mistakes because that’s what he does. This game will come down to the wire but I like TENN getting the points.
THE PICK: TENN+3
San Francisco 49ers @ Pittsburgh Steelers PITT+2 ½
SF had a nice run in 2022 with Mr. Irrelevant, QB Brock Purdy. Has he completely healed from his elbow injury? We will see. As for PITT, they turned their season around after starting 2-6 SU to finish 9-8 SU. HC Mike Tomlin should have gotten coach of the year. PITT has made some nice additions in the draft, plus some pickups to give more targets for QB Kenny Pickett. We’ll see if they have had time to mesh in training camp.
L4 SF vs PITT, PITT 2-2 SU & 3-1 ATS. SF 12-10 ATS L22 as a ROAD FAV. SF 16-9-1 ATS in 1st of BB RGs. SF 29-32 ATS AWAY in SEPT. SF 35-32 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. SF 5-9 ATS L14 bef LAR. PITT 10-5-1 ATS L16 as a HOME DOG. PITT 10-11 ATS in 1st of BB HGs. PITT 5-14 ATS before MNF. PITT 13-24-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. PITT 24-29 ATS @HOME in SEPT. PITT 9-8 ATS L17 before CLEV. PITT 12-5 ATS before div HOME gm. I don’t think SF is taking PITT seriously and PITT has been known to surprise teams on their HOME FIELD. Even though the spread is small, I like PITT here to win outright. SF will be surprised that PITT will find ways to add possessions and make a game of this. I like PITT @HOME.
THE PICK: PITT+2 ½
Arizona Cardinals @ Washington Commanders ARZ+7
ARZ has a big problem. They do not have a QB. Kyler Murray is out and the starting QB is Joshua Dobbs who was just acquired from CLEV. He did not play for CLEVE in 2022. He played for TENN, going 0-2. New ARZ HC Jonathan Gannon has his work cut out for him as this team is projected to go nowhere. WASH has installed QB Sam Howell as their starter after starting the final game of the 2022 season where he beat DAL 26-6. Taylor Heinicke has moved to ATL after taking WASH 5-3-1 SU in 2022. This better be a good season for WASH & HC Ron Rivera because after finishing 8-8-1 SU in 2022, there is expectations that WASH could at least make it into the playoffs. L9 ARZ vs WASH, ARZ 3-6 SU & 5-4 ATS. ARZ 42-35-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. ARZ 35-28 ATS AWAY in SEPT. ARZ 8-4 ATS L12 vs NFC EAST. WASH 21-37 ATS @HOME in SEPT. WASH 21-31 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. WASH 8-11 ATS as a HF 2>pts vs non-div. ARZ has a lot of work to do after last season’s house cleaning. WASH has the same nucleus with some added parts to get them further in the season. WASH is starting the season banged up but, they need to make a statement here. Lay the points.
THE PICK: WASH-7
Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens HOU+10
We all know HOU was terrible last season. I said it many times that HC Lovie Smith should not have been fired. That team was destined to fail, why shoot the messenger? Now HC Demeco Ryans has his shot. Five head coaches in four seasons is not a good look for an NFL team. Hopefully Ryans gets to fulfill his contract with HOU. QB CJ Stroud is the rookie starter and was picked 2nd overall. However, this teams needs to start showing some kind of improvement. The OFF needs to get going so that the DEF doesn’t spend so much time on the field. HOU was 9-8 ATS which means they played competitively but sometimes it just didn’t show up in the win column. Everyone on OFF needs to do their job and help the rookie QB. For BALT it’s about keeping QB Lamar Jackson healthy. Also, it’s about going deep in the playoffs. WR Odell Beckham joins the fun after not playing in 2022. Will he be ready or rusty? Will Jackson explode offensively now that he signed his mega deal? We’ll see. L10 HOU vs BALT, BALT 8-2 SU & 6-3-1 ATS. HOU 21-23 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. HOU 18-18 ATS AWAY in SEPT. HOU 5-2-1 ATS AWAY vs AFC NORTH. BALT 34-21 ATS @HOME in SEPT. BALT 38-32 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. BALT 7-13 ATS L20 vs AFC SOUTH. This is a big spread coming out of the gate. BALT is another team that doesn’t cover well ATS. At HOME, BALT seems to just win barely. HOU will come out fighting but if they get an upset, watch out. HOU has nothing to lose in this game because no one expects them to show up, much less win. Take the points here because week 1, you never know, BALT may be looking ahead at CINNCY. I don’t see a blowout here. I would be very surprised. Take the points here.
THE PICK: HOU+10
Sunday September 10th, 2023 4:25pm
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears GB+1
The Jordan Love era officially begins in GB. He doesn’t have QB Aaron Rodgers to contend with. This is Jordan’s team and he had a full training camp as the #1 QB to learn, practice and get fully acquainted with the OFF. If the O-LINE can hold for GB and Love has time, GB will be successful. Love showed promise in his limited time as QB last season behind Rodgers. CHI had a terrible season in 2022 losing 10 straight games. Hopefully, CHI QB Justin Fields was able to learn from his mistakes and become a better general on the field. But he is a run first, pass second kind of guy and that doesn’t last in the NFL. CHI brought in some more targets for him but we will see if he can get them the ball. L16, GB @ CHI, GB 12-4 SU & 12-4 ATS. L24 GB vs CHI, GB 19-5 ATS. L25 GB vs CHI, ROAD 14-11 ATS. GB 9-10-2 ATS in 1st of BB RGs. GB 27-27 ATS AWAY in SEPT. GB 29-17 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. GB 30-19-1 ATS vs NFC NORTH in SEPT. CHI 20-27-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. CHI 30-32-1 ATS @HOME in SEPT. CHI 21-29 ATS vs NFC NORTH in SEPT. Both of these teams are projected to go nowhere this season and I don’t have confidence in Fields getting it done. He makes mistakes at the worst possible times and digs a whole for his team that they can’t get out of. This game will come down to a fg and GB will win it at the end. It’s a toss up either way, but if GB has the last possession, they will play for the fg.
THE PICK: GB+1
Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos LV+3 1/2
DEN had a disastrous season in 2022. New HC Sean Payton was brought in to resurrect the ship and get DEN back on track. The DEF for DEN was respectable in 2022 but, the OFF was atrocious. I was never a fan of Sean Payton but, he will bring DEN back to respectability. LV went backwards in 2022 and if it wasn’t for an incredible win vs NE, LV would have ended at 5-12 after going 10-7 in 2021. HC Josh McDaniels is in way over his head here, again. LV QB Derek Carr is out and Jimmy Garoppolo is in. Doesn’t matter because players are disgruntled and RB Josh Jacobs, who lead the league in rushing did not get a better contract. L16 LV @DEN, LV 8-8 SU & 10-6 ATS. L32 LV vs DEN, ROAD 17-15 ATS. L24 LV vs DEN, LV 13-11 ATS. LV 10-13 ATS in 1st of BB RGs. LV 32-26 ATS AWAY in SEPT. LV 13-25 ATS vs AFC WEST in SEPT. LV 36-32 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. DEN 12-6-2 ATS in 1st of BB HGs. DEN 32-27-1 ATS @HOME in SEPT. DEN 20-16 ATS vs AFC WEST in SEPT. DEN 42-34-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. DEN 3-12-1 ATS as a div HOME FAV 6<pts. Both of these teams are looking for a BIG turnaround. Payton is a much better HC than McDaniels and knows how to get a team to win. I don’t see LV getting any better especially with a secondary that gave up a lot last season. Lay the points here.
THE PICK: DEN-3 1/2
Philadelphia Eagles @ New England Patriots NE+4
In SB 57, the PHILLY DEF didn’t show up. Not only that, PHILLY should have win the game but didn’t. They should be playing like gangbusters coming out of the gate. With a few tweaks here and there, it is basically the same team with the same goal. NE had some ups and downs in 2022. Mac Jones is the starting QB for NE but after that it is a mystery. NE is adding parts on OFF but how they mesh remains to be seen. PHILLY can beat you many ways on OFF. L4 PHILLY vs NE, NE 3-1 SU & 2-2 ATS incl PHILLY @ NE, PHILLY 1-1 SU & 2-0 ATS. ROAD 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS. PHILLY 10-13 ATS L23 as a ROAD FAV. PHILLY 23-35 ATS AWAY in SEPT. PHILLY 30-42 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. PHILLY 24-15 ATS L39 vs AFC. PHILLY 2-13 ATS as a non-div ROAD FAV. PHILLY 0-5 ATS as a non-div ROAD FAV in 2022. NE 4-5 ATS L9 as a HOME DOG. NE 8-12 ATS in 1st of BB HGs. NE 25-32-2 ATS @HOME in SEPT. NE 18-19 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. As PHILLY should focus on this season, one stat they will always be connected to. Since 2000, SuperBowl Losers are 9-15 SU & 5-19 ATS Week 1 of the following season. Mac Jones needs to up his game if NE is to be a consistent winner. At times he can lead and at times he folds up. PHILLY will be trying to get back to the SuperBowl which in itself is no small task. Even though the numbers are against the SB loser, week 1 of the following season, I like PHILLY here. Lay the points as PHILLY gets a nice road victory.
THE PICK: PHILLY-4
Miami Dolphins @ Los Angeles Chargers MIA+3
Last season MIA was very streaking and their QB Tua Tagovailoa went through some injuries and concussions that had this team not knowing where they were week to week. After the season Tua even had to evaluate if he wanted to keep playing. He’s all in now. LAC looks good on paper but injuries and bad decision making by their HC Brandon Staley led this team to an early exit in the playoffs last season. They made the playoffs but lost valiantly @BUFF. L12 MIA vs LAC, MIA 7-5 SU & 7-5 ATS. MIA 15-7 ATS & 1 NL in 1st of BB RGs. MIA 30-26 ATS AWAY in SEPT. MIA 30-29-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. MIA 9-4 ATS bef NE. MIA 9-0 ATS as a DOG 10<pts vs AFC WEST. MIA 1-6 ATS L7 before div ROAD gm. LAC 28-30-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. LAC 28-33 ATS @HOME in SEPT. LAC 38-42-2 ATS as a HOME FAV vs non-div. LAC 2-12-1 ATS vs opp w/rev. These two teams played in wk 14 in 2022 @LAC with LAC winning 23-17. There is a revenge factor on the minds of MIA here because that was a game that they should have won. What it comes down to here is better coaching. Mike McDaniel of MIA is a better HC than Brandon Staley of LAC and he makes better decisions. We all know about Staley and he will probably make a bad decision in this one as well. Both of these teams have talent and we’ll see who rises to the top in this game but, I like MIA with the points.
THE PICK: MIA+3
Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks LAR+5
LAR WR Cooper Kupp is out and when he’s out, QB Matthew Stafford gets nervous. When Stafford gets nervous, he makes mistakes. How the mighty have fallen. LAR went 5-12 in 2022 and they don’t look much better this season. Has the O-LINE for LAR been fixed? I guess we’ll see how many times Stafford is under duress. SEA had a surprise season under QB Geno Smith. No one expected Smith or SEA to play as well as they did. There is promise for this team if the secondary can get it together. L16 LAR @ SEA, LAR 4-12 SU & 6-10 ATS. L32 LAR vs SEA, LAR 13-19 SU & 16-16 ATS. L28 LAR vs SEA, HOME 18-10 ATS. LAR 20-33-2 ATS AWAY in SEPT. LAR 26-31-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. LAR 14-19 ATS vs NFC WEST in SEPT. SEA 36-25-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. SEA 33-24 ATS @HOME in SEPT. SEA 19-24-1 ATS vs NFC WEST in SEPT. SEA 4-7 ATS as a div HOME FAV <10pts. This is two teams going in opposite directions. SEA should win big as LAR still is rebuilding. SEA should win by at least 10pts unless, they turn the ball over and give LAR too many easy chances to score. Lay the points here.
THE PICK: SEA-5
Sunday September 10th, 2023 8:20pm
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants NYG+3 ½
These two teams will always hate each other. After another disappointing season for DAL, Dak Prescott is still the QB. Mike McCarthy has the almost impossible task of getting this team to the Superbowl with the constant interference of Owner/GM Jerry Jones. For NYG, things are looking up. HC Brian Daboll has turned things around and made QB Daniel Jones look respectable. Jones had a nice season in 2022, can he continue the trend? We will see. L12, NYG vs DAL, NYG is 1-11 SU & 3-9 ATS. DAL vs NYG, season openers, DAL 10-1 SU. L16 DAL @ NYG, DAL 10-6 SU & 9-7 ATS. L28 DAL vs NYG, ROAD 15-12-1 ATS. DAL 17-16-1 ATS on SNF. DAL 15-20 ATS AWAY on SNF. DAL 36-21-1ATS AWAY in SEPT. DAL 30-36-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. DAL 29-19 ATS vs NFC EAST in SEPT. DAL 21-10 ATS as a div FAV >2pts. DAL 12-9 ATS L21 as a ROAD FAV. NYG 8-14 ATS L22 as a HOME DOG. NYG 11-11 ATS @home on SNF. NYG 18-14 ATS as a DOG on SNF. NYG 21-40 ATS @HOME in SEPT. NYG 32-29-1 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. NYG 24-21-2 ATS vs NFC EAST in SEPT. NYG 2-9 SU & 1-10 ATS in L11 HOME OPENERS. Does NYG start to turn it around? Maybe. There are always little stories when these two teams play so, we’ll see who steps up and who doesn’t. This should be a good game because NYG wants to start out on the right foot. Daboll had a taste last season of what it is like to play DAL. It isn’t easy but he can turn it around. Should be a close game, take the points.
THE PICK: NYG+3 ½
Monday September 11th, 2023 8:15pm
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets NYJ+2 ½
So Aaron Rodgers is a JET. There is now high expectation on HC Robert Saleh for the NYJ to go deep into the playoffs now that the team has retooled and traded for the future HOF QB. The DEF for NYJ was solid in 2022 but the OFF was very inconsistent and at times lost. A lot of guys have been brought in and a lot of guys have been shipped out. We’ll see how they mesh on MNF. For BUFF there has to be a feeling that 2022 was wasted. They barely beat MIA @HOME in the playoffs and then were totally outplayed @HOME by CINNCY the following week. Redemption should be in the hearts of BUFF. LB Von Miller is out for at least the first four games. The BUFF DEF is much weaker without him. L16 BUFF @ NYJ, BUFF 8-8 SU & 9-7 ATS. L27 BUFF vs NYJ, BUFF 14-13 SU & 13-14 ATS. L27 BUFF vs NYJ, FAV 13-13 ATS 1 PICK. L12 BUFF vs NYJ, BUFF 8-4 SU & 6-6 ATS. BUFF 8-5 ATS as a ROAD FAV on MNF. BUFF 29-23 ATS AWAY in SEPT. BUFF 34-24-1 ATS as a FAV in SEPT. BUFF 26-21 ATS vs AFC EAST in SEPT. BUFF 16-17-1 ATS L34 as a ROAD FAV. NYJ 9-5 ATS as a HOME DOG on MNF. NYJ 25-23 ATS vs AFC EAST in SEPT. NYJ 29-40 ATS as a DOG in SEPT. NYJ 20-36 ATS @HOME in SEPT. NYJ 5-8-1 ATS L14 in HOME OPENERS. BUFF had trouble with a bad NYJ last season. How will they do against a new & improved version? Tough to say, but NYJ will hang tough and will come away with the win or the NY news media will be all over this team with doubts. On paper, this should be a good game. Take NYJ and the points.
THE PICK: NYJ+2 ½
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