2024 NFL SCHEDULE WEEK 10 (ATS)

All times Eastern Standard Time

ALL SPREADS ARE COURTESY OF CAESARS HOTEL IN LAS VEGAS @ THE TIME OF ANALYSIS

BYES: Cleveland Browns, Green Bay Packers, Las Vegas Raiders & Seattle Seahawks

Thursday November 7^th, 2024 8:15pm

Cincinnati Bengals (4-5) , (5-4) ATS, (3-1) AWAY, (4-0) ATS @ Baltimore Ravens (6-3), (6-3) ATS, (3-1) HOME, (3-1) ATS                               CINNCY+6

LW, CINNCY @HOME took care of LV 41-24. I had liked LV +7 ½ not to win but to keep it close. CINNCY QB Joe Burrow took over that idea. He threw for 5tds & RB Chase Brown rushed for 120yds on 27carries. The score was only CINNCY 17-10 at the half but CINNCY was just getting started. Even without CINNCY WR Tee Higgins, Burrow spread the ball around to 8different receivers and opened up a 38-17 lead in the 4^th qtr where LV had no answers. LV added a dummy td to make the final score seem closer but it was all CINNCY on OFF in this game. Plus, it didn’t help that CINNCY scored 17pts on LV miscues. LW, BALT was @HOME as a FAV-9 ½ vs DEN. I liked DEN to keep it close but BALT had other ideas. DEN has a very good DEF but they were slammed by BALT. BALT took a 10-0 lead and it was off to the races. BALT scored on almost all of their possessions and BALT RB Derrick Henry couldn’t be stopped, rushing for 106yds & 2tds on 23carries. BALT QB Lamar Jackson only threw 19 passes but he had 3tds and spread the ball around to 8different receivers. DEN tried playing catchup all game to no avail. The DEN DEF had no answers. DEN had no answers on DEF and BALT rolled to a 41-10 win. L17 CINNCY @ BALT, CINNCY 6-11 SU but 9-6-1 ATS. L31 CINNCY vs BALT, CINNCY 18-11-1 ATS 1NL. L27 CINNCY vs BALT, FAV 15-10-1 ATS 1NL. L28 BALT vs CINNCY, BALT 16-12 SU. CINNCY 12-12-1 ATS in 1^st of BB RGs. CINNCY 9-7 ATS on TNF. CINNCY 3-4 ATS AWAY on TNF. CINNCY 3-3 ATS as a DOG on TNF. CINNCY 5-0 ATS on TNF vs opp off SUATS win. CINNCY 36-22-1 ATS AWAY in NOV. CINNCY 28-33 ATS vs AFC NORTH in NOV. CINNCY 45-39-1 ATS as a DOG in NOV. CINNCY 9-0-2 ATS as a DOG off SU win 14>pts. CINNCY 1-7 ATS AWAY vs >.600 div opp. CINNCY 4-7 ATS w/revenge vs opp off DD SU win. CINNCY 4-6 ATS vs div opp off DD SU win. CINNCY 6-5 ATS AWAY vs opp off DD SU win. BALT 9-3 ATS as a FAV on TNF. BALT 6-2 ATS as a HOME FAV on TNF. BALT 10-10 ATS in 2^nd of BB HGs. BALT 37-30-4 ATS @HOME in NOV. BALT 45-33-4 ATS as a FAV in NOV. BALT 32-26-1 ATS vs AFC NORTH in NOV. BALT 7-4 ATS as a div FAV 6<pts. BALT 12-10 ATS before PITT. BALT 5-19 ATS as a div HOME FAV 4>pts. BALT 16-33-2 ATS @HOME off non-div gm. BALT 3-16 ATS off DD non-div win vs opp off DD SU win. BALT 3-10 ATS as a FAV >4pts off DD ATS win. Both teams are coming off blowout wins. In the AFC NORTH it is always a battle. These two teams met in wk 5 @CINNCY and CINNCY had that game at hand and didn’t capitalize on BALT mistakes late in the game and in OT. BALT ended up winning 41-38. BALT RB Derrick Henry was contained by CINNCY for most of the game and only got the bulk of his yardage that day in OT. This week, BALT picked up CB Tre’Davious Whit from the LAR to bolster up their secondary. BALT#1 TOT OFF w/#1 RUSH OFF vs CINNCY #19 TOT DEF w/#18 RUSH DEF. BALT & CINNCY play some tough games but CINNCY hasn’t beaten anyone that is a playoff contender. CINNCY has beaten @CAR, @NYG, @CLEV & vs LV. They have lost to NE, @KC, WASH, BALT & PHILLY. Do you see a pattern? They have beaten teams that will be high in next year’s draft and have lost to teams that will go deep into the playoffs, except NE. BALT is going deep into the playoffs. BALT has beaten @DAL, BUFF, @CINNCY, WASH, @TB & DEN. BALT has lost to @KC, LV & @CLEV. BALT has beaten playoff contenders and neither has beaten KC, as usual. If the spread was more than 7points, I would be more inclined to look at CINNCY more seriously. But since it is under 7pts, you have to think hard that BALT can beat CINNCY by a td. The trend on TNF this season has been the FAV who have won 7out of 9 games. Even though BALT QB Lamar Jackson is taking it easy this week in practice, he knows what needs to be done this week. Realistically, I have to like BALT to take care of business on TNF unless they start thinking too much and turning the ball over. It should be a simple game plan for BALT to run a lot and drop passes in between and put pressure on Burrow all night. Lay the points here as BALT wins and covers.      

THE PICK: BALT-6

Sunday November 10^th, 2024 9:30am

New York Giants (2-7), (2-7) ATS, (2-2) AWAY, (2-2) ATS @ Carolina Panthers (2-7), (2-7) ATS, (1-3) HOME, (1-3) ATS  (Munich, Germany)      CAR+4 ½

LW, I predicted that NO would be upset by CAR+7 @HOME. Check my analysis for week 9. I liked what I saw the previous week by CAR @DEN, even though they lost by 14pts. I said in my analysis that NO was overrated and that they were banged up all over. Well, CAR got the most out of RB Chubba Hubbard and the CAR DEF made some stops when they needed them. Although NO RB Alvin Kamara did run over the CAR DEF for 155yds on 29carries & 6catches for 60yds. CAR put together a nice drive late in the game to score a td with 2:18 left to win 23-22. LW, NYG @HOME vs WASH. If you just looked at the stat sheet, you would think NYG won. But because NYG let WASH get a 21-7 halftime lead, it was an uphill battle for NYG the rest of the way. NYG QB Daniel Jones did have a fumble in the 1^st half which WASH turned into a td. But in the 1^st half the NYG DEF couldn’t stop WASH. The NYG DEF had no answers for WASH. Both teams ran the ball successfully so both DEFs worked hard. However, the score was WASH 27-16 when NYG scored a dummy td to make the final score WASH 27-22. L10 NYG vs CAR, NYG 6-4 SU & 8-2 ATS. NYG 5-6-1 ATS L12 as a ROAD FAV. NYG 8-8-1 ATS since 2007 wk before their bye. NYG 25-30-2 ATS AWAY in NOV. NYG 31-38 ATS as a FAV in NOV. NYG 13-6-1 ATS after WASH. NYG 1-6 ATS as a FAV before bye week. NYG 8-20 ATS vs opp off SU DOG win. NYG 14-12 ATS L26 vs <.400opp. NYG 9-5 ATS vs <.500 opp off SUATS win. CAR 15-18-1 ATS L34 as a HOME DOG. CAR 8-8-1 ATS since 2007 wk before their bye. CAR 10-13 ATS in 2^nd of BB HGs. CAR 6-12-1 ATS after NO. CAR 38-29 ATS @HOME in NOV. CAR 31-35-1 ATS as a DOG in NOV. CAR 9-3 ATS off SU HOME DOG win. CAR 13-9 ATS off SU DOG win. CAR 17-8 ATS off SU DOG win vs non-div opp. CAR 17-4 ATS as a DOG vs .333<opp. CAR 14-3 ATS as a non-div DOG vs .333<opp. CAR 1-8 ATS L9 vs NFC EAST. CAR 3-18 ATS L21 vs <.400 conf opp. NYG has been a disappointment so far. But for this game, NYG has become desperate for a win. CAR had a nice game last week but don’t expect them to repeat it this week. Believe it or not NYG is better on paper than NO and will prove it this week. CAR was on a mission for payback for the thrashing NO gave CAR in week 1, 47-10. Well NYG are desperate for a win and the CAR DEF will go a little backwards this week. CAR #32 TOT DEF w/#32 RUSH DEF & #25 PASS DEF. NYG have a decent run game which at least tries to take some pressure off of QB Daniel Jones. Jones is a turnover machine and if he feels he has to win the game by himself, he turns the ball over a lot. He seems to turn the ball over even when he doesn’t need to do things by himself. NYG Rookie RB Tyrone Tracy has been a nice surprise and has given NYG a decent run game. Along with RB Devin Singletary who has been injured but is back, the two of them can make a difference on the ground. NYG #19 RUSH OFF. Last week was some payback for CAR vs NO. CAR will take a step back this week as NYG is desperate and hungry for a BIG win. NYG should run the ball all day until the CAR DEF just falls down. CAR will have some turnovers in this game because the NYG DEF knows that they can’t let CAR have a field day with them after giving up a lot vs WASH. Lay the points here as NYG have a good day.   

THE PICK: NYG-4 ½

Sunday November 10^th, 2024 1:00pm

New England Patriots (2-7), (3-5-1) ATS, (1-4) AWAY, (2-3) ATS @ Chicago Bears (4-4), (5-3) ATS, (4-0) HOME, (4-0) ATS                            NE+6 ½

LW, I liked NE +3 ½ @TENN. They showed a lot of grit on the last drive by NE QB Drake Maye. NE had an 11play drive for 50yds and a td with :00 left on the clock. But in OT, NE couldn’t stop TENN RB Tony Pollard and TENN kicked a fg. But on the ensuing possession, Maye threw an INT to end the game, TENN 20-17. Maye had 2INTs & 1fumble and TENN scored a td off those turnovers. LW, CHI was a ROAD FAV-1 ½ @ARZ. I had a strong feeling there would be a hangover from their loss @WASH and I was right. CHI got steamrolled @ARZ and it was never even close. CHI lost 29-9 and only managed 3fgs, all in the 2^nd qtr, while CHI QB Caleb Williams was sacked 6x. The ARZ DEF slammed CHI shut in the 2^nd half as CHI scored 0pts and couldn’t get near the endzone. Meanwhile CHI gave up an astounding 213yds & 3tds on 34carries on the ground to ARZ. L5 NE vs CHI, NE 4-1 SU & 3-1-1 ATS. NE 11-14 ATS in 2^nd of BB RGs. NE 39-31-1 ATS AWAY in NOV. NE 31-19 ATS as a DOG in NOV. NE 15-5 SU & 13-6-1 ATS vs NFC NORTH. NE 10-3 ATS since 2007 off an SU OT loss. CHI 9-11-2 ATS in 1^st of BB HGs. CHI 4-7-1 ATS in 1^st of BB HGs vs non-div. CHI 28-21-1 ATS as a FAV in NOV. CHI 32-29-1 ATS @HOME in NOV. CHI 10-6 ATS before GB. CHI 1-7 ATS L8 off SU FAV loss. Both of these teams are trying to find the right combination for winning. CHI has a bad O-LINE which still has not been addressed and QB Caleb Williams has been sacked 29x. For NE, they are trying to see if QB Drake Maye has the stamina for the NFL. He is also behind a bad O-LINE and he has been sacked 13x but, in only 5games. Both teams have an OFF that seems to get stalled a lot. CHI #28 TOT & NE #32 TOT OFF. But there is hope for both teams as they will have high draft spots in 2025. This game has no impact on the NFL except for the fans of both teams. These two teams could play spoilers down the stretch but that’s about it. CHI is in a very tough division where MINN, GB & DET are all vying for playoff position. CHI has their six division games coming up and will probably lose them all. NE has played three games vs the AFC EAST and are 1-2 with three more coming up. Two games are vs BUFF & the other is @MIA. Those look like losses as both MIA & BUFF will also be playing for playoff position. In a game where both teams are terrible you want to look at the terrible team getting the points. Usually these games are tight because both teams are incompetent. Do the oddsmakers really feel that CHI is almost a td better than NE? That is a lot of pts to give for a team that has many holes. I like NE to keep it close and I don’t see a blowout by either team. What I see is CHI winning this game by a fg and NE getting close. I could see a CHI 16-13 victory here. Take NE & the pts here.  

THE PICK: NE+6 ½    

Buffalo Bills (7-2), (6-3) ATS, (3-2) AWAY, (3-2) ATS @ Indianapolis Colts (4-5), (5-3-1) ATS, (3-1) HOME, (3-0-1) ATS

LW on SNF, INDY was down 14-10 and driving. But instead of taking an easy pass for a 1^st down and continuing the drive INDY QB Joe Flacco tried to thread a needle for an incompletion. Forced with a 4^th down and the same situation he did it again. Instead of hitting a wide open receiver for a 1^st down, he threw a pass that had 0% of being completed. MINN got the ball, drove down the field and scored a td to make the game 21-10 and essentially, game over. INDY added a fg to make the final score 21-13 but it was over when Flacco made his stupid throws. I liked INDY+5 in this game and at that particular moment I thought INDY would get the td and MINN would get a drive and win but not cover. But Flacco cost INDY any chance at winning this game. Plus, the INDY DEF could not stop MINN WR Justin Jefferson who lit up the INDY secondary for 137yds on 7catches. In essence, INDY is a bad team. LW, BUFF-5 ½ @HOME was playing a feisty MIA team that was looking for some kind of revenge. Division games are usually tighter than non-divisional games and I should never have had this game as my BEST BET. The game was tied 27-27 when BUFF kicked a 61yd fg to win the game at the end 30-27. BUFF QB Josh Allen did have 1INT that MIA was able to turn into a td and MIA was leading 10-6 at the half. But MIA fumbled in the 2^nd half and BUFF turned that into a td and a 12-10 lead. This game went back and forth until BUFF ended it with the fg to win. L7 BUFF vs INDY, BUFF 3-4 SU & 4-3 ATS. BUFF 17-20-1 ATS L38 as a ROAD FAV. BUFF 32-25 ATS as a FAV in NOV. BUFF 26-36-3 ATS AWAY in NOV. BUFF 7-12-2 ATS after MIA. BUFF 7-28-1 ATS after beating MIA SU. INDY 10-11-1 ATS L22 as a HOME DOG. INDY 31-41-2 ATS @HOME in NOV. INDY 37-28 ATS as a DOG in NOV. INDY 3-8-1 ATS off non-conf ROAD gm. INDY 29-14-1 ATS as a DOG >1pt off SU loss. INDY 8-1 ATS as a DOG >3pts after scoring <14pts. INDY 7-1 ATS L8 vs AFC EAST. INDY has a terrible DEF but looked decent vs MINN because QB Sam Darnold is not very good. INDY should have rolled over MINN but they had their own suspect play calling and execution. INDY #29 TOT DEF w/#31 RUSH DEF & #26 PASS DEF. If BUFF QB Josh Allen doesn’t carve this team up for a BIG win then BUFF is not for real. BUFF should be pumped for this game. What BUFF needs to do is stop INDY RB Jonathan Taylor and put a little pressure on Flacco(if he starts) which will produce turnovers, then capitalize on extra scoring opportunities. This game has blowout written all over it unless BUFF takes INDY for granted and gets cute and makes mistakes of their own. INDY is not very good and they hide their deficiencies. The only win that INDY has had that was impressive was vs PITT. They have beaten CHI, @TENN & MIA. MIA had no QB, CHI had no O-LINE and TENN is a mess. QB Josh Allen looks like he is making smarter decisions this season as his td to INT ratio is way down. He has 17tds and only 2INTs. He does have 5fumbles which he needs to get under control. BUFF is almost on a bounceback here and should roll all over INDY who probably can’t figure out why they lost @MINN. If QB Anthony Richardson starts this game, he is even worse than Flacco because his accuracy is below terrible. He is a runner and BUFF is decent vs the run. BUFF #15 RUSH DEF. Look for this game to be over at halftime but, we’ll see. Right now, lay the points as BUFF SHOULD roll.

THE PICK: BUFF-4 ½

Denver Broncos (5-4), (5-4) ATS, (3-2) AWAY, (3-2) ATS @ Kansas City Chiefs (8-0), (4-3-1) ATS, (4-0) HOME, (2-2) ATS                            DEN+8

LW, DEN+9 ½ was @BALT. I liked DEN to keep it close, not win. Unfortunately the game was never close and BALT was out to an early lead and DEN never got going. The final score was BALT 41-10. The DEN DEF could not stop the BALT OFF that had a 38-10 lead going into the 4^th qtr. BALT stopped DEN 4x on 4^th down in this game. It was just a dominance by BALT that DEN couldn’t stop. LW on MNF, I liked KC-8 ½ @HOME vs TB. TB didn’t have their 2top receivers but it didn’t matter and TB came out swinging. This game went to OT tied 24-24. KC won the toss & QB Pat Mahomes led KC on a winning td drive to win 30-24. KC RB Kareem Hunt rushed for 106yds &1td on 27carries. KC TE Travis Kelce had 14receptions for 100yds & WR DeAndre Hopkins had 8receptions for 86yds & 2tds. This was a game that went back and forth all evening but KC got the win to stay undefeated. L17 DEN @KC, DEN 7-10 SU but 10-7 ATS. L30 DEN vs KC, DEN 16-14 ATS. L31 DEN vs KC, ROAD 17-14 ATS. L34 DEN vs KC, DOG 21-13 ATS. L17 DEN vs KC, DEN 1-16 SU but 7-10 ATS. DEN 16-12 ATS in 2^nd of BB RGs. DEN 35-38 ATS AWAY in NOV. DEN 28-24 ATS as a DOG in NOV. DEN 29-26 ATS vs AFC WEST in NOV. DEN 18-17-1 ATS L36 div ROAD gms. DEN 6-8-1 ATS as a div DOG >1pt off DD SU loss. DEN 10-8-1 ATS AWAY after allowing 28>pts. DEN 8-4-1 ATS AWAY after allowing 28>pts vs conf opp. KC 6-11 ATS after MNF. KC 9-13 ATS in 2^nd of BB HGs. KC 6-11 ATS as a FAV in 2^nd of BB HGs. KC 3-6 ATS as a FAV <9pts in 2^nd of BB HGs. KC 36-52 ATS as a FAV in NOV. KC 22-31 ATS vs AFC WEST in NOV. KC 30-39 ATS @HOME in NOV. KC 11-6-1 ATS vs .500> div opp. DEN is coming off a big blowout loss. KC is coming off a long OT win on MNF. DEN is in serious bounceback mode. If DEN had lost by a little to BALT I would say that they might not change much going forward but, when you get blownout, a team usually looks at every aspect to look for improvement. DEN is tough and KC has QB Pat Mahomes. KC has been winning but has been winning ugly. DEN #6 TOT DEF vs KC #10 TOT OFF. This could be a trap game for KC as they may be looking ahead to BUFF next week. Division games are always a little tougher than non-div games as they play each other regularly. DEN HC Sean Payton is no slouch and gets the most from his players. DEN probably looked over a lot of different things as well as KC tendencies. KC wins games but, as a FAV- 6>pts this season, KC 0-3-1 ATS. DEN will probably be very up for this game because they have a chance to knock KC from the undefeated. If KC wins here, it will not be by much. I like DEN to keep it close with the points.

THE PICK: DEN+8

Atlanta Falcons (6-3), (5-4) ATS, (3-0) AWAY, (3-0) ATS @ New Orleans Saints (2-7), (3-6) ATS, (1-3) HOME, (1-3) ATS                               NO+3 ½  

LW, NO @CAR, I predicted the upset of CAR over NO. You can check my analysis. It cost NO HC Dennis Allen his job. CAR played a good game and they deserved the win but they couldn’t stop RB Alvin Kamara who was on fire. He rushed for 155yds on 29carries while catching 6receptions for 60yds. He was a one-man wrecking crew. Unfortunately for NO, the rest of the team was not on fire. This game went back and forth and unfortunately for NO, they couldn’t get it done at the end of the game and lost 23-22. NO has lost 7games in a row. LW, ATL was @HOME vs DAL. I liked ATL as the FAV-2 ½ and they did not disappoint. ATL never lost the lead and DAL was playing catchup. ATL built a 27-13 lead in the 4^th qtr and DAL scored a dummy td with 1:28 to make the final score ATL 27-21. ATL QB Kirk Cousins threw for 3tds but lost a fumble which fortunately for ATL, DAL didn’t convert into points. L17 ATL @NO, ATL 6-11 SU & 8-9 ATS. L27 ATL vs NO, HOME 14-13 ATS. L23 NO vs ATL, DOG 14-9 ATS. ATL 11-14 ATS L25 as a ROAD FAV. ATL 15-10 ATS in 1^st of BB RGs. ATL 36-28-1 ATS AWAY in NOV. ATL 31-23-1 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in NOV. ATL 36-35 ATS as a FAV in NOV. ATL 9-9 ATS as a ROAD FAV 2>pts. ATL 5-15-1 ATS as a FAV vs .333<opp. ATL 1-11-1 ATS as a conf FAV <9pts vs .333<opp. ATL 6-17-1 ATS vs .333<opp. NO 8-10-1 ATS L19 as a HOME DOG. NO 8-12-2 ATS in 1^st of BB HGs. NO 32-32-1 ATS @HOME in NOV. NO 33-20 ATS vs NFC SOUTH in NOV. NO 31-28 ATS as a DOG in NOV. NO 15-2 ATS as a div DOG 3>pts. NO 13-7 ATS after CAR. NO 15-12-1 ATS after an SU loss AWAY & playing @HOME. NO is already into their fire sale. They traded CB Marshon Lattimore to WASH. This weakens their secondary even further. NO #27 PASS DEF. How do they stop a Kirk Cousins who has seemed to have found a nice groove with the ATL OFF? Plus with RBs Bijan Robinson & Tyler Allgeier, it takes a lot of pressure off of Cousins. Either one of the RBs is capable of taking over a game for ATL. ATL has an easy schedule and they have been taking advantage of it all season. But the losses @HOME to KC, PITT & SEA should not be overlooked because 2of them are playoff teams. ATL is leading the NFC SOUTH but going deep into the playoffs may be another story. But it may be a season to build on and tweak. As for NO, they have a lot of work to do. There are some good players on this team but the team doesn’t play well as a whole. Darren Rizzi takes over as interim HC for NO. He was the special teams coach. These two teams met in wk 4 @ATL with ATL winning 26-24. ATL needed a last second fg to pull out the win. I really don’t think there will be a bump win this week for NO. This time ATL will not need a fg to win. They will just pound NO and put pressure on NO QB Derek Carr. Lay the points here as ATL gets the sweep.

THE PICK: ATL-3 ½           

San Francisco 49ers (4-4), (4-4) ATS, (1-2) AWAY, (1-2) ATS @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5), (5-4) ATS, (2-3) HOME, (2-3) ATS                   TB+6

LW, TB+8 ½ was @KC on MNF. Even though TB was without their 2top receivers, TB QB Baker Mayfield put on a show and almost a win @KC. TB kept fighting and took KC into OT where unfortunately, TB never touched the ball and KC won 30-24. TB had no turnovers and Mayfield was able to spread the ball around to 8different receivers against a tough KC DEF. TB was even able to sack KC QB Pat Mahomes 4x and created a KC fumble by TE Travis Kelce. However, TB has lost 4 out of their last 5games. SF is coming off a bye but before that they beat DAL @HOME 30-24. DAL was actually winning this game at halftime, 10-6 but SF exploded for 3tds in the 3^rd qtr to blow the game wide open to a SF 27-10 lead. SF ran the ball for 223 yds with RB Isaac Guerendo leading the way with 85yds & 1td on 14carries. SF QB Brock Purdy had 0turnovers and actually rushed for 56yds & 1td on 8carries. DAL tried a comeback in the 4^th qtr but SF hung on for 30-24 win. L11 SF vs TB, SF 7-4 SU & 7-4 ATS. SF 19-15 ATS L34 as a ROAD FAV. SF 5-11-1 ATS since 2007 wk after their bye. SF 9-10 ATS before SEA. SF 33-26-1 ATS AWAY in NOV. SF 38-40 ATS as a FAV in NOV. SF 9-9 ATS L18 vs NFC SOUTH. SF 10-17 ATS w/rest. SF 4-9 ATS w/rest vs conf opp. SF 5-16 ATS vs non-div conf opp w/revenge. SF 5-11 ATS as a FAV vs .<500 opp w/revenge. SF 14-23 ATS as a FAV vs <.500opp. TB 6-10 ATS since 2007 wk before their bye. TB 10-15-1 ATS L26 as a HOME DOG. TB 50-32-2 ATS as a DOG in NOV. TB 35-28-2 ATS @HOME in NOV. TB 4-5 ATS since 2007 off SU OT loss. SF is a very banged up squad and you don’t know who is 100% and who is not. Half the team is questionable every week and RB Christian McCaffrey has just starting practicing this week after not playing the whole 2024 season. TB is desperate for a win. They have lost 2OT games that they had chances to win in regulation. They too have had multiple injuries to stars on the team but Mayfield has kept TB in games until the very end. TB’s only blowout loss this season was wk @HOME vs DEN where TB lost 26-7. All the other of TB losses were by 6pts, 10pts, 5pts & 6pts. Those games could have easily gone the other way with a play or two going TB’s way. TB makes plays when you least expect them. Just when you think they should win, they lose and vice versa. Mayfield has the reputation of a fighter and he knows that a win is near. SF has struggled against competition that they should be beating. SF has not beaten any team that is good. Wins vs NYJ, NE, @SEA & DAL will not get you deep into the playoffs. SF QB Brock Purdy has been up and down and this could be a game where he is down. These two teams met in wk 11 in 2023 @SF with SF winning 27-14 so there may be a little revenge on the minds of TB. I have a feeling TB will get the win here because of the desperation factor and as a HOME DOG, TB is very good.  

THE PICK: TB+6

Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2), (6-2) ATS, (3-1) AWAY, (3-1) ATS @ Washington Commanders (7-2), (7-2) ATS, (4-0) HOME, (4-0) ATS                    PITT+3

LW, WASH beat NYG, so what. NYG stink but even though WASH could have folded, they didn’t. WASH rookie QB Jayden Daniels continues to impress with his composure and the WASH DEF is getting better every week. They forced a fumble of NYG QB Daniel Jones & turned it into a td. WASH was up 21-7 and coasted to a 27-22 win. Before their bye, PITT beat NYG on MNF. This game was actually 9-9 at the half with both teams kicking 3fgs. But in the 2^nd half, PITT had a punt return for a td and another td and PITT was up 23-9 and the game was essentially over. But PITT and NYG traded fgs and the score was PITT 26-18 but PITT fumbled, NYG QB Daniel Jones fumbled & then on the next NYG possession Jones threw an INT that essentially ended the game. PITT gave NYG chances to catchup but, because it’s Jones at the helm, PITT knew what to expect. PITT held on for the win but, it was close. L5 PITT vs WASH, PITT 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS. PITT 9-8 ATS since 2007 wk after their bye. PITT 15-8 ATS before BALT. PITT 36-36 ATS AWAY in NOV. PITT 27-18 ATS as a DOG in NOV. PITT 11-13 ATS L24 AWAY in NOV. PITT 25-9 ATS as a DOG vs >.500opp. PITT 12-8 ATS before div HOME gm. PITT WASH 13-4 ATS vs non-div opp off BB SU wins. WASH 10-17-1 ATS after NYG. WASH 7-12 ATS before PHILLY. WASH 11-4 ATS before TNF. WASH 18-33 ATS as a FAV in NOV. WASH 30-36 ATS @HOME in NOV. WASH 10-6 ATS as a non-conf FAV. WASH 10-13 ATS as a HOME FAV 2>pts vs non-div. WASH acquired CB Marshon Lattimore form NO. He bolsters a secondary that is already very good and shuts down opposing receivers. WASH #5 PASS DEF. WASH has only 3INTS as a team & Lattimore didn’t have any this season with NO. But, he brings veteran leadership and is still in his prime. PITT acquired WR Mike Williams form NYJ. He has been a forgotten man on NYJ even more that WR Davante Adams was acquired from LV. Williams became the very odd man out after the trade and saw even less action. He became expendable to the NYJ. This is another test game for both teams. Can WASH beat good teams? Is PITT QB Russell Wilson for real or is it just a fluke and is he really done? Wilson has definitely given the passing game a boost for PITT over QB Justin Fields. But does PITT continue to win and does the passing game for PITT get better? WASH needs to contain PITT LB TJ Watt. Watt can wreck havoc at any moment and Daniels needs to be aware of where he is at all times. WASH HC Dan Quinn is a good coach and I like that WASH has turned things around. WASH needs to show that they can beat good teams, not just bad ones. WASH has beaten NYG, @CINNCY, @ARZ, CLEV, CAR, CHI & @NYG. WASH has lost to @TB, & @BALT. These are two playoff teams. WASH needs to win this game. They can if they don’t make mistakes. I like WASH here laying the points. It is anther statement game for WASH to show everyone that they have arrived. It should be a good game but I feel that WASH should win by a td. WASH cannot coast vs PITT like they did vs NYG. PITT is much better team than NYG, Wilson is a lot better QB than Daniel Jones & HC Mike Tomlin is a much better coach than NYG HC Brian Daboll. WASH needs to be on full throttle. WASH must also take advantage of every opportunity to score, no mishaps, no missed opportunities. WASH is not good vs the run so they have to be careful that PITT doesn’t run over them.     

THE PICK: WASH-3

Minnesota Vikings (6-2), (6-2) ATS, (2-1) AWAY, (2-1) ATS @ Jacksonville Jaguars (2-7), (5-3-1) ATS, (2-2) HOME, (3-1) ATS                      JAGS+4

LW on SNF, MINN got very lucky. MINN was up 14-10 in the 4^th qtr and INDY was driving. But instead of INDY QB Joe Flacco dropping an easy pass for a 1^st down, he tried to thread the needle, incomplete. Then on 4^th down, same scenario and Flacco did it again. Instead of INDY possibly being up 17-14 and MINN needing a td or fg to tie it, MINN just took the ball and then scored a td to make it MINN 21-10, game over. INDY added a dummy fg in an attempt to make a comeback but, to no avail. MINN won 21-13. It wasn’t that exciting of a game because MINN QB Sam Darnold gave INDY every chance to win with his 2INTS & 1fumble. There were a lot of miscues by both teams but INDY had their chances and MINN just got lucky. LW, JAGS spotted @PHILLY a 22-0 lead before they decided to wake up. JAGS made a game of it but never took the lead and lost 28-23. JAGS couldn’t stop RB Saquon Barkley or QB Jalen Hurts on the ground who accounted for 226yds & 2tds on 40carries. It didn’t help that JAGS QB Trevor Lawrence had 2INTS and the run game for JAGS went out the window. This team is certainly not in any playoff contention but can play spoiler down the stretch. L5 MINN vs JAGS, MINN 5-0 SU & 3-2 ATS. MINN 24-9-1 ATS L34 as a ROAD FAV. MINN 8-13-1 ATS in 1^st of BB RGs. MINN 35-31 ATS AWAY in NOV. MINN 36-40 ATS as a FAV in NOV. MINN 9-11 SU &13-7 ATS L20 AWAY vs non-div outdoors. MINN 6-1-1 ATS L8 non-conf ROAD gms. JAGS 22-25 ATS L47 as a HOME DOG. JAGS 28-26 ATS @HOME in NOV. JAGS 41-32-1 ATS as a DOG in NOV. JAGS 6-18 ATS as a non-conf DOG >3pts. JAGS 4-18 ATS as a non-conf DOG off SU loss. 1-6 ATS L7 @HOME VS NFC NORTH. JAGS are desperate for some kind of win. They keep things competitive as their ATS record shows. They either play hard to the end and lose or somehow make that incredible comeback that comes up just a little bit short. MINN has had only three convincing wins this season and they were early in the season. MINN beat SF @HOME in wk 2, in wk 3 @HOME vs HOU & @GB in wk 4. Those were good wins. Since then, MINN has beaten NYJ, lost to DET, lost @LAR and got lucky vs INDY. JAGS are certainly not going anywhere but cannot be taken lightly. JAGS have a lot of good players and are just a few plays here and there from getting wins. If they made some stops in certain games, their record would certainly be different. JAGS are decent vs the run and that puts pressure on the opposing QB. JAGS #16 RUSH DEF. That means that Darnold will have to be on his game. MINN is very good ve the run. MINN #2 RUSH DEF. JAGS HC Doug Pederson needs to have a game plan with some trick plays and passes that are successful and then throw in some rushes. I don’t see JAGS going down without a fight and 5of their games have been decided by less than a td. This game could actually go either way and JAGS are desperate and could get lucky as it could be a trap game for MINN. Due to the fact that it was just announced that JAGS QB Trevor Lawrence is unlikely to play this game due to an injured shoulder, I am going with MINN in this game.

THE PICK: MINN-4

Sunday November 10^th, 2024 4:00pm

Tennessee Titans (2-6), (1-7) ATS, (1-3) AWAY, (1-3) ATS @ Los Angeles Chargers (5-3), (5-2-1) ATS, (2-1) HOME, (2-0-1) ATS                    TENN+7 ½  

LW, TENN @HOME needed OT to beat a NE team that is completely in a rebuild. TENN was up 17-10 but let NE QB Drake Maye lead a very late drive down the field and pass for a td with :00 left on the clock. The game went into OT and TENN kicked a fg but NE threw for an INT and the game was over for TENN, 20-17. TENN RB Tony Pollard was the star for TENN rushing for 128yds on 28carries. He helped set up the fg  for TENN in OT. LW, I should have figured that CLEV QB Jameis Winston was only good for one game. LAC dominated their game @CLEV with 6sacks & 3INTs of QB Jameis Winston. LAC also held the CLEV running game to 79yds. LAC was up 20-3 at the half and you could turn your sets off. LAC coasted to a 27-10 win. CLEV got their lone dummy td with :44 left in the game but it was total domination by LAC. LAC QB Justin Herbert had a good day even though he was sacked 6x but LAC didn’t turn the ball over which was the big difference in this game. The run game for LAC contributed 96yds which helped take pressure off of Herbert. L12 TENN vs LAC, TENN 3-9 SU & 3-8-1 ATS. TENN 38-36 ATS AWAY in NOV. TENN 33-33 ATS as a DOG in NOV. TENN 12-7 ATS off SU win/ATS loss vs non-div opp. TENN 4-7 ATS since 2007 off an SU OT win. TENN 13-3 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins. TENN 11-2 ATS as a DOG vs opp off BB SUATS wins. LAC 8-14 ATS in 1^st of BB HGs. LAC 28-37 ATS as a FAV in NOV. LAC 28-40 ATS @HOME in NOV. LAC 30-10-1 ATS vs AFC SOUTH. LAC 14-5-1 ATS @HOME vs AFC SOUTH. TENN RB Tony Pollard will not run wild like he did last week @HOME vs NE. LAC #8 RUSH DEF. He will be stopped and whoever is the QB for TENN will have to do it on their own. LAC RB Gus Edwards comes back off IR which will help the run game even further. Edwards & JK Dobbins have their own 1-2 punch. LAC is finally coming around under HC Jim Harbaugh. They are quietly winning games that during last year they would have definitely lost. In the win for TENN, they lost C Lloyd Cushenberry & S Quandre Diggs to big injuries. TENN has a lot of injuries to guys that were supposed to help this team get better. But they have a QB problem and Will Levis is slated to come back and start this week. He has been very inconsistent. TENN is a just a very bad team but has some players that can make a difference. TENN RB Tony Pollard is showing everyone that he can run and be productive on a bad team. Why DAL let this guy get away is anyone’s guess? But, you have a depleted team vs a team on the rise. With DE Joey Bosa in full swing back on the line it will be tough for TENN to get anything going. LAC has not had a laugher of a game this season and this should be that kind of a game. The game LAC had @HOME a few weeks ago vs NO was tight until the 3^rd qtr and then LAC ran away with it. LAC should dominate this game from the get go and not let up. Lay the points here as TENN barely beat a bad NE team and LAC should romp @HOME.

THE PICK: LAC-7 ½

Philadelphia Eagles (6-2), (4-4) ATS, (3-1) AWAY, (3-1) ATS @ Dallas Cowboys (3-5), (3-5) ATS, (0-3) HOME, (0-3) ATS                               DAL+7

LW, PHILLY @HOME was up 22-0 vs JAGS and decided to get cute. Before you blinked again, the score was PHILLY 22-16 and JAGS had the ball. PHILLY HC Nick Sirianni is a terrible HC and should not be running this team or any other team. PHILLY all of a sudden played not to lose and was lucky to hold off JAGS for a 28-22 win. Don’t get me started on all the 2pt conversions that PHILLY tried instead of just kicking extra pts. That was the reason PHILLY didn’t cover this game. PHILLY was a HOME FAV-7 ½ and only won by 5. PHILLY RB Saquon Barkley was on fire again with 159yds rushing & 1td on 27 carries and a backward flip over a JAGS defender that was unbelievable. LW, DAL was @ATL. As usual, DAL dug themselves a 27-13 hole and decide to play catchup. Only this time, DAL QB Dak Prescott injured his hamstring and will probably be out the rest of the season because his tear tore the muscle right off the bone. In comes Cooper Rush and he will be the starter going forward. He didn’t do to badly in the game vs ATL but it was a too little, too late and DAL lost 27-21. L17 PHILLY @DAL, PHILLY 7-10 SU & 7-10 ATS. L34 PHILLY vs DAL, DOG 15-19 ATS. L24 PHILLY vs DAL, ROAD 10-14 ATS. L16 PHILLY vs DAL, PHILLY 6-10 SU & 6-10 ATS. PHILLY 9-10 ATS before WASH. PHILLY 18-24 ATS L42 as a ROAD FAV. PHILLY 33-26 ATS vs NFC EAST in NOV. PHILLY 44-36-2 ATS as a FAV in NOV. PHILLY 35-32 ATS AWAY in NOV. DAL 12-9-1 ATS L22 as a HOME DOG. DAL 12-10 ATS in 1^st of BB HGs. DAL 46-34 ATS @HOME in NOV. DAL 22-30 ATS as a DOG in NOV. DAL 31-24 ATS vs NFC EAST in NOV. DAL 9-25-1 ATS @HOME aft SU conf loss. DAL 9-7 ATS as a DOG 7>pts. DAL QB Cooper Rush is different form Prescott. In the time that he has played for DAL he has done well. In 2022, when he started in place of an injured Prescott, Rush was 4-1. His lone loss was ironically, @PHILLY. So there may be a little revenge on the mind of Rush, you never know. Anyway, I really don’t see PHILLY losing this game unless they take DAL for granted and are looking ahead to WASH. But I do think with Rush at @QB it gives the team a different look and there may be some motivation for DAL to knock off a potential playoff team. DAL cannot afford to be blown out in this game because owner Jerry Jones would likely make some moves right after the game. But DAL will make moves in the off-season. But, against a divisional rival, DAL should look better than they have vs other teams this season, say the DET massacre, 47-9. I think PHILLY will win but DAL keeps it close. 

THE PICK: PHILLY+7

New York Jets (3-6), (3-6) ATS, (1-4) AWAY, (1-4) ATS @ Arizona Cardinals (5-4), (5-4) ATS, (3-2) HOME, (3-2) ATS                                     ARZ+1 ½  

LW, ARZ was +1 ½ @HOME vs CHI. I liked ARZ because I knew CHI would have that hangover from their loss the previous week @WASH & the Hail Mary. Don’t you love when you are right? Anyway, ARZ beat CHI on both sides of the ball and probably could have scored more points in the 29-9 win over CHI. The ARZ DEF sacked CHI QB Caleb Williams 6x and ARZ rushed for 213yds & 3tds on 34 carries. Also, towards the end of the 1^st haf with ARZ & the ball at their own 30yd line, instead of just running out the clock, they went unorthodox and ran some plays and scored a td with :04 left to make the score ARZ 21-9. It was pretty much over there as CHI would not score a point the rest of the way and ARZ added a safety and a fg for the blowout win. ARZ QB Kyler Murray had only 1turnover that did not lead to any CHI pts. LW on TNF, NYJ finally got their win for interim HC Jeff Ulbrich. NYJ were down 10-7 going into the 4^th qtr when NYJ QB Aaron Rodgers put together 2nice drives that resulted in tds and led HOU 21-10. HOU would counter with a fg and the final was 21-13. NYJ DEF sacked HOU QB CJ Stroud 8x and forced him to fumble 1x. Both teams made mistakes and missed opportunities but NYJ were happy to get the win in front of the HOME crowd. L5 NYJ vs ARZ, NYJ 3-2 SU & 2-3 ATS. NYJ 3-12-2 ATS L17 as a ROAD FAV. NYJ 28-29 ATS AWAY in NOV. NYJ 23-30 ATS as a FAV in NOV. NYJ 1-6 ATS L7 off SU win vs opp off SUATS win. ARZ 20-19-1 ATS L40 as a HOME DOG. ARZ 7-13-1 ATS in 2^nd of BB HGs. ARZ 30-34 ATS @HOME in NOV. ARZ 45-50 ATS as a DOG in NOV. ARZ 20-9 ATS as a non-div HOME DOG. ARZ 23-12 ATS as a DOG vs <.500opp. ARZ 18-4 ATS @HOME vs non-div off SUATS win. ARZ 22-11 ATS @HOME vs opp off SUATS win. ARZ is on a 3game winning streak after getting blown out @GB. They are playing better football and making better choices. ARZ RB James Conner is having a good season but when he is on, he takes a lot of pressure off of QB Kyler Murray and allows Murray to do his thing. NYJ are fakers and Aaron Rodgers thinks he is the greatest thing since sliced bread. He says a lot of things in his press conferences but quite frankly he is old and not getting the job done & either are the rest of the NYJ. The acquisition of WR Davante Adams just camouflages what is really wrong with NYJ. They have no running game and the team is overrated. Plus, the NYJ DEF really can’t stop anyone good. In this game, you have ARZ that needs to stay ahead of the rest of the NFC WEST for a possible playoff berth and a playoff HOME gm. For NYJ, its getting back to .500 and trying to make a run for the playoffs. NYJ have dug themselves a big hole and need to ut a string of wins together but ARZ is no pushover. Turnovers will weigh heavy in this game as both teams will capitalize on what’s at stake with a win. ARZ is very good before their bye, ARZ 12-5 ATS since 2007 before their bye. They know, they have a medium to tough schedule going forward and a break comes just at the right time. I think the HOME crowd will be pumped for this game and NYJ will make some mistakes where ARZ will capitalize. I like this game to come down to the wire with ARZ coming out on top. ARZ has a better kicker than NYJ and that weighs heavily in tight games. ARZ should go run heavy in this game because NYJ are not very good at defending the run. NYJ #21 RUSH DEF vs ARZ #7 RUSH OFF. NYJ goes backwards while ARZ gets the needed win.     

THE PICK: ARZ+1 ½

Sunday November 10^th, 2024 8:20pm

Detroit Lions (7-1), (7-1) ATS, (4-0) AWAY, (4-0) ATS @ Houston Texans (6-3), (3-5-1) ATS, (4-0) HOME, (1-3) ATS                                          HOU+3

DET HC Dan Campbell doesn’t take any game or any team for granted. There is no let down with DET. LW, DET could have easily taken a step backwards in their game @GB. But instead of doing that in the bad weather, they took it up a notch. GB QB Jordan Love had a groin injury but played through the pain. At certain points, you could see that it affected his passes but DET did what they had to do to send a statement to the rest of the NFC NORTH. DET was up 17-3 at the half and GB was in catchup mode. Disregard GB stats as DET played a little loose DEF in the 2^nd half but still limited GB to only 1td which was a garbage time td at the end of the game in a 24-14 DET win. DET could have easily run up the score in the 2^nd half but DET plays GB again on Thanksgiving. On TNF, HOU looked like they couldn’t do anything right. All of a sudden, HOU QB CJ Stroud doesn’t look good. He was sacked 8x & had a lost fumble in a 21-13 loss @NYJ. HOU WRs Stefon Diggs and Nico Collins were out and Stroud could only get the ball to 3receivers all night. Were NYJ that good or is HOU really that bad? HOU RB Joe Mixon kept HOU in this game with 106yds rushing & 1td on 24 carries but Stroud was horrible with 11/30 for 190yds. The DEF for HOU was also bad as they gave up 3tds to NYJ QB Aaron Rodgers and gave up 100yds rushing in the loss. HOU was leading 7-0 at the half but couldn’t do anything in the 2^nd half while NYJ scored 3tds in the 2^nd half. HOU also had 2missed fgs which changed the course of the game. L5 DET vs HOU, DET 1-4 SU & 2-2-1 ATS. DET 14-6 ATS L20 as a ROAD FAV. DET 12-15-1 ATS 1NL in 2^nd of BB RGs. DET 24-38 ATS AWAY in NOV. DET 27-26 ATS as a FAV in NOV. DET 9-6-1 ATS after GB. DET 4-13 ATS as a ROAD FAV off div gm. DET 5-6 ATS as a FAV off DD SU win vs .500>opp. DET 5-10 ATS as a FAV off DD SU win vs >.400opp. HOU 16-20 ATS L36 as a HOME DOG. HOU 18-21 ATS @HOME in NOV. HOU 27-24-3 ATS as a DOG in NOV. HOU 7-9 ATS w/rest. HOU 6-12 ATS L18 vs .750>opp. HOU 8-16-1 ATS as a non-conf DOG 13<pts. HOU is not the same team that they were in 2023. No one expected the rise of HOU last year but they had a very easy schedule in 2023 after going 3-13-1 SU in 2022. They were 10-7 SU in 2023 as they made it to the playoffs for the 1^st time since 2019. But this season, the HOU record is deceiving. HOU has beaten @INDY, vs CHI, vs JAGS, vs BUFF, @NE & vs INDY. They have lost @MINN(a drubbing), @GB & @NYJ. They are also 3-5-1 ATS which shows they can’t beat anyone convincingly. The only reason they beat BUFF was because of suspect play calling by BUFF towards the end of the game which caused HOU to get very lucky and pull out a win. DET is killing teams with no mercy. Their only loss was @HOME to a determined TB team that was on revenge from a loss in the playoffs last season. DET has not missed a beat. Not only is DET winning but covering every game as well which means that their wins are convincing not lucky. DET HC Dan Campbell is making no doubt that his team is not to be reckoned with. Campbell knows he needs to take it easy on division rivals but outside the NFC NORTH he has no mercy. DET #7 TOT OFF w/#6 RUSH OFF & #15 PASS OFF. HOU has a good DEF but again, who have they beaten? The stats on their DEF are misleading HOU #2 TOT DEF w/#12 RUSH DEF & #3 PASS DEF. Who is stopping DET RBs Montgomery & Gibbs? They combined for 138yds & 1td on 28carries in the rain @GB. HOU WR Nico Collins makes his return to the lineup after being out a few weeks with a hamstring injury. He will be a little rusty. No mercy by DET. Lay the points here as DET rolls. 

THE PICK: DET-3

Monday November 11^th, 2024 8:15pm

Miami Dolphins (2-6), (2-5-1) ATS, (1-3) AWAY, (2-2) ATS @ Los Angeles Rams (4-4), (4-4) ATS, (3-1) HOME, (3-1) ATS                            MIA+1

LW, MIA played toe-to-toe @BUFF until the very end. I did like BUFF-6 because I felt that BUFF @HOME would look to steamroll MIA. MIA looked a lot better than they have this season and gave BUFF all they could handle. MIA rushed for 149yds & 1td on 31carries while QB Tua Tagovailoa threw for 2tds and had 0turnovers. But in the end, BUFF needed a 61yd fg to win the game 30-27. LW @SEA, LAR WR Puka Nacua was ejected from the game for throwing a punch. But from the replay it showed that he was just responding to being hit. But with him gone, I thought there would be trouble for LAR. LAR was down 13-3 at the half but all of a sudden found themselves up 20-13. The DEF for LAR clamped down on SEA but they were facing SEA QB Geno Smith who has trouble in the redzone. He threw an INT that was returned 103yds for an LAR td. LAR gave up a late td but in OT were able to score a td after a SEA punt and win the game 26-20. L5 MIA vs LAR, MIA 5-0 SU & 3-2 ATS. MIA 4-10 ATS L14 on MNF. MIA 5-11 ATS as a ROAD DOG on MNF. MIA 10-15 ATS in 2^nd of BB RGS. MIA 42-33 ATS AWAY in NOV. MIA 38-31-2 ATS as a DOG in NOV. MIA 13-15 ATS off div ROAD gm. MIA 9-11 ATS after BUFF. MIA 11-6 ATS as a DOG 7<pts vs opp off BB SUATS wins. LAR 10-5 ATS after SEA. LAR 1-2 ATS since 2007 after an SU OT win. LAR 6-11 ATS L17 on MNF. LAR 7-6 ATS L13 on MNF. LAR 24-42-1 ATS @HOME in NOV. LAR 24-34 ATS as a FAV in NOV. LAR 1-6 ATS L7 vs AFC EAST. MIA is coming off a loss, they are in bounceback mode. LAR needed OT to win @SEA after coming back after trailing and then letting SEA tie the game up very late in the contest. LAR still needed to win in OT even after Geno Smith threw 3tds. I trust that the OFF for LAR will get going but their DEF has a lot to be desired. LAR #23 TOT DEF. MIA #7 TOT DEF. There’s a BIG difference here. MIA can still turn around their season with a string of wins. You don’t know what LAR brings week to week. LAR has won 3in a row. They are a very streaky team. MIA has a lot of stars on OFF and they need to get going. You saw signs of that @BUFF. MIA has lost 3ina row and is getting desperate for a win. Usually desperate teams find a way to win. The MIA DEF will be motivated and LAR will turn the ball over. I like MIA here in a good game.  

THE PICK: MIA+1