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2024 NFL SEASON CONF. CHAMPIONSHIPS

2024 NFL SCHEDULE CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIPS

All times Eastern Standard Time

ALL SPREADS ARE COURTESY OF CAESARS HOTEL IN LAS VEGAS @ THE TIME OF ANALYSIS

Sunday January 26th, 2025 3:00pm

(6) Washington Commanders @ (2) Philadelphia Eagles               WASH+6

LW, WASH did the impossible. They went to DET and upset the #1 seed, 45-31. The DET DEF which looked great in week 18 @HOME vs MINN looked very bad against an upstart WASH team. The WASH OFF was 3/4 on 4th down which extended drives and stretched the DET DEF to the point that it couldn’t stop them. Every time the DET DEF needed a stop, they couldn’t do it.    

In PHILLY last week, RB Saquon Barkley led the way with 205yds rushing & 2tds on 26carries. But for the rest of the PHILLY OFF, there wasn’t much to show. In fact, even with LAR 2turnovers, LAR only lost by 6pts, 28-22. At the end, LAR had a chance to win it but 2 bad plays on 3rd & 4th downs sealed the win for PHILLY. In the process, it seems that PHILLY QB Jalen Hurts hurt his knee but has been silent about it. We’ll see how he looks come Sunday.

Both of these teams know each other from having played 2x in 2024. The 1st game was in week 11 on TNF @PHILLY where WASH was actually leading 10-3 in the 3rd qtr before PHILLY scored 23straight points on 3tds & 1fg to make the score PHILLY 26-10. WASH added a dummy td with :28 left to make the final score PHILLY 26-18. In that game, PHILLY RB Saquon Barkley rushed for 146yd & 2tds on 26carries and PHILLY combined for 228yds on the ground with 3tds on 40 carries. It almost seemed like PHILLY toyed with WASH. In their 2nd meeting in week 16, PHILLY QB Jalen Hurts was knocked out of the game with a concussion and PHILLY had a 27-14 lead in the 3rd qtr but couldn’t hold it. WASH actually took the lead 28-27 with 2td drives by QB Jayden Daniels. PHILLY then took the lead 33-28 with 2fgs but WASH QB Danials lead a late drive that culminated with a WASH td with :06  to win the game for WASH, 36-33. It was a great win for WASH.

QB Jayden Daniels has been a pleasant surprise for WASH fans who have had nothing to cheer for the last 20+ years. No one expected that the WASH team would be this god so soon. They have a lot f promise and just some tweaking to do for this team to be a contender in the NFC for a long time. For PHILLY, they were expected to at least make the playoffs after the collapse that happened to them in 2023. PHILLY has a lot of talent and sometimes it doesn’t show up. But with addition of RB Saquon Barkley, opposing DEFs have to defend against the pass & the run when playing PHILLY. Plus, the DEF for PHILLY has stepped up to win games with creating turnovers and giving the OFF more opportunities to score.

This will be a very good game. I don’t see a blowout by either team unless one team has a lot of turnovers. I like the spirit that WASH & QB Jayden Daniels bring to the game. I think that PHILLY finds a way to win the game but within the margin of the spread. Only if WASH starts committing a lot of turnovers and a lot of miscues, then it could be easy for PHILLY. But I don’t see that happening. I see PHILLY winning by a fg. I like WASH and the points. Enjoy the game!  

THE PICK: WASH+6

Sunday January 26th, 2025 6:30pm

(2) Buffalo Bills @ (1) Kansas City Chiefs                                        BUFF+2

LW, I knew KC would take care of HOU. KC showed HOU a different game plan that used TE Travis Kelce more than any other receiver. The DEF made stops when they needed them and KC was in control of this game for a 23-14 win.  

LW, BUFF was the recipient of BALT turning the ball over 3x and also dropping crucial catches. With all this, BUFF @HOME just barely got by BALT, 27-25. BUFF turned two of those turnovers into 10pts. But there were dropped passes by BALT that stopped drives and stopped points.  

I like KC in this game for a few reasons. KC will certainly have a spotter and play better vs the run then when they did when these two teams met in wk 11. In this game, BUFF QB Josh Allen rushed for a td on a crucial 4th & 2 from the KC 26yd line. It was the turning point of the game and the clincher for BUFF, in a 30-21 BUFF win. In that game, Mahomes spread the ball around to 11different receivers. The BUFF secondary does have the susceptibility to the pass as showcased last week vs BALT and in the game vs KC. BUFF #20 PASS DEF.  But, they also can create turnovers.

KC is working on getting a 3peat for SuperBowls. BUFF has not been able to get over the hump when it comes to KC. BUFF has shown that they can beat KC during the season but, when it comes to the playoffs, BUFF with QB Josh Allen is 0-3. The OFF for KC will be more explosive in this game then it was against HOU. BUFF will see different looks and more players will touch the ball for KC than did vs HOU. BUFF will make a few mistakes in this game and KC will capitalize. I like KC taking control of this game and winning by a td.  

THE PICK: KC-2