2024 NFL SEASON SUPERBOWL
2024 NFL SCHEDULE SUPERBOWL
All times Eastern Standard Time
ALL SPREADS ARE COURTESY OF CAESARS HOTEL IN LAS VEGAS @ THE TIME OF ANALYSIS
SUNDAY FEBRUARY 9th, 2025 6:30pm @ the Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana
Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs PHILLY+1 ½
In the NFC Championship game, PHILLY @HOME crushed WASH, 55-23. WASH had 4turnovers which PHILLY turned into 28pts. It’s hard to win when you turn the ball over so many times and the other team turns them into points. On top of that, WASH had no answer for PHILLY RB Saquon Barkley who rushed for 118yds & 3tds on 15carries. PHILLY made the plays that they needed to and the WASH DEF couldn’t stop them. It was a nice run for WASH, beating the #1seed but when you turn the ball over so many times in the playoffs you are certainly looking at a loss. You may be able to steal a win against a team during the regular season with so many turnovers but in the playoffs, you are playing better teams that know how to capitalize on mistakes.
In the AFC Championship game, I knew it would be a war between KC & BUFF. I also said that KC would spread the OFF out after basically keeping it tight the week before @HOME vs HOU. Both KC & BUFF used their running games to wear down the opposing DEFs. BUFF rushed for 147yds & 2tds on 32carries while KC rushed for 135yds & 3tds on 35carries. KC QB Pat Mahomes had one mistake which was a fumble which BUFF turned into 7pts. Mahomes spread the ball around to 8different receivers. KC led 21-16 at the half but this game was far from over. BUFF took a 22-21 lead in the 3rd qtr and I knew this game would go down to the wire. In the 4th qtr KC put together a nice drive that resulted in a td with the 2pt conversion to give them the lead 29-22. But BUFF tied the game with a td drive. But KC came right back with a fg and everyone held their breath. It was up to the KC DEF to make a stop. KC did and the score was KC 32-29. But the game was not over as BUFF still had all their timeouts and there was 1:54 left on the clock. KC took a gamble on 3rd down and Mahomes threw a pass to RB Samaje Perine for a 1st down. BUFF having no timeouts, the game was over, KC 32-29.
This game will come down to which team makes stops and creates turnovers. PHILLY is a very good team. They have shown that a team can win even if it is a run 1st, throw 2nd kind of team. PHILLY #7 TOT OFF w/#2 RUSH OFF & #31 PASS OFF. KC is no slouch but hasn’t been as explosive as in years past. KC #19 TOT OFF w/#23 RUSH OFF & #15 PASS OFF. But, they have Pat Mahomes @QB and he can do almost anything and win almost any game. On DEF PHILLY #1 TOT DEF w/#8 RUSH DEF & #2 PASS DEF. They can certainly create extra opportunities for the OFF to score and they can certainly stop an OFF.
KC #10 TOT DEF w/#9 RUSH DEF & #19 PASS DEF. The KC DEF is not as proficient as last year’s DEF but they still get the job done. They have to stop PHILLY’s run game with Barkley. KC cannot let PHILY run wild. They have to make PHILLY QB Jalen Hurts throw the ball more times than he would like and chase him out of the pocket. This is the key for KC. For PHILLY, they have to make it uncomfortable for Mahomes and put pressure on him constantly. But he is smart enough to adjust and he will find the open receiver. I don’t think this game will be a shootout and it will be a tighter game than most people think. Turnovers will be costly in this game as each team is good at turning them into points.
By the way, as I have said for weeks, after KC wins the SuperBowl, KC TE Travis Kelce will retire. He has nothing left to prove. He is a 1st ballot Hall of Famer, ALL-PRO, multiple Superbowl rings and has plenty of money. His nickname should be “money”. He will ride off into the sunset. Replacing him next season for KC will be tough and his number will certainly be retired.
I like KC here to win their 3rd SuperBowl in a row in a game that will again go down to the wire. PHILLY will give it a god run but Mahomes & CO will give looks that weren’t on film, like they did vs BUFF. Neither team can afford a turnover and KC will win another close game by a fg. I don’t see either team winning in a blowout but KC will be the victor here. Lay the points in almost a PICK’EM game.
THE PICK: KC-1 ½
SEE YOU NEXT SEASON!